New Year & Hoping for a new beginning.

[AjithBtc]

After a long gap of around 2 years, once again back into the forum activities. Days have passed as like minutes. Going through the price chart drastic changes have taken place in the market. During the starting months of 2024 the price was around $43000 and today it have reached around $88000. In between it have reached the ATH price of $125000. Really impressive and I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit. Anything will get saturated at some point and I believe bitcoin will then on move within this market barriers.

[PrivacyG]

It has been predicted that Bitcoin will stop moving upward for many years.  Yet here we are and Bitcoin is still taking people by complete surprise every time.

[aoluain]

^
Indeed - it was predicted many times in the past that Bitcoin couldnt reach key
price targets like $100, $1000, $10,000 and $100,000.

In between it have reached the ATH price of $125000. Really impressive and I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit.  

You cannot truly believe that $124,000 was the highest that the Bitcoin market
will ever reach in the future?

Every new year bring new opportunities in life and in Bitcoin, even when the market
falls there are opportunities for everyone to buy more Bitcoin in advance for the
following Bull market to create new ATH's

[ColdLava40]

It has been predicted that Bitcoin will stop moving upward for many years.  Yet here we are and Bitcoin is still taking people by complete surprise every time.

Bitcoin critics, they all suck. They just keep saying things without backing it up with any fact. Just a set of people with same very small of mindset.

They don't want to open up to what bitcoin has become. Actually, no body really cares about them any more, they can say what they want. Bitcoin will continue to prove them wrong.

I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit. Anything will get saturated at some point and I believe bitcoin will then on move within this market barriers.

Of course it will. Someone who has been with bitcoin for years would understand that we just completed a cycle, though it didn't end as expected. It may take a little while before continuing it's upward trend but definitely it will.

[Mate2237]

There is much hope for Bitcoin because it has been observed that, the price of Bitcoin every new season season has been greatly affected either positively or negatively. I believe that the price of Bitcoin is going to be on the high because new year always comes with new hope, the Bitcoin market forces and even major world events are things that decide the price of Bitcoin I believe that this season these factors will work in the positive direction.


2026 is bringing in new hope, new beginnings and for the Bitcoin believers I wants to say that they should stay positive and with a new hope. Nothing should change your mind concerning when it comes to Bitcoin because the price of Bitcoin is one thing that, has been shown to go up after every sharp fall just like we are experiencing now.

[tabas]

After a long gap of around 2 years, once again back into the forum activities.

Welcome back. 

I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit. Anything will get saturated at some point and I believe bitcoin will then on move within this market barriers.

What we can tell is that it will definitely do something that's beyond our expectation. From the price, to massive adoption, and what else? to break those barriers that are in the market whether it is on its own or even the global scale that many have been doubting it until now. Sure, market will get saturated but we're seeing how it's making waves because of its nature of being volatile and limited supply. Happy new year everyone, keep HODLING.

[Jewan420]

I have new expectations for Bitcoin in the new year. I don’t think that expectation will turn into disappointment. February is a good month for Bitcoin in general and there is a possibility of positive price changes in the market. Maybe the upcoming February will be no exception and the possibility of seeing Bitcoin bullish in February is the highest. While I don’t expect a new ATH, I expect a price of $115k.

Bitcoin surprises us time and again by exceeding our expectations. Maybe a surprise awaits us in 2026 that will be much bigger than our expectations.

[Stalker22]

~

The market barriers you are talking about are all in peoples minds.  we have now broken that 4-year cycle.  Now we have money coming in from places, like ETFs and that has changed the bottom line.  You are looking at Bitcoin like it is something that does not change.  If you think this is as high as Bitcoin can go then you are not seeing the picture.  Bitcoin does not get too full it just finds a starting point before something big happens and that proves people who do not believe in Bitcoin wrong again.  Welcome back, but dont let the "gap" turn into a permanent blind spot.

[Furious 7]

After feeling the green effect for some time last year now we are trying to make the hope for this year still the same but in the end this kind of condition also cannot come easily because after passing the bullish then there will be bearish that we definitely have to pass.
ATH will be passed? It can be a possible thing even very likely to happen but we just need to wait longer considering the current condition of red conditions and bitcoin discounts still continue to occur and allow us to be much deeper even though the current bearish phase is still not confirmed but this is also like a certainty because it will definitely happen and we just have to wait for time.

It depends on how prepared we are now whether in the end we can still survive or be destroyed halfway, For people who have been around for a long time maybe conditions like this have become food and they will remain comfortable with their conditions but those who are new, fomo and just go with the flow must be prepared with all the possibilities that occur if they really want to feel good as the ultimate goal.

[Sammye3]

~

The market barriers you are talking about are all in peoples minds.  we have now broken that 4-year cycle.  Now we have money coming in from places, like ETFs and that has changed the bottom line.  You are looking at Bitcoin like it is something that does not change.  If you think this is as high as Bitcoin can go then you are not seeing the picture.  Bitcoin does not get too full it just finds a starting point before something big happens and that proves people who do not believe in Bitcoin wrong again.  Welcome back, but dont let the "gap" turn into a permanent blind spot.

Good advise, Bitcoin is not predictable, it can change its regular pattern like we all know and begin a new cycle when we least expect it. Most people still believe that we have not seen Bitcoin halving while some think it has come and gone. We still don't know what the actual fact could be which makes Bitcoin a lot more fun but what is assured is that there would always be breaking of the previous ATH as we have seen that on the past sessions. The only difference could be the time it takes for the halving process which could be a bit different this time but we expect green candles in the nearest future.

Bitcoin has overcome all the critics and has always proven the unbelievers wrong every single time with a new ATH. Most people did not believe Bitcoin would go this far, they had wavering belief in Bitcoin and it's system but Bitcoin's existence is proof of a better future. Bitcoin is for the future, we may not see it now but sooner the results would speak.

[Richbased]

After a long gap of around 2 years, once again back into the forum activities. Days have passed as like minutes. Going through the price chart drastic changes have taken place in the market. During the starting months of 2024 the price was around $43000 and today it have reached around $88000. In between it have reached the ATH price of $125000. Really impressive and I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit. Anything will get saturated at some point and I believe bitcoin will then on move within this market barriers.

Just to let you know that the ATH of bitcoin is $126,000 and not $125,000. Anyways you have seen the growth of bitcoin since early 2024 till now or let's even make analysis is a more comparable way. Bitcoin price was around $44,000 in early January 2024 but the year got an ATH price of above $100,000. In January 2025, the price of bitcoin got to $109,000 and ended the year in an ATH of $126,000 so you can see that there is a progressive movement in the price of bitcoin which is to show that as we have started the year with a price of $88,000, so there's no barrier that will cause the price not to reach a new ATH before the end of the year.

[famososMuertos]

OP: I think we're focusing solely on the price and not giving any substance to other thinks. It's like when people were talking about ETFs, the new president, Blackrock's arrival, and so on. It seems like 2026 is part of what I call the Harry Potter effect, the magic wand. Especially with this idea of ​​a new beginning. It really is a new year for all of us, and we intrinsically feel that it's always the starting point for everything (New year), but that's not the case for Bitcoin.

[catnine1]

After a long gap of around 2 years, once again back into the forum activities. Days have passed as like minutes. Going through the price chart drastic changes have taken place in the market. During the starting months of 2024 the price was around $43000 and today it have reached around $88000. In between it have reached the ATH price of $125000. Really impressive and I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit. Anything will get saturated at some point and I believe bitcoin will then on move within this market barriers.

who knows about a ceiling. new etfs and halvings keep pumpin demand. chart always finds a way to surprise. glad ur back for the ride.

[Ayers]

After a long gap of around 2 years, once again back into the forum activities. Days have passed as like minutes. Going through the price chart drastic changes have taken place in the market. During the starting months of 2024 the price was around $43000 and today it have reached around $88000. In between it have reached the ATH price of $125000. Really impressive and I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit. Anything will get saturated at some point and I believe bitcoin will then on move within this market barriers.

Just to let you know that the ATH of bitcoin is $126,000 and not $125,000. Anyways you have seen the growth of bitcoin since early 2024 till now or let's even make analysis is a more comparable way. Bitcoin price was around $44,000 in early January 2024 but the year got an ATH price of above $100,000. In January 2025, the price of bitcoin got to $109,000 and ended the year in an ATH of $126,000 so you can see that there is a progressive movement in the price of bitcoin which is to show that as we have started the year with a price of $88,000, so there's no barrier that will cause the price not to reach a new ATH before the end of the year.

I don't want to disappoint you, but here's another fact, Bitcoin reached $69k in 2021, and compared to the 2025 ATH of $126k. Bitcoin has only increased by about 82% over the past four years, and this is not an attractive return for a risky asset. This shows that Bitcoin is very volatile and our profits will depend on the entry price. Additionally, don't forget the four-year cycle of the market, and if history repeats itself, next year will be a bear market.

Therefore, we shouldn't be overconfident and assume that simply buying Bitcoin at the beginning of the year will double our profits by year’s end. Bitcoin tends to appreciate in the long term, but its short and medium term movements are unpredictable.

[yhiaali3]

What I see is that Bitcoin is truly unpredictable, and it often defies expectations, whether rising or falling.
How many times have opponents of Bitcoin predicted that Bitcoin is just a bubble and will end as soon as the price becomes saturated, and Bitcoin has disappointed them all and continued to rise to new highs every time.

On the other hand, many optimists predicted that Bitcoin would reach record highs of $150-250k, but Bitcoin also did not exceed $125k.
I'm not as concerned with the price going up or down as I am with the spread of Bitcoin as a concept and an idea.

[Tiron_Miron]

Concepts are harder to kill than currencies and that is why bitcoin is so special, even if the price dropped to zero tomorrow the idea of a decentralized ledger is already out there in the wild and you cannot put that genie back in the bottle

[MinMan]

What I see is that Bitcoin is truly unpredictable, and it often defies expectations, whether rising or falling.
How many times have opponents of Bitcoin predicted that Bitcoin is just a bubble and will end as soon as the price becomes saturated, and Bitcoin has disappointed them all and continued to rise to new highs every time.

On the other hand, many optimists predicted that Bitcoin would reach record highs of $150-250k, but Bitcoin also did not exceed $125k.
I'm not as concerned with the price going up or down as I am with the spread of Bitcoin as a concept and an idea.

If our expectation is so realistic, then yeah but not if not. There are people that expects 1M or more in BTC and yet, BTC is not even close to it. For the prediction of $150-250k, I think this is possible and can be achieved on the next round of the bull run. Some are also not concern that much about the volatility of BTC because they are also in a spread, I mean literally that they are diversifying their funds. So they can only lose less just in case BTC declines. The decline is still not permanent so even if we all-in in BTC, but as long as we have a patience, then all is only fine.

[Minor Miner]

What I see is that Bitcoin is truly unpredictable, and it often defies expectations, whether rising or falling.
How many times have opponents of Bitcoin predicted that Bitcoin is just a bubble and will end as soon as the price becomes saturated, and Bitcoin has disappointed them all and continued to rise to new highs every time.

On the other hand, many optimists predicted that Bitcoin would reach record highs of $150-250k, but Bitcoin also did not exceed $125k.
I'm not as concerned with the price going up or down as I am with the spread of Bitcoin as a concept and an idea.

I rarely see anyone make predictions that are even close to accurate, let alone completely accurate, about Bitcoin throughout the years I've been in the market.

I remember that during the 2021 cycle, most people believed it would reach $100k, but it actually only reached $69k. Similarly to this time, when the market was euphoric, everyone predicted it would reach $200k, $180k, and then drop to $150k. But in the end, none of those predictions came true.

Bitcoin is truly unpredictable, and all we can do is prepare for all scenarios and set long-term goals, avoiding getting caught up in short-term fluctuations.

[Pi-network314159]

After a long gap of around 2 years, once again back into the forum activities. Days have passed as like minutes. Going through the price chart drastic changes have taken place in the market. During the starting months of 2024 the price was around $43000 and today it have reached around $88000. In between it have reached the ATH price of $125000. Really impressive and I don't know whether the market will go beyond this limit. Anything will get saturated at some point and I believe bitcoin will then on move within this market barriers.

This explanation surely talks about time waits for no body, after some days, weeks, months, years there will certainly be a big difference from yesterday. Bitcoin in 2024 was big price at $43k people anticipated that it will not go pass this range, highest it will get to is $50k or maintain its previous ATH of $69k but However it has crossed the line and even hit $100k and above. Bitcoin is really unpredictable. People who where afraid to invest due to the price are Also now regretting why they didn't invest huge amount ofkney all along. We must bear it in mind that Bitcoin will definitely keep going as time passes because it will gainore popularity and more adoption since many youth are growing up to buy and stack. Bitcoin will continue from here and will never go back. The advice I always have for everyone is to buy and hold because Bitcoin will certainly do better in the nearest future.

[summonerrk]

2025 broke the 4-year cycle theory

First call:
Bitcoin updated its ATH in March 2024 ($73,600) a month before the halving, not after.
The 2024 halving reduced the emission while 94% of BTC had already been mined. Miner influence dropped to a historic low.
In 2025, a new BTC ATH was set at $126,000, followed by a deep pullback and a final negative price for the year.
This breaks the pattern of the post-halving year, when distribution occurs at new highs in December and euphoria reigns in the crypto market.

What will work in 2026: new patterns and models

1. Shift in focus: from cycle to regimes
Instead of asking "where are we in the 4-year cycle?"  In 2026, the question needs to be asked: "What mode is the market in now, and what will change it?"
2. Growth of alts across sectors and new narratives
3. There are too many L2s, and most will no longer be able to show positive dynamics and correlate with Ethereum
4. The flow of liquidity from CEX to on-chain (DEX/perp DEX) has accelerated. Pool earnings were among the most stable in 2025
5. Correlation with the stock market may return, but only during certain periods.