Bitcoin speculation thread for 2026

[Oshosondy]

Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?

[LogitechMouse]

I only used three things on the picture. FVG which is around $96,000 - $98,000, Fibonacci Retracement, and some horizontal lines to determine possible resistances. I didn't include the 50 Weekly Moving Average already because, I know that will be at around $98,000 as well.

Anyway, if Bitcoin will try to go up, it must first pierce through that FVG and it will become an iFVG. Also, that FVG coincides with the 38.2 Fib Retracement so that adds a power when it comes to it being a resistance. For me, if Bitcoin goes above that FVG and stays above it for maybe weeks, we might see Bitcoin going up in the first months of the year, but if not then we might see it going down to as low as $80,000 yet again hence, the start of the TRUE bear market.

My prediction for this year? The crypto market MIGHT be bullish in the first 3 months of the year before it goes down. Of course, my predictions are always wrong. 

[GreatArkansas]

Green FTW!

After what happened at last quarter of 2025, we already dropped 30% from the all-time high of Bitcoin ($126,000). So for me, what my strong significant is the level $60,000. So for me, that's the support. And I will be bullish too, or starting to buy more once we reclaim the $100,000. Other than that, DCA also best to do during these times.
 

[ancafe]

Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?

My prediction is that in Q1, we will see Bitcoin's price movement continue to decline and perhaps reaching a certain limit before breaking through to a higher price. I still see Bitcoin's movement stagnating and perhaps just playing around the current price range, and we could see a sharper decline again over the next few months. I've attended several classes on Bitcoin's journey in Q1, and most people said that the price would struggle to recover because it was waiting for momentum. This assumption could be wrong because we don't know the actual results, but I predict that Bitcoin will experience another decline before experiencing a price rally at some point before reaching consolidation.

[Darker45]

$100,000 will be back. Another ATH in 2026 will be hit. I'm being optimistic, while remaining realistic, too. But that doesn't preclude a possible, even probable, bear market that pulls the price down below $80,000 or even $70,000.

If the price touches those levels, I wouldn't be worried. That's probably where we're heading considering that we've already hit an ATH more than a year after the halving, which is the pattern. A bear market will then ensue. But I believe the rebound will happen before 2026 closes, which gives us another ATH. That would finally break the pattern, which has cracks already.

[Ayers]

I voted for the scenario where Bitcoin falls below $50k, and the market ends the year in the red.

The reason is that, given the increasing geopolitical instability between major powers, I'm not very optimistic about the economy this year. Bitcoin has never performed well in an unstable economy.

Additionally, I don't expect the market to continue rising, because the bull market has lasted too long and needs to end. I've never seen a financial market that only has bull markets without bear markets.

[Charles-Tim]

The reason is that, given the increasing geopolitical instability between major powers, I'm not very optimistic about the economy this year. Bitcoin has never performed well in an unstable economy.

Which unstable economy? Or did you mean unstable economies, which means it involves many countries like United States and China.

But in the past, bitcoin has been driving by another thing which is more about halving and season of bulls and bears. No country or countries economy unstability has long term effect on bitcoin price. If bitcoin price did not increase this year and some nations economies are unstable, that will never be the reason for unfavorable bitcoin price

Additionally, I don't expect the market to continue rising, because the bull market has lasted too long and needs to end. I've never seen a financial market that only has bull markets without bear markets.

Exactly, but some people want to make sure this does not happen.

[BABY SHOES]

I will not vote now, the price of bitcoin is still in the stinking ash area whether bearish or bullish throughout this year maybe with the many events that will come in this year it can change the price of bitcoin.

We hope this whole year is bullish where with many figures saying prices above $150K hopefully this truth is correct, meaning we will see ATH again this year, it's just that this prediction may miss a lot.

[aylabadia05]

I decided to vote that Bitcoin will go above 100,000 this year. I don't believe the bottom two choices will happen because the closing price for 2025 is $87,650, which will also be the opening price on the first day of 2026.
The 2025 year-end closed with a series of differing analyses regarding the price, which was expected to reach its highest point but failed to come close. If I were to wish for anything, I would want the price chart to continue as it is now, remaining flat until May.

[Ruttoshi]

I vote for number four. Bitcoin price going below $60k. This year 2026 is a bearish year for bitcoin because that's how the circle works, but past records cannot be used to judge future performance.


After bitcoin dipped from $126k and went below $100k price level, I was waiting till after three months to confirm if the price will retrace back or create a new ATH but it hasn't since then till now which has made me come into conclusion that we are a step close to the bear market because three months after the dip from ATH price puts the market in the hands of the bears. I don't think that $100k is achievable this year.

[Fiatless]

I am not expecting much from Bitcoin this year. Last year was extraordinary, with Bitcoin hitting several ATHs. My prediction is that the market will be red and the price will drop below $60,000. I am not in the school of thought of those who believe that the four-year cycle is no more. This year, for me, is for accumulation since I don't expect the market to hit $100,000 again.

[retreat]

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?

I see the market conditions in 2026 tending to be bearish - Bitcoin prices will likely hover around $70k-$80k USD. Bitcoin prices may occasionally reach $90k USD, but this will only be due to positive news that drives the price up in the short term, before dropping again and resuming its bearish trend. There aren't many expectations for this year, but for those looking to accumulate, this could be a good opportunity.

[rbynxx]

Still hopeful but not that obsessive that we will get $200k lol, might be a double top from the previous all time high then goes bearish again or just be flat just like what happened last year. The current stagnant price has been depressing but I guess the market is just bored and being bearish is understandable.

[Asiska02]

Bitcoin doesn’t look to have a bullish outlook this 2026 seeing from how the year 2025 ended. We have had a good bullish market run, so now that the market is looking to be on a downtrend, we shouldn’t force our opinions on what we assumed of the market to actually happen still since it wasn’t met before the bearish trend started.

We can be optimistic but we should also remain realistic of the market and tell what is actually occurring around it. The four years cycle, as long as it is still very valid, we should prepare for the bear run now and not hope for an ATH this year after the market has dropped so rapidly below $100K and below our expectations.

[SquallLeonhart]

I am not expecting much from Bitcoin this year. Last year was extraordinary, with Bitcoin hitting several ATHs. My prediction is that the market will be red and the price will drop below $60,000. I am not in the school of thought of those who believe that the four-year cycle is no more. This year, for me, is for accumulation since I don't expect the market to hit $100,000 again.

It might be true for a few months but making predictions for the entire month might not be feasible as of now because we have just started with 2026. Maybe after a few months, we will get much bigger picture or can at least make informed decisions but as of now all these predictions will be based out of thin air. We will never know what is going to happen. $60,000 range seems possible, but I do not believe that it will keep dropping further. Going below $60,000 will be more than -50% loss since the ATH which can't be sustained.

I too believe this year might be a bad start for bitcoins but somewhere I am still bullish for the entire year. Any major news from institutions or governments can start the upward journey within a couple of days or maybe a month. I am just waiting for the fundamentals before I can make my assumptions for this year.

[Onyeeze]

The price of Bitcoin has been falling starting from December and that is evidence to show that the price of Bitcoin will decreases more in this January 2026, so I cannot guess the actual price the price of Bitcoin will be in this 2026 but based on last year speculation the price of Bitcoin is going to reduce more than 84k I am suspecting that bitcoin price before March 2026 the price will a fall to 55k to 50k, and the people who bought Bitcoin when the price was 126k and 120k will regret why they hold Bitcoin, I think what happened before in Bitcoin want to repeat itself again in this 2026.

[sana54210]

My personal opinion will be bitcoins will be in green this year and will surely be above $100,000. Last year was great for bitcoins and this year will bring more prosperity because huge number of people have gained interest in 2025 so 2026 can only bring mass adoption which will increase the demand and thus positively affecting the price. I do not really expect bitcoins to start showing green candles immediately. Maybe for a couple of months bitcoins might remain stagnant or might even drop down a bit but I predict after tax filings, bitcoins might start the rally again.

In either case, I will continue adding more to my portfolio and will avoid panic selling just because I believe in long term growth. I am even ready to see bitcoins dropping for maybe another 6 months but in Q3 I am ready to book some profits.

[Popkon6]

Bitcoin price is currently at the same place, Bitcoin price has touched $88888 (five single letter Bitcoin price record). It has been in the $85K to $90K range for a long time, but if Bitcoin price goes up, it will cross $100K in January 2026. But if Bitcoin price is dumping, I think it will come down to the 70K range (just a guess), currently there is a huge demand for Bitcoin because everyone is accepting Bitcoin as a holding, so the possibility of Bitcoin price increasing is most likely.