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Author Topic: Is Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin Strategy Genius or Reckless?  (Read 502 times)
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January 10, 2026, 09:07:54 PM
 #61

I would never say its a reckless practice, but its way even smarter than what others are doing. I understand why this suddenly comes out, probably because others have felt envy for Saylor for how fast he was able to accumulate wealth with bitcoin. As long as there is money, everything will turns out possible.

Michael Saylor is just a living proof that bitcoin shouldn't be missed but should be prioritized as much as possible, before all its opportunities will turn out into zero in the future.

 
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January 10, 2026, 10:33:38 PM
 #62

Just because Michael Saylor seems like overbuying or overspending to accumulate bitcoin, then its considered a reckless strategy? Or it may only seem for those jealous eyes who also want to maximize their accumulation, yet their funds won't allow.

Personally, I kind of believing the faith and strength of Saylor had with how he was able to store bitcoin in just a short span of time, this is really an act of fearless and bravery. While others stay being hesitant, Saylor on the other hand turns more greedy while the opportunity to accumulate bitcoin is still there.

 
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January 11, 2026, 01:38:02 AM
 #63

Michael Seller  Grin
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January 11, 2026, 07:50:55 AM
 #64

I would never say its a reckless practice, but its way even smarter than what others are doing. I understand why this suddenly comes out, probably because others have felt envy for Saylor for how fast he was able to accumulate wealth with bitcoin. As long as there is money, everything will turns out possible.

Michael Saylor is just a living proof that bitcoin shouldn't be missed but should be prioritized as much as possible, before all its opportunities will turn out into zero in the future.
The money advantage of Saylor plays a lot of role in his strategy. No small retail or small companies can pull that.
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January 11, 2026, 07:52:12 AM
 #65

Just because Michael Saylor seems like overbuying or overspending to accumulate bitcoin, then its considered a reckless strategy? Or it may only seem for those jealous eyes who also want to maximize their accumulation, yet their funds won't allow.

Personally, I kind of believing the faith and strength of Saylor had with how he was able to store bitcoin in just a short span of time, this is really an act of fearless and bravery. While others stay being hesitant, Saylor on the other hand turns more greedy while the opportunity to accumulate bitcoin is still there.
I believe the future of Bitcoin is bright, and yes Saylor will be proven right.
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January 11, 2026, 08:34:37 AM
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 #66

I would never say its a reckless practice, but its way even smarter than what others are doing. I understand why this suddenly comes out, probably because others have felt envy for Saylor for how fast he was able to accumulate wealth with bitcoin.

This is true; there are people who simply want Saylor's project to fail, without making a rational analysis of it.

As long as there is money, everything will turns out possible.

That there is money and that whether he will be able to keep raising it are two different things.

The main problem Strategy faces now is that it has based its model on a Bitcoin CAGR of 30% for the next 20 years. But that is an assumption. If the assumption fails, the model fails. In fact, in that model, the CAGR would be closer to 40 or 50% in the early years, gradually declining to 20% within 20 years, giving an average return of 30%. And in the first year since he made his prediction, Bitcoin fell 7%, in a post-halving year no less.

We have seen too many well-structured mathematical models, with a lot of logic behind them, fail. I remember PlanB's, for example.

What happens this year will be crucial for Strategy. If we have a bullish year, nothing will happen, but if we enter a crypto winter, the business model will be in jeopardy.

 
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January 11, 2026, 05:21:10 PM
 #67

We couldn't say that this strategy is going bad because... it is still worthing the effort and after many days of price collapsed (and few dips in the past).
Probably the business strategy, that should be based to only a single software, could improve.
In any case, they are the first corporate doing this at this scale and with this pace. If it was so easy and profitable many others would already doing this since a while...
Going bad? Guess that is due to the market going bad too right? But the downfall of the market of Bitcoin is only normal as it always recovers after some time. So instead of calling the strategy bad, it is rather referred to as the DCA method. Although DCA is usually done in small amounts but we don't know, maybe what we seen as reckless from Michael, is still the amounts that he can afford to lose due to his massive wealth.

Investing in Bitcoin is profitable if we know how to secure our Bitcoin and HODL it well but it is not easy as it seems, as the coin is also volatile and then many factors affect it, which can also affect us if we are not strong enough.

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January 11, 2026, 05:37:15 PM
 #68

I would never say its a reckless practice, but its way even smarter than what others are doing. I understand why this suddenly comes out, probably because others have felt envy for Saylor for how fast he was able to accumulate wealth with bitcoin.

This is true; there are people who simply want Saylor's project to fail, without making a rational analysis of it.

More obviously, people always wants to hear a sad story about other person’s investment decisions just so they could get to say, I told you so and feel better of themselves especially when they didn’t make any investment in the field themselves.

Unfortunately for them and fortunately for Micheal Saylor, that’s not the way the business space works.

We have seen too many well-structured mathematical models, with a lot of logic behind them, fail. I remember PlanB's, for example.

What happens this year will be crucial for Strategy. If we have a bullish year, nothing will happen, but if we enter a crypto winter, the business model will be in jeopardy.

These mathematical models do exist and the lots of them are better at explaining an event after it has occurred and not before it does occur. This stresses on the speculative nature of these models which are grossly inaccurate in respect to predicting the market and one can only hope to make informed decisions over time with what we know to be the seasons in Bitcoin which remains bullish and bearish. Regardless of what’s in view, holding for a good number of years would be sure to stay you in profit.

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January 11, 2026, 07:23:25 PM
 #69

It's genius. He basically realized that the root of all evil is central banking, and that the best collateral is bitcoin. So he now extends the fake money's supply while tightening the supply of bitcoin, which makes him get better interest rates to further extend the fake's money supply to further tighten the bitcoin supply, and this process becomes a loop until everyone realizes the fiat scam.

He also acts as a proxy for locked capital (i.e., pension funds) which can't buy bitcoin to self-custody, but can buy MSTR. It's step forward to hyperbitcoinization.

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January 11, 2026, 08:36:23 PM
 #70

His strategy represents a maximum-conviction play. Some see it as visionary, while others view it as reckless.

The real question is:
At what point does a conviction play become reckless? And will Saylor ultimately be proven right or wrong in the near future?

Looking forward to hearing different views.
Those who say Saylor is a failure and sloppy seem to know who's behind it. Right now Saylor is only realizing what he believes in bitcoin and does not see fiat as profitable but this condition will indeed be very difficult to accept because Saylor has a strong enough influence on his followers.

This is actually not much different from those of us who are still buying bitcoin, it's just that why we are not noticed more simply because the ratio and volume of money we spend is not like Saylor who has a greater impact on the movement and focus.
I will still say that until now Saylor's actions are genius because indeed those of us who are in bitcoin will definitely think the same but it will be a little different when interests are disrupted because of Saylor so there will definitely be many people who speak obliquely about what Saylor is doing right now.

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January 11, 2026, 09:13:27 PM
 #71

I would never say its a reckless practice, but its way even smarter than what others are doing. I understand why this suddenly comes out, probably because others have felt envy for Saylor for how fast he was able to accumulate wealth with bitcoin. As long as there is money, everything will turns out possible.

Michael Saylor is just a living proof that bitcoin shouldn't be missed but should be prioritized as much as possible, before all its opportunities will turn out into zero in the future.
What turns reckless is that if Saylor will just watch the progress of bitcoin without riding into it, knowing he got all the means to buy and accumulate as much as he could, just because he's still fearful about what bitcoin can offer in the future.

However, Saylor turns out to be the most unstoppable and shows exceptional positivity for bitcoin, and that's one thing the rest of bitcoin investors cannot do, even if we say they also have the money to keep accumulating bitcoin regardless of its price.

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January 11, 2026, 10:08:29 PM
 #72

The real question is:
At what point does a conviction play become reckless? And will Saylor ultimately be proven right or wrong in the near future?
It's not like they are buying at all times, they do it smartly, like they buy when the market is down, and that is the reason why their average price per bitcoin is still pretty low even though they didn't purchase all their coins at a very low price, this shows the power doing proper DCA. That being said, different people will say different things about what you do, so it's normal, and I'm sure the same people will say something different if Bitcoin reaches $500k in the next bull or in the one after that, because then MicroStrategy and Saylor will be sitting at a very large sum.

We all talk about Bitcoin's long-term potential, so why do we doubt someone's decision of buying and holding for the long-term? They are basically doing what everyone does with Bitcoin, or at least most do, but it's just that they are doing it on a large scale, other than that, their strategy is simple, which is to buy and hold for as long as possible.

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January 12, 2026, 12:46:16 PM
 #73

It doesn't has to be the same for everyone. What works for one might not work the same way for the other.
Saylor has been investing in bitcoin crazily because believes in bitcoin and its working in his favor.
But it might not happen the same way for others besides that we need strong conviction to hold bitcoin during bear markets.
Saylor hasn't sold any bitcoin yet which shows he has the conviction to hold bitcoin.

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