Is "altseason" dead? Just my thoughts

[obuoma]

The altseason usually follow Bitcoin bull market from what I have read. Based on that, we cannot expect altseason since Bitcoin is rather in serious crises now, losing over 50% of its price from the ATH. That is a major crash in price that will not be recovered easily. Hence the idea of altseason now is a dead matter. When we see Bitcoin enjoy clean bull season, then we can expect altseason to follow.

[Rengga Jati]

let's compare it to the current situation, or the altcoin condition during the 2025 bull run.
Bitcoin's dominance remains significantly higher to date, while seasonal altcoins have never been more dominant during this bull run. Most altcoins haven't experienced greater growth than BTC, and the total index of the top coins hasn't shown an increase exceeding the previous ATH, which was much larger.

So, in other words, for this season, I think there hasn't been an altseason (it hasn't happened).

I think it is too early to compare yet and even if we start better now, the situation can still change later on but Bitcoin's dominance should always remain on the top. There is such a thing as an altcoin season but it is only temporary and even if the altcoins are rallying, they won't still outperform Bitcoin on its number one spot.

There is no bull run yet on this year and many believes there won't be, if we follow the 4-year cycle. Altcoin season on the other hand must still be separated with the general bull run, so it may still be possible on this year. I think it didn't happen yet last year, or on older years. So that gives it a better chance to occur.

Surely, well,, the hope is that a special moment in the Alt Season will actually happen.
That's why I'm stating about it compared to the current situation.
And I also added some words that this season, the Alt Season hasn't happened yet, not just not happen.

At least the current facts are that the market is experiencing a drop. There's a lot of panic, and the market is already in a phase of extreme fear, with the IDNEX dropping to 8, and even reaching 5. And the alt season index is only at 25/100. But as you said, we don't know what will happen in the future this year.

[Josefjix]

Alt season is gone no matter what you think may happen to the market to bring them out of their slumber, the period of altcoin is and will never come back again even though the strength comes back. What do I mean, if any altcoin could do well in the space, that's the ones that usually old enough, to get ground in the space.

[nelson4lov]

The days of holding those smaller altcoins with hope of getting pumps that will take you out of the trenches are over unfortunately. The crypto market is nearing stages of maturity so all those inorganic liquidity that once flowed into smaller altcoins are non-existent at this point. I just stick to Bitcoin and mid to large cap alts since they are the most +EV for the foreseeable future.

[Minor Miner]

The altseason usually follow Bitcoin bull market from what I have read. Based on that, we cannot expect altseason since Bitcoin is rather in serious crises now, losing over 50% of its price from the ATH. That is a major crash in price that will not be recovered easily. Hence the idea of altseason now is a dead matter. When we see Bitcoin enjoy clean bull season, then we can expect altseason to follow.

Yes, historically, altcoin seasons only come when bitcoin experiences strong growth. But given the current situation, bitcoin has fallen significantly from its peak and there seems to be no sign of a reversal yet. Therefore, expecting an altcoin season is a complete waste of time, and investing in them in a market as uncertain as it is now is not a wise decision.

We should forget about the altcoin season and focus on what can bring real profits, and that is Bitcoin.

[passwordnow]

We should forget about the altcoin season and focus on what can bring real profits, and that is Bitcoin.

That's hard to read by those who have invested a lot with the altcoins and have hoped it will come. The bull run's time is ticking like a bomb and it's about to end soon. But let's just hope that we're wrong in it to give that window for those who are waiting for it. Not a false hope though but some acceptance of the reality that the cycle is done and if it's not, then it might change and some bullishness could still be seen in some altcoins. Yes, not all of it will be seen to be good and that's why it's best to not assume so much with altcoins and its season anymore.

[Odusko]

Alt season is gone no matter what you think may happen to the market to bring them out of their slumber, the period of altcoin is and will never come back again even though the strength comes back. What do I mean, if any altcoin could do well in the space, that's the ones that usually old enough, to get ground in the space.

Sure and for that difficulty for altcoins to raise after a hard market, that makes us to focus more on new projects with the hypes, for investors there is need to look out for coins that could make head ways in the market and never fails to take action when the market is still in green, since majority of the altcoins will not rise again even if we eventually see the altcoins season.

[aysha9853]

I remember back in 2014 and even 2017, altseason was easy. You just bought anything on bittrex and it went up. It didn't matter what the coin did. Now, it feels totally different and much harder. There are way too many coins now and most of them just seem to bleed against BTC forever.

From what I see, the big money only cares about a few things like ETH or SOL. The rest of the market feels like a trap because of all these new tokens unlocking every month. I think waiting for everything to pump at the same time might be a mistake. Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think we get that 2014 feeling again where every random coin 10x in a week.

Personally, I've been moving back into BTC and the bigger alts. I'm tired of holding mid-caps that just go down even when BTC is doing okay. I’ve seen too many projects die since I joined this forum, so I'm playing it safe now. Are you guys still holding your small bags or did you give up on them?

nah your defo not crazy old altseason was easy mode not like ow its is so oversaturated and most small caps just bleed while btc just chills. Big money is picky not spraying liquidity everywhere. rotating back to majors makes sense aswell I still keep tiny moonbags for attaches but im not expecting magic to be honest market changed so just gotta play smarter not nostalgic