Alik Bahshi
Why bomb for Iran? For more than half a century, the Middle East is a source of problems, the number of which is growing steadily, like a snowball, ready at any moment to break contact and sweeps away everything in an avalanche of nuclear catastrophe. If the chronic Arab-Israeli conflict, giving metastases, like a cancer, the Jewish lobby in America yet manages to stop using the power of a superpower, then there will be new conflicts, such as, a wave of revolutions overthrown dictators in the Arab world, the war in Syria, very dangerous voltage between the countries of the Caspian basin (1), or the problem of gaining nuclear weapons by Iran, not directly related to the Arab-Israeli conflict, but one way or another, are potentially dangerous for Israel to control America already can not afford. However, involuntarily slips thought, but whether all that the American people? But it is another matter, anyway, for America.
However, the countries of the Middle East, nuclear stick, especially in the hands of religious fanatics in Tehran, causing huge concern. By the way, Iran possessing nuclear weapons is a danger in the first place is not Israel, as in this wants to convince the international community of Tel Aviv, namely directly surrounding countries. Verbal rhetorical sparring between Tehran and Tel Aviv, is a distraction from what is really going on. But the reality is that Iran has no reason to bomb Israel, and even nuclear weapons that will not spare equally with the Jews and the Palestinian Arabs, the problems that the Ayatollah is used purely for propaganda purposes, in order to achieve at least some credibility in the Muslim world, the authority , which they have, it is not strange, in fact, not. Tehran Ayatollah primarily to the bone Pragmatics, and then confessors. This is confirmed by the fact that Iran, along with the Christian with Russia is an ally of Armenia as a Christian - the worst enemy of the Muslim way, Shiite Azerbaijan. It is difficult to assume that begin fraternizing with Sunni Shiites, if using Iran will be a Palestinian state. Yes, and that Iran would have with this? Nothing! And the main thing, of course, understand in Tehran is that the Israeli nuclear attack from Iran is equivalent to signing their own death warrant. It should be noted here the important fact - Arab organization Al-Qaeda, which is really an enemy of Israel has no ties with Iran, on the contrary, it is his enemy, speaking on the side of the Syrian rebels in their war with the dictator Bashar al-Assad, supported Tehran, together with Moscow. The totalitarian regime of the ayatollahs well as sovereign democracy in the face of Putin's sovereign, democratic revolution, there is nothing.
I want to draw attention to the paradox - the Israel Democracy among the Arabs, too, does not bode well. The fact that the dictator's main task - is to stay in power, everything else, including the return of the lost territories, is secondary. For Bashar Assad more readily willing to "rub out" his people than to fight for Israel annexed the Golan. Oddly enough, if true democracy limited term head of state is much more freedom in the choice of the decisions taken, and especially those who will have the support of the people. Clinging to power a dictator in Damascus, Israel is less dangerous than the popularly elected leader. Therefore, Israel is wary and social progress in the Arab countries.
Even more trouble for Israel Barack Obama delivers his desire to put an end, finally, to the Arab-Israeli conflict - a headache of all, without exception, the owners of the White House, a source of considerable political and military problems for America. Al-Qaida, September 11, the war in Afghanistan, it all stems from long-standing, a record for the duration of the conflict. Obama's plan to resolve the conflict, following the slogan "two states for two peoples," does not suit Israel. For the Israeli right there is nothing worse than finding the Palestinians their state. To divert the attention of Obama and the international community, which is also fed up with this endless confrontation, Netanyahu gladly grabbed, so the way turned up bomb Tehran, drawing her to his artistic talent astonished audience in the UN hopes to frighten the West irresistible desire to Iran, to blow it somewhere anything over the Eiffel Tower or the windows of the White House. Only here it is not clear why the West should be more wary of Tehran was a bomb, but not Russian, Pakistani or Chinese? There is no answer to a simple question and the purpose for which Iran will inflict a nuclear strike, say in New York or Berlin? Again, it will be with this? Especially after that Iran will be only history.
Of course, Obama understands almost zero level of threat to the US from Iran and Iran is not going to fight again getting involved his people in yet another military adventure, as it did with Iraq and Afghanistan. And the year was Obama's presidency, and of course he did not want to later he was accused of reckless step, crowning his stay in the White House. The idea to involve an ally in the war Netanyahu will have to wait until the next election in America. Obama is certainly not far-sighted enough not to repeat the mistakes of his predecessor Bush.
Needless to say, nuclear weapons in the hands of the religious regime a dangerous thing, but first of all, as I said, it is dangerous countries immediately surrounding Iran. Actually for them it is. Here we come to the answer to the question of why Iran nuclear bomb.
After the ayatollahs, using religious bigotry and backwardness of the Iranian people, managed to shift the shahin-shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the reformer, conceived to bring Iran to Western civilization, Iran was alone. When the Shah of Iran had close friendly and economic relations with Western Europe and America, and together with Turkey and Pakistan was a CENTO bloc covering the south of the Soviet empire direction, then all this in a moment collapsed, plunging Iran into the era of medieval obscurantism and religious fanaticism. The civilized world was shocked by the incident, and only Moscow was silent. Hardening of Iranian society against the surrounding world skillfully cultivated religious leaders, representing in their propaganda of Western democracy and its main stronghold - United States personification of Satan, which naturally has an impact on Iran's foreign policy, which acquired aggressive.
Since then, with the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf from Iran strained relations with Afghanistan and Pakistan in general no, with Turkic countries - are complex. For example, Azerbaijan, I would even say hostile, and this despite the fact that the Azerbaijanis, the bulk of the Shia. The explanation must be seen primarily in the fact that after independence the Northern Azerbaijan Azerbaijani people finally got the opportunity to decide their own destiny, develop national culture, economy, open to the world, taking part in various international events. For the 30 million Azerbaijanis of Southern Azerbaijan, located in Iran, North Azerbaijan (population 9 million) was an example of what can give the people freedom and independence. This fact can not but disturb Tehran. Moreover, we must note that Northern Azerbaijan a secular state, which has become the path of democracy. Another reason for the unfriendly attitude toward Tehran Baku purely economic. The bottom of the Caspian Sea in the space between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan is rich in oil and gas, that envy, like Iran and Russia's.
Following its purely geopolitical interests of Russia and Iran prevent the equitable sharing of the Caspian Sea among the littoral states. While negotiations on the status of the Caspian Sea, Russia and Iran are actively building up its military presence in the sea, which even during the Cold War was probably the most peaceful and free from the Navy. After the collapse of the USSR, with the advent of the Caspian Sea three independent and militarily weak states, Moscow has found it necessary to introduce brand new frigates equipped with missiles, which clearly bears a potential threat to the Caspian countries and first of all Azerbaijan and its offshore wells. Moscow clearly shows the intention of concern to Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan to implement a project to deliver gas to Europe bypassing Russia. The project involves laying a pipeline on the seabed, which has led Russia in unison with Iran to doubt the ecological security of the Caspian Sea and to protest the implementation of the transportation of gas on the seabed. How can you not remember about the Russian "Nord Stream" pipeline is laid on the bottom of the Baltic Sea, or the projected 'South Stream' across the Black Sea. Russian nervousness is understandable, for delivery of hydrocarbons to Europe from Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan to Russia will lose the monopoly on gas, which will bring to naught the possibility of political blackmail and, most importantly, its impact on the economy, tied exclusively to the sale of hydrocarbons.
General geopolitical aims Iran and Russia are the explanation for a strategic alliance between them. Here it is necessary to take into account, and the fact that both countries are similar in their rejection of Western democracy, which threatens Russia's final collapse of the Empire, and Iran - the loss of power of the religious elite. Both countries support Armenia in its aggressive intentions against Azerbaijan (2), and a smoldering Karabakh conflict in Moscow on any desired time can break out a new war, which Armenia is always ready to start with the active assistance of the Russian army to complete the job. The maps drawn by cartographers Armenian, Azerbaijan is no place that is quite happy and Iran.
Distractedly all the allies, Moscow gladly accepted, literally from heaven fallen ally and intends to please him up to the transfer of the nuclear technology. In order to protect Iran and its people from the outside world, and thereby maintain its power, Tehran obscurantists necessary to give the country a nuclear power, from which all will be shy. Here is the answer to the question why Iran the bomb.
1. The Trans-Caspian gas pipeline or the Third World War.
http://samlib.ru/b/bahshi_a/alikbahshi-27.shtml2. Around the Caspian Sea.
http://vestnikcivitas.ru/pbls/402 01/12/2013
