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Author Topic: According to this expert, the bottom is in  (Read 185 times)
Catenaccio
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February 10, 2026, 04:15:54 PM
 #21

[1] Glassnode and other on-chain data providers have mentioned often, that there was an unusual selling activity of early adopters and big whales during 2024 and 2025. See for example this article, showing that whale selling in 2025 was record. The analyst even was predicting the crash in 2026 correctly Wink
Glassnode is a very insightful on-chain analyst but in my opinion, we even don't need Glassnode Insight's reports or their on-chain charts to guess that there will be a bear market and many crashes in 2026. If we believe in Bitcoin history, market cycles and past patterns as well as don't believe in "this time Bitcoin will move differently" or "there will be a super cycle this time", we would have more comfortably prepared our investment strategy for 2026 and 2027 years.

If history of this market repeats and works well this time, two years 2026 and 2027 would be bearish years.
https://www.coinglass.com/pro/i/yearly-candlestick-chart

R


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February 10, 2026, 05:49:03 PM
 #22

The shortest bear market? hehe this might be one of those rat hole analysis that keeps people stuck to dipper dips until they get frustrated and sell mostly when the money was meant for something else. One has to be on the safe side when dealing with long term assets that has high volatility. I will avoid the noise, keep it simple and just accumulate not minding if this is going to be the shortest bear market or not. It is always better to be safe than sorry. If it turns sour no one is coming for your rescue so keeping its simple and consistent saves both stress and emotional dramas.

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February 10, 2026, 06:04:44 PM
 #23

The shortest bear market? hehe this might be one of those rat hole analysis that keeps people stuck to dipper dips until they get frustrated and sell mostly when the money was meant for something else. One has to be on the safe side when dealing with long term assets that has high volatility. I will avoid the noise, keep it simple and just accumulate not minding if this is going to be the shortest bear market or not. It is always better to be safe than sorry. If it turns sour no one is coming for your rescue so keeping its simple and consistent saves both stress and emotional dramas.
I don't think the worst is over, as claimed by these analysts. Everyone is free to make their prediction, which could be wrong or right. I don't believe that Bitcoin has reached the bottom, more declines are eminent considering that there are still global political and economic tensions. Traders should approach the market with caution because anything can happen. I would advice short team traders to invest only small amounts. 

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February 10, 2026, 06:51:58 PM
 #24

I don't think the worst is over, as claimed by these analysts. Everyone is free to make their prediction, which could be wrong or right. I don't believe that Bitcoin has reached the bottom, more declines are eminent considering that there are still global political and economic tensions. Traders should approach the market with caution because anything can happen. I would advice short team traders to invest only small amounts. 
Everyone has something to say concerning the market, the analyst had something to say, so do you and I.

My own prediction says we've not touched the bottom, so far it's not looking like it.

Bitcoin still has a long time to reach whatever price or fall to any extent, the bottom is still fresh from what we experienced at $60K.

R


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February 10, 2026, 10:02:05 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), EFS (1)
 #25

The shortest bear market?
There were actually several short bear markets, some even shorter than the current one (if the bottom was already in):

- 2011: June to November (5 months) - loss: ~93% from previous high ($32 to $2)
- 2013: April to June (2 months) - loss: ~80% from previous high ($260 to $50)
- June 2019 to March 2020: (9 months) - loss: ~71% from previous high ($14000 to $4000)
- May 2021 to July/August 2021 (2 months): - loss: ~50% from previous high ($60000 to $30000)
- to compare: October 2025 to February 2026 (4 months): - loss: ~52% from previous high ($126000 to $60000)

The May 2021 bear market is actually perhaps the most "fitting". At least, there are several bearish movements which would not be that different from the current one. Of course, if you're a believer in the 4 year cycles, they were at different moments, and thus some would call them "not real bear markets". But as most have lead to 70% and more losses, I would definitely call them that way Smiley

There's another "expert" who thinks the bottom is in or close: Michael Robinson. The interesting thing is that he is a "cyclist", i.e. he believes the halvings do trigger the price movements, but he believes this time at most in March/April the bottom will be in. I don't fully understand his "oscillator" model though.

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.Duelbits PREDICT..
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.WHERE EVERYTHING IS A MARKET..
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Will Bitcoin hit $200,000
before January 1st 2027?

    No @1.15         Yes @6.00    
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