If Bitcoin were to drop to $43k, that would be a drop of approximately 65%, and that is a significant decline. IMO.
In this cycle, Bitcoin has not even doubled from its peak in the previous cycle. I think it is too early to predict the next peak for bitcoin when we do not have any data yet.
65% decline is significant but it's still pretty good starting point for another cycle. if bitcoin could go from $16k to $125k. It could go from $43k to $300k for another cycle. But I expected less for next cycle because of diminishing return and how big bitcoin's market cap would be at that point unless the money inflation is getting high and fiat lose its value.
For the market to return to turn bullish again, I think we need bigger news, such as QE. Just cutting interest rates is not enough.
Interest cut is a good news to keep market fear and greed index from going into extreme fear. It's not enough for a big rally, of course. At least it's the most realistic with the new Fed chair.