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January 09, 2026, 07:03:45 AM |
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Once all supply is released (circulating supply = 200 trillion), price growth would depend entirely on demand outpacing any remaining deflation from burns (via network usage). Reaching $0.01 would require a fully diluted market cap of $2 trillion (0.01 × 200 trillion tokens). For context, that's roughly the size of the entire cryptocurrency market today or Apple's market cap. Exceeding $0.01 would push it even higher, say to $3-4 trillion or more. Theoretically, this is possible through basic market dynamics—fixed supply + rising demand = price increase—but it would require explosive, sustained growth. Here's a step-by-step explanation of what would need to happen:
Demand Drivers from Utility and Adoption: Qubic's core value is in decentralizing AI computations. If it becomes the dominant platform for AI training (e.g., via partnerships with tech giants like NVIDIA, Google, or AI firms), demand for QUBIC could skyrocket. Users would need to burn tokens for AI tasks, reducing effective supply further and creating upward price pressure. Expansion of ecosystem features: Roadmap items like enhanced smart contract capabilities, DeFi integrations, or real-world AI applications (e.g., predictive modeling for industries) could attract developers and users. If Qubic captures even a fraction of the growing AI market (projected to hit trillions globally by 2030), token usage—and thus burns—could accelerate. Network effects: More computors (validators) joining for rewards, leading to faster, more secure AI processing, which draws more projects.
Deflationary Pressure Post-Full Release: With no new emissions, the only supply change comes from burns. High network activity (e.g., millions of daily AI computations) could burn billions of QUBIC weekly, effectively reducing circulating supply over time. This scarcity, combined with fixed max supply, amplifies price gains from demand. Historical parallels: Tokens like Bitcoin have seen massive appreciation post-halvings due to reduced inflation. Qubic's multi-year halving schedule could mimic this, building hype and FOMO (fear of missing out) as supply tightens.
Market and External Factors: Speculation and Listings: Major exchange listings (e.g., Binance, Coinbase) could boost liquidity and visibility, drawing institutional investors. Community sentiment (e.g., from Reddit or X discussions) often fuels rallies; some enthusiasts predict $0.001-$0.01 by 2030-2035 if AI hype continues. Broader Crypto Bull Market: If the total crypto market cap grows to $10-20 trillion (possible with mainstream adoption), Qubic capturing 10-20% share via AI dominance could justify a $2+ trillion valuation. Regulatory and Tech Wins: Favorable regulations for AI/blockchain, or breakthroughs like outperforming competitors (e.g., via 51% attacks on other chains for publicity, as seen with Monero), could trigger parabolic growth. Economic Math: Starting from today's ~$90M market cap, reaching $2T requires about 22,000x growth. This isn't unprecedented (e.g., early Bitcoin or Ethereum), but it would need compounding annual returns of 200-300% for several years, driven by the above.
In summary.... Qubic's price could surge to $0.01+ if it achieves mass AI adoption, high burn rates from utility, and favorable market conditions—turning it into a trillion-dollar ecosystem. Monitor halvings, usage metrics, and AI integrations for signs of progress.
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