NBA win rate 81% .. this guy is unbealivable.

[stadus]

I haven’t really followed this guy, but when I browsed that forum thread, I saw he had a lot of followers. Since the forum has been around for a while, I assume most people posting there are genuine.

It’s just impressive that he has maintained this high win rate (25–5–1 overall). This encourages me to improve more, because if others can do it, then it’s possible I can as well.

How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

[fullfitlarry]

I haven’t really followed this guy, but when I browsed that forum thread, I saw he had a lot of followers. Since the forum has been around for a while, I assume most people posting there are genuine.

It’s just impressive that he has maintained this high win rate (25–5–1 overall). This encourages me to improve more, because if others can do it, then it’s possible I can as well.

How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

You yourself have a incredible winning percentage as well, at 52%. So I guess you are also unbelievable as I tail your bet a couple of times.

Yes, this guy is impressive, but I guess he carefully chooses games that he thinks will likely him getting a good chance to win? Maybe luck play a small part of his run, but I guess he really has followed the game and have numbers or stats within his grasp to fully understand what games and which team will likely win or what kind of line he should bet.

And yeah, possible to win in sports betting.

[freedomgo]

If all of this is documented and we can verify that he really posted those picks, then I agree, that’s impressive.25 wins out of 31 games is not easy to maintain, even for professional bettors, so that kind of run stands out. The issue is he’s not consistently posting his picks. I checked the thread to see if there was something to follow, but there hasn’t been any update in the past few days. The last post was February 22.

[OgNasty]

I would like to know the return and not just the win rate. You could bet on extremely low odds plays and match that win rate while still managing to lose money. Always check the receipts.

[crwth]

For that sample size, I think 31 games, it is still small. I mean, he must be really lucky, but to form a reliable statistic about a person, you need at least 100 games to check. He must be on a roll or lucky streak.

Maybe he just shows what it seems as well, right? Like only posting the positive ones and showing a little loss. I agree with OgNasty here that it's best to see the receipts.

[yahoo62278]

Right now you have a bunch of give me games going on in the NBA. Teams are positioning themselves for the lottery so bet against the Pacers, Jazz, Nets Wizards, Kings, and Pelicans and you're gonna do ok on your bets. 25-5-1 is a darn good record but a small sample, be careful if you do follow the guy as it could just be beginners luck.

[Oluwa-btc]

It’s just impressive that he has maintained this high win rate (25–5–1 overall). This encourages me to improve more, because if others can do it, then it’s possible I can as well.

How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

Mind you not all stats one put up might be correct sometimes, because one can just decide to come up with something inorder to impress the public about their winning rate but clearly they ain't getting the picks right but then I don't doubt his cause there's always a positive chances of winning in sports even though done depends on lucks and fair play.

[Hispo]

...

It’s just impressive that he has maintained this high win rate (25–5–1 overall). This encourages me to improve more, because if others can do it, then it’s possible I can as well.

How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

I believe this stats are actually possible for someone who has some luck and also it is very well informed on sports, or their favorite or specialized sport.

Though, I would be very careful if I were you in thinking you can emulate those statistics which that guy has managed to get. Consistency is one of the most difficult things to achieve in the world of betting (achieving consistency is pretty much impossible in gambling, but there is a small percentage of happening on betting).

If you tried to emulate that guy, you could end up with massive losses before you start to get enough experience and instinct to start getting some good percentage of success. It may not be worth to try it to begin with...

[LogitechMouse]

---
How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

I don't have time to backtest his predictions and look at the NBA schedule.
I guess the best thing to do right now for me is to bookmark the thread, look at it hours before the first game starts to see if there's a bet that he shared.

I don't believe in his stats, but as I learn more in trading, sometimes the best thing to do is to risk some buckos yourself and experience it yourself. Follow his future 10 predictions/bets and look at it if you will make money or not. Is it impossible? Nope. Is he an insider? Probably, but the fact that he has a very high win rate make some think if he's an insider, or he's just that good at sports betting because... he's been betting for a long time that he has many experience already which helps him make better bets.

Impressive indeed, so maybe I'll put some bets as well on what he will be sharing. Unfortunately, he didn't share any bets for now. Maybe he needs a little break after those wins.

P.S. Unfortunately, it seems like he got some backlash after sharing his prediction and decided to not continue it anymore based on this post from him:

Absolutely.  I just gave out 2 picks and I get this bulshit hate.  Folks. & am 26-6 and 1.   You should be thanking me for taking time out of my day to give you what I bet on.   What do I get out of it? LINK

I told you from the day I opened this profile, I am THE greatest NBA capper on totals in the history of gambling.   Nbdy is better.   Have you seen anyone better?  I know I know, you need 200 bets first.  
Douche bag, I owe you NOTHING.   If you put 10K on each of my plays, you’d be up $194,000 in 3 weeks.   And you have the balls to run your mouth?  After the Knicks game hits,  maybe I’ll bounce.   I hate dumb people.

[tread93]

I haven’t really followed this guy, but when I browsed that forum thread, I saw he had a lot of followers. Since the forum has been around for a while, I assume most people posting there are genuine.

It’s just impressive that he has maintained this high win rate (25–5–1 overall). This encourages me to improve more, because if others can do it, then it’s possible I can as well.

How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

Wow, that is truly impressive and at that point you can't give chance all the credit at all or even in the slightest bit. This man isn't lucky, he is good! He is actually outstanding at picking winners and for some it is a God given gift. For others it is most definitely not. Its an interensting bragging right for sure, one probably they don't even like to flaunt for fear that they will jinx themselves. I wonder if they have any superstitouis beliefs or pre gambling rituals, I feel like that dude has definitely got to have something like that.

[Don Pedro Dinero]

If all of this is documented and we can verify that he really posted those picks, then I agree, that’s impressive.25 wins out of 31 games is not easy to maintain, even for professional bettors, so that kind of run stands out.

For that sample size, I think 31 games, it is still small. I mean, he must be really lucky, but to form a reliable statistic about a person, you need at least 100 games to check. He must be on a roll or lucky streak.

25-5-1 is a darn good record but a small sample, be careful if you do follow the guy as it could just be beginners luck.

That's the point. Professional, profitable, sports bettors have a winrate of about 55%. Just a few of them can get close to 60%. When I see numbers like that I think, 'let's wait until he's bet on 300 games and then on 3,000 games and we will see that those numbers are just not sustainable.'

P.S. Unfortunately, it seems like he got some backlash after sharing his prediction and decided to not continue it anymore based on this post from him:

He just knew that those numbers are not sustainable.

[rbynxx]

I haven’t really followed this guy, but when I browsed that forum thread, I saw he had a lot of followers. Since the forum has been around for a while, I assume most people posting there are genuine.

It’s just impressive that he has maintained this high win rate (25–5–1 overall). This encourages me to improve more, because if others can do it, then it’s possible I can as well.

How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

I think it's a believable stat line but giving him the benefit of the doubt though as it may have been just faked or something. I don't think it's impossible, you can win and that will depend solely on your picks. You can be selective on your picks or stay loyal to a team or a player and mostly some of those best gamblers stay that way to be winners.

I wonder if he'll still share some bets in the future, damn I even registered on that forum and thanks for sharing it here.

[qwertyup23]

Well, that’s just really impressive. Imagine having that kind of win-rate percentage, that would definitely be an inspiration or at least a goal to follow.

Like what others have mentioned, it is indeed possible that he carefully chooses which games/teams to bet on. Additionally, perhaps he is also playing it safe given the amount of bets he placed on. I mean, if there is a game where it could potentially be a guaranteed win, even with lower odds on that side, he would definitely bet on it to increase his winning percentage as a total.

Regardless, however, I still find it very inspirational because this is what sports-betting can do. It’s not just about luck- the application of skill, knowledge, and patience can yield positive and winning results in this field.

[Cointxz]

How about you, do you believe in his stats or do you still think it’s impossible to win in sports?

That’s still just a 31 total games which is manageable to get higher winning rate. Even I as a casual sportsbettor maange to get that winning percentage or higher on that total number of bets.

Quality of bets usually declines when the total of bet is already increasing. There’s always a time that user will suffer a bad losing streak so it’s very hard to maintain that high winning percentage in the long run.

AFAIK the highest winning percentage that I saw with total bet above 1000 is just 60% to 70%. Reddit has a lot of sports bettor that record their progress.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

Right, sample data is very small to say that he is really that good and that numbers are unbelievable. Many of us here have been sports bettor for years and most likely at the start, when we have "beginner's luck", we might have a great win rate too.

But the more we bet, the chances are getting slimmer because it's really hard to maintain that 80% for a long time. Maybe carefully picking up games, but still that is no assurance that you can continue to have the magical run. Sooner or later probabilities are going to catch up with us.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

I do believe that it's possible, it's achievable, perhaps luck is favorable to everyone  while we can also say that the persons skill helped him or her, what's not enough most times is just believing in someone's stats when you didn't really have a full details of how the person bet on the games, some could manipulate the numbers to look good or use other process. There's one strategy some people use at time, they bet two tickets on one game and out of the two tickets, one must be successful since it's usually different options they bet on. If one is successful, that the one they will bring public and hide the lost game.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

I would like to know the return and not just the win rate. You could bet on extremely low odds plays and match that win rate while still managing to lose money. Always check the receipts.

Yeah this ^^

Everything isn’t always as it seems with these so called expert tipsters. He might be placing small stakes on very short odds outcomes. In that scenario it wouldn’t be so impressive. As always, don’t trust, verify.

[Vaculin]

I would like to know the return and not just the win rate. You could bet on extremely low odds plays and match that win rate while still managing to lose money. Always check the receipts.

I saw the posts there and most of the picks are point spread and totals, so the average odds are probably around -110. If that’s the case, an 81% win rate is extremely high since you only need about 52.5% just to break even. You also have a point about asking for the actual return, but most tipsters don’t share how much they wager. They usually just post the prediction and the market mentioned, not the stake size, so it’s hard to evaluate the real performance.

[Beparanf]

I would like to know the return and not just the win rate. You could bet on extremely low odds plays and match that win rate while still managing to lose money. Always check the receipts.

I saw the posts there and most of the picks are point spread and totals, so the average odds are probably around -110. If that’s the case, an 81% win rate is extremely high since you only need about 52.5% just to break even. You also have a point about asking for the actual return, but most tipsters don’t share how much they wager. They usually just post the prediction and the market mentioned, not the stake size, so it’s hard to evaluate the real performance.

Yep, PnL matter the most instead of winning rate since we can still in negative PnL even on high winning percentage if most of the odds he is taking is very low which doesn’t compensate to the amount he lose on his losing bets.

That’s the struggle on sports betting of some users that wants to maintain high winning chance rate.

They are winning 9 consecutive bet with 1.1 odds then losing 1 bet that burn immediately all the profit and print 10% of bet as lose

[stadus]

Yep, PnL matter the most instead of winning rate since we can still in negative PnL even on high winning percentage if most of the odds he is taking is very low which doesn’t compensate to the amount he lose on his losing bets.

That’s the struggle on sports betting of some users that wants to maintain high winning chance rate.

They are winning 9 consecutive bet with 1.1 odds then losing 1 bet that burn immediately all the profit and print 10% of bet as lose

No, you don’t understand. If you follow that forum, which has been around for a long time, most bettors there won’t share picks with very low odds like 1.10. Most tipsters post ATS or totals, because that’s where performance can be measured properly. Just like in my thread, I rarely post moneyline plays. It’s mostly spread and totals, because I want to measure my skill realistically.