Bet only on the 4 best clubs

[rdluffy]

It’s not exactly your plan, but a few years ago I was looking into some leagues to bet on and found my favorite type of bet: parlays on the Portuguese league, specifically on the top 3 or 4 teams
It’s been working out

Here’s the thread to follow the Portuguese League: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5551168.0

Take a look at the rankings for this year and previous year

[Charles-Tim]

This is the right approach. To test how good this strategy might be, you can use data from previous matches. For example, take the current seasons for each team at the top of the table and make a similar sample as you did. Then it will immediately become clear whether it makes sense to follow this strategy or whether it would be pointless.

It is easier to say and the calculation is easier to make but the reality may be very different because the previous results may be very different from the result he will have if he begins betting on the top clubs. As a club is becoming dominant as the league is going on, also know that the dominant club odds will be becoming lower than the previous matches.

[OsaiEmma]

Is betting on just 2-4 teams profitable, especially if they frequently win every match? Let's take teams from La Liga and the Premier League?

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Manchester City

These four are giants in their respective leagues.

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

Actually when I started gambling newly, I do bet on the best clubs, back then they were Barca, Madrid, Manchester United, Chelsea, and Arsenal, but as time went on, and some of them lost their form, and I started looking deeper at games and making analysis, I expanded my betting sphere, so yeah, I believe a lot of people had tried this strategy and on the long run, it do yield good results, at least from my experience and from what I've heard.

Although certainly it won't always go your way but most times it works, so yeah, it is a good strategy at least from my very small experience.

[giammangiato]

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

I don't understand on what basis it should be more profitable?
The matches they play are never 100% safe so the margin of error is still present in the bets of even the best teams.
Paradoxically I have made more profit with smaller (less safe) teams than with hypothetically good odds.
The result is never assured, I can confirm this. 

[Accardo]

This is the right approach. To test how good this strategy might be, you can use data from previous matches. For example, take the current seasons for each team at the top of the table and make a similar sample as you did. Then it will immediately become clear whether it makes sense to follow this strategy or whether it would be pointless.

If he doubles the amount the profits would be +$8.50 and expenses around 300 dollars, under some probabilities whether the team turns out to stay winning, it's not always a great way to gamble, betting on specific clubs to win would mean depending solely on the capability of the clubs, which wouldn't fetch much returns after multiple weeks of matches.

[davis196]

Is betting on just 2-4 teams profitable, especially if they frequently win every match? Let's take teams from La Liga and the Premier League?

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Manchester City

These four are giants in their respective leagues.

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

Do you plan to bet on those teams winning every single match? I have doubts that such plan is going to work, since those 4 teams aren't that consistent. Real Madrid is showing a decent performance in the UEFA Champions League, but they can lose points against every opponent in La Liga. Manchester City used to be a "giant" in the last few seasons. This season, they are inconsistent and mediocre. Barcelona can score a lot, but they can also suffer from unexpected defeats every now and then. Arsenal is somewhat consistent, but I'm not sure that they will keep that consistency until the end of the season.

[nimogsm]

Is betting on just 2-4 teams profitable, especially if they frequently win every match? Let's take teams from La Liga and the Premier League?


I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

The strategy has a right to exist. But look closely at previous matches, and the result will impress you. It's also important to consider draws. Sometimes it seems like a top club is destined to win, but draws ruin all plans. It's also important to keep in mind that bookmakers also understand your strategy and won't give high odds on the favorite to win.

[Vaculin]

This is the right approach. To test how good this strategy might be, you can use data from previous matches. For example, take the current seasons for each team at the top of the table and make a similar sample as you did. Then it will immediately become clear whether it makes sense to follow this strategy or whether it would be pointless.

If he doubles the amount the profits would be +$8.50 and expenses around 300 dollars, under some probabilities whether the team turns out to stay winning, it's not always a great way to gamble, betting on specific clubs to win would mean depending solely on the capability of the clubs, which wouldn't fetch much returns after multiple weeks of matches.

That word “double” really brought disaster to my life as a bettor. I learned that the hard way. What I try to do now is control my emotions so I can avoid doing that. There’s really no need to double, we just have to be right most of the time and eventually that can still lead to profit.

Because every time we double and sometimes it works, we start to believe it’s a good strategy when it really isn’t. There’s no shortcut to being profitable here except consistency, and that means developing a good winning percentage while sticking to a fixed betting amount for every wager.

[asriloni]

Is betting on just 2-4 teams profitable, especially if they frequently win every match? Let's take teams from La Liga and the Premier League?

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Manchester City

These four are giants in their respective leagues.

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

It's quite profitable. Those teams have high WR in their league. So the chance to win when we do a direct to them is greater instead of doing parlay or something else. However, it will much suitable if you replace City with Bayern Munich, which is having 80% WR in their league.
So you have greater chance to win instead of suffering the lose.

Do you plan to bet on those teams winning every single match? I have doubts that such plan is going to work, since those 4 teams aren't that consisten

Bro, the better to calculate it based on how many games they played compared to their win and lose. It's caused by what you said totally opposite with the fact they're all consistent except City. Madrid, Barce and Arsenal have close to the 75% WR this season. How can you say those aren't consistent?
Have you ever calculated how much their WR this season?

[Pandu Geddon]

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.

If the odds offered are too low, I will not bet on favorite teams. We know that when a favorite team faces a weak team, the bookmaker provides very poor odds. There are other betting options that can be chosen instead of 1x2. We have to be smart in choosing the right bets for matches like that. 
But it is not a problem if you bet throughout the season on strong teams. The percentage of losses might be smaller than the matches won. But we know those teams, even in the domestic league, are not unbeatable; the competition there is quite tough.

[Leahized]

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

I bet on these clubs most of the time. But there is not much guarantee of victory as these clubs tend to play the same way. But if there are smaller teams against these clubs, then the certainty increases manifold. And if you keep betting consistently like this, you will definitely be profitable. We often need to have an idea of ​​the seasons of the games, so it will be much more convenient and easier to analyze. I bet combo tomorrow, Already winning 1 match.

[Accardo]

That word “double” really brought disaster to my life as a bettor. I learned that the hard way. What I try to do now is control my emotions so I can avoid doing that. There’s really no need to double, we just have to be right most of the time and eventually that can still lead to profit.

That was on the bases of what was calculated by Tedmosby, doubling would mean times 2 of the profit gained with $5 which is still not commendable considering the amount of money that would be wagered in the entire duration. Gamers at large think it's about doubling but it's risky as you just said, due to the constant change of mind at the designated bankroll, this happens to high rollers a lot and the progress does not always look nice.

[mirakal]

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.

If the odds offered are too low, I will not bet on favorite teams. We know that when a favorite team faces a weak team, the bookmaker provides very poor odds. There are other betting options that can be chosen instead of 1x2. We have to be smart in choosing the right bets for matches like that.  
But it is not a problem if you bet throughout the season on strong teams. The percentage of losses might be smaller than the matches won. But we know those teams, even in the domestic league, are not unbeatable; the competition there is quite tough.

If you don’t like the small odds on favorites then simply avoid the moneyline market. You can choose the point spread instead since that’s where the odds usually become more balanced.

In fact you can even get odds above 2.00 if you’re very confident with the favorite. But you still have to be smart about it, because just because the favorite wins doesn’t mean they will automatically cover the spread. If you look at the stats it’s often close to 50-50 between favorites and underdogs covering the spread, so it’s better to pay attention to those numbers instead of just following our gut feeling.

[masulum]

The big 4 in all competitions, whether EPL, Serie A, Bundesliga, La Liga, or others, are no guarantee they will win in every matches. I think, to choose a team for betting, it's better to focus on teams with positive performances, statistics and player conditions, even if they aren't in the top four, if have better data and performance, i think we can choose one of them. I know, even last performance isn't a guarantee to win, the same goes for a top 4, but looking at performance provides a better perspective than simply looking at their position. Once again as reminder, it's very important to remember that there are no guaranteed the team will win in every matches.

[GiftedMAN]

I bet on these clubs most of the time. But there is not much guarantee of victory as these clubs tend to play the same way. But if there are smaller teams against these clubs, then the certainty increases manifold. And if you keep betting consistently like this, you will definitely be profitable. We often need to have an idea of ​​the seasons of the games, so it will be much more convenient and easier to analyze. I bet combo tomorrow, Already winning 1 match.

Very correct, there's no guarantee to always win when you bet on them even though they're the best in their various league, they still lose some games too. You saw how Arsenal drew to Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League, imagine betting on them to win with high expectations that they must win since they're the best in their team. Infact it would be more tougher if you combine games involving those teams, two or three  might win then one would lose or draw.

[Razmirraz]

Is betting on just 2-4 teams profitable, especially if they frequently win every match? Let's take teams from La Liga and the Premier League?

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Manchester City

These four are giants in their respective leagues.

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

Betting on teams like Barcelona, ​​Real Madrid, Arsenal, and Man City can be profitable, but it's important to note that there's no guarantee these teams will always win. For example, Real Madrid lost to Getafe and Man City drew with Nottingham Forest. Furthermore, the odds for these teams are usually lower, so the potential profits are also smaller. In my opinion, betting on every match played by these strong teams can cost you money if not done carefully.

In fact, many bettors have tried this strategy, and the results have varied widely. Some have made a profit, while others have suffered losses. If you want to try a strategy like this, then always do a thorough match analysis before betting and never bet based on emotions or as a fanatic fan of a team.

[Rockson1]

Is betting on just 2-4 teams profitable, especially if they frequently win every match? Let's take teams from La Liga and the Premier League?

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Arsenal
Manchester City

These four are giants in their respective leagues.

I plan to bet on every match, but I prefer single bets to parlays.
Has anyone tried this strategy before?
If so, what were the results?

You should know that even though this strategy works for sometime, it may continue because things might likely change, it not bad to bet like this, but you'll keep readjusting when you notice that the teams you have been betting on has dropped form, infact the truth must be towl and be heard too, nothing is assured here as long as it is gambling, in other words playing safe matters to avoid losing more which we must take exception of by all means but in actual sense it is inevitable, I may have tried this strategy before although I can not remember, but my advice is that since you prefer to single your bets as you said, do it that way may be after that you can decide to combine all with different markets on each of the teams.

[Pandu Geddon]

If the odds offered are too low, I will not bet on favorite teams. We know that when a favorite team faces a weak team, the bookmaker provides very poor odds. There are other betting options that can be chosen instead of 1x2. We have to be smart in choosing the right bets for matches like that.  
But it is not a problem if you bet throughout the season on strong teams. The percentage of losses might be smaller than the matches won. But we know those teams, even in the domestic league, are not unbeatable; the competition there is quite tough.

If you don’t like the small odds on favorites then simply avoid the moneyline market. You can choose the point spread instead since that’s where the odds usually become more balanced.

In fact you can even get odds above 2.00 if you’re very confident with the favorite. But you still have to be smart about it, because just because the favorite wins doesn’t mean they will automatically cover the spread. If you look at the stats it’s often close to 50-50 between favorites and underdogs covering the spread, so it’s better to pay attention to those numbers instead of just following our gut feeling.

I usually bet the moneyline market on the favorite team for parlay bets. I guess it will give better odds. But for single bets, choosing other markets is indeed what I often do. Every gambler has a different approach to placing bets. Betting on strong teams that dominate, as the OP meant, is not bad. It's just that you might need to consider the odds you get.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

This is not completely a favourable strategy based on experience, you could pick a straight win for this clubs and surprisingly they will lose the bet by having draw, it can even happen in the most simplest game that the team should have just scored successfully but due to unannounced disappointment, the team will just end up to lose the bet. Even if you are using this strategy, it still has to do with luck majorly.

[promise444c5]

It might actually work if you bet on them singly. I.e, you will take multiple bets with each betting on a team to win & maybe additional parlays. But, yeah there’s always a big BUT.. the odds might actually proof your effort useless.

Losing a single game could be equivalent to winning two or more of your remaining games rendering those bets useless as well. If combined with parlays , you could still get more from other bets but the risk is also there.. Yet, I think it may actually work if you can figure out a way to combine them.