Do you fully rely on stats before placing a bet?

[yahoo62278]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Mix with instinct is where I think you will find the best results. You have to pay attention to stats to a degree otherwise you're just betting blind somewhat, but every now and then your gut might be on to something so pay attention and try to research what gives you a weird feeling about a game. Huge underdog team that has been playing really well last couple of games might just have the confidence to beat the favorite.

[Porfirii]

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What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

When all that info wasn't available for most people, I think that it was more valuable in the sense that those who had access to it had a better chance or at least were more competitive than the other bettors, even if the component of luck had a great impact too. But nowadays, when all these stats are available for anyone, I think that odds are also calculated with such a high precision that even if you do your homework and analyse all the data, it won't guarantee te success either.

So, in the end, I bet following my guts, or my heart, depending on the match, and don't care too much about my overall results.

[Nightwalker(NW)]

I think those people are going into other tipsters site to have game to gamble but forgot that gambling is based on luck and whenever someone is not that lucky enough you would see them losing for longer. Many people had forgotten that those tipsters who are making those games availably on their sites are people who are also wanting to earn from those which they calls desperate gamblers who wouldn't want to endure to make their predictions and forecast. They utilize those who have been losing to lose more throughout their site and the worst this their is that they will tell you to stake with specific amount while at the last you lose.

[Iranus]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

It is true that betting by looking at the stats is a little beneficial however it is wrong to think that you will win just by counting the number. Because the bookies set their commission or vig on each bet in such a way that people cannot beat it. You know, even with so much information at hand most sport bettor in long races come back with empty pocket.

The real reason for this is not the lack of information the real vagaries are emotional betting, not keeping track of the bankroll management and just looking for who will win. I do not just look for winner I look for value in the odd. If you do not get that value at the end of the day the loss will be the only outcome.

[Lida93]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I make of the stats just like any other sports bettor would do about any games he's about to place a bet on, and by the stats you can be aware about any development with the particular team you want to bet it, which would shape your market pick on them. But in as much as we do this, it still not guaranteed that we would have the games all sure as given by stats. Sometimes, if not often, what the stats gives don't play in that direction. Example, we never thought a good team as current Arsenal would ldraw with Wolverhampton the worst team in the EPL. But by stat Arsenal stood as most favourite. Therefore, NO! I don't trust the numbers 100%, luck partly.

[Agbe]

It's not always about stats because sports betting sometimes can be about getting lucky as well, experience has taught me that it's unwise to get too confident just because you are making use of stats to bet. Relying fully on stats isn't reallt advised. The most part of stats is checking historical data and using it to predict the current match but in some cases history doesn't always repeat itself.

[justinlamode]

Stats is just one of the things I use to place my bet because it gives you all the key information you need about the teams or the people that are competing. With starts you will be making informed decision rather than betting blindly. In addition to stats, I also look at players that will be in the fixture, if they are the main team, if anyone is absence which will impact the team and other minor new surrounding the teams that will be playing.

[Accardo]

Stats is just one of the things I use to place my bet because it gives you all the key information you need about the teams or the people that are competing. With starts you will be making informed decision rather than betting blindly. In addition to stats, I also look at players that will be in the fixture, if they are the main team, if anyone is absence which will impact the team and other minor new surrounding the teams that will be playing.

But it makes no difference, stats doesn't mean outcome or result, football is beyond what happened in the past, although gamers rely on it, yet they don't get to realize that the casino also work with stats to confuse players with odds, knowing quite well that the outcome could change in the game. Thereby making the casino appear smarter, despite all the efforts of a gambler through studying stats and past results, losses resists and gloom around the players.

[Derekfunds]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Looking at statistics doesn't guarantee winning in gambling Maybe you have forgotten that what statistics does for us is trying to get the possible outcome or likelihood of what the outcome will be so it doesn't mean that once we know and understand the statistics of a particular team that we are going to win no that is not how it works and if it was so by now all the gambling sites would have crash. We have said it countless time that our winning in gambling especially sports betting is based on luck and nothing more because with the level of knowledge and understanding some people posses in gambling they are not suppose to be losing.

[Fortify]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

You don't have any numbers, just a made up theory in your head which is actually disproven by the track record of profitability and generally odds matching the expected outcomes. There is not a single source of bookmaker stats, even though many might share them through just a few white label solutions, they'll also have their own margin of safety built on top. But you don't even need to trust or monitor the bookmakers, there are multiple peer to peer markets out there where individuals are free to decide on the odds that they think are realistic and people will take the opposite side of the bet at the right price. Nobody is gaining an edge, unless you think that you have some unknown insight or piece of knowledge that makes a single odd particularly juicy for you to jump on. There are very few players out there consistently bringing in an income from this.

[lionheart78]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

In gambling there is always this variable factor that can modify the result of matches.  Aside from that the performance of players differs from game to game and the strategy of the team might also varies.  This affect the result of the game so even with a complete data or statistics of each team, no one can accurately predict all the future results of the game.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

I do not think it is a mistake since, in sports betting, aside from the stats, what else should the bettor rely on?

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I trust the numbers, but it is a mistake to think that with the complete data, we are able to tell accurately what the result is.  We should also consider variables.  

[Versatile_choice]

Stats is just one of the things I use to place my bet because it gives you all the key information you need about the teams or the people that are competing. With starts you will be making informed decision rather than betting blindly. In addition to stats, I also look at players that will be in the fixture, if they are the main team, if anyone is absence which will impact the team and other minor new surrounding the teams that will be playing.

And stats are mostly essentially helpful when you’re trying to bet on teams that you barely or don’t even watch their games, for example, there are people who like to bet on small leagues, and most of these leagues are hardly watched so you’ll definitely need the stats to be able to know what to expect from the teams and then make your judgement/predictions. Although this can also be helpful for people who needs more clarity even with the big leagues too.

[mak013]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

You never have 100% win rate. You can`t predict all matches. If all the results of the games can be predicted - we`ll stop watching it. It is one of the reasons why we watch sports - always there is a chance that weak team will win strong one.
But for a long distance using statistics increase your win chances. You willn`t win all your bets, but you can win enough bets to get profit. Of course if you good enough in working with data and your betting strategy is ok.

[uchegod-21]

In betting, no amount of skill or knowledge guarantees anything. The information available to you can only enhance your ability to predict, which will give you a better chance of winning. However, in spite of that, sports is unpredictable as the least expected can happen at any time.

For this reason, stats are not irrelevant, the information it carries has been of help to lots of sports bettors. Not everyone carries sports records in their head, no matter how good they think they are. It is mostly important to bettors who are not up to date with recent sporting activities due to their business schedule which had prevented them from following up live matches. The stats becomes the first point of contact before anything else. Stats are reliable tools bettors can use to make analysis.

[Crypto Library]

In my case, the answer would be that I don't completely depend on stats when it comes to sports gambling, but I do have to depend on stats to some extent. Because by checking stats, we can initially see the initial insight about the two teams in that match and can initially identify which team is strong and which team is weak and at the same time which team is more likely to be affected.


However, in this case, it is not the case that if you always believe in it, you will be sure to win, because many times it is seen that the strong team has advanced closer to the underdog team.

[boyptc]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Sports is also inconsistent in terms of the teams that are playing. Because even the underdogs can still have a better stat in the end of a season.

But relying on stats is a strategy and is a way to increase the chance of winning. We can use that before we bet.

It's a discipline to the strategy that whenever you place bets, you'll need to have a reference of why you do that.

[moneystery]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

It's more difficult to bet on football these days. For example, when Osasuna beat Real Madrid yesterday, I bet that many people predicted Real Madrid would win based on their superior stats, but in reality, they still lost to a team ranked below them.
So, even if a team has superior stats, stats don't guarantee a win on the pitch. There are many unpredictable factors that can occur that can cause the underdog to win, and this is what causes so many bettors to lose.

[stadus]

Mix with instinct is where I think you will find the best results. You have to pay attention to stats to a degree otherwise you're just betting blind somewhat, but every now and then your gut might be on to something so pay attention and try to research what gives you a weird feeling about a game. Huge underdog team that has been playing really well last couple of games might just have the confidence to beat the favorite.

That’s why I’m very careful with the games I choose to bet on. I usually stick to NBA, and like you can see in my thread, I only pick one game per day. I’m just trying to look for the best value I can get. So far, I’ve proven to myself that this approach is working. I’m not super profitable, but at least I’m not losing either. That’s very different from before when I used to bet on a lot of games in one day. More bets means more pressure, and I end up losing focus.

For me, stats matter, but I still trust my gut more. Maybe around 40% stats and 60% gut feel. That’s how I usually evaluate the lines.

[Asiska02]

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Gambling is just too complex and vague that it makes it very impossible for most gamblers to win a game. The many options available for gamblers to chose on when betting games makes it very hard for them to actually get to win and hit good numbers after placing a bet. When we look at stats we get about teams before placing a bet on them, if we’re to just analyse from that on how the upcoming match is going to be, it would be much better than actually telling the number of goals we expect from a particular match.

If my analysis result goes that one team will dominate the match more base on previous stats or because they don’t have an important player present to keep them at the position needed, they’ll most likely not stand a chance or their possession will fall against there opponent in the first or second half. I feel predicting like this will give more gamblers an edge to always win than making it so many options to chose from. In the end, their interest out forth is more important to them because if we where in that shoes, it would have still ended up being the same.

[Sammye3]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Why do I feel like stats are the biggest problems when it comes to betting? Because the final result might not justify the ball play during the match and in some cases, relegation teams could actually take other teams by surprise.

We saw this during the Arsenal vs Wolves match where the league bottom leaders came back after a 2-0 win ahead to end the match in a draw. That match was the most surprising outcome of the week and I still wonder how that came about. One who followed statistics would definitely bet on Arsenal to win based on statistics but it was a different outcome.