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Author Topic: The world is speculating about Bitcoin.  (Read 135 times)
YOSHIE (OP)
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February 18, 2026, 04:50:07 AM
 #1

My discussion refers to predictions/speculation currently circulating.
Example:
1. BTC predicted growth statistics
2. Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2025-2040
3. USERS TRUST US

Yes, we know that Bitcoin has been running for 16 years, Bitcoin's growth has only reached $126k, how do they predict and speculate that the price of Bitcoin could reach $500k - $1 million in the near future, say 2030.

My question to all of you:
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.
* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.

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February 18, 2026, 08:24:09 AM
 #2

I will not speculate up to $500k-$1 million for the next period as a new ATH that Bitcoin could reach. I think a price of $200k-$250k would already satisfy me for the next bullish period. That price change would certainly be enough for some holders to sell some of their Bitcoin and possibly make the market move more slowly. And for higher leveraged prices, it might be achievable over a longer period. 
I read existing speculations, but not all of them. It's also interesting to read the reasons behind the speculations given. But of course, they are not reasons that can make us fully believe them.

 
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February 18, 2026, 08:51:36 AM
 #3

My discussion refers to predictions/speculation currently circulating.
Example:
1. BTC predicted growth statistics
2. Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2025-2040
3. USERS TRUST US

Yes, we know that Bitcoin has been running for 16 years, Bitcoin's growth has only reached $126k, how do they predict and speculate that the price of Bitcoin could reach $500k - $1 million in the near future, say 2030.

My question to all of you:
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.
* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.
This speculation of bitcoin price reaching $500k in 4years from now look a bit far more like exaggeration. I don't believe in any of this speculation, my believe is that believe the price will always surge higher than the former ATH.
For new ATH , we should speculate the price of bitcoin to be around $200k, but anything around $500k may not be achievable because the gap from the previous ATH is really much.

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February 18, 2026, 09:55:38 AM
 #4

Too much speculation has been circulating from the previous year (2025) about the price of bitcoin in the coming cycle with these statements from financial experts ranging from $500K to $1M already circulating in many articles... But I myself don't believe this prediction, if it goes up to $1M for the next cycle then the next ATH needs 10x from before...
Anything can actually happen it's just that in my view bitcoin is at least $300K in 2030.

Currently, from the sources listed about bitcoin price speculation, I still don't believe it, because I haven't seen how bitcoin moves, I will just follow the market flow.

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February 18, 2026, 11:25:26 AM
 #5

Oh my God, $500k is way too much of a number to speculate about bitcoin in the next four years, that is obviously a huge number, the speculation is way too much, I have been buying bitcoin for some years now but I wouldn’t speculate Bitcoin, I wouldn’t believe this number mostly because of the sources that are speculating about the price of bitcoin, We know that bitcoin will always surge and we would always continue to have different ATH when it comes to buying and investing in bitcoin, I would have to suggest that if I want to speculate about bitcoin I would only be more interested in speculating to $200k which I think that would still be more accurate when investing in bitcoin it’s more sensible to just focus on buying and holding bitcoin instead of speculating which I think it’s totally unnecessary.

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February 18, 2026, 11:42:29 AM
 #6

My question to all of you:
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.

The fifth ATH and upcoming halving should be in about 20 years from now if I’m not mistaken, that’s quite a very long term that if Bitcoin continues to maintain this growth spontaneously, it would have reached a price we cannot quite imagine from now. We are talking about the price of bitcoin worthing about even much more than the predicted speculated price of bitcoin now. The consistency is what matters the most and if bitcoin can maintain that, it’ll reach higher prices we don’t even imagine truly.

Quote
* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.

I actually have my own summary of words but when I see speculations about bitcoin that are in relation to my own summary of words, I take to pick interest and actually chip in my opinions. Some speculations always looks unrealistic and when I see them, I don’t even bother considering them, so I just stay clear off such ones.

 
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February 18, 2026, 01:11:03 PM
 #7

Although I want to see Bitcoin reach $500k-$1 million, I realize that will not happens in short. Maybe next few years but no clue for that so that will just speculation if you see some people saying about that.

No need to take seriously their speculation because no one knows the truth. But if you believes that will happens in next few years, you should prepares from now by accumulating more Bitcoin. That helps you to be ready for the coming that can happens anytime.

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February 18, 2026, 01:34:19 PM
 #8

My question to all of you:
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.
* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.

Maybe we can look at it's previous highs:

1. 2017 - $19k
2. 2021 - $69k
3. 2025 - $126k

So from 2017-2021 there is a increased of 3.5%. And from 2021-2025, the increased is 1.8%. But the question is what will drive the market in the next 2 bull runs to have a significant increased to reach $500k or even $1 million?

As what we have seen, 2017-2021 was driven by the ICO and the hype of Bitcoin.
2021-2021 is ETF and institutional investors.

Will making Bitcoin Quantum Resistant in the future and obviously scarcity will be the factor to make Bitcoin grow in the next two bull runs?


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February 18, 2026, 01:40:23 PM
 #9

Yes, we know that Bitcoin has been running for 16 years, Bitcoin's growth has only reached $126k, how do they predict and speculate that the price of Bitcoin could reach $500k - $1 million in the near future, say 2030.

My question to all of you:
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.
* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.

After $126k was reached as Bitcoin's last ATH to date, I have been observing the price market closely and I can find a reason for how I should respond to the price.
It's not about disbelief, but rather about appreciating every Bitcoin price speculation that is willing to do so, which will reach an ATH that exceeds $126k.
I am more focused on Bitcoin's four-year cycle. From my perspective, there is no speculation on Bitcoin's price for a new ATH because every Bitcoin price is a blessing for me. Low prices allow me to own Bitcoin at a different price than $100k.

R


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February 18, 2026, 01:42:58 PM
 #10

Everyone is just talking it’s not for bitcoin to hit this $500k figure forgotten that bitcoin can be so unpredictable and that’s what makes it the most volatile asset. You can’t rely on bitcoins past performances to judge the outcome of what’s going to happen in the future. Nothing is impossible In bitcoin and at the same time nothing is a guarantee. There’s a possibility that it can hit such figure with the next 4 years time and also there’s a possibility it can’t happen. There’s so many factors responsible for bitcoin price fluctuations and a lot of this factors are not known to us.

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February 18, 2026, 04:22:32 PM
 #11

My question to all of you:
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.
I am still thinking of where I can drive my analysis to oversight what this long term future speculation would be because the period of time we are should be about 3 years ahead and that is if it is subjected that the last bullish event is overdue (elapsed) and if Bitcoin would still follow it 4 years cycle.

The recent ATH was $126K which we believe it was a spike of institutional investors aggressive buying of Bitcoins and the Donald Trump's (political) invoment.

I am speculating that this upcoming halving will cut a short to an ATH likely to attain X2 of the current ATH following the potential momentum of when these late institution buying of Bitcoins will be effective.
So I see $250K + coming by then.


* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.
I don't  believe in others speculations neither is mine authentic. I am holding in the long term and I will just watch the show playing without worries.











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Tmoonz
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February 18, 2026, 04:43:50 PM
 #12

Oh my God, $500k is way too much of a number to speculate about bitcoin in the next four years, that is obviously a huge number, the speculation is way too much, I have been buying bitcoin for some years now but I wouldn’t speculate Bitcoin, I wouldn’t believe this number mostly because of the sources that are speculating about the price of bitcoin, We know that bitcoin will always surge and we would always continue to have different ATH when it comes to buying and investing in bitcoin, I would have to suggest that if I want to speculate about bitcoin I would only be more interested in speculating to $200k which I think that would still be more accurate when investing in bitcoin it’s more sensible to just focus on buying and holding bitcoin instead of speculating which I think it’s totally unnecessary.
There is nothing wrong speculating about the price of Bitcoin, what do you expect from a volatile asset like Bitcoin of course it is a speculative asset and while we shouldn't say that it is unnecessary though it can become problematic when you give so much reliance and high hopes over your speculation which may or may end up not happening, $500k might seems unrealistic to happen in the next four years but who knows? No one actually knows for sure what it can become of within that four years of time, doubts and believes will only be cleared at the expiration of the fucking four years.

 
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February 18, 2026, 04:49:44 PM
 #13

~snip~
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.


I wouldn't even call it speculation, but only guesses considering that it is about something that will happen in 2+ years. We all hope that the new ATH will be significantly higher than the last one, but I am of the opinion that we should be realistic and not expect anything more than 50% to max 100% compared to the last ATH.

* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.

Absolutely not, especially not in the ones that you set up, considering that source is in CEXs who just want the best possible business results and will do everything to achieve them. In short, you can't expect someone to be objective and realistic about such things, especially at a time when most people are selling convinced that the bear market has just start.

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February 19, 2026, 05:13:10 AM
 #14

When I want to speculate on ATH I always see the bottom of bearish against the ATH. For the most recent bullrun we got roughly 6x of gain, meaning if we bottomed out at $45k for this cycle and heading toward another bullrun cycle which might be coming in few years or even less.
Expect that kind of gain minus some diminishing return. In my moderate speculation it'd be about 3x for the most pessimistic scenario from $45k or 5x for the most optimistic scenario. Remember that is if the bottom is ta $45k.

It could be lower, who knows.

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February 19, 2026, 06:13:37 AM
 #15

When I want to speculate on ATH I always see the bottom of bearish against the ATH. For the most recent bullrun we got roughly 6x of gain, meaning if we bottomed out at $45k for this cycle and heading toward another bullrun cycle which might be coming in few years or even less.
Expect that kind of gain minus some diminishing return. In my moderate speculation it'd be about 3x for the most pessimistic scenario from $45k or 5x for the most optimistic scenario. Remember that is if the bottom is ta $45k.

It could be lower, who knows.

When I speculate about Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high (ATH), I usually compare the potential upside from the bear market bottom to the previous cycle’s performance. In the most recent bull run, Bitcoin delivered roughly a 6× gain from the cycle bottom to the peak.
It’s important to remember that these projections are speculative models based on historical cycle behavior, not guarantees. External factors such as macroeconomic conditions, institutional adoption, regulation, liquidity, and global risk appetite will heavily influence future performance and speculation should always be paired with risk management, position sizing, and realistic expectations, historical patterns can provide context, but they do not predict the future with certainty
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February 19, 2026, 03:02:53 PM
 #16

Everyone can speculate about the Bitcoin price, But it will be the same as In previous years, When people doubted bitcoin would reach $100,000, But in reality, bitcoin managed to reach $126,000. So, I assume the bitcoin price will continue to record new highs, But everything takes time, and we must be patient.

Furthermore, In my observation, weak investors continue to sell Bitcoin out of fear and because they are mentally unprepared to accept loss, as no one knows when a downturn will occur.
Therefore, Patience and continued buying are good steps to take advantage of Buying opportunities at low price, Such as the current market conditions.
The winners are those who can Hold through a downturn like the current one. Regarding the price, It just takes patience to see the reality.
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February 19, 2026, 03:56:32 PM
 #17

Yes, we know that Bitcoin has been running for 16 years, Bitcoin's growth has only reached $126k, how do they predict and speculate that the price of Bitcoin could reach $500k - $1 million in the near future, say 2030.

Everyone is free to predict Bitcoin's price based on their own analysis. However, any prediction can be realistic or overly optimistic. Of the predictions I've seen circulating online, most are somewhat overblown.

Quote
* So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.

I have my own beliefs and don't easily believe any predictions on the internet. If I feel like it's not very realistic, I'll just skip it and assume it's not important because many predictions on the internet are made without in-depth analysis, just to get people's attention.

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February 19, 2026, 04:07:25 PM
 #18

My question to all of you:
* How much Bitcoin Speculation for a new ATH/upcoming halving, say the fifth ATH.

My prediction for the next bull run is that Bitcoin will double its current all-time high. But I am not doubting that it will not get to $500k because Bitcoin has the capacity to reach that height.

Quote
So, do you believe in Bitcoin price speculation that exists in various sources or do you have your own summary of notes.

Sometimes I read predictions from different sources. But I am more interested in the reason behind their predictions. I believe the ones that are in line with my views and I forgo the others. I always bear in mind that Bitcoin price is unpredictable so I expect the best and also prepare for the worst.

R


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Today at 01:53:24 AM
 #19

Everyone can speculate about the Bitcoin price, But it will be the same as In previous years, When people doubted bitcoin would reach $100,000, But in reality, bitcoin managed to reach $126,000. So, I assume the bitcoin price will continue to record new highs, But everything takes time, and we must be patient.

Furthermore, In my observation, weak investors continue to sell Bitcoin out of fear and because they are mentally unprepared to accept loss, as no one knows when a downturn will occur.
Therefore, Patience and continued buying are good steps to take advantage of Buying opportunities at low price, Such as the current market conditions.
The winners are those who can Hold through a downturn like the current one. Regarding the price, It just takes patience to see the reality.
As long as we keep having the same four year cycle, it is not really that complicated to know when this will happen. In 2028 we will have another halving, which means that 2028 is the year it will start to recover, not until halving though, it will stay under 125k until 2028, so it will go down and won't go up until that moment.

After the halving of 2028, we are going to see a volatile period, where it will have some big ups, and some big downs, but overall we will finish 2028 higher than we started it. Then the real fun part begins, in 2029 we are going to see a huge bull run, probably 200k will be broken and maybe even more, I really hope for 250k because quarter of a million is great. Then in 2030 we are going to crash pretty hard.

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Today at 02:21:02 AM
 #20

Like the other members here, I don't believe the predictions others might have made. Just because it is speculation. There's no 100% certainty it will happen. It's just so hard to really focus right now, knowing that it could be a good or bad prediction; there's just nothing you can assume to be helpful in the prediction. Of course, there are TAs involved, etc., but it's still not perfect.

The prediction of a new ATH might be far off, but one thing is for sure: there will be a lot to happen, like more regulations and adoption by different kinds of people recognizing BTC as valuable and a hedge against inflation.

 
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