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Author Topic: The Expected rate cut by FED has happen today..  (Read 210 times)
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December 10, 2025, 08:08:57 PM
 #1

I saw the news maybe a hour ago and so I decided to share it, The expected interest rate cut in December has happened today . The interest rate was cut by 25bps.



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What’s your take on this?
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December 10, 2025, 08:18:13 PM
 #2

This is the reason bitcoin price is increasing, the price slightly fell immediately after the rate cut but it later increased. Increase in price of bitcoin is what we are expecting after rate cut and that is what is happening. But rate cut may not be significant on bitcoin price after a long period of time, it is just for short period of time market reaction which may just last for less than a day or few days.

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December 10, 2025, 08:20:03 PM
 #3

Btc is trading around $94k and the Nasdaq seems to be up a little bit. There isn’t a big reaction to the rate cut so far but it is probably because it was priced in already.

It feels like 2008 all over again tbh.

Did the Fed cut rates because the economy was strong so lower rates wouldn’t cause inflation? Or did they do it because the economy was weak and they needed monetary expansion to revive it?

If it is the second one, and I think it is, then buckle up. Something will hit us soon very hard. The current ATH’s you see in the market might be the last ones of this decade.

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December 10, 2025, 11:28:16 PM
 #4

I personally wasn't even looking forward to it
And it escaped me we would be having one December
Since the last one couldn't really help much when Trump was using tariff to mess with everyone.
25bps? No wonder the market is reacting much. This has already been priced in.

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December 10, 2025, 11:38:38 PM
 #5


Did the Fed cut rates because the economy was strong so lower rates wouldn’t cause inflation? Or did they do it because the economy was weak and they needed monetary expansion to revive it?

If it is the second one, and I think it is, then buckle up. Something will hit us soon very hard. The current ATH’s you see in the market might be the last ones of this decade.
Lol brace yourselves then, it might be the time for you all to take some profits Kiss... Its very obviousthat the Fed is cutting rates because they see the economy weakening and unemployment rising. If we take a look at it, the unemployment rate increased by 0.1 percentage point from July to August, and then another 0.1 point from August to September. The October government shutdown added to this problem and delayed key data, forcing the Fed to act with more caution. This choice means they are accepting higher inflation for now to avoid a recession. The rate cut is a signal that the economy is in need of support.

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December 11, 2025, 01:11:29 AM
 #6

This is the reason bitcoin price is increasing, the price slightly fell immediately after the rate cut but it later increased. Increase in price of bitcoin is what we are expecting after rate cut and that is what is happening. But rate cut may not be significant on bitcoin price after a long period of time, it is just for short period of time market reaction which may just last for less than a day or few days.
I'm leaning towards the fact that it has been priced in already before the rate cut has even announced. I mean we've seen an increase towards the price of Bitcoin from around $80,000 to as high as $94,000. At least that's what I believe because that's what happened during the last 2 rate cuts a few months ago.

It seems like the market didn't have an immediate or huge reaction when Papa Powell announced it, but I believe that this rate cut will have a long-term benefit towards the market. Well, this is a bit expected already that's why many bought Bitcoin before it has even announced hence, the increase in price. I still believe that we need more rate cuts in the future, and maybe we need some "BRRRRR BRRRR BRRRR" of that money printing machine. Cheesy I mean Quantitative Easing.

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December 11, 2025, 01:54:26 AM
 #7

I saw the news maybe a hour ago and so I decided to share it, The expected interest rate cut in December has happened today . The interest rate was cut by 25bps.

What’s your take on this?
History of Bitcoin price changes after most recent FOMC.

After FOMC 19/06, BTC down 8%
After  FOMC 31/07, BTC down 6%
After FOMC 18/09, BTC down 7.5%
After  FOMC 30/10, BTC down  28%

I don't make fud here, it's the figures of Bitcoin price changes after latest FOMCs and everyone can have their numbers. The December is not good in Bitcoin history so I really don't expect anything greenish and bullish after this FOMC today.

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December 11, 2025, 02:15:44 AM
 #8


Did the Fed cut rates because the economy was strong so lower rates wouldn’t cause inflation? Or did they do it because the economy was weak and they needed monetary expansion to revive it?

If it is the second one, and I think it is, then buckle up. Something will hit us soon very hard. The current ATH’s you see in the market might be the last ones of this decade.
Lol brace yourselves then, it might be the time for you all to take some profits Kiss... Its very obviousthat the Fed is cutting rates because they see the economy weakening and unemployment rising. If we take a look at it, the unemployment rate increased by 0.1 percentage point from July to August, and then another 0.1 point from August to September. The October government shutdown added to this problem and delayed key data, forcing the Fed to act with more caution. This choice means they are accepting higher inflation for now to avoid a recession. The rate cut is a signal that the economy is in need of support.

Between that and silver hitting new all time highs is signaling a lot of market doubts as well. Perhaps this might actually bode well for bitcoin though long term. We will also see some stimulus being pumped in and lots of governments buying up the ETFs. I feel like we are about to hit some crazy bullish momentum I can feel it in my coins 🪙  Cool

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December 11, 2025, 02:21:04 AM
 #9

Between that and silver hitting new all time highs is signaling a lot of market doubts as well. Perhaps this might actually bode well for bitcoin though long term. We will also see some stimulus being pumped in and lots of governments buying up the ETFs. I feel like we are about to hit some crazy bullish momentum I can feel it in my coins 🪙  Cool
Since 2009, how many times FED made rate increases and rate cuts, there are too many times and I think we don't need to count them. Within almost 16 years from January 2009 to December 2025, with many FED actions with rate (cuts and increases), Bitcoin in long term does not care about that and it has kept rising more and more with time and years.

So why do we need to care about what FED do this time and in coming months, if we have long term vision for our investment?
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December 11, 2025, 04:08:36 AM
 #10

After the Fed cut rate that we expect the market to be more bullish, instead it turned a bearish one later after reaching about $93,000 and now we currently at $89,000 which shows a significant drop in value, when it was expected to be a bullish that beaks the $93,000 upto above $95,000 and beyond as we expect seeing more of the rising than falling, but the fed cut rate turned a bearish one up on the market after the faking bull we had earlier.

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December 11, 2025, 04:33:04 AM
Merited by SilverCryptoBullet (1)
 #11

That's not really affecting anything though!

As we can already see, the bitcoin price is not even reacting to the news.
The recession is also not going to be affected in any meaningful way. It will continue to exist and get worse.
The inflation will not be affected much either, it will remain as high as it were (won't get higher, I think).

At the end of the day the political pressure worked to force them into making a political move that has no major effect on anything. Smiley

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December 11, 2025, 05:08:06 AM
 #12

It's as expected, a small rate cut since they already cutting it 3 times in a row. Bitcoin might have a chance for recovery to 100k but unfortunately it failed to broke through resistance again. Hopefully within few days we might see bitcoin breaking out and on its path to $100k.

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December 11, 2025, 08:13:10 AM
 #13


Since 2009, how many times FED made rate increases and rate cuts, there are too many times and I think we don't need to count them. Within almost 16 years from January 2009 to December 2025, with many FED actions with rate (cuts and increases), Bitcoin in long term does not care about that and it has kept rising more and more with time and years.

So why do we need to care about what FED do this time and in coming months, if we have long term vision for our investment?


We could say that, but I don't think we can easily ignore the short-term volatility of Bitcoin. Easier said than done, and frankly, nobody wants to see their investment portfolio decline, even though we all know it will eventually recover.

Furthermore, although most claim to have long-term holding goals, in reality, the majority want to sell at the highest possible price and wait to reinvest during a market downturn. But ironically, many of us didn't sell when Bitcoin peaked at $126k, which is why the market is so interested in this news.

Trust me, the more Bitcoin falls, people pay more attention to macroeconomic and political news, seeing it as a lifeline could help Bitcoin recover.

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December 11, 2025, 09:13:26 AM
 #14

It doesn't seem to have affected the price much. After a small initial spike, the price turned around and we're back where we started. Perhaps it is the division within the Fed and the possibility that interest rate cuts will not continue that has dampened enthusiasm. In any case, regardless of the initial enthusiasm or lack thereof, these things become more noticeable in the medium term, when liquidity is introduced and circulates through the system.

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December 11, 2025, 09:22:28 AM
 #15

It's as expected, a small rate cut since they already cutting it 3 times in a row. Bitcoin might have a chance for recovery to 100k but unfortunately it failed to broke through resistance again. Hopefully within few days we might see bitcoin breaking out and on its path to $100k.

Usually the price goes down afterward, but we shall see what would happen this time.

I would rather look at the first quarter of the next year ending to see how it all went.. I sure do hope this run of this cycle to be over here and now.

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December 11, 2025, 01:27:38 PM
 #16

The December is not good in Bitcoin history so I really don't expect anything greenish and bullish after this FOMC today.
December is not a good month in history, yet on the picture that you have posted it generated positive returns 7 times and negative returns 7 times. This is what you conclude is not good? Because it has a 50-50 chance of either being a good or bad month. Don't be a retard and use your brain, because what you wrote is incorrect. Just because the average or median return is not very positive that does not make something a "not good" month, it is still a positive total return. 

Usually the price goes down afterward, but we shall see what would happen this time.
This never made sense to me, i.e., it always showed that the market is extremely irrational in the current time that we live in. From what I observed:

  • No rate cut or rate cut cancelled: bearish
  • Small rate cut: bearish

So what exactly must they do for a bullish response? It seems that the market is more responsive to general, bullshit statements and data about the "economy doing well" (which it has not been for a very long time) rather than actual changes to the interest rates at least in the short-term. A more rational market would respond more strongly based on actual changes and the impact of those changes, not generic words that are often interpreted in a biased way depending on many factors. For example, during Biden they lied about the economy in every conceivable way just to make it sound less terrible than it really was.

Quantitative easing has started, some rate cuts have been done and more will be done in the next year. What more does the market want? Fake numbers that show the economy is going to grow 10% next year even though the economies everywhere in the world are in terrible shape?

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December 11, 2025, 01:54:24 PM
 #17

The rate cut had to have happened at any time but how it affects crypto currency and the BTC current market season is what's our main concern here.
I think for one, that the rate cut that has already been implemented will help cement Bitcoin's place in the global financial system thus creating a positive long term environment for cryptocurrencies.

We may expect FOMO from sellers who are always like that and love to panic sell, but this fed cut would surely help lower rates, and which of course would be efficient in Bitcoin's bullish narrative for early 2026.

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December 11, 2025, 02:01:27 PM
 #18

The rate cut had to have happened at any time but how it affects crypto currency and the BTC current market season is what's our main concern here.
I think for one, that the rate cut that has already been implemented will help cement Bitcoin's place in the global financial system thus creating a positive long term environment for cryptocurrencies.

We may expect FOMO from sellers who are always like that and love to panic sell, but this fed cut would surely help lower rates, and which of course would be efficient in Bitcoin's bullish narrative for early 2026.


It also changes how bad news is priced in.

One underrated angle is that a rate-cut backdrop could accelarrate the narrative of BTC being a collateral.

Cheaper funding makes more experimentation with BTC-backed products more viable, which, in turn, deepens liquidity and makes BTC integrated more tightly into the whole eco.

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December 11, 2025, 02:04:42 PM
 #19

This is the reason bitcoin price is increasing, the price slightly fell immediately after the rate cut but it later increased. Increase in price of bitcoin is what we are expecting after rate cut and that is what is happening. But rate cut may not be significant on bitcoin price after a long period of time, it is just for short period of time market reaction which may just last for less than a day or few days.
clearly it didn’t last for that long because the market is red again today i thought maybe the momentum will carry over and bitcoin will finally go back to the 100k level but it doesn’t seem to be that way so far
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December 11, 2025, 03:31:32 PM
 #20

That's not really affecting anything though!

As we can already see, the bitcoin price is not even reacting to the news.
The recession is also not going to be affected in any meaningful way. It will continue to exist and get worse.
The inflation will not be affected much either, it will remain as high as it were (won't get higher, I think).

At the end of the day the political pressure worked to force them into making a political move that has no major effect on anything. Smiley
People are very sensitive with news and short term events from economy, politics to the market movement while in long term, fiat currencies, all of them have very high inflation and their purchasing power dropped a lot with time.

Not only the US dollar, for example, but all other fiat currencies have this similar problem but even much worse.
The purchasing power of the US. dollar over time.

If Bitcoin is affected by fiat currencies, its price has not been rising over years like shown in this chart.
https://www.coinglass.com/pro/i/yearly-candlestick-chart

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