Trump Found a New Way to Pump BTC

[justinlamode]

Bitcoin price is currently at $93,000, and this price is not a major resistance recovery to call it a pump,  in the past week's bitcoin price have recovered to this price on multiple times.

We shouldn't ascribed bitcoin current price to political events and wars.

Bitcoin is much bigger than relying on news of military actions that could be temporarily and subject to change at anytime

Bitcoin definitely react to news and that is not something we should deny although this sluggish move is not worthy to be ascribed to the effect of news. The OP made a very valid analysis and if you can take time to check, you will realize that Bitcoin surely respond positively to any military action especially those involving the super powers directly, just like the OP stated. The reason while this correlation exist have also been highlighted by the OP which I agree with. Let us see what unfolds with this US show of force/oppression of weaker countries.

[jostorres]

Recent history shows Bitcoin tends to benefit from military escalation. Remember January 2020: after the U.S. strike on Iranian General Soleimani, Bitcoin instantly spiked, acting as "digital gold" while stock markets fell. A similar surge in interest for crypto happened at the start of the European conflict in 2022.

Interesting. Honestly, I've not been tracking it myself but there could be some some truth. Last I heard was that the interest rates in U.S impacts the crypto market because people decide whether to move money to banks or crypto. But again I've very limited knowledge on all this.

Trump must have earned so much from his own token that nobody talks these days. I remember the price was $50+ at one point and now it's less than $5 I believe. So even after making so much money, and with Melania token as well, it's a shame if they are actually still manipulating the market. But well, what else do you expect from a hardcore businessman.

[rbynxx]

Trump is promising to continue solving political problems with a show of force. The list of potential targets is mind-boggling: Greenland, Cuba, Colombia, and Iran. Maybe I missed a few, or maybe new countries got added to the list while I was writing this.

Recent history shows Bitcoin tends to benefit from military escalation. Remember January 2020: after the U.S. strike on Iranian General Soleimani, Bitcoin instantly spiked, acting as "digital gold" while stock markets fell. A similar surge in interest for crypto happened at the start of the European conflict in 2022.

So, once again, the American president seems to have found a way to pump Bitcoin. The crypto market has every chance of repeating its pre-election rally against this backdrop of geopolitical storms.

It's that force that acts as if Venezuela has no sovereignty but if we really take a time to look at it, it's really unlawful but it's the greatest nation on Earth and they are not afraid to show that. If bitcoin will be driven to ATHs with waging a war over another country, I guess there's a piece of me that really don't like it, it's probably disgusting to celebrate that way especially if we're talking about human lives at cost over these escalations.

[wiss19]

It's delusional to think that every slight price movement of Bitcoin has to be connected to the actions of the United States of America and Donald Trump. Give us a break, for Pete's sake. The world does not rotate around the USA or trump.

I can barely call it a pump but yeah we have to find ways to applaud trump for pumping BTC 

Lol, true. But I guess we cannot rule out a possibility because USA does its best to get involved into anything and everything that happens around the world.

It's nice to see Bitcoin doing well again but I had a lot higher expectations at the end of 2025 and start of 2026. Lets see how the price moves because we are still very far from the ATH point. All the Trump drama now with abducting the Venezuela leader and Greenland, hopefully does not crash the market. Usually when negative things are happening around the world, the price plummets. Not sure how bad are the current events though, such as abducting Maduro.

[Jostern]

well silver went up a lot
gold went up a lot
btc went up
ltc went up
eth went up
doge went up

oil is flat

hard to tell with trump.

lets see if he goes for Cuba or Greenland.

and lets see if China goes for Taiwan and Russia continues to attack the Ukraine.

very interesting world we have this year.

Your analysis are absolutely correct, I saw some new that silver went up today, and yesterday I saw a news also that gold went up, and bitcoin keeps going up and down like it’s usually way of fluctuating, Oil seems to be still at it’s normal price in a single barrel.

But with the way Trump is dishing out treats to Cuba, Columbia, and Greenland, but I’m going to think that the possible destination of attack would be Columbia, because right now Cuba relies on Venezuela and Trump have taken Venezuela now so that means Cuba is already taken as well.

Columbia and Greenland could be a possible destination of attack.

But I think Denmark who are a close allies to Greenland and Denmark also a country in NATO, it could be difficult for Donald Trump to easily penetrate Greenland because of NATO, he wouldn’t want to start a War.

Russia will continue attacking Ukraine.

China I don’t know if they will start attacking Taiwan.

[Renampun]

So, once again, the American president seems to have found a way to pump Bitcoin. The crypto market has every chance of repeating its pre-election rally against this backdrop of geopolitical storms.

It would be too ridiculous if everything in Bitcoin was linked to Trump. the current rally is due to early-year repositioning and investor reactions to the current geo-political conditions, but this is still far from being considered a pump, this could just be a short-term rally, and will not necessarily continue. most likely in a short time, the majority of people will take profit and the market will experience another correction.

[d5000]

The market reacted positively to the arrest of Venezuela's president. [...] Recent history shows Bitcoin tends to benefit from military escalation. [...]A similar surge in interest for crypto happened at the start of the European conflict in 2022.

The 2022 Russian attack benefitted Bitcoin? That is new for me haha.

I don't think the Bitcoin surge is directly related to the attack in Venezuela. The Bitcoin price reacted only with a delay of several hours, it was completely flat in the hours during the attack.

An indirect influence could be the following logic: Market makers expected a stock rise on Monday driven by the oil companies. Stock rises would also likely drive Bitcoin higher. Bitcoin's rise on the weekend however exceeded the rise of the stock markets yesterday, so the Bitcoin price corrected again.

The other theory is that simply confidence is building up due to the long sideways market in the 80k-90k area, with higher lows over the last weeks. That gives way to hope that the bull market hasn't ended, and that the 4 year cycle (who drove the price down in November and early December) may be a thing of the past, which would be bullish.

Maybe it's also a mix of both effects. Or it's simply trading alongside the slightly bullish price channel since 80k.

[GreatArkansas]

Trump is promising to continue solving political problems with a show of force.

We should never expect any positive impact from what the government of US may do to have effect on bitcoin, because this is not even part of their targets or agenda to consider pumping, instead they are more political inclined, we should also not expect that the way the market is performing was from the influence received form them, because bitcoin is self sustainable, since it operates under a decentralized system, we don't need government to achieve whatsoever thing we needed.

True, I am really against this. We must separate Bitcoin from these kinds of issues. So, for me, I assume that recent pump is not all about what the US government did with Venezuela.
Bitcoin was built as a decentralized, payment-focused financial, it's totally far if we relate the issue with it. For sure, this is justa  coincidence.

[Dave1]

-snip-
I don't think it will be enough to say that we are pumping or Trump uses his power to influence the price.

I agree with you: whales love big stories to sell slowly to the public, who largely view political tensions as "buy the rumor, sell the news." I don't think even Trump cares about Bitcoin's value when he creates tensions everywhere, even if it involves war; that's not his motive.

That bolded statement is so true, and this is what we are seeing. There are a lot of entities who knows this and so they are selling the news and try to pump the market so make a artificial price increased. And so others gets excited, invest and buy again because they might have thought to see the price at $95k.

But we will see, right now, it's down to $92k and I will not be surprised if we are back again to the price range of $85k-$90k after this so called pump. Everything will have to settle down and when this news about Trump's invasion quieted down, then we might see that the market will be on the bear market.

[mv1986]

The market reacted positively to the arrest of Venezuela's president. [...] Recent history shows Bitcoin tends to benefit from military escalation. [...]A similar surge in interest for crypto happened at the start of the European conflict in 2022.

The 2022 Russian attack benefitted Bitcoin? That is new for me haha.

I don't think the Bitcoin surge is directly related to the attack in Venezuela. The Bitcoin price reacted only with a delay of several hours, it was completely flat in the hours during the attack.

An indirect influence could be the following logic: Market makers expected a stock rise on Monday driven by the oil companies. Stock rises would also likely drive Bitcoin higher. Bitcoin's rise on the weekend however exceeded the rise of the stock markets yesterday, so the Bitcoin price corrected again.

The other theory is that simply confidence is building up due to the long sideways market in the 80k-90k area, with higher lows over the last weeks. That gives way to hope that the bull market hasn't ended, and that the 4 year cycle (who drove the price down in November and early December) may be a thing of the past, which would be bullish.

Maybe it's also a mix of both effects. Or it's simply trading alongside the slightly bullish price channel since 80k.

That is new for me, too!

@Alpen, I actually tried to remember whether there was any kind of considerable positive breakout at the time and decided to look it up because, why not?



Here is my thesis and this is only for the time being because I think Bitcoin can develop more and more into a safe haven: uncertainty and military escalation is REALLY bad for Bitcoin. IIRC, it began that high ranking officials strongly warned that something is cooking with the Russians. There was the NATO secretary Stoltenberg in November 2021, who stepped forward and said we gotta be careful. Then in December American secret services published crystal clear warnings that an attack could happen in January or Feb 2022. Also in December, foreign minister Blinken publicly warned. That was the moment when speculation pretty much ended and the final nail in the coffin was when by the end of Jan 2022 secret services found out that blood substitutes and medical equipment was brought to the border.

Question here @Alpen: can you see in the chart what the Bitcoin price did from Nov 2021 onwards?

Now when you ask why it went up for a moment right after Feb 2022, keep in mind that Bitcoin is similar to gold. For a short period of time, many market participants fled into Bitcoin and therefore, shorts were liquidated, which accelerated the uptrend. But this is not what anybody wants as that is not a sustainable increase in price. It was speculation and some got it right, some got it wrong.

Your statement is: Bitcoin tends to benefit from military escalation.

During that period of time, the real military escalation wasn't on Feb 22 because that was when everybody thought this is over within 3 days or 2 weeks or whatever. The real escalation became clear when there was no foreseeable end of that attack.

And when the market realized that this is going to ESCALATE, like in the truest sense of the word, this was Bitcoin's response until the end of the year:



Because of that military escalation, Bitcoin dropped from $65k in Nov 2021 to almost $15k by the end of Dec 2022.

[shinratensei_]

Bitcoin price rise because it's time to rise. It's bounced on the support and people could've seen it from miles away.
The reason I don't believe the venezuela escalation like that become the main reason that pump bitcoin is because venezuela's currency is already on hyper inflation and everybody there is already finding ways to not get affected by that one way or another and one of them is through buying bitcoin.

[Zanab247]

We know the group of people that pump BTC price to allow people to sell to earn profit during bull market. We saw high price through out last bull run, does it mean that Trump was the one pumping the price of BTC to hit bull run, because buyers and sellers are the group of people that move the market price to  surprise people that wish to buy or sell in the market. One president cannot control the price of BTC all over the world, because that is not the reason it was created to function in the industry.

Very soon the crisis will be over and Trump will release the president that was arrested to see if the price of BTC will still be pumping, because I know such crisis cannot make the price of BTC to pump.

[aylabadia05]

So, once again, the American president seems to have found a way to pump Bitcoin. The crypto market has every chance of repeating its pre-election rally against this backdrop of geopolitical storms.

Just wait and see what happens when Trump's feud with one country invites many other world leaders who disagree with Trump to get involved in the crisis.
If Trump knows how to pump up Bitcoin, people will quickly conclude that Bitcoin depends on the direction of official policy, in this case, that of the United States.
Trump is nothing more than a human being with the same goals as everyone else in the world, but with a different destiny. I am reluctant to agree that Trump is what is meant in relation to Bitcoin. He has influence, but it does not depend entirely on him.

[STT]

Destruction is destructive, I wont count on politics for any positive and I would not curse crypto with any association with politics as a positive.   If BTC rises and it relates to news its because they are destroying value in the dollar, with a trillion deficit nothing being done recently is going to reverse that its only more spending and instability.  
  BTC rose after many weeks going sideways and is now between the 50 day averages and 200 day, likely we find that rough range as a boundary but I'd never hope to rely on rhetoric and ego as a reason for a gain.    If they spent the money on infrastructure they'd be doing what government should concentrate on, instead we're talking about other countries which is a classic distraction tactic.

[EFS]

POTUS has no intention of pumping Bitcoin. Their agenda is clear. Recent events around the world have brought volatility to Bitcoin, but this comes from people's desire to put their money in a safer place. When there is uncertainty, people do not trust national currencies.
Bitcoin's initial emergence was also due to economic reasons. Bitcoin has become a good alternative. Bitcoin rises for the same reasons that gold and other precious metals rise. There's nothing more.

[danherbias07]

I highly doubt it's because of that. You are just trying to connect dots.

There's a chance there are wise Venezuelan people who are trying to save their money from getting worthless after what the US did to their country, and so they buy Bitcoin instead of keeping it withthe  Venezuelan Bolívar, their currency. The value of it is already low in the world market, and with all things that are happening, it could sink even more. So the solution is buying something valuable while the change is not kicking in yet.
Or, there are rich people there who are trying to escape being monitored with their cash money, so they exchange it for something else.

If that's not the case, then it's just a normal fluctuation of Bitcoin.

[tottong]

Recent history shows Bitcoin tends to benefit from military escalation. Remember January 2020: after the U.S. strike on Iranian General Soleimani, Bitcoin instantly spiked, acting as "digital gold" while stock markets fell. A similar surge in interest for crypto happened at the start of the European conflict in 2022.

So, once again, the American president seems to have found a way to pump Bitcoin. The crypto market has every chance of repeating its pre-election rally against this backdrop of geopolitical storms.

Is this really real? I'm not entirely sure, although we did see a slight spike after the events you mentioned.
I don't fully believe that the US military escalation triggered the Bitcoin price spike, as there may be other activities simultaneously driving Bitcoin upwards, such as Michael Saylor's buying spree and other ongoing events. The influence may be there, as it did during his pre-election campaign as president, but can we be certain that this is entirely due to the geopolitical storm?

We know that the United States is a superpower, and perhaps the world's geopolitical and economic orientation is toward it. But is it possible that this is entirely influenced by current activities surrounding the country? because there are also many other coverages that may also affect bitcoin.

[fuguebtc]

Trump is promising to continue solving political problems with a show of force.

We should never expect any positive impact from what the government of US may do to have effect on bitcoin, because this is not even part of their targets or agenda to consider pumping, instead they are more political inclined, we should also not expect that the way the market is performing was from the influence received form them, because bitcoin is self sustainable, since it operates under a decentralized system, we don't need government to achieve whatsoever thing we needed.

True, I am really against this. We must separate Bitcoin from these kinds of issues. So, for me, I assume that recent pump is not all about what the US government did with Venezuela.
Bitcoin was built as a decentralized, payment-focused financial, it's totally far if we relate the issue with it. For sure, this is justa  coincidence.

I agree that the recent price increase has nothing to do with what the US government has done to Venezuela. Because geopolitical instability often causes the price of bitcoin to fall rather than rise.

But I think we do not need to delude ourselves into thinking that because Bitcoin is a decentralized system, it will not be affected by political or macroeconomic factors. Because, ultimately, no matter how decentralized bitcoin become, it is still just a part of the economy. The flow of money in the market originates from the economy, therefore it cannot be immune to factors from the global economy or politics.

This is nothing new, so no matter how hard we try to deny and completely separate bitcoin from these things. The truth is that Bitcoin will still be influenced and governed by politics and economics.

[Juse14]

Trump is promising to continue solving political problems with a show of force.

We should never expect any positive impact from what the government of US may do to have effect on bitcoin, because this is not even part of their targets or agenda to consider pumping, instead they are more political inclined, we should also not expect that the way the market is performing was from the influence received form them, because bitcoin is self sustainable, since it operates under a decentralized system, we don't need government to achieve whatsoever thing we needed.

True, I am really against this. We must separate Bitcoin from these kinds of issues. So, for me, I assume that recent pump is not all about what the US government did with Venezuela.
Bitcoin was built as a decentralized, payment-focused financial, it's totally far if we relate the issue with it. For sure, this is justa  coincidence.

I agree that the recent price increase has nothing to do with what the US government has done to Venezuela. Because geopolitical instability often causes the price of bitcoin to fall rather than rise.

But I think we do not need to delude ourselves into thinking that because Bitcoin is a decentralized system, it will not be affected by political or macroeconomic factors. Because, ultimately, no matter how decentralized bitcoin become, it is still just a part of the economy. The flow of money in the market originates from the economy, therefore it cannot be immune to factors from the global economy or politics.

This is nothing new, so no matter how hard we try to deny and completely separate bitcoin from these things. The truth is that Bitcoin will still be influenced and governed by politics and economics.

For this time it has nothing to do with me also seeing the same thing as you regarding the recent increase in bitcoin prices, but I also do not deny that macroeconomics, geo politics, the crisis can affect the movement of bitcoin prices, this is no secret that we can discuss because supply and demand are indeed in motion with economic forces it has become the law of supply and demand in the market.

For the sentence to be regulated I think not because of its decentralized nature but if you only call it influenced I strongly agree, because the sentiment or impact of political policy or and the impact of economic conditions will affect market interest.

[beerlover]

I agree that the recent price increase has nothing to do with what the US government has done to Venezuela. Because geopolitical instability often causes the price of bitcoin to fall rather than rise.

But I think we do not need to delude ourselves into thinking that because Bitcoin is a decentralized system, it will not be affected by political or macroeconomic factors. Because, ultimately, no matter how decentralized bitcoin become, it is still just a part of the economy. The flow of money in the market originates from the economy, therefore it cannot be immune to factors from the global economy or politics.

This is nothing new, so no matter how hard we try to deny and completely separate bitcoin from these things. The truth is that Bitcoin will still be influenced and governed by politics and economics.

Many people will always look to news to see something to connect bitcoin to. While there are cases (rarely) where bitcoin goes up because of a political thing (like trump winning made it go up) I think it is not common and we do not have to say anything happened in bitcoin because of some news. If you really wish to, you can always connect the price movement to some news, because daily there are always some news somewhere in the world, which means whenever price moves, you can check the news and find anything you want.