I've made my own prediction method and found interesting result

[LaboraOrium]

Hi guys, so since about mid 2025, I've been developing a new machine learning method, specifically for forecasting purpose, and bundle it in a form of software. The software itself is not made specifically for crypto. It was made for predicting business metrics like revenue, net profit, and so on, though it can be use for predicting any numerical data.

However, I always test this software to predict bitcoin and commodity price. To be honest, I'm no expert in crypto market but what I do know is that crypto market is highly volatile and seems impossible to predict. So I was thinking, if this software can predict BTC market well, then its prediction ability in other things may surpass most existing forecast system nowadays.

And to my surprise, it seems to successfully predict several sudden bullish and bearish market, though sometimes it predict too early and ruin its prediction accuracy when the BTC price is actually on sideways before the market crash happened. Here is the screenshots of it (I'm using BTC weekly close price):

https://www.talkimg.com/images/2026/02/28/U3CDjm.png
https://www.talkimg.com/images/2026/02/28/U3Cp61.png
https://www.talkimg.com/images/2026/02/28/U3CKll.png

I think this software need to be tested way much more to make sure this is not just a luck. So I was thinking, would you guys interested if I give you several copies of this software for free?

[Bitcoin_Arena]

First of all, the images you posted are very small and not clear. Using image hosting sites like https://www.talkimg.com to upload clear images and share the links here.
Is the software open source?

We are well aware that there is a lot of malware floating around, and where money is involved, there is no taking chances.

[LaboraOrium]

First of all, the images you posted are very small and not clear. Using image hosting sites like https://www.talkimg.com to upload clear images and share the links here.
Is the software open source?

We are well aware that there is a lot of malware floating around, and where money is involved, there is no taking chances.

Hi, thank you for notify me about the image problem. I'm not aware it is cropped and so small, now I understand why people ridicule me for this post on other forum 
The software itself is not open source, but it is available at microsoft store. Do you think it is assuring enough for people that it is safe?

[DPHOR]

We are well aware that there is a lot of malware floating around, and where money is involved, there is no taking chances.

Yes you just spoke my mind and I know there are people who are putting all efforts to make sure that people are being linked to malicious sites that would possibly compromise their system or app, even clone their wallets.
This is reason why it would be very hard for to trust a newbie who just come on a random to make a site and asked people to visit and watch out how it works.

[justinlamode]

Your prediction model will not be different from what we already know that AI is doing already and with just a prompt you have your results already. I'm not a fan of using AI, robot or whatever means that is different from manual execution of my trades. The reason is that automated systems tend to derail with time owing to the nature of the market which makes it change from time to time. Instead of being cut up in this web and end up with a blown account, I prefer manual execution.

[Yamane_Keto]

add feedback that allows for re-learning based on economic changes and news, without the accuracy of predictions will be limited. Changes in Bitcoin's price are not based on historical data but rather on variables such as interest rate news and other factors.

[AVE5]

And to my surprise, it seems to successfully predict several sudden bullish and bearish market, though sometimes it predict too early and ruin its prediction accuracy when the BTC price is actually on sideways before the market crash happened.

If this tool had been on testing and in some occasions your trade goes contrarily to your predictions and you feel surprised when you make it successful then it's not still trusted to be relied on because you're still trading without confident but luck just like other introduced trading tools.
We've tested a lot of these and as a machine trading techniques, we demands a reliable and confident technology. I'm sure if you can develop one like that then your attributes must be admirably unique.
I don't think this will be different from my prediction gambling experiences where I basically win by luck with my own prediction strategy and there where some claimed influencer gamblers and tech developers possess to have better strategy with their AI which are still not reliable to be compared to mine after tested.

Here is the screenshots of it (I'm using BTC weekly close price):

Screenshots of your previous trading history isn't enough to justify your technology a better one, place a new future trading order, take the shot and upload here let's keep it live on tracks.
Maybe your several attempts and winning most could be convincing.
These will always be my take when someone introduces a trading tool to me.

[tvplus006]

...The software itself is not open source, but it is available at microsoft store. Do you think it is assuring enough for people that it is safe?

Having the program in the Microsoft Store is not a guarantee of security, as it only means that it has passed basic automatic checking. In addition, the closed source code does not allow experts to verify it. All this could have been offset by trust in the developer, but you don't have it on this forum. And it all looks extremely suspicious: you have registered on the forum for the sole purpose of advertising your program.

[Mpamaegbu]

I think this software need to be tested way much more to make sure this is not just a luck. So I was thinking, would you guys interested if I give you several copies of this software for free?

The charts in the three screenshots you shared didn't make any clarity of what you tried to say to us. Instead, it made someone like me confused the more. Again, the crypto market isn't the same as what your strategy was created for – The software itself is not made specifically for crypto. It was made for predicting business metrics like revenue, net profit, and so on, though it can be use for predicting any numerical data. I agree with what you said there. I don't see it working well in a crypto scenario. It's already showing in the charts that it won't be clearly understood.

[LaboraOrium]

Hi everyone, thank you for all the constructive feedback and kind replies, it is really meaningful for me. I don't really wanna be seen as a person who make an account and post here just to advertise my software, so I wont mention the software name here. I think the idea where I try this system to predict BTC price and keep track of its accuracy here is a good idea, and I understand the concern. I will try to post the BTC forecast result after I've done several improvement idea that I have in my head. Again, thank you for all of your kind reply and warm welcome.

[Bitcoin_Arena]

The software itself is not open source, but it is available at microsoft store. Do you think it is assuring enough for people that it is safe?

Not 100% assuring. I think you have heard of or seen stories of how malicious files have been discovered in official app stores (Google Store, App Store, and Microsoft Store) that people thought were safe, but then they were not.

A few examples

1. Malware infiltrates Microsoft Store via clones of popular games
2. Crypto-stealing iOS, Android malware found on App Store, Google Play

I hope you are not like this guy