Do you fully rely on stats before placing a bet?

[impulse709]

I always prefer to gamble based on my own research, it is not possible to say for confirm what the outcome of gambling can be, the outcome of gambling is completely uncertain. So no matter how much we research and gamble, we have to depend on luck to win, only lucky people can win a lot of money by gambling. So by conducting gambling through research, you can protect yourself from the risk of losing extra money and you can control your emotions through gambling and you can control yourself within your own boundaries and always protect yourself from gambling addiction and this is a very important thing.

Making your own research before gambling reduces your risk of losing money in gambling because you get the chance to remove some less performing teams before making your final decision. Going through head to head statistics and checking the teams previous games, their winning, losses and the number of injured players that will not be available in the game is a good way to ascertain the options you select before hoping to be lucky to win in your gamble. Making research doesn't stop you from losing money or getting addicted it only prevents you from making wrong predictions and increases your chances of winning.

I concur with the fact that it is good to do your own research prior to making a bet but that does not mean one is bound to succeed. The result of gambling is never known and thus even with the amount of data you do, luck will always be a factor. Nevertheless, you can certainly prevent bad decisions by examining the head- to- head records, the recent form, injuries, and the general performance of a team. A research can guide you towards making better decisions than gambling. With that said, it is also true that research cannot act as the preventing factor of the losses or addiction. Self-control, treatment of bankroll and discipline are as critical as statistics as far as responsible gambling and sustainability are concerned.

[DPHOR]

These reasons we have to know that gambling is not just about the stats and information we do have from those sites but is solely relying on luck. When people gambles, or when they makes predictions based on the information gotten from most the gambling site they may end up not having winning because most times their could be physical challenges such as changes in weather, or any other thing that could likely affects your game. So winning does not directly depend on whether we have the right information on those sites.

[michellee]

Having stats helps us to have more things to analysis and we can mix with other data but that doesn't guarantee winning because that is just prediction. Only few gamblers can consistent wins and profitable long term and they have many requirements to becomes like them.

Stats will gain more information and they can analyzing more and finds the right team. But the data, the analysis, and other things you do will not guarantee to wins. Some gamblers use their instinct to choose the option but once again, no guarantee.

[Kelward]

Stats in modern sports bet is part of making analysis it doesn't guarantee wins but it helps bettors to have information on teams and players that they want to put their money on. We shouldn't rely on our stats that our bets must be accurate, it helps for clarity when predicting teams that we feel that has an edge over their opponents to win. Anyday that we begin to see perfect stats that will give all or most bettors sure wins then all the bet sites will gradually go bankrupt because they cannot meet up to be paying out. Rely only on your bankroll it is where you can control so don't use all your money to place bet because you understand statistics.

[crwth]

Well, it depends on the gambler, right? I know a lot of gamblers go in and just say f*ck it! And there are calculated gamblers that wants the advantage as much as possible. There are, for sure, a lot of differences between them, but I think that's where it lies, just luck or relying on stats.

If I were to really quantify myself, I would be more reliant on the stats just because the predictions could actually have an edge.

[sompitonov]

Well, it depends on the gambler, right? I know a lot of gamblers go in and just say f*ck it! And there are calculated gamblers that wants the advantage as much as possible. There are, for sure, a lot of differences between them, but I think that's where it lies, just luck or relying on stats.

If I were to really quantify myself, I would be more reliant on the stats just because the predictions could actually have an edge.

But statistics still won't give us a huge advantage, because many people see them and use various tools to help them, including AI. For example, bookmakers already have excellent statistical information, but as bettors, it's important to understand that their pre-match odds aren't particularly good and to identify the reasons why a particular team will perform better while other bettors don't see this advantage. Generally speaking, we should act like professionals, or at least strive to do so, rather than mindlessly betting—at least that's what I do.

[Beparanf]

Well, it depends on the gambler, right? I know a lot of gamblers go in and just say f*ck it! And there are calculated gamblers that wants the advantage as much as possible. There are, for sure, a lot of differences between them, but I think that's where it lies, just luck or relying on stats.

If I were to really quantify myself, I would be more reliant on the stats just because the predictions could actually have an edge.

But statistics still won't give us a huge advantage, because many people see them and use various tools to help them, including AI. For example, bookmakers already have excellent statistical information, but as bettors, it's important to understand that their pre-match odds aren't particularly good and to identify the reasons why a particular team will perform better while other bettors don't see this advantage. Generally speaking, we should act like professionals, or at least strive to do so, rather than mindlessly betting—at least that's what I do.

Stats doesn’t give huge advantage but it will give you an idea on what risk you are taking on each match.

The decision is up to you if you will play safe by choosing high winning percentage team based on stats or you will gamble on the other picks with higher odds.

Stats just give as an overview about the team previous performance but that doesn’t mean they will perform the same on future match. But it’s better to based your bet on stats rather just pure instinct.

[Ever-young]

These reasons we have to know that gambling is not just about the stats and information we do have from those sites but is solely relying on luck.

Sure, but like we already know, we can’t only rely on luck to do everything for us, that’s why we can actually employ some measures to make sure we increase our chances, and that’s why reading the stats come in. When we check stats or make our predictions using statistics, what we do is give ourselves some advantage, and even if these advantages may not really guarantee our win, but victory at this point feels better knowing that you won and it was because you also contributed to your victory.

[Hypnosis00]

I'm not sure if it is a big mistake, as I was using it when betting. But of course, I use my instinct as well.

I believe data is very important for determining which team to peak with. But as usual, it was never meant to be the game's decision maker. Just like how we use odds as our basis, it can never be a tool for winning.

In a game of luck, no tools can ensure winning. Despite seeing positive feedback, that still won't change the outcome of the game. In fact, these creators don't buy and rely on it. They make their own.

[KTChampions]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

For the same reason that gamblers lose at roulette or other gambling games - the house edge. What difference does it make how much data you have (the bookmaker has it too) and how good your analysis is (the bookmaker is also good at analysis) if the bookmaker's advantage is on average 4-8%? Even if you're a super analyst, you'll need something incredible to beat the bookmaker's advantage over the long term. That's it, it's not about statistics, instincts or anything else, it's about how the game is structured.

[TastyChillySauce00]

I'm not fully relying upon the stats to determine my bet. The stats only useful to increase the accuracy of my bet. Nevertheless, there are numerous variables don't available statistically, but matter a lot.
Especially in football that there are so many things that statistic doesn't tell you. Weather, club issues, environment, mentality, list of player injured, and etc.

It's the reason when people got optimistic statistically, but they failed in the end. This is why relying upon statistic is not that bad but it gives limited data to identify the result. So you should not be surprised to see many keep fail even after they used various statistics or metrict to determine their bets.

[LastKiss]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

Cause no one knows the future, Personally if I have the data, it will increases my confidence in choosing which team is more likely to win the game. So it’s simply data + confidence + instinct. There are also other factors that affect my decision when betting on a team, especially if they are playing well and improving their playstyle. That’s why it’s essential to watch the first few games to understand the team’s performance.

Even in sports betting, having data that shows which team is better does not guarantee a win. So overtrust with data and overconfidence should not make us greedy.

[TheUltraElite]

The amount of information available on the internet about games is huge. Feed that all to an LLM and you still cannot make out an answer, the reason is simple, it is having the luck factor in process. You cannot change that luck and if you are having a bad time, you will lose the bet.

I do think that emotions play a part in this process, placing a rage bet will again be subject to your luck, you might win it or you might not.

Still, even after such good AI have come, games cannot be gamed. You have to accept the loss and be careful when placing bets.

[Pandu Geddon]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Of course, it doesn't entirely rely on the statistics we see. Sometimes I even place bets purely based on instinct without mixing in statistics. And vice versa. We know that statistics help us make more guided bets, because data can be obtained to analyze matches. It's just that quite a number of matches end up with surprises. We know that even if the statistics seem favorable, we can still sometimes mispredict the game.

[|MINER|]

I believe in stats but always previous stats but not current results. Because I have seen many matches where strong teams lose to weak teams. And besides, if I talk about head-to-head matches here, then this comparison also fails many times. For example, if we talk about this year's ICC World Cup, here a strong team like Australia lost to Zimbabwe and Sri Lanka, but this completely contradicted the stats.

So I think one should not always rely too much on previous stats but rather should also check the current situation, such as how the team has performed recently, and whether all the good players are in the team's squad, and whether any player has had a recent injury, and then stake and rely on them.

[swogerino]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I usually trust the numbers but I am also very cautious as I always double or triple check in different places if the data I am looking at is really relevant or outdated for the event that I want to bet on. I also double check websites that offers predictions so before placing the bet I truly collect all the relevant info for that event. Of course I am at a loss over the long run because you cannot predict the future nor you can predict what the referee will do (just watch the highlights of Juve Inter a couple of weeks ago and you will see for yourself) so overall we cannot win over the long run and data is just a smart mistake as you say.

[Findingnemo]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

If the results are only based on their recent performance then one can easily win all their bets with deep analysis but it is not the case that is what makes sports betting interesting. I go with instincts, sometimes with the favorites but also I have the habit of going against it just to test my luck or when I feel this is going to be an upset today.

[Agbamoni]

Yes, statistics play a huge role in selecting picks for my bet. If I'm not using stasticis then know that I have enough knowledge on the games I am selecting. Statistics are mostly used to analyze matches in leagues that are not watched frequently. For example, the Turkish league and the Italian league are not always watched by people who are more interested i premier league, so betting on those leagues, it is best to check their stats before making a prediction.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

Actually, there are some clubs that will have fixtures and I won't want to look at the stats because my instincts is already telling me the team that is going to win that match. It's not always, most of the times, my predictions are made from looking at stats, that doesn't mean that my decision will automatically be the same with the public view, I observe different event while checking the stats and if there is what doesn't align so well, it's not every bettor that's going to see it. Lastly, using stats does not guarantee winning, it can be said that it gives an edge but yet nothing is assured.

[JunaidAzizi]

That is really a matter of attention. If everyone is seeing the same stats, then why do they all end with a loss? The answer is very simple, they just fall into a false sense of confidence that comes from the stats. Knowing the stats fully does not mean you will win,  it's just the start of the game. It can give you an idea of what is happening, but the real thing is how and when you are using these stats for your bets. If you place that information at the wrong time, you will definitely lose. Websites do not teach this, it comes from experience and instinct, the self trust that sees the gaps that a lot ignore or don't see.