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Author Topic: Time to long Bitcoin or further drop ?  (Read 775 times)
Wind_FURY
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February 23, 2026, 11:35:04 AM
 #101

Now is a influx of BTC from small holders on Binance has reached a 9-year low. Shrimp is a cohort that makes transactions worth less than 1 BTC. The average monthly inflow of funds from this group to Binance was 384 BTC, which was the lowest since 2017. For example, in January 2021, the inflow was 2,700 BTC.
In March 2024, the activity of retail investors was moderate: 1,250 and 900 BTC per month.
Significant spikes caused by panic were observed when BTC dropped to 60k.

Low inflows indicate a weakening of selling pressure, which is a positive signal.


This may already be obvious to you, and some of our fellow plebs, but another indicator of a weakening of sell pressure and the strengthening of price support is when a large holder sells and DIPs the price, but then the market merely absorbs it and the price returns from where it started before the large holders sell order.

It happened mere hours ago. A large holder made a market order to sell in $67,500, causing a DIP to $64,500, then the market absorbed it and the price currently returning to $67,500.

 Cool

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summonerrk
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February 23, 2026, 12:28:31 PM
 #102

Now is a influx of BTC from small holders on Binance has reached a 9-year low. Shrimp is a cohort that makes transactions worth less than 1 BTC. The average monthly inflow of funds from this group to Binance was 384 BTC, which was the lowest since 2017. For example, in January 2021, the inflow was 2,700 BTC.
In March 2024, the activity of retail investors was moderate: 1,250 and 900 BTC per month.
Significant spikes caused by panic were observed when BTC dropped to 60k.

Low inflows indicate a weakening of selling pressure, which is a positive signal.


This may already be obvious to you, and some of our fellow plebs, but another indicator of a weakening of sell pressure and the strengthening of price support is when a large holder sells and DIPs the price, but then the market merely absorbs it and the price returns from where it started before the large holders sell order.

It happened mere hours ago. A large holder made a market order to sell in $67,500, causing a DIP to $64,500, then the market absorbed it and the price currently returning to $67,500.

 Cool

Yes, a great example mate. I noticed same cases too.

Bitcoin fell by -4.5% in just 2 hours, dropping to a market capitalization of $64.2 thousand for the first time since February 5. Damn it, that was harsh.
Many long positions were eliminated, and BTC open interest dropped to $19.5 billion, less than half of the peak value of $38.3 billion recorded on January 14, 2026.
Despite the fact that this pullback occurred late on Sunday evening in the United States (usually a time of low social media activity), negative sentiment soared to a two-week high. Well, of course, because it's a panic in such a sharp fall. Well, after breaking through the $65,000 support level, retail quickly went into disinformation mode, which historically can contribute to a rapid rebound, because we know of many such cases of rapid buybacks. And then those who did not place pending orders become sad.

 
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Wind_FURY
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Today at 05:21:52 AM
 #103

Now is a influx of BTC from small holders on Binance has reached a 9-year low. Shrimp is a cohort that makes transactions worth less than 1 BTC. The average monthly inflow of funds from this group to Binance was 384 BTC, which was the lowest since 2017. For example, in January 2021, the inflow was 2,700 BTC.
In March 2024, the activity of retail investors was moderate: 1,250 and 900 BTC per month.
Significant spikes caused by panic were observed when BTC dropped to 60k.

Low inflows indicate a weakening of selling pressure, which is a positive signal.


This may already be obvious to you, and some of our fellow plebs, but another indicator of a weakening of sell pressure and the strengthening of price support is when a large holder sells and DIPs the price, but then the market merely absorbs it and the price returns from where it started before the large holders sell order.

It happened mere hours ago. A large holder made a market order to sell in $67,500, causing a DIP to $64,500, then the market absorbed it and the price currently returning to $67,500.

 Cool


Yes, a great example mate. I noticed same cases too.

Bitcoin fell by -4.5% in just 2 hours, dropping to a market capitalization of $64.2 thousand for the first time since February 5. Damn it, that was harsh.

Many long positions were eliminated, and BTC open interest dropped to $19.5 billion, less than half of the peak value of $38.3 billion recorded on January 14, 2026.

Despite the fact that this pullback occurred late on Sunday evening in the United States (usually a time of low social media activity), negative sentiment soared to a two-week high. Well, of course, because it's a panic in such a sharp fall. Well, after breaking through the $65,000 support level, retail quickly went into disinformation mode, which historically can contribute to a rapid rebound, because we know of many such cases of rapid buybacks. And then those who did not place pending orders become sad.


It's currently happening again. An entity sells a sizable amount of Bitcoin, the price will DIP while the market sell orders are happening, the market absorbs it, THEN when the entity stops, the price is stable. NO market panic. It's not like the Bear Cycles during 2018/2022 anymore.

Although, those Panic DIPs would be good for those who have placed their bids very low.

  Cool

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