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Author Topic: Would meeting a profitable sports bettor change your mind?  (Read 1159 times)
Ziskinberg
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January 04, 2026, 09:29:25 AM
 #21


Most videos I have watched of winning, I see them as streamers. The persons I know that have won jackpots have not been able to replicate that over 4 years ago Grin. So I still gamble with caution despite meeting someone who says they win consistently or shows a prove to what they win.

Winning a jackpot has nothing to do with consistency. This is sports betting, and when we talk about being profitable, it means having a long term record that shows steady profit. The jackpot you’re talking about usually comes from parlays, and that doesn’t really require skill, it’s mostly luck. That’s not what this discussion is about at all.

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January 04, 2026, 09:46:18 AM
 #22

I will still saying that is just luck and he is lucky enough to win consistently. But he should remember that his lucky can leaving him without he knows.

It will not motivating me to try the same thing. I feels that can puts me in danger if I keep trying because I can lose control and cause losing money.

I prefer to do my own way without attracted or tempted with that. I will not follow their path because we have different path.

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January 04, 2026, 09:57:29 AM
 #23

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

Maybe yes if they are honest for showing their real win and lose data's because it will determine how skilled he is for consistently winning on his bets.

But I will be more careful to those people saying that they are winning and show only their gains, because its hard to believe on statements only since maybe they are just bragging their wins just to make their self looks cool in the eyes of his friends or to us.

Although if I believe on what they say I will still not try to aim hitting same path as them or chase something to became profitable same as them, because I had this feeling that it will lead to something harmful especially if we cannot control ourselves and get frustrated to hit the same win as them.

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January 04, 2026, 10:04:34 AM
 #24

I would probably stand on my beliefs that sports betting is not and can't be profitable even if I met someone that have consistently made money out of it.  I wouldn't probably aim to be the same as that guy because it will be different for me, that person is an exception to the rule and unless that person will let me copy their bets then sure, I would go for it but just because that person makes a profit in betting doesn't really translate to me having the same luck. This is one of those exception to the rules kind of thing.

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January 04, 2026, 10:08:23 AM
 #25

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?
Personally, if someone says they are winning long-term, I would like to know how he quantifies that. I'm pretty sure there should be concrete evidence, or I would assume he is a clout chaser. It's definitely something scammers do, but that's what I would ask first. Maybe a spreadsheet or account information on online sites that he has.

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.
If somehow that's true, he provided evidence, I would then ask how? and then I would try it for myself. There's no harm in trying but as long as the process is legitimate, I would try it.

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January 04, 2026, 10:08:41 AM
 #26

I've been playing for years and I've never met a person who actually does it, I've known those who have a high success rate, but don't live off that alone.
I'm certain and convinced that even in betting it's a matter of luck. Let me give a practical example of a difficult match where two coveted teams clash. How can you determine through "study" which of the two could win?
In some cases even if one of the two on paper has excellent performance you still don't have the certainty of the result.
Maybe I'm wrong, but until someone SERIOUSLY proves me the opposite of what I think, that's unthinkable to me.

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January 04, 2026, 10:08:54 AM
 #27

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1234109.0
Of course there are Roll Eyes winning and profitable bettors even in the long terms Grin but what it could really change for a newbie?
They already knows that some people can win and even have this as a real job (just to mention some gambling platform tax 45% of each win for certain players... Roll Eyes )
I would see this as "dangerous". If you don't understand "how it works" and why some gamblers are consistent than others you haven't any real advantage.
Just to mention people that have experience in trading, in a specific sport, or they know very well a certain event.
If you don't have an edge, I would not see anything new for your gambling outcomes... Roll Eyes

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January 04, 2026, 10:09:11 AM
 #28

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.
If I were lucky enough to meet such a person, I'd first and foremost want to learn from them, see what they bet on and how they do it. If possible, I'd like to see their strategy, I think it would be a valuable lesson for each of us. I know it's possible to gamble profitably, but I've never set a goal for myself to make money gambling, for me it's always been just entertainment, nothing more. But perhaps if I met someone who could earn enough from gambling, it might change my attitude toward it.

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January 04, 2026, 10:12:08 AM
 #29

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?


Sports betting also involves an element of luck. Still, if you are fully dedicated and good at analyzing and using practical tools, you can achieve a solid betting average that yields profitable results.

Many sports bettors are fully aware that we have a better chance in sports betting than in a casino luck-based game, but it takes time and total commitment to develop the skill, and many of us do not want to go through all of this and want to rely on signals and copy a sports bettor.

If someone comes along with a strong winning average, I will ask how much time and effort he put in and see if I can imitate his winning strategy.

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January 04, 2026, 10:17:22 AM
 #30

In a way such meeting can be motivational, but for a short period of time. Until gambler starts losing a lot or often again. What would meeting of a profitable bettor or gambler do? His luck isnt an illness that can be passed. Such meeting can turn gambler into addicted if he keep trying to achieve what profitable bettor achieved. In the end, when will people understand that being profitable in gambling is not for everyone?

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January 04, 2026, 11:25:47 AM
 #31

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

Stick around and find out.
There are people who are good with predictions and they will keep winning for a while.
Things can change drastically later on, this is why I said to stick around and find out.
I have joined sport bets groups before and they are good at their job but down the line everything seems different and questions and doubts started raising, before we know it they started to lose followers, I ended up ignoring the group at first hoping things could change, in the process I found out that I was not bad at sport bet myself.  So the group wasn't necessarily important in the first place, I felt like I doubted myself.

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January 04, 2026, 11:29:54 AM
 #32

It would honestly be an honor to meet someone who’s actually profitable in sports betting. That’s where I think I’d get real advice, not the kind you usually see in videos or read in articles written by so called experts. At least that way it’s coming from actual experience.

As of now though, I’m already a believer that sports betting is skill based and that anyone with the right skills can be profitable.
I know my interest will grow even more once I finally meet a successful sports bettor in person.

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January 04, 2026, 11:43:42 AM
 #33

I already believe that sports betting can be profitable because I know there are good predictors out there who really know what they are doing. So, if I meet someone who is good at analyzing games and has a history of a winning streak in sports betting, it will definitely motivate me.
Still, I don't see myself betting high amounts and just gambling the money away. Let's face it, in professional sports, anything can happen. Even rigged games could happen, and the players who are caught cheating are a fact. There are already suspects and proven guilty players who tried and successfully rigged the game, even if they are making a lot of money in professional sports. It's the game that I don't trust sometimes, especially if they are paid well by a group of rich people.

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January 04, 2026, 11:49:41 AM
 #34


Most videos I have watched of winning, I see them as streamers. The persons I know that have won jackpots have not been able to replicate that over 4 years ago Grin. So I still gamble with caution despite meeting someone who says they win consistently or shows a prove to what they win.

Winning a jackpot has nothing to do with consistency. This is sports betting, and when we talk about being profitable, it means having a long term record that shows steady profit. The jackpot you’re talking about usually comes from parlays, and that doesn’t really require skill, it’s mostly luck. That’s not what this discussion is about at all.

The point I'm making or made with the jackpot I used as reference is that my mind isn't going to change to believe that there is consistent winning. I believe it is just very limited percentage of gamblers that are consistent . Moreover, I know of gamblers from my side that are consistent to an extent and after awhile they also enter losing streak mood. I won't rely on those who have been winning to believe it is going to happen for me because that can make you jealous and you want to increase your risk. People win gambling no doubt but they are very small in number.

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January 04, 2026, 11:58:34 AM
 #35

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

I believe that sports betting can be profitable because it’s skill based some. There’s some sports bettor that records higher winning percentage and on +PnL for a long time.

Personally, I knew to myself that I’m not that talented on sports betting. I will not be motivated to bet more just because I knew someone is profitable.

I knew lot of friends that profitable but I choose not to chase the same path since I will just lose in the end. Some people has exceptional talent while others like doesn’t have so I’m contented already the way I play.

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January 04, 2026, 12:18:57 PM
 #36

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

I am not fan of beliefs, I like to believe in facts, but I have never made sports bets consistently to know whether one can actually make money from it or nah.

As for, me coming across somebody who makes money from sports betting, why shouldn't I believe in him if he actually does so? He could be really good at betting or could be having insider knowledge which could be allowing him to make profitable bets.

Regarding, sports betting being just luck, I don't think so, it's deffo not pure luck.

Quote
And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

As I said, I don't have anecdotal experience to come to my own conclusion (whether sports betting is profitable or nah) and what others do is none of my business, but I may try just to come to my own conclusion.

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January 04, 2026, 12:24:04 PM
 #37

Here is an example of a moment of my life. When I was a teenager and helped my mother at work, from time to time I have met her boss, a very wealthy person. To be honest, I only became more envious to his wealth, then wanted to become like him. With time I have learned that he has made wealth long time ago by reselling things with 500-1000% profit. From that, I havent learned anything besides I have to risk if I want to achieve big. I think pretty much same thing happens when we meet profitable sports bettors. All the can do is to tell us to risk and we might get lucky. Imo that is not much of a best or unique advice I have heard.

 
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January 04, 2026, 01:50:34 PM
 #38

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?
---
As somebody who believes that gambling is purely on luck, I also believe that the person that I'll be meeting who's consistently winning in sports betting is either lucky, or he has an insider that's helping him.

Let's not forget that we've seen gambling incidents from pro players where they're acting as insiders for these gamblers, and in return, they'll be paid. This would be different if it's a casino game, but if it's sports betting, it's either he's lucky, he has an insider, or he's an expert in data analysis. Nothing more. Will I get motivated if I see somebody? Nope, but if he will let me follow him, or if he will give some tips on which teams he will be betting then I might try it.

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January 04, 2026, 01:58:17 PM
 #39

My general opinion is that the success of sports betting is determined not only by luck, but also by the experience and knowledge of the bettor. And something else. If I had met such a person (who constantly wins), then in the end I would have decided that he was winning because he has something else - insider information, and/or participates in match-fixing schemes, for example, as a figurehead for betting and receiving money.
I would also assume that the bettor winning consistently has some kind of hack into the system or a way an insider just like you said because winning isn't easy and no one can be lucky enough to be profitable from betting without having a means to do so. well, some people use the arbitrage betting system, this is capable of putting them in profit but not every bettor makes profit from it

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January 04, 2026, 02:07:57 PM
 #40

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

I think everyone knows that betting is not guarantee and then anyone who believe betting is not also profitable, the person is not completely wrong but if I have that mindset or mentality on betting I think I would rather quit or stop gambling because I'm already convinced within myself that I can not get something from this and there won't be need to gamble anymore. I personally know that gambling is not guarantee but with the way I win sometimes I believe I can get something bigger and greater someday and I don't need someone consistent winning to motivate me because we don't have or share same luck and grace.











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