Do you fully rely on stats before placing a bet?

[asriloni]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

To begin with the stats of club don't really guarantee us to win the game. It's important in helping us to forecast the future result. yet the outcome still depends on the players performance. Players performance is the most crucial aspect in determining out bet result.

In example, when we saw Juve fought Como. I believe majority of bettors might be rooting for Juve. However unexpected thing happened to them. All of their players underperform. So they lost two nil to Como.

It's the best example how players performance can overcome the stats. It's the hardest thing to predict since it happens only during the live event.

[Awaklara]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

We can use all of them to place bets. But for each match, we might need to take a different approach or use one that is more dominant.
Statistical data alone cannot give us a 100% chance of winning. We don’t need a reason for this because there are factors in the game that we cannot predict. Using instinct sometimes works, sometimes it doesn’t. We can actually combine both to find our own analysis results. Even after all that, is there a gambler who never loses? Gambling always involves an element of luck that we cannot control.

[TopTort777]

Stats play big role in placing bet, but in sports that I love to bet (MMA), stats not always help. In MMA, if one fighter is an underdog and a huge underdog, his chances of winning are still high. Numerous times I saw how fighters with 3-5 odds destroy their opponents. And it wasnt even a lucky punch that brought them victory. Those underdogs were mauling their opponents, favorites, like babies. For MMA, stats dont show full information how well prepared will be the fighter. Camp, weight-cut, injuries play huge roll, but they are not considered by stats or odds, because such info is unknown.

[danherbias07]

I will always try to add instincts to my bets.

You are right, it feels like many times the bets are against us, even though a large portion of gamblers are betting on the same side. I think they are doing it for that purpose. They want all gamblers to side with the favorite, even though the results will be different.
I don't really know, maybe it's also us. It's our greed that makes us lose, and probably because we are adding spreads that are unreachable. This is something that is really hard to explain, and I think we keep on losing in different ways.

[iBaba]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

We can use all of them to place bets. But for each match, we might need to take a different approach or use one that is more dominant.
Statistical data alone cannot give us a 100% chance of winning. We don’t need a reason for this because there are factors in the game that we cannot predict. Using instinct sometimes works, sometimes it doesn’t. We can actually combine both to find our own analysis results. Even after all that, is there a gambler who never loses? Gambling always involves an element of luck that we cannot control.

In forming any strong gambling or betting decision, I think the best approach is to use a mixed strategy unless if you are very sure of either of the strategies. For instance in a game where statistical data analysis is only required for you to make a decision, don’t hesitate to work with the data and you don’t have to start implementing the issue with your opponent instinct especially when data has clearly shown you the way.

Using instincts sometimes plus your own read could comprehensively make it easier for you to make a good win. Instincts sometimes work on the basis of your experience which you must have deductively used to arrive at that line of thought and that is the benefit of using your instincts but if you must use it correctly and sufficiently, you must have read which is giving you the informed decision of confidently working with your instincts.

[salad daging]

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Even if you rely on a lot of statistics from paid sites it will not guarantee you consistently win in betting, statistics are only a possibility in the hope that you can increase the odds, not a definite chance.

I've relied on stats from - AiScore, Flashscore, Grok, or any other AI that gives full data about the match but in reality it still misses a lot, so nothing is consistent.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Yep it's combined with strong instincts, every bet will definitely look at statistical data, but our instincts can also play a role in taking betting steps.

[_act_]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

It has been around 3 weeks ago that I bet on sport, I have been playing casino games instead for now, especially the roulettes. This is the one that I am using to have fun recently and I am using small amount of money. The problem with sport for me is that after all the analyses, as you are about to take the match, most are of small odds. The matches with the possibilities of the club that you chose to win are of small odds. I mean you will choose small odds. That alone is what the bookie are using to make money from people. This is not just about how good you are in the stat but also about how lucky you can also be

[Inwestour]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

You can’t rely on statistics alone, you have to take absolutely everything into account, all the things we’ve discussed here hundreds of times. The team’s form, player injuries, and even how much rest a team has before a specific match.

Let’s take the freshest example, yesterday’s match between Real Madrid and Osasuna. Osasuna were in good form and had the whole week to rest before the game. Real on the other hand, had to play a midweek match against Benfica, it was an away game and a really tough one. So Real were the favorites in yesterday’s match, but since they were more fatigued, Osasuna looked fresher and ended up beating them.

What statistics can really show you that?

[AmaGold70]

Following statistics is not wrong, stats actually gives a bettor an information about a particular league, club form and pattern of play, following this statistics does not guarantee 100% winning but enables a bettor to make informed decision and predict informatively. Betting without stats is like betting blindly, when you compare people who follow stat and people who don't follow stats, their is a big difference and in all people who gamble with the help of stats makes more wins than betting with instinct. This is unlike following influencers and predictors who suggest games for you to play and sometimes influencers may not go deep in analysing their bets, but as a bettor you can make deep analysis regarding your bets with the help of stats.

[Gozie51]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Stats plus your own analytical capacity is what determines the outcome of your bet. I understand that most gamblers will look at what the websites are saying because they are more specific and unbiase with the AI support but you can't take away the place of luck from gambling. Therefore, it is a miss of both what the websites are saying and instinct. If you are gambling without checking on what the website groups are saying, it is like driving a vehicle without direction because the websites have more privilege information than a single person as they get insider information with rigorous research and contact.

[Fakhrulenclix]

Following statistics is not wrong, stats actually gives a bettor an information about a particular league, club form and pattern of play, following this statistics does not guarantee 100% winning but enables a bettor to make informed decision and predict informatively. Betting without stats is like betting blindly, when you compare people who follow stat and people who don't follow stats, their is a big difference and in all people who gamble with the help of stats makes more wins than betting with instinct. This is unlike following influencers and predictors who suggest games for you to play and sometimes influencers may not go deep in analysing their bets, but as a bettor you can make deep analysis regarding your bets with the help of stats.

I think almost everyone still relies on statistics as their guide in determining their betting choices, but that is not necessarily the case, but there are several other indications that influence it, but whatever it is, we all have to admit that the influence of following statistics to determine betting choices is very large and in my opinion it should also be prioritized regardless of the possibility of winning not being 100%, but at least it will be bigger than if we do not follow statistics to determine betting choices.

[blomen]

statistics can tell you a lot about many things before a match, but they are limited to what happened in past matches. often, dozens of different things happen in each match that didn't happen in the previous one, because this isn't just something made up of data determined by numbers; it's football or another game. you can never know what will happen on the field by looking at statistics. you can only see what is more likely to happen, look at what has happened recently, and make a more accurate prediction that way.

i don't think someone who makes predictions based solely on statistics will be successful in the long run, because the odds given in betting also rely on statistics.

[Outhue]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Are you saying that because stats are available gamblers wouldn't lose money? Every stats are still under complete prediction, they don't determine what will happen in the future. At this point all gamblers should be been wise that there is nothing you can do to be ahead of gambling, you will still lose money no matter what you do.

We are talking about many heads against you, how players will perform can never be predicted, they can be very active today and two out of the rest get weak for no reasons.

[iv4n]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I think you have some great points here. You explained why we shouldn't fully rely on stats & numbers. What happened in the past can happen again, or not... that's why it's all gambling.

I like to check stats and other info about a specific game before I place a bet, and I have good & bad streaks... It's hard to achieve a high winning rate in sports betting, and I guess that requires great analytical skills and following specific teams/leagues much more than average bettors do. Then you mix all that with numbers & instinct.

Since we are talking about it, do you have some nice picks for today's games? Are they based on stats, instinct, or is it a mix?

[DYOR+BTC]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

There is one thing about gambling that differentiate it from other activities which is unpredictability, some games may appear sure and accurate with the statistical records generated but at the end the results turns opposite. Not that statistical theory never works but it's chances are not hundred percent accurate just to confirm the unpredictability of gambling. Any gambler gambling with detail theories finds it difficult losing compared to those gambling based on assumptions as those theories helps identify what the possible outcome maybe even if it's not hundred percent accurate but it's probability is better compared to assumptional gambling.

[fredericktaylor]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I always prefer to gamble based on my own research, it is not possible to say for confirm what the outcome of gambling can be, the outcome of gambling is completely uncertain. So no matter how much we research and gamble, we have to depend on luck to win, only lucky people can win a lot of money by gambling. So by conducting gambling through research, you can protect yourself from the risk of losing extra money and you can control your emotions through gambling and you can control yourself within your own boundaries and always protect yourself from gambling addiction and this is a very important thing.

[joeperry]

Relying on stats is the most reliable way to analyze a game, it's the same as trading, traders do rely on stats, previous performance and data to predict what would more likely to happen in the feature. If you're going for a full instinct mode, it's like just placing a bet in slots or dice game. Instinct sometimes is good especially if you're watching the game live and you see how the team perform and there are times that you somehow knew that the opposing team is going to win, but relying that alone is like throwing a dart with a blindfold and it's much better to place bet on slots rather than sports betting.

Sports betting is different than normal game of chance since they have data and stats available online to be used in order to see which team would likely to win (but not always), so if you don't rely on stats or like instinct, then just play a regular game of chance results were pure random.

[Ever-young]

I think almost everyone still relies on statistics as their guide in determining their betting choices, but that is not necessarily the case, but there are several other indications that influence it, but whatever it is, we all have to admit that the influence of following statistics to determine betting choices is very large and in my opinion it should also be prioritized regardless of the possibility of winning not being 100%, but at least it will be bigger than if we do not follow statistics to determine betting choices.

That’s right. Stats are pretty much like the major compass and map of gamblers when making predictions, especially in sports betting. I believe there others who also follows their instincts even when the stats say otherwise, they’ll simply just ignore it and follow their instincts and honestly it works for them sometimes, just as following stats does. But I think IMO that stats are way more effective as this provides real life data and facts.

[GiftedMAN]

I always prefer to gamble based on my own research, it is not possible to say for confirm what the outcome of gambling can be, the outcome of gambling is completely uncertain. So no matter how much we research and gamble, we have to depend on luck to win, only lucky people can win a lot of money by gambling. So by conducting gambling through research, you can protect yourself from the risk of losing extra money and you can control your emotions through gambling and you can control yourself within your own boundaries and always protect yourself from gambling addiction and this is a very important thing.

Making your own research before gambling reduces your risk of losing money in gambling because you get the chance to remove some less performing teams before making your final decision. Going through head to head statistics and checking the teams previous games, their winning, losses and the number of injured players that will not be available in the game is a good way to ascertain the options you select before hoping to be lucky to win in your gamble. Making research doesn't stop you from losing money or getting addicted it only prevents you from making wrong predictions and increases your chances of winning.

[Slow death]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I only trust the numbers, but that doesn't mean it's a 100% guarantee of victory. The numbers only give us a chance to try and predict the outcome, and no prediction is ever 100% guaranteed to happen as we predicted. For example, a person might see that all the data points to a victory for team A, but during the game many players from team A get injured and receive red cards, causing team A to lose the game.