Is the global trading system changing?

[Findingnemo]

One who is in the power always influenced the other countries and their trade deals, US did that in the most part of 20st century until now but now the position is slipping away to China because they got rare earth metals and planned their strategic positions all around the international waters to fight back if needed and also trapping struggling nations with their money to acquire mosr resources.

At worst, it could be an apocalypse just like some movies shown us but this is how it always been in the evolution of power.

[abhiseshakana]

Transition is one word i choose to describe current condition of international society. Clearly fact, world change from single US domination to multipolarity. Now we are on intersection line where old order not enterely disappear but new world order not yet stable. Nation, global elite, individu, institution,NGO try to adapt and survive in these bigger structural change. Crisis and chaos that happened are part of these transition. I think no world smooth transition, its always bloody, uneasy, and full of conflict.

Fast and massive information technology and repeated naration about future chaos make worriness have ground but generalize it as back to law of jungle and as an expected resuld by global elite are less fit. Because the complexity of international relation is real. Every state and non state actor bring its interest with its charateristics and background such as economic, politic, security, ideology even pschology of its leader also have its role to adds troubles. This complexities make global system can not be fully controled even for the strongest 1% population.

On one side exploitation pattern, trap on dependency and uneffective international law that failed when we need protection can be find in daily life but on the other hand we see unpredicted many anomali in these world such as globalization which in the end create fragile dependence supply chain. Free market which threat its originator, or economic sanction which purpose to weaken a country sometimes open new alternative system like alliance or shadow market. Every actor try to make simulation to response these VUCA. Especially global elit, with its think tank make crisis scenario to make crissis mapping, anticipating and minimize its damage effect and take advantages on it. So when crisis and chaos realy come they are the readiset one, can consolidate its power and be the winner and take control. in the other world global elit expert on risk analysis.

[Tinubu]

To be fair we've been living in this type of "dark age" as you call it, for the past ~200-250 years. Basically since the Western Barbarians aka colonizers crawled out of Europe and started colonizing the rest of the world. They've been slaughtering and plundering the world ever since. I posted a handful of major barbarism examples here a while ago: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5551741.0

The only difference today (in the 2020+ years) is that the colonizers empire is reaching its end of line. Their crimes and plunders has caught up with them and they are falling very fast. Knowing that, they don't want to fall so they'll try to prevent it. So their aggression toward more of the world is going to increase. Not to mention that the fights amongst themselves (eg. US aggression toward its clients such as Canada and Greenland).

So we are going to have more dark days ahead as the "bullies" of this world continue losing power and the "bullied" of this world continue gaining more power. Until a World Order is established for the first time after a hundred years.

Sorry but your view is mainly 'black and white'...yes we know colonialism caused a terrible harm, but saying that the last 250 years were all "dark ages" ignores a lot of things...like, the end of Slavery..Colonies had independence.. poverty dropped greatly!! and even medicines were made available and saved a lot of lives...

Also your theory about "Falling empires" has some minor problems...what are your evidence that empires are "Falling very fast"..??. ..what are you really measuring..??  Look around you..the world is becoming more multipolar (having many powers..rather than one)...not falling into chaos....

History really aint easy...it's not just 'good guys vs bad guys' switching roles😊.....real life is more messier...
So my question is..ok you want a new "world order" but how can you be sure it would be any different..??....how do you stop the newly powerful from becoming the new oppressors..??

Thinking in terms of external victims won't help us build something better...

[TheUltraElite]

Who confirmed that the Dark ages have ended? It never ended, what happened is that the strong have been crushing the weak since a long time, just that their method of operation has changed over the years.

The strong will either use their influence or their power to take over the poor and their belongings. Nothing has changed over the years. Rules that have been created to keep this power under control have been bypassed and legal routes are always having nil outcomes.

Just use this to your own advantage of making money from the market and forget about the rest.

[crwth]

I do think that there is a shift in the trading systems. We can see that those in power are definitely more on the right side of negotiating. There seems to be an imbalance now, and no one is trying to be nice.

Maybe as a people, we can lean on the digital trade and e-commerce. Not needing direct help with some of the people in power and there could be those kinds of strategies that could help the people.

[EarnOnVictor]

-Snip-
What do you think? Isn't the future truly chaotic?

What can I say? I see chaos as well, and a scary future if things are left unchecked. Things happened like this before a full blown war, so we are already in a cold war era, where world powers become deafened.

However, the UN that should have helped is a toothless dog that can only talk and show concerns, but there are no actions, or resources for actions. Even if they sanction, they are on their own. Countries have been doing shits in hiding before Russia started it openly and Trump has joined the course. China on the other hand has shown enough restraint, but for how long?

Letting more power loose more than this can't be good for the global stage. May God help us all!

[Satofan44]

What really pisses me off is why every change of ruler always happens with death, destruction, to start a new era.

Uncle Sam's dominance has begun to crumble, his influence in terms of economy is no longer strong, and they today rely on the military as a force to warn other countries and also take their wishes to be achieved, the world that was initiated by them from trade and others they began to betray their own words.

Complete nonsense, you will see what will happen to your country when Uncle Sam stops caring about preserving the world order. Depending on where you live, you will be taken over by China or some other superpower block of the future. Enjoy the consequences of your own stupidity. As they say, be careful what you wish for.  

One who is in the power always influenced the other countries and their trade deals, US did that in the most part of 20st century until now but now the position is slipping away to China because they got rare earth metals and planned their strategic positions all around the international waters to fight back if needed and also trapping struggling nations with their money to acquire mosr resources.

At worst, it could be an apocalypse just like some movies shown us but this is how it always been in the evolution of power.

This has nothing to do with rare earth metals, you need to stop reading news headlines and basing your opinions off of those. The reason for the decline of the power of the USA is very complicated, it can not be narrowed down to a few individual cases. Nevertheless, rare earth metals are not a big issue. They are only a transitory issue because their demand in this quantity was not anticipated, but how could it be? The USA will find other sources for this and then the perceived power vector from this will continue to go down. Furthermore, a scarcity of something pushes the existing consumers of it to innovate and try to develop solutions that do not rely on those things. Sometimes it is not possible, other times we get surprised through innovation.

Who confirmed that the Dark ages have ended? It never ended, what happened is that the strong have been crushing the weak since a long time, just that their method of operation has changed over the years.

The strong will either use their influence or their power to take over the poor and their belongings. Nothing has changed over the years. Rules that have been created to keep this power under control have been bypassed and legal routes are always having nil outcomes.

Just use this to your own advantage of making money from the market and forget about the rest.

Military use has nothing to do with the Dark Ages. You would not be here and able to write on this forum if we had not exited Dark ages. We are in a golden era of technological progress. Forget the internet, without the progresses made in the last 100 years you would have probably died before you have reached this age. I always find it ironic how people complain about the superpowers doing exactly what most people do themselves, just on a much smaller scale because they are weak. Many people are aggressive, many people justify violence, murder and stuff depending on specific cases. If you look at discussions of particularly violent scenarios involving pedophilia, rape and other stuff -- many people are fine with using violent methods on this scale against the perpetrators. Some of the more animalistic and deranged individuals argue even for violent solutions for rude people like me. So, why would it be any different on the global scale which is much more complicated than the small scale that individuals operate on? You get what you truly are.  

[WillyAp]

Not really.
The dedollarization is more about states dealing with states.
Global businesses are just fine using $, €, Yen, BTC, LTC, Dash, USDC among others.   

[bangjoe]

What really pisses me off is why every change of ruler always happens with death, destruction, to start a new era.

Uncle Sam's dominance has begun to crumble, his influence in terms of economy is no longer strong, and they today rely on the military as a force to warn other countries and also take their wishes to be achieved, the world that was initiated by them from trade and others they began to betray their own words.

Complete nonsense, you will see what will happen to your country when Uncle Sam stops caring about preserving the world order. Depending on where you live, you will be taken over by China or some other superpower block of the future. Enjoy the consequences of your own stupidity. As they say, be careful what you wish for.  

Polarization is all the same from antiquity as well, every time has something like this, we see how before world war 1 and world war 2 had their own leaders even before the countries were formed, and when they began to falter there was a rise of other nations that began to exert influence and could not be controlled by those in charge, like now China and Russia, if the early rise after the second world war of China and Russia still obeyed Uncle Sam, they did not have much to do, even almost all countries, so is the future, the probability of history repeating itself is the risk of every era in the transition of leadership.

[Royal Cap]

I think we are actually in a time where the masks are coming off. Before a lot of things went on behind the scenes of rules and diplomacy, now it can no longer be hidden. So everything seems more rough and chaotic. Powerful countries or groups have always looked out for their own interests, only now they are doing it openly. It is scary but it is nothing new. Our problem as humans is that we like to think that the future will always be better. In reality, history keeps turning around. I think the times ahead will be difficult, but not completely dark. In this pressure people find new ways, create new balances.

[wiss19]

it seems to me that the world hasn't changed, but has remained the same; there's just more transparency now. And we all see the dirty methods used to extort money and resources, when some countries talk about peace, but in reality, they simply kidnap other countries' leaders or attack other countries with their powerful military potential

I think the world before is much better than what we have now. I mean there is lesser damage in the environment, lesser crime, etc... but there is still a good change that happened. Like for example in the technology field. Everything is quicker now due to the internet and mobility of internet-capable devices.

There is no decentralized thing as crypto before, so actually, crypto makes things more transparent now, although cryptos are also being attacked by regulation and centralization over time. Crypto has a unique use but it is sad that evil people also use this to get away from their crimes. But that must also be the reason on why regulations are being implemented.

[michellee]

That may happens in the future. I am too scarry to imagine what will happens to my descendants and how they will survive in the hardest situation. But even if international trade become chaotic, I am sure some people can survives and pass that time. They will found out the way how to avoid the chaotic and trade with safe.

Those groups will seeking resources for their groups without carrying others. They will busy with their groups and forcing what they want to others. Even if the dark era comes, that will not last forever. The light will comes and guide people.

[Olatundespo]

These days, we see that those who believe history follows a progressive line are once again mistaken...

These days, we see that international trade in commodities, services and energy is not conducted through international agreements, but rather seems to be carried out through strategies of plunder and pillage reminiscent of the Middle Ages. We seem to be entering a dark era where the strong crush the weak, where the strong impose their own rules rather than universal rules...

When I look at this picture, my concerns about the future increase. I see groups seeking resources for a third world war or trying to secure their own waste and extravagance by plundering other people's resources...

What do you think? Isn't the future truly chaotic?

Historically the capitalist system existed in almost every country. Those who had more muscle power and wealth were respected by everyone and placed at high levels. From that place of respect, those influential people became rulers at some point. They made unjust decisions for their own benefit with their sole power. They increased the level of oppression on those who had placed and respected them in the chair of power and plunder their wealth to become the owner of more wealth.

During the study you will see in the review of past history that currently developed countries have ruled over poor countries and have built mountains of wealth in their own countries by stealing the valuable resources of those countries. They have left the country in the face of resistance from the people of those poor countries, but their influence still exists in those countries. This system is still in operation around the world.

Powerful countries directly install rulers of their choice in poor or underdeveloped countries and plunder their wealth through them. Due to sole dominance and abuse of power, the future world order is heading towards extreme disorganization.

[Oluwa-btc]

These days, we see that those who believe history follows a progressive line are once again mistaken...

These days, we see that international trade in commodities, services and energy is not conducted through international agreements, but rather seems to be carried out through strategies of plunder and pillage reminiscent of the Middle Ages. We seem to be entering a dark era where the strong crush the weak, where the strong impose their own rules rather than universal rules...

When I look at this picture, my concerns about the future increase. I see groups seeking resources for a third world war or trying to secure their own waste and extravagance by plundering other people's resources...

What do you think? Isn't the future truly chaotic?

It's okay for the future to look chaotic and skeptical,but the global trading system is changing, in structure, practices, and geopolitical balance.But it’s not disappearing,it's a sign of expansion,the system is evolving into a more complex and advanced system that requires new approaches and cooperation amongst other nations.

[Jateng]

I also think so. To be honest, world trade is under a lot of threat today. The conditions that the world powers impose on developing countries these days are moral conditions or immoral. And if the countries do not accept their conditions, various sanctions and plundering, that is, forcibly confiscating their resources, are becoming a normal thing nowadays. In the future, a situation will arise where poor countries will be crushed under the feet of rich countries. But I think their arrogance will not last long. Small countries will take preventive measures. When the weak countries unite, the rich countries will be forced to step back from injustice.

trade will be crucial in the future, as the mode of world is no longer by money alone but it shifted on beyond of it.  strong countries increasingly use their influence over weaker nations. The world is going to be move on wars not for independence but for control over resources. the global trading system is changing every day and witnessing different kinds of threats, some related to oil, some to technology and others to strategic assets like seaports. Due to this uncertainty and instability many countries are seriously considering promoting their domestic industries and reducing dependence on foreign trade. Excessive reliance on trade often forces weaker nations to follow the strict policies imposed by powerful countries.

[Cheema02]

One who is in the power always influenced the other countries and their trade deals, US did that in the most part of 20st century until now but now the position is slipping away to China because they got rare earth metals and planned their strategic positions all around the international waters to fight back if needed and also trapping struggling nations with their money to acquire mosr resources.

At worst, it could be an apocalypse just like some movies shown us but this is how it always been in the evolution of power.

Your point is very realistic and its true that many countries influenced from powerful countries in trade and in politics. In present time United States controlled the world through trade system and military power and considered as  the most powerful country of 20th century. But now we observed that this status is gradually shifted towards China. The reason is that China is highly ficousing on infrastructure, investing in port's and secure minerals through out the world. This is done by chine through giving loans to struggling countries and its does not mean that the world will collapse like we seen in movies. But actually there should be multipolar system where power is shared by multiple countries instead of a single dominant country.

[gunhell16]

These days, we see that those who believe history follows a progressive line are once again mistaken...

These days, we see that international trade in commodities, services and energy is not conducted through international agreements, but rather seems to be carried out through strategies of plunder and pillage reminiscent of the Middle Ages. We seem to be entering a dark era where the strong crush the weak, where the strong impose their own rules rather than universal rules...

Is this related to the arrest of the Venezuelan president by the United States? Because we know that the trend is likely to be more towards the strong crushing the weak. Government systems built without strong power often suffer, especially if the country produces the largest natural resources. We are in a darker era where the strong will attack the weak, as international law should act fairly in every matter.

Power, geopolitics and influence are the basis for why one country after another is seizing power that may not belong to them. This reminds us of a dark era where injustice regarding legal certainty was held by those with power and ultimately the weak became victims.

I believe the majority of countries are aware that the steps taken by the US violate international law. This only shows that the US president does not know how to follow international rules and regulations.

Most people also know that the US president did this because of his interest in oil, which is Venezuela's primary resource. In my opinion,
it's highly likely that the topic the OP posted is connected to these events.

[Bluedrem]

trade will be crucial in the future, as the mode of world is no longer by money alone but it shifted on beyond of it.  strong countries increasingly use their influence over weaker nations. The world is going to be move on wars not for independence but for control over resources. the global trading system is changing every day and witnessing different kinds of threats, some related to oil, some to technology and others to strategic assets like seaports. Due to this uncertainty and instability many countries are seriously considering promoting their domestic industries and reducing dependence on foreign trade. Excessive reliance on trade often forces weaker nations to follow the strict policies imposed by powerful countries.

When a country directly intervenes in another country, the victim country naturally faces various problems. Especially if the intervening country is a superpower and treats the intervened country in a hostile manner, the matter becomes more difficult. In current world politics, trade sanctions have become a routine matter. Big countries impose various types of sanctions at different times to put pressure on small countries so that other small countries respect them and later accept any of their demands. To be honest, if this continues, world politics will fall into an unstable situation and the economies of countries and all other areas will lose balance, which is never desirable.

[karabiber]

We had already entered a dark period after the September 11 attacks, and the world had transitioned into a different era. However, periods where the powerful oppressed the powerless have always existed. This situation is not unique to this era. It's just that in this era, this oppressive superiority is being openly applied to powerless countries. Habits left over from times of exploitation continue in the modern world.

[HONDACD125]

Isn't the future truly chaotic? Do you think the present time is good? There is war, terrorism, and corruption in almost every country except a few. There are millions of people who are always hungry because they don't have anything to eat and no source of income or even any opportunity to work, and on the other hand, there are people who are rich, some are extremely rich, and they are getting richer over time because they have money that they use to grow their wealth. So, there is nothing non-chaotic not happening in the world right now, peace is a joke almost everywhere, economies are unstable, etc.

You are talking about changes in international trades, but if we look around, everything has changed. The world didn't use to be like this in the past, things were better, economies, the level of inflation, peace, everything used to be at moderate levels and some didn't even exist, but now, you can't see the news or surf the internet without some tragic news, which is proof about how chaotic the world has become these days. So, we could say that the future will be more chaotic, but we should acknowledge that the world has already become a sh**hole to live in.