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Author Topic: 2026 Elliott Wave  (Read 378 times)
xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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January 31, 2026, 04:41:06 PM
 #1

2026 Elliott Wave


Speculatively forecasting the price of Bitcoin via subjectively using the Elliott Wave principle.

Analysis is conjecture with sporadic fortnightly to monthly updates.

Previous thread: 2025 Elliott Wave
 
xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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January 31, 2026, 04:42:14 PM
Merited by d5000 (3)
 #2

BTC/USD



xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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January 31, 2026, 04:44:24 PM
 #3

ETH/USD

xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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January 31, 2026, 04:45:02 PM
 #4

SOL/USD

xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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January 31, 2026, 04:46:39 PM
 #5

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE 30



xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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January 31, 2026, 04:47:33 PM
 #6

GOLD



xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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February 07, 2026, 03:12:09 PM
Merited by d5000 (2)
 #7

kunt3p3r
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February 08, 2026, 01:53:47 PM
 #8

Thx for counts  Wink
Tzupy
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February 10, 2026, 01:04:02 AM
 #9



While I agree that your count is plausible, I am considering another one as more probable. If your count is correct, we won't reach 84k, before making a lower low (THE bottom) at the beginning of March.
If my probable count is correct, we'll reach about 84k at the beginning of March, and then won't make a lower low for some time, but eventually go much lower (from a larger bear flag).
Frankly, I would like to see your count become true, because mine would be quite boring...

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
josegines
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February 23, 2026, 06:55:34 AM
 #10

You've spent a year insisting on the bearish scenario with the irregular flat.
Finally, a year later, you have a bullish alternative count.

What I don't understand is why, for a year now, you haven't considered both scenarios, bearish and bullish. Huh

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5485551.msg64106795#msg64106795

Have said since NOV/DEC 2024 that beyond $114,000 would suggest an elimination of the B-wave bearish scenarios...

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5485551.msg64799443#msg64799443

It's curious, for so many months you maintained the irregular flat trend, which would be discarded above $114k.

And it just barely surpassed that level to begin a major correction, currently down 50%.

What strikes me is that right after breaking through that famous $114k level, the price hit a ceiling.

Have you discarded the irregular flat trend you proposed back then, ending at $60k?

That could be exactly what the price has done, and what you drew over a year ago.
xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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February 23, 2026, 03:48:44 PM
 #11

It's curious, for so many months you maintained the irregular flat trend, which would be discarded above $114k.

And it just barely surpassed that level to begin a major correction, currently down 50%.

What strikes me is that right after breaking through that famous $114k level, the price hit a ceiling.

Have you discarded the irregular flat trend you proposed back then, ending at $60k?

That could be exactly what the price has done, and what you drew over a year ago.

Yes, the Irregular Flat has been abandoned, even though the outcome of a 50% correction has been the same.
amongusfree
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March 07, 2026, 08:56:38 AM
 #12

2026 Elliott Wave


Speculatively forecasting the price of Bitcoin via subjectively using the Elliott Wave principle.

Analysis is conjecture with sporadic fortnightly to monthly updates.

Previous thread: 2025 Elliott Wave Among Us
 
All analysis presented is conjectural and subjective, based on personal interpretation of wave structures and market psychology.
kunt3p3r
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April 10, 2026, 09:46:49 AM
 #13

Have we finished the correction or is this still a complex correction?  Undecided
xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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April 10, 2026, 10:21:59 AM
 #14

Have we finished the correction or is this still a complex correction?  Undecided

A weekly close above the 17-MAR-2026 high of $76,000 would begin to suggest the correction is finished...

kunt3p3r
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April 10, 2026, 04:59:34 PM
 #15

Have we finished the correction or is this still a complex correction?  Undecided

A weekly close above the 17-MAR-2026 high of $76,000 would begin to suggest the correction is finished...

https://12345abcdewxyz.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/20260410-btcusdt.png

My stop level is that high  Cheesy thanks for answer  Cool
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April 18, 2026, 05:12:25 AM
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josegines
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April 18, 2026, 09:51:34 AM
 #17

Have we finished the correction or is this still a complex correction?  Undecided

A weekly close above the 17-MAR-2026 high of $76,000 would begin to suggest the correction is finished...



The week isn't over yet, do you take Friday's close, or do you anticipate a close above $76,000?
xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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April 18, 2026, 02:48:58 PM
 #18

The week isn't over yet, do you take Friday's close, or do you anticipate a close above $76,000?

Anticipation: given equity markets have reached new all-time highs.
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April 18, 2026, 05:57:37 PM
 #19

The week isn't over yet, do you take Friday's close, or do you anticipate a close above $76,000?

Anticipation: given equity markets have reached new all-time highs.

True, the S&P 500 is at all-time highs while BTC is down 40%. Quite a difference.

We can assume that BTC will catch up at some point, or that BTC is ahead of the bear market.

I hope it's the first option Roll Eyes
kunt3p3r
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April 19, 2026, 07:19:09 PM
 #20

https://ibb.co/FkXqkVwg

i dont usually tag wxyxz but this run looks suspicious until breaking that high imo

Especially inside of z looks like an abc  Huh
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