⚽ UEFA Nations League ⚽ - Discussion Thread

[Sim_card]

it is actually a very difficult group, don’t be surprised that you guys are actually going to come out from this group, football is sometimes unpredictable and the things you may be expecting to happen may not, just be calm because everything may actually work out for good and in favor of Türkiye

Türkiye should just put in their best, one of the things that usually make some team lose is fear, they should remove fear from their mind and go into the competition with high hopes.

Turkiye looks weak in that group and they might not survive it to the next round. Though, they look weak on paper, we might see a different performance on the pitch. Italy is another team that hasn't been performing well in their games so far. France will definitely, be the first in that group.

[MorganaX]

it is actually a very difficult group, don’t be surprised that you guys are actually going to come out from this group, football is sometimes unpredictable and the things you may be expecting to happen may not, just be calm because everything may actually work out for good and in favor of Türkiye

Türkiye should just put in their best, one of the things that usually make some team lose is fear, they should remove fear from their mind and go into the competition with high hopes.

Turkiye looks weak in that group and they might not survive it to the next round. Though, they look weak on paper, we might see a different performance on the pitch. Italy is another team that hasn't been performing well in their games so far. France will definitely, be the first in that group.

I don't know about any other team but I truly can't say the same for Italy at all, over the years the Italian team have really disappointed and have failed to qualify in almost all the top competitions and having faith in them to qualify is just not showing for me, it's even crazy that this Italian team were once a force that many nations would wish never to play against with the team housing so many players and football legends but now we can't say the same as the Italian side is filled with just normal average players.

[PremiumcryptoHub]

Because of how tactically brilliant the Spaniards are, I believe that they are still going to win this game against England because they did not win the World Cup by mistake but won from total control and dominance in every game they played. It is going to be a tough game, but Spain will be winners at the end.

Each match in Group A3 of the UEFA Nations League will be very exciting because you notice three team there has a lot of experience, so it can be easily assumed the match between the current World Cup winners Spain and England will be the toughest. In fact we enjoyed the performances of these two teams in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, where Spain performed consistently, and England also played quite well as they were defeated by Argentina in the semifinals, but the players of Spain achieved victory in the final match through excellent performances, winning their second trophy.

Spain's Rodri, Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Cucurella are delivering high-quality performances in their domestic league this season, while we have observed that England's Bellingham, Harry Kane, Rice, and Anthony Gordon are playing very artistic football in the Barcelona club, so it is expected that Spain and England will face a tough test in this season's group stage match of the UEFA Nations League.

[TedMosby]

Not sure why Turkiye is more favored compared to other teams below them. I assume the market for this UEFA Nations League winner is not that interesting yet or people are still waiting. The implied probability is not accurate yet.



Meanwhile, the market for teams that would be relegated from UEFA Nations League A seems more interesting. The volume is bigger. Look at the implied probability for Serbia. If you think they will be relegated, then check out this market. I think it's worth checking out for trading or just a casual bet.



NFA

[KTChampions]

Not sure why Turkiye is more favored compared to other teams below them. I assume the market for this UEFA Nations League winner is not that interesting yet or people are still waiting. The implied probability is not accurate yet.

That’s a market with zero liquidity for each outcome, you probably took the screenshot right when the market opened?
Besides, you remember the format - this tournament is spread out over a long period, with the final stage not taking place until the summer of 2027, there’s little point in tying up money for such a long time. Given that only one team from Groups A qualifies for the playoffs, it makes sense to place bets specifically on that outcomes right now, and only switch to title market once the playoff participants are known.

[Lucius]

That's right, I'm also looking forward to the matches in that group bros. I consider all the teams in that group to be strong, but regarding the top three contenders, I'm sure they will be Spain, England & Croatia. I believe Spain will take the top spot based on what they demonstrated at the World Cup, they currently deserve to reign supreme in European competitions.

Surprises are always possible in football, but if Spain and England take this competition seriously, the only question is who will finish first and who second in the group - while Croatia and the Czech Republic will battle for third place. As far as I know, the Czech Republic played very poorly at the last World Cup, but I see they have a new head coach (Santi Denia), so it remains to be seen what he will do with the team.

Considering the new coach who likes to philosophize a lot, and is a very weak strategist, and the fact that Luka Modric will continue to lead the team on the field, I think that Croatia will depend a lot on goalkeeper Livakovic and his form to save the goal. If we recall the match at the last World Cup, England beat Croatia 4–2, but Livaković saved at least another 3–4 big chances for England.

[pawel7777]

This thread got slid hard. I had to use google to find it. But I'm sure the activity will pick up as matchday 1 is coming our way and first games will be played this weekend.

I'm not a big fan of this tournament. It was designed to replace meaningless international friendly games, so the prestige of it by default is pretty low. Friendly games are there not necessarily to play at 100%, but to test new tactics and new squad members etc.
Nevertheless, since all major leagues will be on pause, we have no choice but to give it some attention.

Fixtures and odds (from 1Win.com) for the first day games (24th Sep):

Andorra x3.56 Vs Malta x2.41; Draw x2.76
Portugal x1.22 Vs Wales x13.90; Draw x6.40
Austria x1.42 Vs Israel x6.80; Draw x4.93
Norway x1.74 Vs Denmark x4.42; Draw x4.09
Netherlands x2.40 Vs Germany x2.73; Draw x3.81
Liechtenstein x11.40 Vs Lithuania x1.31; Draw x4.76
Serbia x2.64 Vs Greece x2.73; Draw x3.33
Kosovo x2.44 Vs Republic of Ireland x3.14; Draw x3.11

The two biggest mismatches are Portugal Vs Wales and Liechtenstein Vs Lithuania.
If anyone is seeing any good picks, speak up.

[ingiltere]

Not sure why Turkiye is more favored compared to other teams below them. I assume the market for this UEFA Nations League winner is not that interesting yet or people are still waiting. The implied probability is not accurate yet.

Meanwhile, the market for teams that would be relegated from UEFA Nations League A seems more interesting. The volume is bigger. Look at the implied probability for Serbia. If you think they will be relegated, then check out this market. I think it's worth checking out for trading or just a casual bet.

I wish Montella would resign or get fired. It's unbelievable that we still have to put up with him after the World Cup fiasco. I don't remember ever seeing a manager as bad as him in the national team. He has a very good pool of players at his disposal, but he still makes ridiculous choices and plays with outdated tactics that don't suit the team.

We're going to play with France, Italy and Belgium. It's going to be very hard to pick up points in this group. I think it's pretty normal for us to be the top contender for relegation. The fact that players like Kenan and Orkun are injured is another problem. I think it would be a surprise if we managed to get any points in these first 4 matches.

[Barikui1]

Fixtures and odds (from 1Win.com) for the first day games (24th Sep):

Andorra x3.56 Vs Malta x2.41; Draw x2.76
Portugal x1.22 Vs Wales x13.90; Draw x6.40
Austria x1.42 Vs Israel x6.80; Draw x4.93
Norway x1.74 Vs Denmark x4.42; Draw x4.09
Netherlands x2.40 Vs Germany x2.73; Draw x3.81
Liechtenstein x11.40 Vs Lithuania x1.31; Draw x4.76
Serbia x2.64 Vs Greece x2.73; Draw x3.33
Kosovo x2.44 Vs Republic of Ireland x3.14; Draw x3.11

The two biggest mismatches are Portugal Vs Wales and Liechtenstein Vs Lithuania.
If anyone is seeing any good picks, speak up.

By looking at this fixtures, the game that caught my attention which I believe is the most strong game is the the game between Netherlands vs Germany, and the second most interesting fixture is between Portugal vs Wales. I think that the Portuguese will be just too strong for the Wales team, so they have no excuse not to win this game, then as for the Netherlands vs Germany game, it's not going to be an easy game for both teams because in the past five meetings, Germany has won twice, Netherlands won once and they drew twice, so it's going to be a very close game of football that can go either side, but let's be rest assured that it's going to be a fascinating tie between them.

[Italian Panic]

Not sure why Turkiye is more favored compared to other teams below them. I assume the market for this UEFA Nations League winner is not that interesting yet or people are still waiting. The implied probability is not accurate yet.

It’s always nice to see that Italy is promptly ruled out as a potential winner; by now we’re on the fringes of European football thanks to the old politicians who run the league. We won Euro 2021 by sheer miracle, then we faded into obscurity and found ourselves short of players; now some talented youngsters are coming through, let’s hope for the best.
We’re certainly not favourites against Belgium or France, but we will give it a go against Turkey; if Mancini can restore some balance to the team, then we might just spring a surprise.

[kizilhare]

Not sure why Turkiye is more favored compared to other teams below them. I assume the market for this UEFA Nations League winner is not that interesting yet or people are still waiting. The implied probability is not accurate yet.

Meanwhile, the market for teams that would be relegated from UEFA Nations League A seems more interesting. The volume is bigger. Look at the implied probability for Serbia. If you think they will be relegated, then check out this market. I think it's worth checking out for trading or just a casual bet.

I wish Montella would resign or get fired. It's unbelievable that we still have to put up with him after the World Cup fiasco. I don't remember ever seeing a manager as bad as him in the national team. He has a very good pool of players at his disposal, but he still makes ridiculous choices and plays with outdated tactics that don't suit the team.

We're going to play with France, Italy and Belgium. It's going to be very hard to pick up points in this group. I think it's pretty normal for us to be the top contender for relegation. The fact that players like Kenan and Orkun are injured is another problem. I think it would be a surprise if we managed to get any points in these first 4 matches.

He will most likely be fired after these four upcoming matches. It is impossible to understand the criteria he used to select these players—Kerem, İrfancan, Demir Ege, Samet Akaydın, and so on.
He picks the squad by rote.
He calls up players by rote.
How will Abdülkerim fare against French players? France will give us a real football lesson on Friday. I just hope we don't suffer a heavy defeat.

[Daniel91]

That's right, I'm also looking forward to the matches in that group bros. I consider all the teams in that group to be strong, but regarding the top three contenders, I'm sure they will be Spain, England & Croatia. I believe Spain will take the top spot based on what they demonstrated at the World Cup, they currently deserve to reign supreme in European competitions.

Surprises are always possible in football, but if Spain and England take this competition seriously, the only question is who will finish first and who second in the group - while Croatia and the Czech Republic will battle for third place. As far as I know, the Czech Republic played very poorly at the last World Cup, but I see they have a new head coach (Santi Denia), so it remains to be seen what he will do with the team.

Considering the new coach who likes to philosophize a lot, and is a very weak strategist, and the fact that Luka Modric will continue to lead the team on the field, I think that Croatia will depend a lot on goalkeeper Livakovic and his form to save the goal. If we recall the match at the last World Cup, England beat Croatia 4–2, but Livaković saved at least another 3–4 big chances for England.

I read on online portals that the Czech coach has a lot of injured players and big problems in putting together the team.
If this news is confirmed, Croatia should have an easier path to victory, although you never know with the Croatians.
They play great against the best teams and win, but then lose against the weakest teams.
I remember that in this very competition they lost on their home turf against Austria a few years ago and then beat Denmark and France away.
In any case, if they want to avoid last place and relegation from the elite class of this competition, Croatia simply has to be better than the Czech Republic.
This is also a condition for Croatia to have the status of a seed in the draw for the next European Championship.
I like that Bilic has corrected one of Dalic's great injustices and finally called Misic to the national team.
Misic has long been the best player in the Croatian football league, and in his position we are the weakest in the national team.
I would say that Bilic has called up all the best players Croatia currently has and I read that he wants Croatia to play more offensively and for the defensive players to be more offensive and further away from their goal.
This means that there will be a lot of space behind them, which will need to be covered, but Croatia has great quality in the defensive line, classes like Guardiol and Stanisic, so that shouldn't be a problem.
I believe that Bilic will not let Modric play the whole game, but will use him for a limited time, similar to how Modric is playing in Milan now.
Croatia currently has great young football stars in the midfield like Baturina and both Sucic, so there is no need to keep Modric in the game for long.
We also have experienced players in attack like Kramaric, Perisic, Budimir, etc., so if Bilic organizes the game and the team well, Croatia could be a strong team again and maybe could do more in the group stage besides fighting with the Czech Republic for third place.

[eisen33]

It’s always nice to see that Italy is promptly ruled out as a potential winner; by now we’re on the fringes of European football thanks to the old politicians who run the league. We won Euro 2021 by sheer miracle, then we faded into obscurity and found ourselves short of players; now some talented youngsters are coming through, let’s hope for the best.
We’re certainly not favourites against Belgium or France, but we will give it a go against Turkey; if Mancini can restore some balance to the team, then we might just spring a surprise.

Italy has always been known for its strong defensive play, and I think that if Mancini manages to get the defense organized, Italy will have a much better chance of returning to the ranks of the strongest European teams. Italy has experimented a lot, including with different coaches, but managing a national team requires experienced coaches, I think Italy will get better results with Mancini.

[KTChampions]

~
Andorra x3.56 Vs Malta x2.41; Draw x2.76
Portugal x1.22 Vs Wales x13.90; Draw x6.40
Austria x1.42 Vs Israel x6.80; Draw x4.93
Norway x1.74 Vs Denmark x4.42; Draw x4.09
Netherlands x2.40 Vs Germany x2.73; Draw x3.81
Liechtenstein x11.40 Vs Lithuania x1.31; Draw x4.76
Serbia x2.64 Vs Greece x2.73; Draw x3.33
Kosovo x2.44 Vs Republic of Ireland x3.14; Draw x3.11

The two biggest mismatches are Portugal Vs Wales and Liechtenstein Vs Lithuania.
If anyone is seeing any good picks, speak up.

I'm rooting for Portugal, but Wales is underrated. Clearly, under ideal circumstances for both teams, the score would be around 2–0 (+- 1 goal) in Portugal's favor, but I don't see anything even remotely resembling ideal circumstances  
Norway seems overrated to me, too, sure, they’re on a great run, but they aren't a top-tier team capable of sustaining that kind of streak.
In the Netherlands vs. Germany matchup, the Germans seem undervalued, odds of 3.81 for a German win under a new coach? I’ll take that. No matter how poorly Germany has been playing, 3.81 makes the risk worth it.

[AprilioMP]

It’s always nice to see that Italy is promptly ruled out as a potential winner; by now we’re on the fringes of European football thanks to the old politicians who run the league. We won Euro 2021 by sheer miracle, then we faded into obscurity and found ourselves short of players; now some talented youngsters are coming through, let’s hope for the best.
We’re certainly not favourites against Belgium or France, but we will give it a go against Turkey; if Mancini can restore some balance to the team, then we might just spring a surprise.

Italy faces a fairly challenging group, with each team bringing its own strengths to the table. As for Italy, I think many fans are looking forward to their matches because they’ve been absent from major competitions for quite some time. In Italy’s last match against Greece, Donnarumma fielded many new players.
Meanwhile, based on the Italian squad roster I saw on their official UEFA Nations League account, Gli Azzurri seem poised to deliver the long-awaited hope. They aren’t among the favorites, but I don’t think that’s a problem—after all, what we expect right now may not necessarily turn out as predicted.

[New Judgement]

Norway seems overrated to me, too, sure, they’re on a great run, but they aren't a top-tier team capable of sustaining that kind of streak.
In the Netherlands vs. Germany matchup, the Germans seem undervalued, odds of 3.81 for a German win under a new coach? I’ll take that. No matter how poorly Germany has been playing, 3.81 makes the risk worth it.

Norway is not overrated, look at their performance since the World Cup qualification stages, to their eventual World Cup performances. This Norway current squad is packed with talented players that are getting results for their country. Overrated teams don’t maintain this level of consistency that Norway has achieved so far. They are winning Denmark, so don’t bother betting against them because you are likely going to lose. The risk for Germany to win is worth it for sure, but remember both countries have new managers, so if the new manager of Germany is what’s making you believe this much in them winning Netherlands, you should also remember that Netherlands also have a new coach.