In this "war", I believe it will be a temporary alliance between the Miners, the Economic Majority, and the Core Developers even if the Knots community had 90% of the full nodes. If the chain splits again, which one would the market consider to be "Bitcoin"? The network supported by the Miners, Exchanges/Services, and the Core Developers OR the network with Luke and his filterbois?
Knots will probably only get the majority if they invest tons of money into VPSes. I would not rule out that, as a lot of the 5000 nodes they're currently running are probably VPS nodes bought temporarily. On Reddit some of them admitted to have spawned lots of nodes just to simulate a "massive" movement.
But currently the Knots nodes number is already falling again. It was at
near 5300, now its at 5100. There are now
5% "BWP[1] 110 ready" nodes (i.e. Knots nodes with the latest version). Which is lower than I expected, perhaps they are taking their time with their Knots upgrade.
Important: Even if this "TheBitcoinPortal" website (which seems to be heavily affiliated with the Knotsies, judging by the "Spam crisis" banner and their appropiation of the BIP acronym) tries to tell you that BWP-110 is not Knots-only and Knots is only the "Primary Implementation" - it is the
only implementation that supports it. 1216 of the 1216 BWP-110 nodes are Knots. There is not a single patched Core for example ...
Really makes me remember the Blocksize wars, when BCashies tried desperately to call their fork "Bitcoin" ...
Edit:
I'm asking myself if BWP-110 and similar "confiscation" proposals could be considered theft. (please discuss in the other thread)
[1] Bitcoin Worsening Proposal or even better: BLukeCash Wrecking Proposal
