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Author Topic: Will The Middle Eastern War Tension Crash Bitcoin  (Read 915 times)
tygeade
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March 16, 2026, 06:06:42 PM
 #61

Looks like its not doing anything that large and should not be a problem at all for the long term either, we are doing what we are so used to doing and we should be basically expecting this to be quite common. Wars are not that easy to handle, it takes years until we are done and this one looks like it could be something that could take very long.

Either USA-Israel will say "we are done, we wanted to kill that leader and we did so we are done" or they have to face the fact that if they want to change the regime completely then that may take years, in fact USA tried in Afghanistan before and failed, so it may even not be done ever. So bitcoin can't take something that big into consideration, we can't make that work, it doesn't make sense to have a price based on something that big.


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March 16, 2026, 10:45:27 PM
 #62

War tension is not first time and bring the impact for bitcoin when Russia invasion to Ukraine make bitcoin have drop few percent only but the middle eastern war not any significant impact yet for bitcoin current price keep stable. Get correction only for short moment and right now bitcoin have been recovery keep stable at higher price. Sometime the war tension giving positive side exactly at the middle eastern war tension when the local currency of Iran drop significant and most of them moving assets in cryptocurrency.
Almost one week the middle eastern war tension but bitcoin not significant crash yet, in my opinion bitcoin keep stable and any impact yet in the future when any war tension again.
Bitcoin is not in any fight with anyone or country and I will not think twice about the war with Iran and the crypto market price movement.
Bitcoin has no enemy and if the war is going to have an effect on the price of Bitcoin, that is not going to take a longer time before the price of Bitcoin is going to stabilize and keep a deaf ear to the war. It was at the initial time that the price of Bitcoin fell due to the wall but now, that will not happen again and effect of the war has subsidize while every crypto asets are doing their own thing.

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March 16, 2026, 11:51:57 PM
 #63

America doesn't want the war to last long. Trump has said many times in his speeches that they will end this war.
Actually, there's no reason why they're fighting Iran.
Despite the uncertainties brought about by the war, the price of Bitcoin has remained strong it initially dropped a bit, but now it's reached $75,000. It's not just the war that affects Bitcoin; there are so many problems in the global economy, and the war is certainly making things worse.

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March 19, 2026, 05:51:00 AM
 #64

America doesn't want the war to last long. Trump has said many times in his speeches that they will end this war.
Actually, there's no reason why they're fighting Iran.

If they did not want war, why did they launch a preemptive attack on Iran despite ongoing negotiations between the two sides?
The United States started the war, and now they say they do not want to prolong it? That is ridiculous.


Despite the uncertainties brought about by the war, the price of Bitcoin has remained strong it initially dropped a bit, but now it's reached $75,000. It's not just the war that affects Bitcoin; there are so many problems in the global economy, and the war is certainly making things worse.

Bitcoin has outperformed despite the war and at one point reached $75k as you mentioned. Sadly, however, it has reacted negatively to the monetary policies of the Fed. Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged because the war had made the economy unpredictable. Both Bitcoin and gold reacted negatively to this news, Bitcoin correction to $70k today.

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March 19, 2026, 12:38:03 PM
 #65

America doesn't want the war to last long. Trump has said many times in his speeches that they will end this war.
Actually, there's no reason why they're fighting Iran.
Despite the uncertainties brought about by the war, the price of Bitcoin has remained strong it initially dropped a bit, but now it's reached $75,000. It's not just the war that affects Bitcoin; there are so many problems in the global economy, and the war is certainly making things worse.

They are losing to much resources if they didn't manage to end this war as fast as they can.

Look at this site they create a war cost counter on US https://iranwarcost.com/ as we can see here, they already spend lots of Billions just to attack Iran. But their position seems questionable now since its like they cannot easily take down Iran and US might feel short soon, especially their ally didn't pick up their back up calls.


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March 19, 2026, 02:24:59 PM
 #66

Bitcoin has been doing quite well lately, but if this war between the US and Iran should continue of which we are saying shouldn't, and all other world powers joining hand, it will surely affect the price of Bitcoin. As of today there's downtrend already, price of Bitcoin was at $71,000 yesterday and today it has moved downward to $68,000 today due to the tension so there's every possibility of more downtrend if there's persistence in the crisis so every investors heart should be prepared for whatever to come until stability in the Middle East.
As has happened before, Bitcoin's price is largely influenced by internal factors such as market trends, investor sentiment, and negative rumors deliberately spread by those who feel their business is under threat. While external events such as the ongoing war in the Middle East may influence market sentiment, they are not the primary cause of price movements. So, never be influenced by media narratives that suggest that Bitcoin's recent decline is due to geopolitical tensions, as Bitcoin is essentially more influenced by internal market factors and manipulation. Currently we are in a bear market, a decline like this is very normal because some time ago it just reached an ATH, the war between Israel/US and Iran just happened to occur when the market was in a bearish period, so the price shifts that occurred in the market today have nothing to do with the war, even without the war, a situation like this would still occur.

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March 22, 2026, 09:02:52 PM
 #67

War headlines can shake Bitcoin, but they don’t usually break it.
What tends to happen is simple:
At the start of any serious conflict, people get nervous. Big money pulls back, traders de-risk, and Bitcoin drops. It’s not because Bitcoin is weak — it’s because everything risky gets sold first. That’s the knee-jerk reaction.
But that phase doesn’t last long.
Once the dust settles, the market starts thinking deeper:
oil prices go up
inflation fears rise
currencies look less stable
That’s where Bitcoin sometimes flips from being treated like a “risk asset” to something closer to a hedge. Not as trusted as gold yet, but no longer ignored.
We’ve seen this pattern before: shock → dip → confusion → recovery
So will Middle East tension crash Bitcoin?
Short-term: it can push price down, yes.
Long-term: war alone is usually not enough to keep Bitcoin down.
For a real crash, you’d need something bigger — like a liquidity squeeze, aggressive rate hikes, or a full market-wide selloff. War by itself mostly creates volatility, not a permanent downtrend.
If anything, prolonged instability can quietly strengthen Bitcoin’s narrative over time.
That’s the part many people miss.
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March 22, 2026, 09:19:34 PM
 #68

Bitcoin has been doing quite well lately, but if this war between the US and Iran should continue of which we are saying shouldn't, and all other world powers joining hand, it will surely affect the price of Bitcoin. As of today there's downtrend already, price of Bitcoin was at $71,000 yesterday and today it has moved downward to $68,000 today due to the tension so there's every possibility of more downtrend if there's persistence in the crisis so every investors heart should be prepared for whatever to come until stability in the Middle East.


I think ever since the war started, Bitcoin has been performing way better than Gold/silver and stocks, but this ain't going to last forever if the escalations and tensions aren't reduced.

Now there is an attack on nuclear facilities, and this is not good news for any markets. The US government has given an ultimatum to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz in 48 hours, otherwise they may strike Iranian oil facilities. In reply, Iran said that it will completely close the Strait of Hormuz if the US strikes. This tension will make the market bleed on this Monday.  Angry

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March 23, 2026, 03:21:51 AM
 #69

They are losing to much resources if they didn't manage to end this war as fast as they can.

Look at this site they create a war cost counter on US https://iranwarcost.com/ as we can see here, they already spend lots of Billions just to attack Iran. But their position seems questionable now since its like they cannot easily take down Iran and US might feel short soon, especially their ally didn't pick up their back up calls.

The US underestimated Iran's military strength and fighting spirit, and now it is paying the price for its misguided actions. Iran is unlikely to achieve a decisive victory due to the vast military disparity between the two countries. But they won by successfully preventing the United States from achieving its goals and inflicting significant losses compared to the original plan.

The war has entered its 24th day, and the US has spent over $28 billion of taxpayers' money on this senseless conflict. That's crazy

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March 23, 2026, 11:26:23 AM
 #70

They are losing to much resources if they didn't manage to end this war as fast as they can.

Look at this site they create a war cost counter on US https://iranwarcost.com/ as we can see here, they already spend lots of Billions just to attack Iran. But their position seems questionable now since its like they cannot easily take down Iran and US might feel short soon, especially their ally didn't pick up their back up calls.

The US underestimated Iran's military strength and fighting spirit, and now it is paying the price for its misguided actions. Iran is unlikely to achieve a decisive victory due to the vast military disparity between the two countries. But they won by successfully preventing the United States from achieving its goals and inflicting significant losses compared to the original plan.

The war has entered its 24th day, and the US has spent over $28 billion of taxpayers' money on this senseless conflict. That's crazy

That is what happens when people fight with courage and ready to die no matter the course, team work is a barrier that is hard to break, Iran is loosing likewise US under estimating your neighborhood because you think your more in strength always end up in losses than peace would have prevented. The hidden truth about this war is that no country is ready to accept defeat or bow to pressure, this implies that mire damage will occur and more financial losses will increase, the issue now is not just the wining of the Battle by any party but the danger and hardship it post to the people who depends of the buying of most resources coming from the region where this occurs, peace is the most precious those that have it don't value it.

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March 23, 2026, 11:33:05 AM
 #71

I've noticed that there's been a spike in the price of Bitcoin, just like in the stock markets, and when I looked into the possible reason, this is what came up:

Middle East crisis live: Trump postpones military strikes on Iranian power plants for a five day period

I wouldn't say with 100% certainty that there's a cause-and-effect relationship, since it's only been five days, but the markets are still seeing it as a sign that the conflict is coming to an end.

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March 23, 2026, 03:14:37 PM
Last edit: March 23, 2026, 05:10:47 PM by asriloni
 #72

22 march : Trump announced he would obliterate Iran's power plants if Iran was not opening Hormuz in 48 hours, and Iran threatened him back to fully close Hormuz. Right after then Bitcoin, Gold and Stock have fallen together while Crude Oil price was pumped.

Today: Trump announces to postpone his plan, and he has positive talk with Iran to end the war. Bitcoin, Gold and Stock rebound and Crude Oil price is dumping.

I'm thinking if the focus is not even the war, but Trump. Anytime he speaks bad or good news, market is always dumping or pumping. He becomes the centre of the market right now. All of pessimism and optimism is fully rooting on him even when what he says sometimes is BS. He likes the ruler of market right now. Cheesy Cheesy

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March 24, 2026, 03:01:34 PM
 #73

I've noticed that there's been a spike in the price of Bitcoin, just like in the stock markets, and when I looked into the possible reason, this is what came up:

Middle East crisis live: Trump postpones military strikes on Iranian power plants for a five day period

I wouldn't say with 100% certainty that there's a cause-and-effect relationship, since it's only been five days, but the markets are still seeing it as a sign that the conflict is coming to an end.
Weekly it's down, daily it's up. Basically it's just volatile but in a very small tiny manner. Like weekly it's 3% down, but daily it's 3% up and that's the kind of thing we are facing these days. It doesn't go beyond 71k that easily, it's right about there when it's at the top, and it doesn't go under 68k when it's at the bottom, and doesn't go that much under.

Eventually this period will end, and it will either go higher or go lower and we will be done with this period. From the cycle patterns that we have seen so far, we can easily deduce that it's going to be lower and it will crash down. There is no guarantee though.

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March 25, 2026, 07:50:55 PM
 #74

I was thinking the Iran-US war is supposed to have a significant effect on the price of Bitcoin, but for me, I think the price of Bitcoin is more stable because the movement is just from $68 to $74. I think it's between this range, if I'm not mistaken.

When the war started, I thought the Iranians would buy more Bitcoin, which would lead to a slight increase in Bitcoin, or if this didn’t happen, the price of Bitcoin might go down very low. However, I'm not seeing either of these outcomes, which means the war is not affecting the price of Bitcoin. The Bitcoin price is just moving on its own and is not being affected by trends that are happening in the world.

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March 25, 2026, 08:11:39 PM
 #75

Bitcoin has been doing quite well lately, but if this war between the US and Iran should continue of which we are saying shouldn't, and all other world powers joining hand, it will surely affect the price of Bitcoin. As of today there's downtrend already, price of Bitcoin was at $71,000 yesterday and today it has moved downward to $68,000 today due to the tension so there's every possibility of more downtrend if there's persistence in the crisis so every investors heart should be prepared for whatever to come until stability in the Middle East.
The war does indeed have an impact on Bitcoin’s market price, and it also affects prices in other markets; however, Bitcoin will not collapse as some might fear.

Bitcoin market activity, with prices being traded amid the US-Israel-Iran tensions, resembles typical activity—much like the activity observed before tensions between warring nations—if observed closely.
Bitcoin’s market price is currently in the range of $63,000 to $76,000, even though the global geopolitical situation remains unstable.

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March 25, 2026, 11:45:51 PM
 #76

(...)
The war does indeed have an impact on Bitcoin’s market price, and it also affects prices in other markets; however, Bitcoin will not collapse as some might fear.

Bitcoin market activity, with prices being traded amid the US-Israel-Iran tensions, resembles typical activity—much like the activity observed before tensions between warring nations—if observed closely.
Bitcoin’s market price is currently in the range of $63,000 to $76,000, even though the global geopolitical situation remains unstable.

I think so too. Initially, there were concerns that a war breaking out, especially one involving the US, would inevitably have a major impact on the market. However, this has not turned out as expected, as of now, the price of Bitcoin remains stable and is even rising gradually, having previously broken out around the $73,900 mark. It is likely that Bitcoin will aim for the $79k mark again to test it, of course once the current correction has run its course.

Perhaps the hope is that the war will end soon, as war is extremely detrimental, particularly for the economies and the people of the nations currently at war.

R


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March 26, 2026, 07:18:17 PM
 #77

<snip>
<snip>

Perhaps the hope is that the war will end soon, as war is extremely detrimental, particularly for the economies and the people of the nations currently at war.
In addition to the negative effects of this conflict, there are positive effects that can be wisely leveraged when prices experience an unusual drop.
What I find regrettable is that some traders continued to trade, resulting in significant losses because nearly all markets were experiencing a price crash at the time.

Bitcoin is indeed different from the rest. It’s not easy to predict what makes it unique amidst conflicts between ideologically strong nations and technological advancements. People anticipated that the Bitcoin market would crash, hoping to buy in bulk. In reality, that didn’t happen while other markets were crashing due to the war.

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March 26, 2026, 09:04:49 PM
 #78

Bitcoin has been doing quite well lately, but if this war between the US and Iran should continue of which we are saying shouldn't, and all other world powers joining hand, it will surely affect the price of Bitcoin. As of today there's downtrend already, price of Bitcoin was at $71,000 yesterday and today it has moved downward to $68,000 today due to the tension so there's every possibility of more downtrend if there's persistence in the crisis so every investors heart should be prepared for whatever to come until stability in the Middle East.
The war does indeed have an impact on Bitcoin’s market price, and it also affects prices in other markets; however, Bitcoin will not collapse as some might fear.
It is even funny to imagine Bitcoin crashing as a result of the war in the Middle East which is a place we know does not hold the highest amount of Bitcoin. It shook Bitcoin just like it did to other assets but the most volatile assets as a result of the war should be oil and energy in general because the Middle East is predominantly oil rich region. I feel the effect of the war on Bitcoin have already fizzled out, the price of Bitcoin now is being determined by other things. For whatever reason, Bitcoin will always go up and down depending on the forces of demand and supply.











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March 26, 2026, 11:35:24 PM
 #79

It is even funny to imagine Bitcoin crashing as a result of the war in the Middle East which is a place we know does not hold the highest amount of Bitcoin. It shook Bitcoin just like it did to other assets but the most volatile assets as a result of the war should be oil and energy in general because the Middle East is predominantly oil rich region. I feel the effect of the war on Bitcoin have already fizzled out, the price of Bitcoin now is being determined by other things. For whatever reason, Bitcoin will always go up and down depending on the forces of demand and supply.
From the onset, significant world crisis affects Bitcoin at first, but price would soon bounce back after sometimes as Bitcoin resists to a lot of challenges around the world. The middle east problem has so much to do with Energy, which is a bigger threat to the world right now, while the US has moved on to coal for energy production, the issue with energy isn't a major concern to them anymore, that's the main reason Trump threatens to obliterate the Iranian power plant, something the Iranian leaders won't wish for to happen, it'll really affect the nation negatively, hopefully they come up to make a deal, but the problem here is that nobody wants to come out as their leader anymore, since the US try as much as possible to bring down whoever is made the new Iranian leader.

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March 27, 2026, 02:14:09 AM
 #80


The middle east problem has so much to do with Energy, which is a bigger threat to the world right now, while the US has moved on to coal for energy production, the issue with energy isn't a major concern to them anymore, that's the main reason Trump threatens to obliterate the Iranian power plant, something the Iranian leaders won't wish for to happen, it'll really affect the nation negatively, hopefully they come up to make a deal, but the problem here is that nobody wants to come out as their leader anymore, since the US try as much as possible to bring down whoever is made the new Iranian leader.



US has increased its coal fired power production since the beginning of 2025, driven by rising electricity demand from AI and electric vehicle, and this has nothing to do with the war in the Middle East. They are also one of the world's largest exporter of oil and liquefied natural gas. They even benefited from the war. So, it would be inaccurate to say that this was the primary reason Trump threatened to destroy Iran's power plant

If Iran has no leader, who is the US negotiating with? Iran has no shortage of leader, and they are capable of fighting to the bitter end to defend their country even in the absence of a leader.

Regarding Bitcoin, the energy crisis has only just begun, so it is too early to say that Bitcoin will not be affected by it.

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