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Author Topic: Unlock tokens' impact on Altcoin  (Read 64 times)
abaeze (OP)
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January 19, 2026, 08:05:18 AM
 #1

Is it a warning through news or a sign of something else?

Ton's $132M token unlock enough to turn the altcoin red market

Most crypto projects do not have all their coins on the market at the beginning. But a large part is mainly in the hands of VCs, teams, private investors, foundations. Who can play a role in controlling the price by increasing the supply at any time. Therefore, for ordinary investors like me to hear the word 'Unlock' of a project means the fear of a price drop and the thought of immediate investors selling makes the market unstable.


Token unlock is a traditional rule in the crypto ecosystem and through this, tokens spread in the market. But when new coins or tokens are unlocked, the supply suddenly increases and most of the time VCs/investors sell tokens, resulting in unlock driven sell pressure and many good projects gradually become investor drains. So is this a perfect plan to turn the market red or is it just temporary investor fear or nervousness.

programmer3666
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January 19, 2026, 04:17:43 PM
 #2

Generally, token unlocks sparks deep fear in the market because of the sudden increase in supply that will flood the system and it normally triggers the big holders of the token to sell off and take some profits, which in turn creates pressure on the token and it eventually dips down the price, it doesn't even matter if the coin or token has strong utilities or not, I mean grass token is a perfect example of such situation.

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January 19, 2026, 05:29:41 PM
 #3

That's not that much if it's about $132M but it can create a domino impact to the whole market. But I wouldn't exaggerate to say that it's enough to turn the market red. It might be temporarily. But don't so be negative about that but these token unlocks really have some effect after it happens. We'll never know until we see how the market will react after TON has already unlocked those tokens. We've got few days left to see how the market will turn either red or green by that time.

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Stablexcoin
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January 19, 2026, 08:21:51 PM
 #4

That's not that much if it's about $132M but it can create a domino impact to the whole market. But I wouldn't exaggerate to say that it's enough to turn the market red. It might be temporarily. But don't so be negative about that but these token unlocks really have some effect after it happens. We'll never know until we see how the market will react after TON has already unlocked those tokens. We've got few days left to see how the market will turn either red or green by that time.
You can say so for TON, token unlock usually frighten investors holding the particular token. Those who are holding for a short term will be pushed to sell before the unlock, in case the market goes to the red, during unlock there is no way that the price of the altcoin will increase, there is a good reason to be worried for the unlock, who knows what will happen, if the altcoin is good, they will surely return back positively.

justinlamode
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January 19, 2026, 08:58:25 PM
 #5

Generally, token unlocks sparks deep fear in the market because of the sudden increase in supply that will flood the system and it normally triggers the big holders of the token to sell off and take some profits, which in turn creates pressure on the token and it eventually dips down the price, it doesn't even matter if the coin or token has strong utilities or not, I mean grass token is a perfect example of such situation.
This is the reason I don't like projects where a large part of the token is in the hands of the VCs or few individuals, they can be overtaken by great and they will crash the market. Remember that they just allocated those token to themselves, it will not cost them anything to dump them whenever they are unlocked. Many small projects hardly survive token unlock because the core teams that have those large allocations end up dumping the token after collecting enough money from the TGE.

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January 19, 2026, 11:14:11 PM
 #6

Well, it really depends on which allocation is being unlocked. From what I’ve seen in the market, when a token unlock event is approaching, the price often goes up first and then drops around the actual unlock date. In the end some unlocks don’t affect the price at all because it’s crucial to understand which allocation is being released. Teams know that flooding the market with newly unlocked supply would create FUD and push the price down even further. That’s why most projects don’t sell everything immediately after an unlock unless the funds are genuinely needed for project development.

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January 20, 2026, 04:26:08 PM
 #7

Any amount of money that you think you can make from new altcoins with crazy unlocks can be made from altcoins that already have all its tokens available to the public, do not fall in love with new altcoins, even if they have something new to offer wait them out, let the unlocks comes to near end.

There will be bear market and these type of altcoins with crazy unlocks will bleed even more, I'd say wait it out and let the unlock be a thing of the past before buying, it is also not a must as there are so many good altcoins with 100% token unlocked.
passwordnow
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January 20, 2026, 10:26:45 PM
 #8

That's not that much if it's about $132M but it can create a domino impact to the whole market. But I wouldn't exaggerate to say that it's enough to turn the market red. It might be temporarily. But don't so be negative about that but these token unlocks really have some effect after it happens. We'll never know until we see how the market will react after TON has already unlocked those tokens. We've got few days left to see how the market will turn either red or green by that time.
You can say so for TON, token unlock usually frighten investors holding the particular token. Those who are holding for a short term will be pushed to sell before the unlock, in case the market goes to the red, during unlock there is no way that the price of the altcoin will increase, there is a good reason to be worried for the unlock, who knows what will happen, if the altcoin is good, they will surely return back positively.
That is the effect of it, many supply will be released to the market and that's why before it happens the holders that are longing to take some profits will have to sell. Because if they're not going to sell, the price will go down once the token unlock is done. They know how to react from it and that's the reason they need to do something if they are concerned of the fluctuation that can happen from holding it. Because if not, they'll just have to accept it that the value will decrease from that event.

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