BTC Sentiment Poll for February

[Ishicryptic]

The market ended 2025 with negative growth, and in the first month of 2026, bitcoin also fell by more than 10% according to Coinglass. In addition, the macroeconomic situation does not seem to have improved  and there is still much instability. Therefore, while I do not expect Bitcoin to continue falling, it is difficult to be optimistic that it will grow this month.

Like everyone else, I also voted for "red" However, I have also seen some people predicting a Bitcoin recovery this month, and I hope they are right. I'm wrong.

Most of us hope for a recovery because it gives positive vibes in the market but if the reality of what we're currently experiencing is anything to go by I won't put my money on Bitcoin rallying to give the green light in this month. Something has to propel a shift from how the market is positioned right now like a global positive news if not the red might get hotter by plunging to $70k and bellow. This is not my wishful prediction for February, but I don't control the market. I've prepared my mind that we're already in bear run, but don't take it too seriously this is a sentiment thread and we're free to express however we want. February, will speak for itself by the time it ends.

[Just Say]

The monthly polls are back after skipping January as I already said a month or so ago.  

Anyway, just by looking at the monthly chart, I don't think BTC has had 4 red monthly candles in a row before.  So I'm thinking 5 red monthly candles should be very unlikely right..?  

But what do you guys think?  Will Feb end in the green or in the red?

The Bitcoin market in January was moving in a good direction and many thought that the market might not be able to enter the highs. However, the volatility that the Bitcoin price has seen in February really shows the beginning of a bear market. We have seen the market enter $74k, although I can already see the market going up again and the candles have green candles. However, at this early stage of the market, it seems that we may not be able to go higher anymore and the market may move towards a recession. I think the Bitcoin price will probably end in February with a red candle because according to the market situation, it seems that the market will go down.

Yes, the volatility in the Bitcoin price in February really does indicate the beginning of a bear market because the market candlestick is not green, we can see that the price of Bitcoin is currently in a downward trend. Even after April 2025, we saw the price of BTC drop below $80K this February. I think the value of this currency is falling dramatically due to US-backed leadership in Venezuela and various geopolitical fears even looking at Bitcoin's movements this weekend, it seems that Bitcoin's rise may be failing this February. It is also important for all of us to know none of the millions of dollars in BTC purchases by Bitcoin whales and the passage of various bills related to Bitcoin have been able to restore bullish momentum.

[boyptc]

But what do you guys think?  Will Feb end in the green or in the red?

Aside from the actual red that we're seeing right now. I think another factor why the market will be red for this month is because of the Chinese New Year.

Most chinese people who hold Bitcoin might sell for the celebration of it and that's going to create a selling pressure that will make the demand of it higher in result of decrease in price.

So, it's going to sum up with all of the factors that will make it red. Bear market, chinese new year and geopolitics as of February this year.

[WatChe]

Yes, the volatility in the Bitcoin price in February really does indicate the beginning of a bear market because the market candlestick is not green, we can see that the price of Bitcoin is currently in a downward trend. Did you know that after April 2025, we saw the price of Bitcoin drop below $80K this February? I think the value of this currency is falling dramatically due to US-backed leadership in Venezuela and various geopolitical fears even looking at Bitcoin's movements this weekend, it seems that Bitcoin's rise may be failing this February. It is also important to note that the combination of Bitcoin whales buying BTC with dollars and passing various bills on Bitcoin has not restored any bullish momentum.

In April 2025, Bitcoin price went down below 80k after president Trump announced 100% tariff for China. Soon after that Bitcoin price went up and made it to its ATH of 126k. Then came Oct 10, 2025 and once again President Trump announced 100% tariff for Chinese product. Now Bitcoin price is once again under 80k and its not clear where Bitcoin price will move from here. These days gold and silver prices are also going up and that is also a reason why investors are not interested in Bitcoin rather in precious metals.

[colinistheman]

But what do you guys think?  Will Feb end in the green or in the red?

Aside from the actual red that we're seeing right now. I think another factor why the market will be red for this month is because of the Chinese New Year.

Most chinese people who hold Bitcoin might sell for the celebration of it and that's going to create a selling pressure that will make the demand of it higher in result of decrease in price.

So, it's going to sum up with all of the factors that will make it red. Bear market, chinese new year and geopolitics as of February this year.

Yes, China and several other Asian countries are preparing to celebrate Lunar New Year, their traditional festival. This is also a factor, but I think the impact is negligible. The primary cause remains geopolitical instability, and  it is not difficult to recognize this as gold and silver continue to rise after a few days of correction. Clearly, the world is very unstable and investors are fleeing risky assets to protect their money.

Therefore, the likelihood of Bitcoin recovering this month is very low.

[m2017]

Anyway, just by looking at the monthly chart, I don't think BTC has had 4 red monthly candles in a row before.  So I'm thinking 5 red monthly candles should be very unlikely right..?  

So, you're expecting Feb to be green, right? That's possible, but I expect it to be short-lived, followed by a price decline. It's unreasonable to expect a bull run in the current situation.

But what do you guys think?  Will Feb end in the green or in the red?

Let's think about this, since we're talking specifically about Feb. Bitcoin can't move linearly, so given that we've been seeing mostly declines lately, I can predict a green around the end of Feb - a temporary rebound for respite, but followed by a decline due to bearish pressure.

I'll vote green.

[Darker45]

Bitcoin had not only 4 red monthly candles in a row before, it had more. There were even 5 consecutive red months in the past, so if this month ends in red, it wouldn't be the first time. As a matter of fact, there were even 6 successive months of red. So, even if March closes in red too, we shouldn't be surprised, either.

I'm looking at a red February. We're still less than 40% down from the ATH. There's still a lot of room below. But I'd say let it come! Let everybody enjoy the sale season!

[Ayers]

Bitcoin had not only 4 red monthly candles in a row before, it had more. There were even 5 consecutive red months in the past, so if this month ends in red, it wouldn't be the first time. As a matter of fact, there were even 6 successive months of red. So, even if March closes in red too, we shouldn't be surprised, either.

If I remember correctly, Bitcoin once had a streak of 7 consecutive green candles during the bull market in 2025. Therefore, we should not be surprised if it has 7 consecutive red candles in a bear market

I'm looking at a red February. We're still less than 40% down from the ATH. There's still a lot of room below. But I'd say let it come! Let everybody enjoy the sale season!

There was a time when bitcoin fell below $73k and if the ATH is $126k, bitcoin has fallen by about 40%. However, I agree that the bear market has only just begun and there is still plenty of room for decline.  And this is clearly an opportunity we should seize because it only happens once every 4 year. So instead of panicking, take advantage of this rare opportunity.

[pooya87]

With the way things are going with the global geopolitical tensions and the way US regime keeps destabilizing the world, I don't think bitcoin can catch a breath anytime soon. We are going to continue to see more sell pressure and with gold pumping up hard (heading toward $6k by the end of year) we may see more capital fleeing the market to pump gold instead...

However with the silly things going on in the US with interest rates, if they start cutting it can ease the worsening recession in the US and let the inflation go up and reach its realistic values, then it can be a positive force that helps bitcoin rise up.
The possibility of this has gone up with the new changes in FED.

[tokeweed]

How about you?  What have you been doing lately?

I have not reached my target in terms of bitcoin held in my private wallet, so this period of price drop is a golden opportunity for me to get more cheap coins, so I have been doing that religiously. I don't know when the price will rise but since I'm not a short term investor, I'm good with the drop in price.

Lol I wasn't talking to you.  Was replying to buwaytress.  He and I go a few years back here at BCT. 

Anyway, just by looking at the monthly chart, I don't think BTC has had 4 red monthly candles in a row before.  So I'm thinking 5 red monthly candles should be very unlikely right..? 

So, you're expecting Feb to be green, right? That's possible, but I expect it to be short-lived, followed by a price decline. It's unreasonable to expect a bull run in the current situation.

But what do you guys think?  Will Feb end in the green or in the red?

Let's think about this, since we're talking specifically about Feb. Bitcoin can't move linearly, so given that we've been seeing mostly declines lately, I can predict a green around the end of Feb - a temporary rebound for respite, but followed by a decline due to bearish pressure.

I'll vote green.

It's not that I'm saying it's highly likely that Feb is gonna be green and that we're back to bull mode after this.  Just saying that since we haven't seen BTC go with 4 red monthly candles in a row them it's prolly unlikely that we'll see 5 monthly candles in a row...

I know it's dumb but you know what I mean.    And yeah, expecting BTC to go lower.  Hopefully not too low.

Stay safe out there guys.

[dwyane36]

Bitcoin had not only 4 red monthly candles in a row before, it had more. There were even 5 consecutive red months in the past, so if this month ends in red, it wouldn't be the first time. As a matter of fact, there were even 6 successive months of red. So, even if March closes in red too, we shouldn't be surprised, either.

If I remember correctly, Bitcoin once had a streak of 7 consecutive green candles during the bull market in 2025. Therefore, we should not be surprised if it has 7 consecutive red candles in a bear market

If we're talking about a monthly timeframe, then no, there weren't seven green candles in a row in 2025. The last time something like this happened on the market was at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024.
Overall, yes, there is a possibility that the current bearish trend could have the same number of red candles in a row. In this case, we should expect the bearish trend to end no earlier than April and the BTC price to fall below $60k. To be honest, it would be nice not to see such a scenario.

[Agbamoni]

Does it mean that people no longer trust the market in the short term because the voters mainly choose red? We can't hide from the truth, Bitcoin is still affected by everything that is happening around it. It does not tend to recover, nor go up at this point. We should be careful we dont see it fall below the ATL.

We need to be ready for what is coming. The global political effect will continue to affect Bitcoin too bad it has become a norm these days, and nothing can change it. Good thing it can be for long time, only in the meantime.

[obuoma]

Does it mean that people no longer trust the market in the short term because the voters mainly choose red? We can't hide from the truth, Bitcoin is still affected by everything that is happening around it. It does not tend to recover, nor go up at this point. We should be careful we dont see it fall below the ATL.

We need to be ready for what is coming. The global political effect will continue to affect Bitcoin too bad it has become a norm these days, and nothing can change it. Good thing it can be for long time, only in the meantime.

I don't think it is a thing of trusting the market rather it is a thing of facing the realty. The momentum with which the market is dropping is high and it takes a miracle for market to reverse suddenly and turn green with such momentum. Whenever the market wants to reverse, it will first enter into consolidation that will last for at least a week or few weeks before the rise will begin and this will not be completed this month. So this month is generally bearish for me and a month for some good buying opportunities.

[buwaytress]

^  Yeah..  BTC is due for a green month even if an underwhelming one.  The bears can't win 'em all.   

Hey tokeweed, long time. With no other reason than the general doom-and-gloom sentiments I'm getting from work and MSM, I'm thinking there's a bit more pain this month. The push toward 100k in January took me by surprise but I think that just served to exhaust the bulls a little and they're going to knuckle down this month.

P.S. You not gambling anymore? Just trading?

Hey man, how's it going?  And yes, I still make bets here and there if I see some decent spots.  Mostly in the UFC, some EPL and forcing some bets in F1.  Lol.

But yeah, mostly trading at Hyperliquid and airdrop hunting.  Waiting for this one protocol to go online to farm.    Feeling the airdrop is gonna be good...  And I guess also waiting for everything to bottom out so I could go all in BTC.  It's gonna be allowed to be used as collateral at Hyperliquid this year together with HYPE.

How about you?  What have you been doing lately?

Going well here, chugging along. Could be much, much better and I hope 2026 turns things around for me and for Bitcoin, but I can imagine hundreds of scenarios far worse, so can't complain if am being frank.

Betting's not so heavy for me these days but always keeping busy in the pool. Can't believe people are still looking for the next big thing but good luck to you, stay safe and keep using Bitcoin

[adultcrypto]

I have not reached my target in terms of bitcoin held in my private wallet, so this period of price drop is a golden opportunity for me to get more cheap coins, so I have been doing that religiously. I don't know when the price will rise but since I'm not a short term investor, I'm good with the drop in price.

Lol I wasn't talking to you.  Was replying to buwaytress.  He and I go a few years back here at BCT. 

Oh pardon me, I never knew you were specifically referring to him. Without quoting you, my comment would have still be valid for the topic under discussion because that is my opinion. Just that I didn't give explicit answer if I consider this month green or red and if I want to answer that, I will go for a red beginning and a green at the end which in general means that I see price going higher than the opening price of this month.

[Nathrixxx]

BTC is going more bearish and can't be resisted from going further and this is looking more obvious that we may have the market fall below $70,000 if care is not taken, because there have always been an indication that the market is going to fall the more than rising, tr indications already shows that, also, the resistance to pump the market is high, we are not having a strong support any longer as the fall may still continue further anytime from now.

[aylabadia05]

Anyway, just by looking at the monthly chart, I don't think BTC has had 4 red monthly candles in a row before.  So I'm thinking 5 red monthly candles should be very unlikely right..?  

But what do you guys think?  Will Feb end in the green or in the red?

February is looking more like a red month. There's no doubt in my mind that February will be red, even though the market is trying to push prices back above $80k. But over the past three days, I've noticed that the market reaction has been more dominated by selling.
For some people, this is a bad situation, but not for me. This is the right time to buy and hold because the Bitcoin I will get is not like usual with the money I have allocated.
I am not acting as a trader but as someone who chooses to hold on to the Bitcoin I have obtained.

[_BlackStar]

-snip-

February is looking more like a red month. There's no doubt in my mind that February will be red, even though the market is trying to push prices back above $80k. But over the past three days, I've noticed that the market reaction has been more dominated by selling.

Of course - that's because prices tend to go down.
High selling pressure is making it difficult for the market to recover – but this is not surprising, as some investors have lost patience with expecting greater returns in 2026 and are choosing to sell rather than hold onto their investments.

For some people, this is a bad situation, but not for me. This is the right time to buy and hold because the Bitcoin I will get is not like usual with the money I have allocated.
I am not acting as a trader but as someone who chooses to hold on to the Bitcoin I have obtained.

It's up to them whether they want to hold, accumulate, or sell it – but of course you still need to focus on accumulating given your investment plan. Bitcoin will continue to provide long-term profits for its investors ^[holders] – so you shouldn't lose motivation to accumulate it as long as you have the budget. The current market conditions are something that those who are accumulating assets have been waiting for – there's no need to panic, long-term holders know what they are expecting.

[aylabadia05]

February is looking more like a red month. There's no doubt in my mind that February will be red, even though the market is trying to push prices back above $80k. But over the past three days, I've noticed that the market reaction has been more dominated by selling.

Of course - that's because prices tend to go down.
High selling pressure is making it difficult for the market to recover – but this is not surprising, as some investors have lost patience with expecting greater returns in 2026 and are choosing to sell rather than hold onto their investments.

I actually think that if they are selling because they can no longer contain their impatience, why didn't they do it when the market price for Bitcoin was high, or at $100k or above, which has happened before? The profits they would have made from selling then would have been greater than the profits they are making from selling now.

They could have sold around 50% of their total Bitcoin holdings. The profits could have been redirected to other assets, such as gold, and the profits from gold could have provided them with additional returns by reinvesting.
How do you assess this? Or am I the one who fails to understand?

[Moreno233]

February is looking more like a red month. There's no doubt in my mind that February will be red, even though the market is trying to push prices back above $80k. But over the past three days, I've noticed that the market reaction has been more dominated by selling.

Bitcoin inability to create a new ATH in the last quarter of last year created so much doubts and uncertainty in the mind of investors and holders. Following the prevailing market cycle, Bitcoin was supposed to peak then but it failed and instead dropped below $100k and have refused to go close to that big figure. This was all the signals people needed to conclude that 2026 was not going to be a great year for Bitcoin. Despite the fake moves that greeted this new year, massive liquidation was inevitable and behold we have seen it happen. The recoveries of the market will not be this quarter, maybe sometime in the year but for now, let's endure the reds which will characterize this month and few months to come.