Global Tensions in 2026

[yhiaali3]

No, I don't expect the price of Bitcoin to rise to $100k until the end of 2026. As I said in more than one post, I believe that we are in a bear market that will extend for many months.

But that's not what concerns me. What really concerns me is why Bitcoin falls when wars break out instead of rising, given that it has become a safe haven and many consider it digital gold. Wars and crises should lead to its rise.

[EFS]

Bringing up what happened 2 years ago doesn't really mean much, because these are very small margins. Bitcoin doesn't need major news to move up or down 7%. The market is now so large that it's become much harder to manipulate.
I don't think we'll see above 100k again this year, but I wouldn't be surprised if we do. In my opinion, we won't get back above 100k for at least another 1.5-2 years.

[asriloni]

Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

I don't have optimism to think Bitcoin can reach 100k again this year. Usually, the war can last for several years. So what things that can push Bitcoin to reclaim 100k while it's also so fragile to the global tension like stock?

I'm not saying it's impossible, but the chance is literally small. The market’s been so unpredictable lately due to the up and down of the global tension. One word from trump, market is dumping and vice versa.

Beside that the fact that i see nothing in the chart shows a sign for the bounce. It also gets worsen with market risk-off sentment.

That's why i think BTC will reclaim 100k again somwhere in 2029 - 2030.

[fruktik]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

As long as Trump and his team remain in power, we can't expect Bitcoin to rise to such levels. The reason is simple. No major investor can afford to buy high-risk assets during times of uncertainty and military conflict. Currently, the focus is on preserving capital, not increasing it. Therefore, it's best to monitor the situation and wait for global stability. Once things calm down, the desire to start investing in crypto will resurface.

[Somegory]

Every tensions, every bad news, every disaster in the world is opportunity to those who made that possible, some of them intentionally starts the uprising to make some big gains out of them sadly.

You have just one job, make sure you get it right and take advantage of the situation, the war in Iran is sadly an opportunity bringer for many people around the world, don't sit and do nothing.

COVID 19 should have serve as a good example to many people, because it was like the end of the world was here at the time, some people are already giving up, many died and it felt like it's over but you got passed the time too.

[fuguebtc]

No, I don't expect the price of Bitcoin to rise to $100k until the end of 2026. As I said in more than one post, I believe that we are in a bear market that will extend for many months.

But that's not what concerns me. What really concerns me is why Bitcoin falls when wars break out instead of rising, given that it has become a safe haven and many consider it digital gold. Wars and crises should lead to its rise.

I do not want to disappoint you, but the truth is, the world still does not consider Bitcoin a safe haven. Only true Bitcoin maximalist would believe that, and unfortunately, they make up only a very small percentage of the world's population

To be fair, Bitcoin has characteristic that meet the criteria of a safe haven asset. But the problem is that it can not automatically become a safe haven just because it meets those criteria. It needs to prove to the world that it is capable of doing so, and this will take time. 17 years is too short a time, and nothing is certain yet

[Jaweria parveen]

As long as Trump and his team remain in power, we can't expect Bitcoin to rise to such levels. The reason is simple. No major investor can afford to buy high-risk assets during times of uncertainty and military conflict. Currently, the focus is on preserving capital, not increasing it. Therefore, it's best to monitor the situation and wait for global stability. Once things calm down, the desire to start investing in crypto will resurface.

He will not separate himself from it because this is a fundamental reason that strengthens his power and I also believe that if Trump improves his own country for some time, we will be able to see the good thinking and work of other countries globally. For this, everyone can protect themselves, so people are not investing much in Bitcoin anymore, but they have kept the Bitcoin they have and want to sell it at the increasing price of Bitcoin. I think it will take a long time for this to happen because Trump first started a war by lowering Bitcoin quite a lot and so far there is no name for the war whether it is ending or increasing, so Trump should look at himself and not look at the weaknesses of foreign countries. If this happens, we will see crypto improving quite quickly and it is better to increase crypto now.

[AprilioMP]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

Not anytime soon, and given the current situation, I don’t think it will reach $100,000 by 2026, though it all depends on how the market behaves.
Despite the conflict having been ongoing for several weeks, it hasn’t had a significant impact on prices, which have been fluctuating as if we weren’t in a state of war. Even so, I don’t think reaching $100,000 is a realistic goal at this point.

[UmerIdrees]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

At this moment it is hard to tell if Bitcoin will reach 100K dollars this year. In order to reach this figure, bitcoin has to move up at least 34 to 40 percent in order to reach that figure, and it is not easy in the current circumstances. The war needs to end, there needs to be peace in the world, and some favourable crypto acts by the US can surely push it to those levels again, but we cannot say when these things will happen.

Right now, the only thing we can see is that the Iran War is escalating, global energy lockdowns are underway, and that doesn't favor risky markets such as bitcoin.

[Ultegra134]

Judging by how Bitcoin has crashed in the past few hours, I highly doubt it. Just because something happened two years ago doesn't necessarily mean it'll happen this time as well. Economic crisis, global uncertainty and major war conflicts aren't the ideal circumstances to see Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 again anytime soon. Judging by the looks of it, we've entered the bear market and will likely see drops even below the $60,000 soon; it almost happened about a month or so ago, where Bitcoin plummeted to ~$62,000. I'm expecting it'll drop even further sooner or later.

[Odogwu-Blockchain]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

Bitcoin is not going to record another ATH until another periodic cycle of 4-5 years journey. The price of Bitcoin going to remain at the 70k region for longer period of time untill the break out emerges, which won't be easy. The Bitcoin price had settled down in the 65-75k for now, that's the settlement point at the moment, nothing could ever change that.

[Vaculin]

Bitcoin has already achieved $100k before so its never surprising if it could reach that price again or even surpass it. But one thing I'm certain, if this global tension we are currently facing has not come to an end yet, we can never expect for bitcoin price to surge high and reach another new peak price.

However, no one can actually tell us what will be the next move of bitcoin, or it can go bullish or continue to be bearish. But if everything around is all about negative events, then we can't expect for bitcoin to make an exception, it will still stay at its bearish price.

[slapper]

So, will it hit $100k, will it not, what does the chart say? But we're kind of looking at the wrong thing, or at least looking enough things at once.

The situation in the Strait of Hormuz: Shipping traffic fell somewhere close to 96% in the first two weeks of March. When oil doesn't move the whole downstream structure of the global economy starts getting stressed. Those are slow to appear in Bitcoin's price but eventually do.

The comparison of 2024 actually works against the $100k. In 2024 the drop was sharp and the recovery fairly quick and the reason for this was that the macro environment was still broadly accommodating at this point, the conflict remained contained. What we have now is an active US military action, ground troops, IRGC Naval commander assassinated, Iran threatening Hormuz passage. Also China and Russia politically backing Tehran and doing whatever's good for their tankers. Not the same risk environment either.

The same institutionalization that generates structural demand generates structural correlation. These are the same institutions that own Nasdaq. When they hedge, they hedge across the board. And, bitcoin's correlation with tech stocks is close to the highest point for years right now. So what you get is the very things that are supposed to be the floor of bitcoin, in a crisis (institutional adoption, ETF legitimacy) are the same reason that it sells off with everything else when actual crisis strikes.

The asset which was invented to be outside the system is now inside it sufficiently that the stress of the system is propagated through it. Not all the way in - Iranian citizens using USDT to escape a collapsing rial is still the old Bitcoin story, the border-crossing, censorship-resistant, parallel-financial-system story. Both of these things are happening at the same time. It's just that the price is more responsive at this moment to the first dynamic than the second.

$100k is not impossible. But it does require a rather specific sequence.

[Fortify]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

There were a lot of things going on bitcoins up until the end of last year, but it may currently plateau for a while as it has been a victim of its own success. All the blockers that were holding it back - supportive legislation and even a US president shilling for it, seem to be in place now. There was a lot of speculation on whether these things would happen and that built excitement. People were not sure if there was some kind of suppressed demand holding it back that would be unleashed as it passed. There was a huge build up to the peak and it has almost halved since then. There is a loose correlation to the stock market, so we could see more of a dip if the war escalates further.

[Out of mind]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

The current situation we are seeing and the Iran-Israel conflict are causing a lot of geopolitical turmoil around the world. The price of gold in the global market has dropped significantly due to this war and the Bitcoin market is showing some negative aspects. However, in my opinion, the Bitcoin market has not collapsed much compared to this war. If this war continues for a long time, there is a possibility of a lot of economic impact on the global market. Because most of the world's energy comes through Iran's Strait of Hormuz, if they close it for a long time, there may be an oil crisis in the global market and its price may increase rapidly. Moreover, compared to the past, the Bitcoin market has not fallen much during the war. Currently, the Bitcoin market is in the $70k, in which case we can say that if this war calms down, the Bitcoin market may increase rapidly later.

[Swordsoffreedom]

Judging by how Bitcoin has crashed in the past few hours, I highly doubt it. Just because something happened two years ago doesn't necessarily mean it'll happen this time as well. Economic crisis, global uncertainty and major war conflicts aren't the ideal circumstances to see Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 again anytime soon. Judging by the looks of it, we've entered the bear market and will likely see drops even below the $60,000 soon; it almost happened about a month or so ago, where Bitcoin plummeted to ~$62,000. I'm expecting it'll drop even further sooner or later.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $68k, still higher than before the war. That mean nothing too bad has happened yet


I agree that, in the current context, expecting Bitcoin to return to $100k this year is unrealistic. Bitcoin typically perform poorly in an unstable economy. However, Bitcoin today is also very different from what it was in previous years. It has matured and the volatility is gradually decreasing. Therefore, there is no guarantee that it will plummet below $60k even if the macroeconomic situation does not improve

I do not completely rule out the possibility of Bitcoin falling below $60k. But Bitcoin is still holding up pretty well even as the war continues. Therefore, I think the likelihood of Bitcoin falling sharply again is very low.

[michellee]

I am not sure if Bitcoin reach $100,000 this year as Bitcoin already did that before. But if that is happens, I will be happy especially if Bitcoin can reach back $126k and higher. But we need to be careful with the situation because Bitcoin can down below.

After reaching $73,000 the price is down so I think the price will still up and down this year so that could be our chance to buy low and sell high. That is what is in my minds so I can still profits from the market situation. I don't think about the war between Iran and Israel.

[Bluedrem]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

This is where the real fun lies in Bitcoin investment, along with the risk. No one knows what is going to happen in the market tomorrow. When the Iran-Israel war started, many people thought that the price might fall to $40,000 at this critical moment for Bitcoin, but the Iran-Israel war did very little to affect the Bitcoin market. In the midst of the war, we saw the price of Bitcoin reach $73,000. And the price has dropped to $66,000. It is actually very difficult to predict where the price will be tomorrow.

[dansus021]

This should be in speculation but hey I will give you my opinion.

If the war lasts longer and gets worse, I do believe the price of crypto could fell, simply due to a hot geopolitical issue and escalate CASH IS KING even gold and stock now have a correction. to hit 100K we need pecae and good economy inflation rate down to lowest possible maybe 2%. Then bitcoin hit 100K in 2026 would possible

[Soldroplet]

I am not sure if Bitcoin reach $100,000 this year as Bitcoin already did that before. But if that is happens, I will be happy especially if Bitcoin can reach back $126k and higher. But we need to be careful with the situation because Bitcoin can down below.

After reaching $73,000 the price is down so I think the price will still up and down this year so that could be our chance to buy low and sell high. That is what is in my minds so I can still profits from the market situation. I don't think about the war between Iran and Israel.

It's not just the price drop that's happening because of the war, or the price rise at the end of the war. Rather, we have to remember the 4-year cycle. If someone's money is at risk as a result of this war, if they deposit money in Bitcoin, then there is a huge potential for Bitcoin to rise. But is it possible to reach $100,000 dollars?