Bitcoin and crypto bear market confirmed?

[summonerrk]

Last days market has already received many reasons to fluctuate, and among them the loudest is the conflict in Iran. And as predicted in our branches, this caused a drop to 63k, but the market quickly worked out this movement back, which was also written about (the post says that the market likes to go in the other direction of the trend, which is not expected). In eight hours, Bitcoin even rose above the previous price.

And of course, the great news for crypto ETFs is the return of capital after five weeks of outflows. The placement of ETFs for Bitcoin in the United States interrupted a series of outflows. Bitcoin totaled +$787 million in the days from February 23-27.
The leader was BlackRock IBIT, which raised more than $559.4 million.
Now the amount of capital has increased to $82.4 billion.
If the inflow of funds is stable for several weeks in a row, it means that the final demand is returning and the main investors and traders do not want to let the price fall below 60 thousand. And most likely, they will buy back more actively on the falls.

[Smack That Ace]

Last days market has already received many reasons to fluctuate, and among them the loudest is the conflict in Iran. And as predicted in our branches, this caused a drop to 63k, but the market quickly worked out this movement back, which was also written about (the post says that the market likes to go in the other direction of the trend, which is not expected). In eight hours, Bitcoin even rose above the previous price.

And of course, the great news for crypto ETFs is the return of capital after five weeks of outflows. The placement of ETFs for Bitcoin in the United States interrupted a series of outflows. Bitcoin totaled +$787 million in the days from February 23-27.
The leader was BlackRock IBIT, which raised more than $559.4 million.
Now the amount of capital has increased to $82.4 billion.
If the inflow of funds is stable for several weeks in a row, it means that the final demand is returning and the main investors and traders do not want to let the price fall below 60 thousand. And most likely, they will buy back more actively on the falls.

However, it should be noted that financial markets have not yet reopened, so it is too early to say whether bitcoin has stopped falling. With only a few hour left until the market open, and we will soon know what the next trend for bitcoin will be as major investors react to the news about the war.

Over the past 5 weeks, nearly $4 billion has flowed out of bitcoin ETFs, if I remember correctly. With capital inflows reaching 787 million, this figure is still insufficient to offset the previous outflows.
In addition, the conflict is showing signs of escalating even more intensely. I am not optimistic about the current situation.

[dwyane36]

The market will rebound back, it is matter of patience because such bear markets are happening to cycle back to the bull market.

Well, it will probably take a few months for the market to reverse the trend. Meanwhile, in light of recent events, it's clear that bearish pressure on Bitcoin is only growing. Yes, there is a possibility that Bitcoin could pump above $70k in the short term, but that would not mean the end of the bearish trend. Personally, I expect the trend to start changing only after BTC falls below $60k.

[summonerrk]

Last days market has already received many reasons to fluctuate, and among them the loudest is the conflict in Iran. And as predicted in our branches, this caused a drop to 63k, but the market quickly worked out this movement back, which was also written about (the post says that the market likes to go in the other direction of the trend, which is not expected). In eight hours, Bitcoin even rose above the previous price.

And of course, the great news for crypto ETFs is the return of capital after five weeks of outflows. The placement of ETFs for Bitcoin in the United States interrupted a series of outflows. Bitcoin totaled +$787 million in the days from February 23-27.
The leader was BlackRock IBIT, which raised more than $559.4 million.
Now the amount of capital has increased to $82.4 billion.
If the inflow of funds is stable for several weeks in a row, it means that the final demand is returning and the main investors and traders do not want to let the price fall below 60 thousand. And most likely, they will buy back more actively on the falls.

However, it should be noted that financial markets have not yet reopened, so it is too early to say whether bitcoin has stopped falling. With only a few hour left until the market open, and we will soon know what the next trend for bitcoin will be as major investors react to the news about the war.

Over the past 5 weeks, nearly $4 billion has flowed out of bitcoin ETFs, if I remember correctly. With capital inflows reaching 787 million, this figure is still insufficient to offset the previous outflows.
In addition, the conflict is showing signs of escalating even more intensely. I am not optimistic about the current situation.

Yeah..
Over the past 30 days, Bitcoin ETFs have been trading below their cost price. The current average cost is $82,777.
Last week, after five consecutive weeks of net outflows, there was a net inflow of $787 million as you notice. And that makes me happy.
But given the ongoing military situation, it remains unclear whether this trend will continue.
Any scenario can happen now. We all knew that gold would immediately skyrocket, taking away liquidity. Logically, it should not be good for Bitcoin.

[AYOBA]

There is no need to look at the recent decline as unusual, this is a normal bear market as usual. We should not get discouraged or panicked at this time, it has happened in the past and it would not be wrong to say that this is the natural nature of Bitcoin. You will not always see Bitcoin in a bull market, you will have to experience a bear market at some point. I expect this market to recover, if it does not happen in the next few months then consider the market as a bear market and keep buying the dips.

Yeah no condition is permanent and that’s why we have to be sure that Bitcoin price won’t continue in this way everything has their own time with a little time it will recover from the current situation which can even reach the price that we didn’t expected, but some people’s don’t have patience that’s there rushing selling the bitcoin that they bought for a month’s ago just because the market is fluctuating.

Honestly this is a normal bear market that both the investors and traders suppose understand they don’t need to be discouraged with the current market conditions, if we remember last year I think the Bitcoin prices do worst than this and with time and patience everything comes back to normal in a positive direction.

[jossiel]

Bitcoin reached back to $70k a while ago and it was a quick stand there.

We still have no idea how it goes. But for example again, with the thought of the markets going down because of the war.

We're seeing the complete opposite of it. I think that Israel's stock market is on ATH, same with gold and expect that the price of oil will also increase next week due to the blockage of the Strait Hormuz.

[summonerrk]

Bitcoin's liquidity is falling. And the drop in dynamics has been repeatedly mentioned as an alarming signal. It's not just the amount of global liquidity that matters, but whether it's growing or slowing down.
At the moment, both the growth dynamics and the overall growth in liquidity are weakening. Previously, the liquidity momentum was growing, while bitcoin was fluctuating or correcting, which was considered a bullish signal. Now the situation is reversed: bitcoin is slowly moving upward, while the momentum of liquidity and nominal growth are falling. Such a tailwind is not conducive to sustainable growth.
Even if the previously observed bullish divergence persists, a steady downward trend in liquidity is not a good sign.
Strong movements usually require growing liquidity.
There are signs that we are approaching the end of the liquidity struggle.

[Awaklara]

Bitcoin reached back to $70k a while ago and it was a quick stand there.

We have seen Bitcoin almost return to $70k twice. But before reaching it, the price fell again. Even before that, Bitcoin had dropped below $65k. We have been in a bearish trend since Bitcoin's decline after reaching its ATH. Although initially we believed the end of last year would be quite good for the market, what happened was the opposite. The end of last year became the start of the market downturn, and up until now, we have indeed been in a Bearish market.

[Luke3bird]

We have seen Bitcoin almost return to $70k twice. But before reaching it, the price fell again. Even before that, Bitcoin had dropped below $65k. We have been in a bearish trend since Bitcoin's decline after reaching its ATH. Although initially we believed the end of last year would be quite good for the market, what happened was the opposite. The end of last year became the start of the market downturn, and up until now, we have indeed been in a Bearish market.

I read people calling Bitcoin to even fall lower than $60k and they said that $60k is not a bottom of this bear market. I don't know how lower Bitcoin will be or it will recover from $60k to the ATH for a new market cycle. Likely if history repeats itself, the bear market will continue in many more months and possibly $60k is not the bottom but even it is the bottom, the market will need many months for recovery so $60k to $70k can be a boring range for Bitcoin in 2026.

But a longer time Bitcoin stucks in $60k to $70k range, is it good opportunity to buy cheap bitcoin that they always ask for?

[Coyster]

We're seeing the complete opposite of it. I think that Israel's stock market is on ATH, same with gold and expect that the price of oil will also increase next week due to the blockage of the Strait Hormuz.

A lot is happening all at once and there is a lot of uncertainty right now. Bitcoin is currently trading around $67k as i type this, which is not bad at all, considering the events of this past week, but nobody is sure if it will still plummet if investors continue the wave of buying safe-haven precious metals.

That said, oil prices would definitely rise, i believe Iran has already warned vessels not to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, so we'd have to see how long that lasts and also how prolonged this war would be. At this point, it is a full blown war, so i am not optimistic that it is ending soon. One thing is sure though, investors would definitely fancy precious metals right now, so it is bound to receive huge inflows in the coming weeks, which would be complemented by a pump in its price.

[0xredhot]

Explain it to me, there is Iran war everything sounds really bad, and Bitcoin pumps from $62k to $70k... is this another manipulation?

[Rabata]

I am seriously tired of looking to charts like this, I am not new trader I have been here for couple years been trough some bear markets but I am just tired, I know I can make money shorting this, but that is also tiresome because I know I hold some BTC on spot.

What is your take on this guys, are you expecting reverse and why?

In the current situation, there is a vacillation among everyone about the market but I don't think there is anything very positive for those who are trading, though anything can happen. If a trader goes short at this time, then he is more likely to profit, but for those who have faith in Bitcoin for the long term, it will be difficult to consider a situation like short trading. They will definitely be in trouble. In this situation, no one can take long and even if they take short, it is not possible to take it confidently. In reality, we all know that if there is no reversal at this time and it will be difficult to get anything positive from the market as a trader. The trader must be patient because sometimes it is profitable to take a break from taking new trades. The trader should take a decision by observing the next market trend.

[Zanab247]

I like the confidence you have towards BTC trade which is what is motivating some traders to switch to their success in crypto trading. You can buy from the bear market and start watching the market to know if there will be profit when you trade, because you will not trade when you know there will be lost at the end of the trading. For those that have good knowledge of BTC and cryptocurrencies will not depends on people before they will know what to do in trading, because they will not going to take a step that will affect them in the future.

I hope you are not among the traders that is looking for millions to earn at once? If you are not such traders, you can trade to earn little profit, because the green light is still displaying to allow some traders to earn profit from their trading.

[jossiel]

Bitcoin reached back to $70k a while ago and it was a quick stand there.

We have seen Bitcoin almost return to $70k twice. But before reaching it, the price fell again. Even before that, Bitcoin had dropped below $65k. We have been in a bearish trend since Bitcoin's decline after reaching its ATH. Although initially we believed the end of last year would be quite good for the market, what happened was the opposite. The end of last year became the start of the market downturn, and up until now, we have indeed been in a Bearish market.

Yes, that's it.

If it doesn't recover back up to $90k and $100k then we're indeed in a bear market.

We're seeing the complete opposite of it. I think that Israel's stock market is on ATH, same with gold and expect that the price of oil will also increase next week due to the blockage of the Strait Hormuz.

A lot is happening all at once and there is a lot of uncertainty right now. Bitcoin is currently trading around $67k as i type this, which is not bad at all, considering the events of this past week, but nobody is sure if it will still plummet if investors continue the wave of buying safe-haven precious metals.

That said, oil prices would definitely rise, i believe Iran has already warned vessels not to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, so we'd have to see how long that lasts and also how prolonged this war would be. At this point, it is a full blown war, so i am not optimistic that it is ending soon. One thing is sure though, investors would definitely fancy precious metals right now, so it is bound to receive huge inflows in the coming weeks, which would be complemented by a pump in its price.

I think that we've got already the MOPS on how much price increase we'll have for the next week. Since the war has started just this week, we'll see the impact of it by next week.

We've got a glance of it from the market when Bitcoin pumped. As for the Strait of Hormuz, I think that they have an exception with China as their ally and a friend that they have whenever they need them, that's the only vessel of a country they're allowed to pass and the rest, not allowed.

Hopefully, the rebound will be in favor next week and the same goes for a ceasefire and end of this war.

Explain it to me, there is Iran war everything sounds really bad, and Bitcoin pumps from $62k to $70k... is this another manipulation?

Most likely yes, a manipulation and money moving from and to different markets.

[summonerrk]

Crypto has waited in the wings, outflows from Crypto ETFs have stopped. Investors are buying out the drawdown, and the narrative that the crypt is an uncorrelated asset and does not depend on geopolitics is being discussed again. Panic sales is on pause, institutions are buying out DIP .
Whale accumulation continues. The fear is extreme. Blockchain analysts record billions in BTC transactions related to the IRGC and Iranian entities. In short, it's as if Bitcoin is being bought in Iran because of this tension, but at the same time it is being sold in the world as a whole. Because there are less risky assets.

[barbara44]

We have seen Bitcoin almost return to $70k twice. But before reaching it, the price fell again. Even before that, Bitcoin had dropped below $65k. We have been in a bearish trend since Bitcoin's decline after reaching its ATH. Although initially we believed the end of last year would be quite good for the market, what happened was the opposite. The end of last year became the start of the market downturn, and up until now, we have indeed been in a Bearish market.

That was 'almost return' but what we had a while ago, must be a real one, that Bitcoin truly reached $73k (finally). What we had before was a real trap but I think the recent one is a bit of that too, since many expects after it to continue, that they accompanied it with some actions and fail miserably. After the pump we had last time on Bitcoin, we also experienced some stability.

So, it may not be a direct bear but only just a correction. I think the reason on why we end the last year without a bang is because we also started well early? Imagine if it just continues like that, then it would also be too much and not seem to be fair anymore for a short time.

[imthegreat]

Crypto has waited in the wings, outflows from Crypto ETFs have stopped. Investors are buying out the drawdown, and the narrative that the crypt is an uncorrelated asset and does not depend on geopolitics is being discussed again. Panic sales is on pause, institutions are buying out DIP .
Whale accumulation continues. The fear is extreme. Blockchain analysts record billions in BTC transactions related to the IRGC and Iranian entities. In short, it's as if Bitcoin is being bought in Iran because of this tension, but at the same time it is being sold in the world as a whole. Because there are less risky assets.

The processes are already underway: crypto buildings write that Iranians are massively buying BTC and withdrawing it to their personal wallets against the background of the conflict, and that Iran's crypto ecosystem has already grown to $7.8 billion against this background.
Investors all over the world are now seeing what people who have such a situation in their country prefer to "hide into" in practice. And once again, the choice of Bitcoin proves how useless stables are in this case, even if they have become widespread in recent years.
In theory, the forces acting on Bitcoin, which I wrote about above, are:
On the positive side: the flight of Iranian money into BTC.
Negative : due to tensions, some global investors are withdrawing from risk, in fact, from BTC.
That's how the price swings.

[Big Dirams]

I like the confidence you have towards BTC trade which is what is motivating some traders to switch to their success in crypto trading. You can buy from the bear market and start watching the market to know if there will be profit when you trade, because you will not trade when you know there will be lost at the end of the trading. For those that have good knowledge of BTC and cryptocurrencies will not depends on people before they will know what to do in trading, because they will not going to take a step that will affect them in the future.

I hope you are not among the traders that is looking for millions to earn at once? If you are not such traders, you can trade to earn little profit, because the green light is still displaying to allow some traders to earn profit from their trading.

Buying during dips is definitely the smart and positive way to make good profits from the bitcoin market either we plan on holding for long term or short term let always endeavor to buy during dips and lows. And of course if a trader want to trade and sees the entry won’t be satisfying or be of positive benefit and impact to him or her then such trader would just rather stay of the market and that just a good approach for a smart money trader. 

 Having the mindset to make millions and thousands at once in the cryptocurrency space is not a positive idea at all instead let make sure we are in no rush or hasty to make profits, let trust the process and stay patience so we can witness a good benefit and good profits from the market. Staying patient helps to aid more profits if we are on the right and perfect timing. 

[Iranus]

Explain it to me, there is Iran war everything sounds really bad, and Bitcoin pumps from $62k to $70k... is this another manipulation?

Any scenario can happen, and it could be due to manipulation. Or it could be that people are gradually realizing the potential of bitcoin as a safe haven and are buying it to protect their assets. Or it could be that the price of Bitcoin has dropped significantly and institutions realize it is time to accumulate again.

Bitcoin is inherently volatile and unpredictable, and its price can sometimes rise or fall without any apparent reason. So, do not be too concerned about it.

If you still believe in Bitcoin, all you need to do is buy and hold until you reach your target. Ignore short term fluctuations.

[summonerrk]

Crypto has waited in the wings, outflows from Crypto ETFs have stopped. Investors are buying out the drawdown, and the narrative that the crypt is an uncorrelated asset and does not depend on geopolitics is being discussed again. Panic sales is on pause, institutions are buying out DIP .
Whale accumulation continues. The fear is extreme. Blockchain analysts record billions in BTC transactions related to the IRGC and Iranian entities. In short, it's as if Bitcoin is being bought in Iran because of this tension, but at the same time it is being sold in the world as a whole. Because there are less risky assets.

The processes are already underway: crypto buildings write that Iranians are massively buying BTC and withdrawing it to their personal wallets against the background of the conflict, and that Iran's crypto ecosystem has already grown to $7.8 billion against this background.
Investors all over the world are now seeing what people who have such a situation in their country prefer to "hide into" in practice. And once again, the choice of Bitcoin proves how useless stables are in this case, even if they have become widespread in recent years. In theory, the forces acting on Bitcoin, which I wrote about above, are:
On the positive side: the flight of Iranian money into BTC.
Negative : due to tensions, some global investors are withdrawing from risk, in fact, from BTC.
That's how the price swings.

Yesterday, we tested the resistance at 74K, and before the opening of trading in the USA today, the bitcoin was held above 72K.
However, US stock indexes went down, and BTC followed them.
The VIX volatility index soared 15% to 24, while gold continued to decline.
Support at 70K looks solid.
For now. The main buying interest from major players is focused on 65K.Well, during the Asian session, the supply volume of 74k - 76k increased significantly.
It is unlikely that we will be able to break through these levels today.
And it is more likely that we will see outflows from crypto ETFs today.