2026 Difficulty Thread

[FP91G]

It won't be profitable for me to mine at prices below $50,000, and the only expenses for mining are electricity. Mining companies have contracts with energy companies and can't shut down quickly.

But we've already seen history where large miners operated at a loss for extended periods. But then these actions paid off handsomely.

[philipma1957]

It won't be profitable for me to mine at prices below $50,000, and the only expenses for mining are electricity. Mining companies have contracts with energy companies and can't shut down quickly.

But we've already seen history where large miners operated at a loss for extended periods. But then these actions paid off handsomely.

My gear is s21xp

So 3.4x270= 9.28 in earnings

Burns 84 kwatts

My power is under 9 cents

So 7.56 burned

9.28-7.56= 1.72 profit based on only power cost.

A 20 percent price drop would be about 57000 a coin and put me in the red.

9.28 x .8 = 7.42 and I would lose 14 cents a machine

[FP91G]

It won't be profitable for me to mine at prices below $50,000, and the only expenses for mining are electricity. Mining companies have contracts with energy companies and can't shut down quickly.

But we've already seen history where large miners operated at a loss for extended periods. But then these actions paid off handsomely.

My gear is s21xp

So 3.4x270= 9.28 in earnings

Burns 84 kwatts

My power is under 9 cents

So 7.56 burned

9.28-7.56= 1.72 profit based on only power cost.

A 20 percent price drop would be about 57000 a coin and put me in the red.

9.28 x .8 = 7.42 and I would lose 14 cents a machine

How do you calculate the cost of mining?
For how long do you add equipment depreciation into your expenses?
If you also factor in taxes and additional services, you might even be surprised to learn that buying coins now isn't such a bad idea.

[Nexus9090]

Hashrate has moved up significantly over the past day, I guess the weather has improved enough for the big farms to start switching back on. My guess is they were waiting for the diff adjustment before switching back on.

WRT price, there are $Billions of shorts stacked against BTC presently all in the $70k region this fragility puts pressure on BTC could trigger a massive sell-off which is what I've been expecting for a while.

I still expect BTC to dump into the $45k region before a genuine recovery starts.

[philipma1957]

It won't be profitable for me to mine at prices below $50,000, and the only expenses for mining are electricity. Mining companies have contracts with energy companies and can't shut down quickly.

But we've already seen history where large miners operated at a loss for extended periods. But then these actions paid off handsomely.

My gear is s21xp

So 3.4x270= 9.28 in earnings

Burns 84 kwatts

My power is under 9 cents

So 7.56 burned

9.28-7.56= 1.72 profit based on only power cost.

A 20 percent price drop would be about 57000 a coin and put me in the red.

9.28 x .8 = 7.42 and I would lose 14 cents a machine

How do you calculate the cost of mining?
For how long do you add equipment depreciation into your expenses?
If you also factor in taxes and additional services, you might even be surprised to learn that buying coins now isn't such a bad idea.

  I write them off the year I buy them. My cost is complex but pretty much they have been written off in 2024 and 2025.

  I very likely will not buy miners this year.
I purchased a lot of btc in the 60k to 75k range,

I basically have nothing to do but post for 2026.

[philipma1957]

https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   935993  (7 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   109.7925%  (570 / 519.16 expected, 50.84 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   141668107417558.2                            
Current Difficulty:   125864590119494.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 131725752716130 and 138562683048380
Next Difficulty Change:   between +4.6567% and +10.0887%
Previous Retarget:   last Saturday at 8:42 AM  (-11.1553%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   February 20, 2026 at 2:44 AM  (in 9d 3h 30m 17s)
Next Retarget (latest):   February 20, 2026 at 6:09 PM  (in 9d 18h 55m 21s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 12d 18h 1m 54s and 13d 9h 26m 57s[/quote]


Still a big comeback in hash.