Do you fully rely on stats before placing a bet?

[NurseHub]

Gambling doesn't always work with good prediction only but with luck too. It's always a lose or win game, it doesn't matter how good the statistics are, it doesn't guarantee straight up winning. Head to head, and just as you have said, it's possible in theory, but when it's in practice, it always results out of luck, not just the stats. More of that information is to bring in more bettors; it has no real guarantee. Accept if the match isn't familiar with me, that's the only time you can find me with stats. If not, I go for what I know the outcome is, which I can take. Because most of those stats are open for other gamblers, and if it's all guaranteed, then the gambling company will lose more, that's why a bettor should not fully rely on it.

[panjul07]

Why gamblers still lose in sports while there is clear statistic that can be found easily, it is simply because there are other factors.
The other first factor is Luck, luck is also involved in sports because there is possibility that favorite teams do something unexpected during the match.
Other factor can be "intervention by bookies", although it can be said that it is just speculation but we cant deny that gambling is one of the biggest sponsors of sports in this world.
Some people say that bookies may "change the game" into something as they wish for their own benefits.

[Wakate]

Even thoughi don't take too much time to check the statistics of the team I am trying to add to my games, I do see it as an important move to at least check for some information about the clubs I will be adding even if I am not too familiar with the team.

If I see that a club has high possibility of winning a match, I am always very conscious on choosing them to have a straight win and instead I can choose the team to either win in either half to stand at a safe side. Most time I can stake to have a straight winning with 1UP or 2UP if I am not that sure.

[Furious 7]

In my opinion, do not make bets by fully relying on existing statistics, however, the results of gambling will not be able to be predicted accurately because anything can happen when the match takes place such as for example we bet on a stronger team but that does not mean that the strong team will win because luck also plays there can be problems that occur with this strong team such as injuries that have an impact on their performance.

In addition, there is also the possibility that the bookie can play or manipulate the course of the match, it does not rule out the possibility that we can lose the bet even though we have made a bet by relying on statistics that may be said to be accurate. It's good to use instinct too in my opinion, because after all this also still involves luck.

[Nahl]

I know every gambling games is required luck but in sport betting we cannot rely on our luck only because sport betting is games based skill and the more experience you in this game the chances to won every bets will be very high and in my opinion stats is really matter because from those data we can determined the outcomes of the particular games especially team condition such as suspension players or injured players that this is important too because if there were some players which absent because the reason which i mentioned usually it will influence team performance

[Sandra_hakeem]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

Because no matter how much access you have to statistics and how well you analyse them, you will not be able to beat the bookmakers who have much better information and automated analysis. With some exceptions, of course.

If only they can tell themselves the truth, embrace it and stop being delusional, they may enjoy naturally, the feeling that comes with the adrenaline rush when they lose, and the joy of an unexpected win.

If I were trying to make money consistently, I would do my analysis, but that's not the case.

Assuming that was the case, is it even possible? We talk about gambling everyday, and how bookmakers go about the odds in every game, but then people keep coming up with questions over the same discussion. Why don't you just figure out a way to keep winning all by yourself, without bothering anyone else?

[AmoreJaz]

In my opinion, do not make bets by fully relying on existing statistics, however, the results of gambling will not be able to be predicted accurately because anything can happen when the match takes place such as for example we bet on a stronger team but that does not mean that the strong team will win because luck also plays there can be problems that occur with this strong team such as injuries that have an impact on their performance.

In addition, there is also the possibility that the bookie can play or manipulate the course of the match, it does not rule out the possibility that we can lose the bet even though we have made a bet by relying on statistics that may be said to be accurate. It's good to use instinct too in my opinion, because after all this also still involves luck.

You can refer to the stats as a guide but it is not the absolute reason why you will totally trust such stat because there are so many games that ended up as upset. So for me, if you know the sports really well, it means, you also have the idea about the capability of the athletes involved. And so you can determine if there's possibility of upset to happen despite of the stats.
And with that consideration, I am not totally dependent on stats and odds provided by various sites, because if you are an avid follower of the sports, you have the feeling that somehow that athlete can pull an upset. So just trust your instincts. After all, it is your money at stake.

[o48o]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Pretty much going with instinct these days, as statistics are counted into odds anyway. And my instinct doesn't need to have basis on anything else then for me wishing that someone wins, or pure intuition.

If i am wrong i am wrong, and if i bet against the odds, gains are better for me. I am not looking for steady stream of bets i won with low odds. That only makes sense to me when i am trying to grind to upgrade my vip level and trying to get bonuses that come with that. Because you often get 3x more points for the vip level upgrading from sports.

[hedgeh0g]

You can refer to the stats as a guide but it is not the absolute reason why you will totally trust such stat because there are so many games that ended up as upset. So for me, if you know the sports really well, it means, you also have the idea about the capability of the athletes involved. And so you can determine if there's possibility of upset to happen despite of the stats.
And with that consideration, I am not totally dependent on stats and odds provided by various sites, because if you are an avid follower of the sports, you have the feeling that somehow that athlete can pull an upset. So just trust your instincts. After all, it is your money at stake.

Statistics only provide a limited understanding of where a bet might go, and which direction to focus on, but they should never be used blindly, as every match, every pre-match bet, requires personal and thorough analysis. Another important point is that sometimes we should try to spot matches where statistics suggest the favorite will win, but with a more nuanced and professional analysis, we may discover that the favorite has significant margins of victory, and the underdog has better odds than they actually have.

[giammangiato]

A peculiarity of gambling, in the specific case of sports betting, is the possible prediction that bookmakers propose by publishing the odds.
Even if you finally place a sentiment bet, but based on the published odds, it could increase the probability of guessing the outcome.
WARNING (could) so it is not certain, because in gambling in general luck always prevails.

[Pi-network314159]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

this is very funny mate, let me start by asking you that does having all necessary information a direct access to regular win or wining on streak? as far as gambling is concerned there is no statistic that has the overall capacity or accuracy to give you a steady win regardless of where the information came from.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

full reliance on stat is a smart looking but not something of mistake or something we overdo, overdoing it is the aspect that is highly prohibited. and i dont also trust the numbers %100

[Akbarkoe]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Today we easily get information to make judgments, so talking about this we will not be able to argue, everyone can get it, match statistics, match history even injured players and the full state of the team can be known, even so we will never know what the outcome of the match will be, therefore many gamblers lose and few win, It's not because they make bets without calculations but things that happen during the game will never know that can benefit one of the competing teams, even a great team can lose to an underestimated team, assessment analysis is only on paper and there is no 100% guarantee that it will work, it's just a way to convince yourself and see opportunities from existing data and I always follow my assessment.

[ejikeme24]

Yes, but that was during my early stage in gambling, currently I don't rely on stats can't even remember when last i look into stats  of teams before placing my bet, this days I bet with my instinct I feel that looking into stats is just a waste of time since it doesn't guarantee wining. Although I have come to know different teams from different leagues and their performance so what I do is to bet on those teams I know they are more superior than others of which those who rely on stats we still end up chosing those teams after checking their stats since they are well known.

[dwyane36]

Yes, but that was during my early stage in gambling, currently I don't rely on stats can't even remember when last i look into stats  of teams before placing my bet, this days I bet with my instinct I feel that looking into stats is just a waste of time since it doesn't guarantee wining. Although I have come to know different teams from different leagues and their performance so what I do is to bet on those teams I know they are more superior than others of which those who rely on stats we still end up chosing those teams after checking their stats since they are well known.

Of course, nothing guarantees a win. However, I disagree that analyzing statistics is a waste of time. In my opinion, it increases the likelihood of making the right decision, particularly because some statistical data about a team or player can reveal things that you might not notice at first glance. Imho, if you place bets based solely on intuition or emotions, you are unlikely to have +EV in the long run.

[Stable090]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

Just because we have statistics of previous events that has happened, and current condition of a team doesn’t mean you still not going to lose as a gambler. When it comes to football, anything can happen, we have seen it multiple times when weaker teams win top teams, football is just so difficult to predict, and anything can happen at any moment. Statistics help so well, but we should know that even after properly doing your analysis before placing bet, then we might still be wrong.

[Franctoshi]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I used to look at so many things to take my bet decision not only stats, sometimes the information which you are looking to your betting decision is written on the odds, if you pay very close attention to the odds given to home and away and odd given for both to draw you can spot the potential, basically not based on the team with the smaller odds, I look at whether the odd is big or not once I see my winning signal I take regardless the amount of odds given .
 

[DubemIfedigbo001]

Statistics, mixed with my instincts and public choice is where I rely on, the casino have their odd based on stats too and if they give low odds to some game, you know that it means they assume the team will lose the bet which made them give a low odd, I will decide if I just want to bet following the odd as a factor of consideration only or my instincts can influence my decision at that time. If I want to bet sometimes too, it is strictly on what I found on the statics reading.

Following the public can be very manipulative sometimes. The bookmarker manipulate the odds sometimes to deceive gamblers. I never really bet my games based on odds. It's always better for me to do it from knowledge and statistics. Although you can still bet on the odds just for fun or if you're lazy or very tired to analyze your picks.

[Samlucky O]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

You know the answer already, don't act as if you don't know. Despite we have tones of website with useful information doesn't mean we Will not lose. The fact is that gambling and or betting is unpredictable, yesterday result will not repeat today. There must be a new stat to beat the old stat. Sometimes the old stat and the new one tend to look alike or they appear thesame, making it look like such stat will repeat in the Future but then it doesn't work that way. The truth is that no game is sure despite the information you gather, you might still lose. Although at a point I almost believe that with a good statistics we might be able to win, but with all my experience I realized that it doesn't work that way.

[EarnOnVictor]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

This is because stats and info gathered are not the only things needed to win a bet. Luck is another factor here, which must not be taken lightly. Past performances and even the current feats are good consideration, and they even help in winning many times, but they are still not the yardstick to consider the certainty of the game, as anything could happen. This is what is being played live with every condition and factor having the possibility to vary.

For that alone, certainty is zero.

[rachael9385]

If relying fully on stats guaranteed wins for bettors, then sports would not be affected by the luck factor at all, and we all know that sports and disciplines are pretty much affected by entropy and randomness.
Skills and stats are part of what happen on the match and the part of our betting which can control and analyze, but it is not the ultimate factor, which could make us win money consistently.

It is good to take a look at stats and consider them, but it would be foolish to blindly follow those stats and follow the crowd if we actually try to make money.

The reason why bettors lose inspite of making use of stats and analysis is because no one can control the game, there are certain things thay happens that are unplanned and unseen that can affect the prediction. like you said, skils and stats are not the ultimate factors. once in a while bettors also need to get lucky. One thing I I've learnt is not to trust my predictions too much no matter how sure it looks