The reality of Bitcoin and why you shouldn't be scared

[Chinesebaby]

Hello guys, good morning, good afternoon and good evening to you all at whichever time zone it may be at your respective destinations. However, I just came across this post on Facebook by a user named "Szymanski" and I thought it should be worth sharing it here as an avenue to enlighten newbies about how long the previous Bitcoin bear and bull period lasted, so as to have an idea what to expect in this current bear market and also the potential value Bitcoin might skyrocket immediately we enter the next bull period.

So in the image below, you could see that;

- In 2018-2019 Bear Run, it lasted for 365 days, while falling in value at 84%
- In 2019-2022 Bull Run, it lasted for 1065 days, while rising in value at 2000%
- In 2022-2023 Bear Run, it lasted for 365 days, while falling in value at 77%
- In 2023-2025 Bull Run, it lasted for 1066 days, while rising in value at 715%

And currently now,

-In 2025-2026 Bear Run, Bitcoin have just fallen more than 73% to 100% of it's previous All Time High (i.e from $126,200) and it is expected to last for another 365 days.

-In 2026-2028 Bull Run, Bitcoin is expected to rise by 817%. Which also implies that by end of 2028/2029, the price of Bitcoin is expected to hit approximately $400,000 per BTC.


So with that in mind, it clearly implies that now is the best time to keep accumulating as much Bitcoin as possible and stop procrastinating, because for the fact that the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating now at this Bear Run, it simply doesn't mean it's going to remain like this forever. So stay strong and don't be scared.

[freedomgo]

So you’re saying we’re already in a bear market now?

Well, if that’s really what’s happening, then I’m not too worried about it.
Sure, the price might dump again, and honestly I’d even welcome $50k if it happens so I can accumulate more.

Just following the trend, there’s nothing much to panic about. Eventually Bitcoin will recover anyway. It might take time, but bear seasons are usually opportunities for those who don’t panic and just stay patient.

[FortuneFollower]

The green always follows the red in its tracks. On BTC chart or any other - it doesn't really matter

[Dunamisx]

The confidence we all have is that Bitcoin always increases in value with time, the present situation may look bearish for now, but all these fall are on season for each of the market experience we had, that is why we can always hold while the market is falling to the time it will start rising, this is the best strategy to do if we are intentional about applying it to buy more at every fall and then continue holding till the bull season.

[Lida93]

It's not a factor that is new about the bull and bear run seasons we have in the bitcoin market, it's a thing that smart investors have deliberately taken advantage of to build their portfolio through the use of different strategies convenient with them. It would interest some of us to know that there are investors that sit and wait for bitcoin bear market to buy in lumpsum as they can, only to wait again to sell and make profit at their projected price from their analysis during bull run. The falling of the price of bitcoin has always established itself as an opportunity to make profit while buying bitcoin at cheap rate.

[Iranus]

In fact real life data is not so balanced. We have seen before that when Bitcoin fall from peak it take about 12 to 18 month to bottom. Again it take more time to recover that lost glory than from collapse. As of now I see Bitcoin only about 50% off its recent top which is nothing more than a mid cycle blip, not a final bottom yet.

Actually o one can swear that Bitcoin will reach $400000 by 2028. Because every cycle is different and now ETF or big institutional money game can change the whole pattern. So I would never dream of a fixed percentage, I am more comfortable with dollar cost averaging.

[NurseHub]

This predictions can be quite the hint for how everything flows but not the actual reality of bitcoin in this bear market or the bull run that just finished but it only means that if you consider this you will be prepared for each steps or pattern bitcoin chooses to follow, bitcoin is going to always do well after each seasonal crash. but some times we know this but still don't trust bitcoin enough to take the bold step by bulling as much as we can.

[BitMaxz]

The image you provided above seems suspicious, or it might be old.
Look at the latest one, which is far from that image, or possibly it is an edited or old image.



As you can see, it already breaks the higher low, which is, for me, considered bearish, but like you said, this is not forever; we are in a good position to actually accumulate more.
However, this does not mean the BTC price right now will reverse. It might reverse, but it is still possible it is just a retracement for a healthy downtrend.

I'm still not confident to go all in, but doing it with the DCA method will give us a path to spot the bottom price while holding because no one could predict the future but we are in a cheap price.

[Renampun]

So with that in mind, it clearly implies that now is the best time to keep accumulating as much Bitcoin as possible and stop procrastinating, because for the fact that the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating now at this Bear Run, it simply doesn't mean it's going to remain like this forever. So stay strong and don't be scared.

When the market situation is like this, accumulation is the best way to get bitcoin at a lower price, bitcoin may appear to be under pressure in the short term, but now is the best time to accumulate because in the long term, bitcoin prices will move up in line with increasing investor optimism and higher adoption by institutions. so there is no need to worry too much and just accumulate because prices will recover and definitely reach new highs when the market cycle reverses and sentiment turns positive.

[Alphakilo]

So with that in mind, it clearly implies that now is the best time to keep accumulating as much Bitcoin as possible and stop procrastinating, because for the fact that the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating now at this Bear Run, it simply doesn't mean it's going to remain like this forever. So stay strong and don't be scared.

When the market situation is like this, accumulation is the best way to get bitcoin at a lower price, bitcoin may appear to be under pressure in the short term, but now is the best time to accumulate because in the long term, bitcoin prices will move up in line with increasing investor optimism and higher adoption by institutions. so there is no need to worry too much and just accumulate because prices will recover and definitely reach new highs when the market cycle reverses and sentiment turns positive.

It can't always be rosy for Bitcoin investment that's why the bear and bull seasons exist. If you think we are in a bear season, I would agree because am experiencing the effect too with traders only trading at some peak hours and price drop which is certain.
One thing I know is that the price would rise definitely, but am sure a major cause of this dip is due to institutional adoption that is more of a thing in 2026 than it was early last. Am seeing a balancing act ongoing and Bitcoin price would of course rise before we get to end of this year hopefully.

[Japinat]

If this is the start of the bear season, then let's seize this opportunity to buy more and hodl more while bitcoin price is affordable. No need to worry and sell in panic, because honestly that won't never help at all.

Instead, let's look at the positive side of the bearish market. This can be a great opportunity to enter bitcoin investment for newbies in the market, and for old investors, this paves way to maximize our bitcoin in our portfolio so that we can sell and make massive returns when bitcoin price starts to recover and reaches another all time high.

[Ryu_Ar1]

If indeed we refer to this condition and the calculation of days as a form of initial speculation, it means that the possibility of a decline or perhaps more precisely the bearish referred to in the 365 days has already begun and will end (at the peak of the bearish) in November this year before actually returning to the bullish phase.

Although indeed this looks very good and provides a certain hope for some parties because it provides a reference, but keep in mind further this is also not a certainty even though several times it looks right but not necessarily this is really happening again.
We just need to stay comfortable with the current period and try to enjoy the process. Obviously when it comes to the condition of our portfolios, it's obvious that it's going to be a little bit smaller than before but that's not a reason for us to leave when it's still not too bad because it was bound to happen from the beginning.

[Emeraldo]

The confidence we all have is that Bitcoin always increases in value with time, the present situation may look bearish for now, but all these fall are on season for each of the market experience we had, that is why we can always hold while the market is falling to the time it will start rising, this is the best strategy to do if we are intentional about applying it to buy more at every fall and then continue holding till the bull season.

We have been experiencing different seasons in this crypto age and now that the price if Bitcoin is not stable, this is not the time we have to think that the bear market is not part of the seasonal expectation invetsors and trades should anticipate.
The reality of Bitcoin is bigger than what we can imagine and people need to understand that their is no way they can make quick money from investing in Bitcoin until they are ready to be patient and make proper investment.

[lionheart78]

-In 2025-2026 Bear Run, Bitcoin have just fallen more than 73% to 100% of it's previous All Time High (i.e from $126,200) and it is expected to last for another 365 days.

According to the record this statistic is yet happened, Bitcoin has only fallen a little more than 50% of its ATH so I wonder where did you get this statistics from.  A bit faulty and exaggerated.  100%? Lol, are you saying Bitcoin is going back to $1 or zero?

-In 2026-2028 Bull Run, Bitcoin is expected to rise by 817%. Which also implies that by end of 2028/2029, the price of Bitcoin is expected to hit approximately $400,000 per BTC.

If we look at the Bitcoin cycle, bear market may last for 2 to 3 years, so your expected time is somewhat off, besides, are you not too optimistic?  If we look at the price history, each cycle reduces the ratio on how much Bitcoin ATH growth from its previous ATH.  So saying $400k is too much, IMHO.  More likely, Bitcoin will only reach $200k-$250k if Bitcoin still follows the price pattern of the previous cycles.

[Chinesebaby]

The image you provided above seems suspicious, or it might be old.
Look at the latest one, which is far from that image, or possibly it is an edited or old image.

You are absolutely correct that mine might be an old chart, because I just compared the two charts on the image and they actually looks different, despite both starting from 2018 till now 2026. Which is actually 8years Bitcoin chart timeframe. But one thing that stays the same is the strong momentum Bitcoin kicks after each bear Run.

-In 2025-2026 Bear Run, Bitcoin have just fallen more than 73% to 100% of it's previous All Time High (i.e from $126,200) and it is expected to last for another 365 days.

According to the record this statistic is yet happened, Bitcoin has only fallen a little more than 50% of its ATH so I wonder where did you get this statistics from.  A bit faulty and exaggerated.  100%? Lol, are you saying Bitcoin is going back to $1 or zero?

Oh sorry, it was a mistake from my end, and also, thanks for the correction regarding the percentage fall in the current value of Bitcoin which mistaken stated 70% instead of 50% of the current Bitcoin All Time High.

[Darker45]

To those who aren't scared, these figures look interesting. But to those who are scared, these figures might not matter at all. In other words, facts, objective data, historical charts, and whatnot might not stop an emotional person from feeling fearful or even panic-selling. Their anxiety and pointless imaginations could easily get the better of them and they end up making decisions based on strong emotions rather than data.

And currently now,

-In 2025-2026 Bear Run, Bitcoin have just fallen more than 73% to 100% of it's previous All Time High (i.e from $126,200) and it is expected to last for another 365 days.

What are you saying? Bitcoin hasn't even fallen more than 50% yet.

[pooya87]

~
Oh sorry, it was a mistake from my end, and also, thanks for the correction regarding the percentage fall in the current value of Bitcoin which mistaken stated 70% instead of 50% of the current Bitcoin All Time High.

You are misinterpreting the chart they posted. 73% drop they showed on the chart is a speculation and they are saying when the bear market ends the price will have had dropped 73% (to $32k?) which I think is impossible to predict on charts since how long this drop will last depends on a lot of things that are already unpredictable considering this drop is not normal like the previous ones. It shouldn't have started like this at this stage.

-In 2026-2028 Bull Run, Bitcoin is expected to rise by 817%. Which also implies that by end of 2028/2029, the price of Bitcoin is expected to hit approximately $400,000 per BTC.

You are misinterpreting the chart again. They are speculating the 817% rise from the bottom of the crash ($30k-ish) which means they expect it to reach somewhere around $250k not $400k.

I personally think the current drop is all due to global recession and increasing international tensions. The moment these two issues are lifted, bitcoin will start soaring and will break all records very quickly. So I'd actually speculate $400k myself not the $250k they did.

In any case your topic's message is a valid one though. We may not be able to predict the exact bottom and the next ATH but we are too familiar with this pattern of crash, side ways, recovery, rally where we set a new ATH. The crash phase is nothing to worry about, it is an opportunity to buy bitcoin at a discount.

[TheUltraElite]

What I understand is that red will follow green and vice versa. No asset will always remain in red or in green. This might not be true for altcoins but bitcoin surely follows this. Hence if we are in a bear run, this is the time to buy and fill your pockets. This stash will he sold when the bull run starts and we cross the current all time high. Again it will drop back to a level higher than the current bear market average. This cycle will continue forever as long as bitcoin is being traded and there is nothing wrong with it.

Our objective should be to buy at cheap and sell at expensive price.

[Oasisman]

So with that in mind, it clearly implies that now is the best time to keep accumulating as much Bitcoin as possible and stop procrastinating, because for the fact that the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating now at this Bear Run, it simply doesn't mean it's going to remain like this forever. So stay strong and don't be scared.

But, is it really wise to throw as much money as you can into Bitcoin at the current price? Or does it make more sense to accumulate gradually? Like you've said, we’re already in a bear market,but how far along are we really? Historical data shows BTC has been in a downtrend since around October 2025, which puts us at less than four months in. That suggests there’s still a real chance it could drop even further possibly even toward the $50k level.

Don’t get me wrong, accumulating during periods of fear has historically rewarded long term hodlers. But that only works if you’re prepared to sit through volatility and don’t overextend yourself. Assuming the same price levels or timelines every cycle is where people usually get burned.

We’re all here trying to accumulate during bearish seasons, but doing it carefully is how you actually maximize the opportunity.

[Strongkored]

Fear is natural when seeing assets fall, especially if you don't have enough knowledge about Bitcoin and buy just because you're attracted to quick profits.
However, those who have held Bitcoin for a long time will see this as normal.
Bitcoin has been rising and falling for a long time; it is impossible to expect it to always go up. In fact, this is an opportunity to buy again if you happened to sell it at last year's ATH.