Humans are bad at predicting things especially crypto prices.

[0xredhot]

I just want to pour little honest wine here, because humans are really bad at predicting things, anything I predicted or others did was always wrong we just simply cant see the future, that is why I trade futures and perps on perpmate for sake of fun sometimes it works sometimes it does not, if you look at CZs tweets he also said supercycle 2026 and then something changed FUD came in CZ said its being cancelled if ex ceo of biggest crypto exchange cant predict neither can you, and just want to be honest about it, sometimes I do make money in a way I say to myself I think BTC will go up then I think in reverse, yeah let me short it then and it eventually goes down.

[Rruchi man]

I just want to pour little honest wine here, because humans are really bad at predicting things, anything I predicted or others did was always wrong we just simply cant see the future,..

It is why it is called a prediction because there is always room for uncertainty; predictions are just likely outcomes based on what people think. Even AI cannot know for sure the future, even with all the data it has and can analyze.

Having this knowledge, you will trust and follow less the predictions of people and machines, even if the people making predictions have titles to their names that make it seem less likely for them to be wrong.

[Ruttoshi]

Irrespective of your status and personality, you cannot predict the future because the future is beyond your imagination or understanding. Bitcoin is a speculative asset which makes it easy for anyone to come up with their own price speculations on bitcoin but it has proven almost 99% of them wrong.

I don't bother myself anymore on whatever price speculation I hear, what I focus more is to keep my DCA ongoing because in the past I made a wrong decision due to my own wrong price speculation that led to losses.

[joeperry]

I just want to pour little honest wine here, because humans are really bad at predicting things, anything I predicted or others did was always wrong we just simply cant see the future, that is why I trade futures and perps on perpmate for sake of fun sometimes it works sometimes it does not, if you look at CZs tweets he also said supercycle 2026 and then something changed FUD came in CZ said its being cancelled if ex ceo of biggest crypto exchange cant predict neither can you, and just want to be honest about it, sometimes I do make money in a way I say to myself I think BTC will go up then I think in reverse, yeah let me short it then and it eventually goes down.

I'm about to say the last part of your post "If you think it's going up, go down" actually I tried doing that but it's just the same a normal prediction since you really not in control with the price movement. Honestly, no one can really predict the right movement that's why most traders only trade 1% of their total asset, but it's different if you only have $10-$100 since it would took you months before you can at least have 50% profit and I know that it's really time consuming but if you are brave enough, leverage trading/future trading is good, you don't need to have high win rate in trading, a 40% win rate is profitable compared to 70% win rate, the key is good risk control and not perfect accuracy, as long as your wins are bigger than your losses, you'd still grow your account.

[BitMaxz]

So you mean bots or AI can predict the future?

I don't know what you think about the supercycle. CZ has nothing to do with the price of crypto. The supercycle he means the next cycle where we should experience bearishness, just like what happened in the past cycle.

If you are pointing to AI as the best tool to predict the prices, I don't think AI can predict the future.
All predictions came from other traders or even the ex-CEO; it's just a prediction, meaning it might happen or not because it's a prediction. No one would be able to determine the future price, but analysis could help to look for high probabilities. It's not 100% bulletproof, but if you have some basis in analyzing a chart, you can be able to find those high probabilities of where the price could go.

[0xredhot]

Only president of U.S. can probably predict the price correctly, I mean not exact value but if its gonna go up or down in next minutes or hours, especially based on what he says or does.

[Marykeller]

The irony of life, nobody can predict the future or see what the future holds for anyone of us on the things we do. What we are doing are guessing work not that we are too sure about the prediction we make.

Crypto market is unpredictable. Anyone making predictions to that end, to get it right are just a joker because they will be left disappointed of how the market will be played out

Only president of U.S. can probably predict the price correctly, I mean not exact value but if its gonna go up or down in next minutes or hours, especially based on what he says or does.

That's pure lies. The president of US can never and will never predict the price of Bitcoin correctly. It haven't happened before. Don't live on such believe that they can control the market to be positive or negative for some time, that gives the momentum to predict the exact price Bitcoin would be.

[AVE5]

Bitcoin had ever been unpredictable due to its decentralization and while we say it's a psychological driving market that can only be manipulated, when there're those buying, there're also them selling at the same time from different ends.
So there's absolutely no assurance that your prediction is guaranteed.
CZ has no special position in the market prediction, Winning on any trade order is always unpredictable and while day-to-day trading may be more risky, future trading where you hold your asset for long term with a minimum price target is the best strategy to win.

[uchegod-21]

I just want to pour little honest wine here, because humans are really bad at predicting things, anything I predicted or others did was always wrong we just simply cant see the future, that is why I trade futures and perps on perpmate for sake of fun sometimes it works sometimes it does not, if you look at CZs tweets he also said supercycle 2026 and then something changed FUD came in CZ said its being cancelled if ex ceo of biggest crypto exchange cant predict neither can you, and just want to be honest about it, sometimes I do make money in a way I say to myself I think BTC will go up then I think in reverse, yeah let me short it then and it eventually goes down.

If the outcome of the future ìs always known, there wouldn't be need for any prediction. Even AI models are still faced with this same challenge of accurately predicting the future and the prices of crypto. All predictions are usually done base on the data available for the public to see and the previous experiences. The market is dynamic, so when one predicts and it does not come as predicted, it is not a sign of incompetence, it just shows that the more new information comes in, probability changes.

[el kaka22]

I would like to agree, many people still do not see the four year cycle of bitcoin and yet some reason they still make a loss even though it is so out in the open and known and happened so many times. This makes me sad, people who loses money this year is not really doing something that would make sense, we should be able to make a living out of this four year cycle historical pattern and instead there are people who lose money.

We could make a lot of money by just selling at the bear year when it drops 75% and buy some, and then when it reaches 5 times that price, or basically over the ATH price, we can put the stop loss at previous loss (in this case 125k) and just keep holding until it goes up and sell when it starts to crash.

[RockBell]

Irrespective of your status and personality, you cannot predict the future because the future is beyond your imagination or understanding. Bitcoin is a speculative asset which makes it easy for anyone to come up with their own price speculations on bitcoin but it has proven almost 99% of them wrong.

Even if you can predict it you can not be always correct because if the market was that predictable then a lot of things are going to happen especially, but when you have the right knowledge and intentions they I don't need to worry about predicting the market if not that you are trading I don't see the reason why you want to be bothering your self about the market a lot of things have been happening and this is why when you choose to be concerned about the market you will only end up selling.

I don't bother myself anymore on whatever price speculation I hear, what I focus more is to keep my DCA ongoing because in the past I made a wrong decision due to my own wrong price speculation that led to losses.

And people need to be prepared before they start anything so that they won't be having the same challenges they are having now because a lot of things have been happening and we don't even have power over and no matter what focusing on DCA is very and extremely important there is nothing you can do when the market starts going down because you can speculate but don't be to certain.