Bitcoin speculation thread for January 2026

[As-Soon-As]

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

The beginning of January 2026 is very good for Bitcoin because the price of Bitcoin has touched $92K, and this year and next 2027 are not only for this period, if you have to do the DCA method, then it is best to follow the DCA method for a few years. Because it is natural that the price of Bitcoin will increase gradually, so according to any market situation, it is a very good idea to buy Bitcoin following the DCA method at the present time.

[bbc.reporter]

The Donald's attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro was very good because he has done this on Saturday hehehhe. This implies there will be less dumps and panic on the market.

If the Donald has done this similar to what he has done on Iran, we might witness a big dump on the stock market and this will also cause a big dump on bitcoin.

As far as I recall, in the past, even when news related to the trade war was released over the weekend, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility. But surprisingly, hours have passed since news broke about the US invasion of Venezuela, yet the entire market seem largely unconcerned. However, it is still too early to conclude that the market will not be affected because today is not only the weekend but the New Year holiday period has not yet fully ended. At the very least, we need to wait until the beginning of the week when global stock market reopen.

Political and economic instability has never been good for bitcoin and speculative asset. Indeed, it is truly concerning for what is about to unfold.

I had expected Bitcoin to recover to $100k this month, but perhaps I need to reconsider.

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

In any case, according to some articles, it was the Delta Force that extracted Maduro with the help of the CIA who were there in Venezuela gathering intelligence since August 2025. This very much makes me want to watch the movie Sicario again hehehehehehe.

[Raytheon]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

Yes, I think market won't care anymore. The US will only choose some small and sure-to-win target like Cuba. Trump is smart enough to avoid a long lasting battle with a powerful or complicated target like Ukraine. If have to, he will likely take part in like a third party, in the role of a supportive country. Meanwhile, he has a lot to do with the US economy (inflation, tariffs...).
Bitcoin has gone through a lot of more serious FUDs and wars, too. So if it's not WW3, then I believe crypto market won't likely be much impacted by some flash or small attacks.

[reagansimms]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

The market value was not much affected after the US attack on Venezuela, even at the time of writing this post, Bitcoin current value is soaring above $93k. In my opinion, after the attack, the Bitcoin market started to mature and was not as sensitive to geopolitics as before. However, I dare not say that future US attacks will not impact Bitcoin because each attack can be different, can get a different response and can affect the Bitcoin market in different ways, especially since the Bitcoin market is known to be very volatile. So, it is crucial for investors to constantly monitor the situation and adjust their investment strategies to manage risk if the market direction suddenly changes.

[Dave1]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

The market value was not much affected after the US attack on Venezuela, even at the time of writing this post, Bitcoin current value is soaring above $93k. In my opinion, after the attack, the Bitcoin market started to mature and was not as sensitive to geopolitics as before. However, I dare not say that future US attacks will not impact Bitcoin because each attack can be different, can get a different response and can affect the Bitcoin market in different ways, especially since the Bitcoin market is known to be very volatile. So, it is crucial for investors to constantly monitor the situation and adjust their investment strategies to manage risk if the market direction suddenly changes.

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

[BABY SHOES]

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Look at the price now bitcoin is dropping again... I'm not sure about Trump's attack on Venezuela as a way to pump up bitcoin in his own way, is it possible that others always associate this with Trump because of his past political statements?

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

Other countries will oppose the aggressive behavior of the US military who invaded too much, this will be a world condemnation. And I'm not sure that action can affect the price of bitcoin because of Trump's behavior.

[coolcoinz]

^
Condemnation? That's funny.
Like the world condemned Israel? They even put the president on a wanted list and nobody cares, he still flies around the world and nobody dares to arrest him.

The world also condemned Russian attack on Ukraine and what? It's still ongoing 3 years later.

Superpowers are able to do whatever they please and they are learning that the only thing that can stop them is another superpower. That's why Russia is now openly talking about capturing presidents of other countries like Germany. China is again claiming that Taiwan belongs to them and so on...
If it continues, eventually all smaller countries will become vassals to a few larger ones, unless they can group up and develop weapons together like the EU. Countries too small and too poor to do research and increase their own military power, for instance through nuclear weapons, will eventually be conquered.

As for bitcoin, I feel like the attack had nothing to do with it. The bears failed to break the support and take bitcoin below 85k so the only way left was up. Bitcoin can't and won't stay at the same price for linger than a few months.

[Churchillvv]

The slight upward movement that bitcoin has made in my opinion is a tricky move that can put one in a destabilizing state if they attempt to see it as bullish move, become its shows that it’s so temporary that no one knows when it’s going to make a retracement but I believe that it’s just another opportunity to take profit if you had not done that before when it was above 90k do you can do that and get ready to stack up again till next year when holding the main stash.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

Yes, I think market won't care anymore. The US will only choose some small and sure-to-win target like Cuba. Trump is smart enough to avoid a long lasting battle with a powerful or complicated target like Ukraine. If have to, he will likely take part in like a third party, in the role of a supportive country. Meanwhile, he has a lot to do with the US economy (inflation, tariffs...).
Bitcoin has gone through a lot of more serious FUDs and wars, too. So if it's not WW3, then I believe crypto market won't likely be much impacted by some flash or small attacks.

I reckon if it was America that attacked Ukraine, we would have witnessed Zelenskyy extracted from his house and living in an American prison already hehehehehh.

On the market, it appears that this might become complicated if the American government will not follow the Donald's command on creating a strategic reserve for bitcoin. Their department of justice has dumped the bitcoin that they have received from the Samourai wallet developers.



The US isn’t doing enough to stack its sats.

That’s according to one of Washington’s most pro-Bitcoin senators, Cynthia Lummis, who said Tuesday that she was “deeply concerned” about the government reportedly liquidating seized coins.

Following a report by Bitcoin Magazine that the Department of Justice had gotten rid of the Bitcoin seized in a criminal case, Senator Lummis said on X that the feds should be doing more to build up their crypto reserves.

“Why is the US gov still liquidating Bitcoin when @POTUS explicitly directed [that] these assets be preserved for our Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?” Senator Lummis wrote, referring to the Samourai Wallet case.

Read in full https://www.dlnews.com/articles/regulation/cynthia-lummis-worried-over-btc-sales-from-samorai-wallet/

[Roseline492]

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

But we have not getting any pump yet, was is it not supposed to be immediately after the attack because is been days now the attack took place and there is no pump in Bitcoin price, do you believe he has actually find how to use it to rise Bitcoin?, although we didn't see the price before the attack again till now because it actually increase but not considered as pump, if it was a pump by now it wouldn't have been anywhere close to $92k, except he is still planning to do it. However all this country you mentioned dose he also have plans in attacking them?.