Economist Lyn Alden Predicts Bitcoin to Outperform Gold in Coming Years

[Oshosondy]

You can read more about it on https://phemex.com/news/article/economist-lyn-alden-predicts-bitcoin-to-outperform-gold-in-coming-years-64722

I think what she means is that if people start buying bitcoin now at a lower price of $71000, that bitcoin RoI will surpass gold in the next 2 to 3 years.

What do you think about this?

I think she will be correct.

[Free Market Capitalist]

What do you think about this?

That her prediction is not very reliable.

Economist Lyn Alden forecasts that Bitcoin's price performance could surpass gold over the next two to three years. Speaking on the New Era Finance podcast, Alden highlighted that the current sentiment in the gold market is "somewhat overoptimistic," while Bitcoin is "unfairly viewed negatively." She pointed out that these assets often exhibit a swing relationship, suggesting Bitcoin may reverse its diminishing returns following gold's recent rally. Alden noted the current gold Fear & Greed Index is at 72, indicating greed, whereas the cryptocurrency index is at 18, reflecting extreme fear. Bitcoin is trading at approximately $71,164, down 44% from its all-time high of $126,000. Despite this, Alden cautioned against assuming an absolute relationship between gold and Bitcoin, as both can rise or fall together.

Saying that and saying nothing are more or less the same thing, but what sells are eye-catching headlines.

The reality is that everyone would have agreed with that years ago, when Bitcoin had outperformed gold throughout its history.  And no one could have predicted what has happened in recent years, with Bitcoin losing ground to gold. Therefore, no one knows what the future holds.

[DPHOR]

Don't you think she is looking for attention?
Of course there are people out there today who are so much desperate seeking for attention or even wants to becomes that knowing through bitcoin. Of course we all know how the price of bitcoin moves and how it is always unpredictable, and even as what the previous poster just said.. We might not know where the price could land us, just as how many people do not know what could be of last halving and how the price rises before the halving. To me, I just believed that she is just seeking for an attention over this matter through bitcoin and nothing much.

[Charles-Tim]

The reality is that everyone would have agreed with that years ago, when Bitcoin had outperformed gold throughout its history.  And no one could have predicted what has happened in recent years, with Bitcoin losing ground to gold. Therefore, no one knows what the future holds.

I will prefer her prediction.

If bitcoin is at $5000 right now, it takes it 3x to get to $15000.
If bitcoin is at $70000 right now, it takes it 3x to get to $210000.

I still think that bitcoin will get to $210000 before gold. The only advantage gold has is that it does not fall too much like bitcoin but bitcoin will always rise back.

There have been time that gold is disappointing in the past when gold fell significantly. One was in 2011 or so. Another one was in 2020 or so.

[BlackHatCoiner]

If gold could nearly double in twelve months, then bitcoin can far outperform gold with one tenth of the same liquidity.

I think what she means is that if people start buying bitcoin now at a lower price of $71000, that bitcoin RoI will surpass gold in the next 2 to 3 years.

I can obviously not predict the future, but if the cycle theory is confirmed again, then we should expect a bottom at around ~$45k. A 5x from that point can put us around $225k, so it's entirely plausible that you outperform gold if you buy bitcoin today and hold it for at least three years.

[Richbased]

Looking at previous price performance of bitcoin versus gold, Bitcoin outperformed gold in 2017, the next time it did was in 2024, now calculate how many years it took for bitcoin to surge pass gold after 2017, 7 years right? Bitcoin will outperform gold again but it may not be within 2 to 3 years as Lyn Alden predicted.

That her prediction is not very reliable.

I love this response.

I still think that bitcoin will get to $210000 before gold. The only advantage gold has is that it does not fall too much like bitcoin but bitcoin will always rise back.

Relatively, gold has less volatility to bitcoin.

[FirmWars]

She predicts that to happen  three years from now, that's a target on the next bull cycle of Bitcoin, that's likely to be possible and at same time impossible too, Bitcoin is a speculative asset and we could expect more or less from it which anything is just possible so we can not conclude on one thing, I believe that's why Lyn also cautioned people not to assume a complete relationship over Bitcoin and gold, both asset could rise or fall at same time, we saw that while Bitcoin was pumping during the just concluded bull market, gold was also pumping. She could be right with her prediction, but it's possible that the opposite can also happen.

[OgNasty]

What do you think about this?

That her his prediction is not very reliable.

Fixed that for you.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Well Gold is up nearly 80% over the last 1 year and Bitcoin is down nearly 25% in the last 1 year (the performance since October 2025 is actually -50%).

It’s not a secret that Bitcoin did not do that well in the most recent bull run. The 2021 top was 69k, we didn’t even 2x as we hit the top at 126k. This gives me hope though because Gold has a lot of room to fall after hitting it’s generational top.

Bitcoin has already dumped 50% so more downside is possible, maybe even likely but limited. I think Lyn Alden is right and if we take the price of Gold and Bitcoin today, I expect Bitcoin to outperform Gold throughout the rest of this decade.

[Cryptoprincess101]

Lyn Alden is a well-known macroeconomist, she is good at market analysis and from what she said in the link you shared, she could be correct because gold is at a greed index now while bitcoin is in a fear index so it's possible that the next market trend after this bear period will bounce on bitcoin therefore there's possibilities of bitcoin gaining more momentum and market sentiment becomes bullish.

That her his prediction is not very reliable.

Fixed that for you.

Lyn Alden (she)

[Zaguru12]

Well Gold is up nearly 80% over the last 1 year and Bitcoin is down nearly 25% in the last 1 year (the performance since October 2025 is actually -50%).

It’s not a secret that Bitcoin did not do that well in the most recent bull run. The 2021 top was 69k, we didn’t even 2x as we hit the top at 126k. This gives me hope though because Gold has a lot of room to fall after hitting it’s generational top.

Bitcoin has already dumped 50% so more downside is possible, maybe even likely but limited. I think Lyn Alden is right and if we take the price of Gold and Bitcoin today, I expect Bitcoin to outperform Gold throughout the rest of this decade.

In terms of annual ROI seriously bitcoin will you edges over Gold due to the volatility surrounding it, bitcoin has actually been in bearish sentiment since 6 months now and the last few months were best periods for gold so for comparison it’s actually not the best of time.

Yes bitcoin didn’t reached 2x of the ATH but this shouldn’t be a huge surprise because it was eminent from the beginning that bitcoin volatility will reduce as the year progresses because of many factors which market cap which is growing big also contributes to the less volatility. We cannot have those 20x in less years again

[SquallLeonhart]

She predicts that to happen  three years from now, that's a target on the next bull cycle of Bitcoin, that's likely to be possible and at same time impossible too, Bitcoin is a speculative asset and we could expect more or less from it which anything is just possible so we can not conclude on one thing, I believe that's why Lyn also cautioned people not to assume a complete relationship over Bitcoin and gold, both asset could rise or fall at same time, we saw that while Bitcoin was pumping during the just concluded bull market, gold was also pumping. She could be right with her prediction, but it's possible that the opposite can also happen.

I do agree that by 2029 we could definitely see it go well beyond gold as a whole market cap, but even if it doesn't do that, at least outperform it. If you buy today, same amount of gold and bitcoin, and then you hold it until 2029, I guarantee you that bitcoin would be going higher and gold would still be going up but not as much as bitcoin.

These are simple things, if you bought last year and hold until now, gold would be better, because right now we are in the bear market. So if you buy at bear market and sell at bull market, bitcoin is by far the best investment you could make, however some unlucky people just buy at bull market and then see it drop a lot at bear market and fear and get scared and sell at bear market so that's going to hurt a lot more.

[_act_]

Well Gold is up nearly 80% over the last 1 year and Bitcoin is down nearly 25% in the last 1 year (the performance since October 2025 is actually -50%).

It’s not a secret that Bitcoin did not do that well in the most recent bull run. The 2021 top was 69k, we didn’t even 2x as we hit the top at 126k. This gives me hope though because Gold has a lot of room to fall after hitting it’s generational top.

Bitcoin has already dumped 50% so more downside is possible, maybe even likely but limited. I think Lyn Alden is right and if we take the price of Gold and Bitcoin today, I expect Bitcoin to outperform Gold throughout the rest of this decade.

Yes, you are very right that bitcoin was unable to get to 2x of its all time high of 2021 in the last bull market but bitcoin marketcap has been increasing significantly, we should expect lowering volatility, unlike the altcoins with small marketcap. It is very possible that bitcoin will not go more than $200000 in the next bull market, but from $67000, that is almost 3 time increase. I do not think gold will be able to do this in the next 3 years but bitcoin has the high chance of doing it despite the lowering volatile.

[OgNasty]

Lyn Alden is a well-known macroeconomist, she he is good at market analysis and from what she he said in the link you shared, she he could be correct because gold is at a greed index now while bitcoin is in a fear index so it's possible that the next market trend after this bear period will bounce on bitcoin therefore there's possibilities of bitcoin gaining more momentum and market sentiment becomes bullish.

That her his prediction is not very reliable.

Fixed that for you.

Lyn Alden (she he)

Fixed that for you as well.

[salad daging]

I agree more with this prediction from economist Lyn Alden - Considering bitcoin's ROI achievement when it went from bearish to bullish then it was over 200% it does take a long time but what we predict in the next highest price of bitcoin is $200K at least 3x the current price of $71K.

I don't always pay attention to gold movements, but only last year 2025 where gold jumped high more than 75% is what I know, while gold is a stable asset, the increase will not be as high as Bitcoin.

[LogitechMouse]

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I think what she means is that if people start buying bitcoin now at a lower price of $71000, that bitcoin RoI will surpass gold in the next 2 to 3 years.

What do you think about this?

I think she will be correct.

Okay thanks Captain Obvious. I do mean that economist and not you OP.

What do I mean is that, what's her basis on having that prediction? Price history. We know that in the next 2-3 years, if the 4-year market cycle will still be in play, the bull run will happen somewhere at around 2028-2029, same prediction as hers, but if you're into the crypto for quite some time, and you've already seen how the market moves, you know that her prediction is something that we already know. It's just that, she's an economist so her prediction is the one that's highlighted, but we know that it will happen PROVIDED that the 4-year cycle will happen.

Of course, her prediction will happen, and many are expecting it to happen. Take her prediction I guess, and just continue buying Bitcoin if you believe that in 2028-2029, the bull run cycle will happen again. Just buying it now will make your money double in the next 2-3 years IF...