Global Tensions in 2026

[Princess Leah]

 The tension is still growing tougher instead of calming down so I expect the market to keep fluctuating around 60 to 70k mark like it's been doing since the beginning of this war, I was feeling that everything would be calm after Trump twitted about a temporary seize fire for negotiations to take place but he's just buying time to restrategise.

 Hope you're seeing that the market is falling down from 70k to 60 mark since it got to the media that more troops would be sent to Iran for full scale ground invasion which means that we should buckle up for more dips except something positive takes place or a total seize fire for real. I don't think it could reach 100k currently but things in the middle east could get better in the near future, lets watch out.

[Cryptomultiplier]

From my point of view, it is going to be nothing short of a Bitcoin miracle if the price of Bitcoin gets to $100k before the year runs out, because the market really has to attain a certain level of calm for long term before it gets to that price.
Institutional adoption would have to also out weigh the geopolitical tensions ongoing because if the reverse becomes the case of the day, Bitcoin's price would likely drop further before we see any hopes of it rising again in the nearest future.

[Mame89]

We should not look at what the present war is doing, the price of Bitcoin is gradually moving up. And it will surpass $100,000 very soon. To me this war is even going to make the price of Bitcoin to rise the further because, wars like this are one of the things that impact on the Bitcoin performance. In general this year is going to be a good year as far as Bitcoin is concerned because, Bitcoin has been down for a while and after every dip what follows is the bear market.

War indirectly impacts market dynamics but this usually doesn't last long as the market recovers after a downturn. Furthermore, sometimes cyclical momentum coincides with war making it seem as if market prices are fluctuating due to war. I even believe that war actually strengthens the market as people seek assets that can protect their value.

Bitcoin downturns generally occur every cycle. After Bitcoin reaches its ATH, the price experiences a severe correction but then it rebounds. The lowest price since yesterday's ATH was $60,000. I believe this will be the lowest price and Bitcoin will eventually reach $100,000. We just need to be patient.

[Asiska02]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

I doubt Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in this 2026, the years looks to be more of the bearish trend than a bullish trend overall. Bitcoin is likely to face more downside movement this year than it experiencing uptrend trajectory. The market is bet clear to say to be in a bearish state, but many people are yet to be convinced about that because they think the market was suppose to get to a certain level which it never did before it started to fall, so they’re still optimistic that the market will bounce back and reach a new ATH before the end of the year. $100K looks impossible to me now but since this is a volatile market, the market will maybe get back to an uptrend movement sooner.

[robelneo]

Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

There are so many factors for that to happen; one of these is that the war in the Middle East should cease, but its going to be a long shot for Bitcoin to reach $100k based on one article I stumble on another forum, it will take 300 days, given the volatility of the market and uncertainty of our times it could be longer or we couls have a big pump we can only speculate on the price.

According to an analysis shared by the platform via X, the deeper the decline in Bitcoin, the longer it takes to return to its previous peak levels. The analysis suggests that each additional 10% increase in the rate of decline adds an average of 80 days to the recovery period.
Calculations based on this model predict that, given Bitcoin’s current low level, it could take approximately 300 days for it to reach its previous all-time high again.

Analysts Say It Could Take 300 Days for Bitcoin to Return to Its Previous Peak! Here’s Why

[Furious 7]

The situation cannot be determined and we just have to wait, no one will know where bitcoin's movement is going at this time, let alone some of us will still say that this is still a bearish phase so we just have to wait for bitcoin to gain momentum in the next bull.

To reach $100k I am still very sure that it can still happen and even more than that bitcoin will be able to but what must be considered here is that we only need to wait because speculation in the end there will only be 2 possibilities of right or wrong.

Later this year there could have been those who propped up bitcoin in a much better direction which made their increase happen but when the bearish is still going on then we just have to wait and keep buying for as long as we can afford as this is the best option we can do when bitcoin is on discount.

[free-bit.co.in]

War indirectly impacts market dynamics but this usually doesn't last long as the market recovers after a downturn. Furthermore, sometimes cyclical momentum coincides with war making it seem as if market prices are fluctuating due to war. I even believe that war actually strengthens the market as people seek assets that can protect their value.

Bitcoin downturns generally occur every cycle. After Bitcoin reaches its ATH, the price experiences a severe correction but then it rebounds. The lowest price since yesterday's ATH was $60,000. I believe this will be the lowest price and Bitcoin will eventually reach $100,000. We just need to be patient.

It is true that when war break out, people often seek safe havens to protect their property. But the problem is, the world still does not consider bitcoin a safe haven, they still classify it as a riskier asset. That's why bitcoin is often dumped whenever there is economic instability caused by trade wars or geopolitical event.

Bitcoin is unpredictable, and to be certain that Bitcoin has bottomed out and $60k is the bottom of this cycle. We need solid data and argument, not just our beliefs and hope. Bitcoin's movement depend on supply and demand, and macroeconomic factor. It does not move based on our expectation.

[Soldroplet]

No, I don't expect the price of Bitcoin to rise to $100k until the end of 2026. As I said in more than one post, I believe that we are in a bear market that will extend for many months.

But that's not what concerns me. What really concerns me is why Bitcoin falls when wars break out instead of rising, given that it has become a safe haven and many consider it digital gold. Wars and crises should lead to its rise.

Yes, we are currently in a bear market, and the price of Bitcoin is not falling directly because of the war. When people are afraid, the first thing they do is sell risky things. You must have seen that even in the middle of the war, the price of Bitcoin rose a lot. Everyone is counting on Bitcoin and now there is no chance of its price falling any more.

[uneng]

Everyone is counting on Bitcoin and now there is no chance of its price falling any more.

In a global scale, there are few people who invest in Bitcoin, and taking BTC investors into consideration, I doubt they are counting on Bitcoin, as we are in a bearish year and they know it's a volatile asset. So, who is counting on Bitcoin?

Moreover, there are serious chances the price is going to fall even more. The bearish season has begun this year, so you can expect prices to continue falling along 2026 and 2027 yet. I guess only from 2028 onwards we are going to have a recovery in Bitcoin market, and that is due to the next halving which is likely to take place on that year.

[alastantiger]

From my point of view, it is going to be nothing short of a Bitcoin miracle if the price of Bitcoin gets to $100k before the year runs out, because the market really has to attain a certain level of calm for long term before it gets to that price.
Institutional adoption would have to also out weigh the geopolitical tensions ongoing because if the reverse becomes the case of the day, Bitcoin's price would likely drop further before we see any hopes of it rising again in the nearest future.

I have read some news already that Iran has been accepting crypto in exchange for them to allow some of the countries to take oil, the last time we heard that they are going to be charging a $2 million fee for them to allow the ships carrying the oil to pass and I believe that Iran will likely dump all this Bitcoin that they are accumulating or any other cryptocurrencies that they are accepting as fee, they are going to dump it on the market and this is going to affect the market. It does not matter the coin that get dump on the market because if it is Bitcoin it is still going to affect the market if it is other alternative currencies that are still cryptocurrencies is still going to affect the market as the market will be in continuous panic.

The market is unlikely going to get to $100,000 by the end of the year instead what might happen is the market will continue to dip but we don't have to over panic about the market dipping because as usual the market is going to recover when the time is right.

[Smack That Ace]

From my point of view, it is going to be nothing short of a Bitcoin miracle if the price of Bitcoin gets to $100k before the year runs out, because the market really has to attain a certain level of calm for long term before it gets to that price.
Institutional adoption would have to also out weigh the geopolitical tensions ongoing because if the reverse becomes the case of the day, Bitcoin's price would likely drop further before we see any hopes of it rising again in the nearest future.

I have read some news already that Iran has been accepting crypto in exchange for them to allow some of the countries to take oil, the last time we heard that they are going to be charging a $2 million fee for them to allow the ships carrying the oil to pass and I believe that Iran will likely dump all this Bitcoin that they are accumulating or any other cryptocurrencies that they are accepting as fee, they are going to dump it on the market and this is going to affect the market. It does not matter the coin that get dump on the market because if it is Bitcoin it is still going to affect the market if it is other alternative currencies that are still cryptocurrencies is still going to affect the market as the market will be in continuous panic.

The market is unlikely going to get to $100,000 by the end of the year instead what might happen is the market will continue to dip but we don't have to over panic about the market dipping because as usual the market is going to recover when the time is right.

Conversely, if Iran decided to charge oil tanker passing through the Strait of Hormuz in bitcoin, I think it could push price up instead of down. Because before Iran starts charging fees in bitcoin, oil tankers and shipping companies will be forced to buy bitcoin to make payment. At that time, the demand for BTC will increase, money will flow into the market, and liquidity will become more abundant. The market will become active again, and price would likely rise instead of falling.

[viljy]

The fact that Iran accepts bitcoins as payment for passage through the strait is a positive factor for the price of bitcoin. However, in the Gulf of Oman, any ship that pays Iran will be detained (or sunk?) the U.S. Navy. That is, now the strait is already blocked twice. It is completely unclear how this will bring the achievement of their goals closer for the United States. Unless it's part of a global plan to drive up the price of oil. Whereas the hypothetical Iranian nuclear weapon is just an excuse, a disguise of the real goal. One way or another, the price of bitcoin is affected by multidirectional factors. But the general depression in the economy is likely to prevent the price from rising this year.

[imthegreat]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

Lately I've been thinking that Bitcoin could reach 100k, if not in the near future, then definitely at the moment when Trump is removed from the post of US President. Think about it, Bitcoin soared from 70k and 120k precisely on the expectations that we felt in a positive way when the "crypto president came to power". But what is the result ? The Clarity Act is on the verge of oblivion, and Trump is erasing his name from his Scam tokens to have nothing to do with this story. He is a speculator who is only interested in his personal wealth.

[BALIK]

The fact that Iran accepts bitcoins as payment for passage through the strait is a positive factor for the price of bitcoin. However, in the Gulf of Oman, any ship that pays Iran will be detained (or sunk?) the U.S. Navy. That is, now the strait is already blocked twice. It is completely unclear how this will bring the achievement of their goals closer for the United States. Unless it's part of a global plan to drive up the price of oil. Whereas the hypothetical Iranian nuclear weapon is just an excuse, a disguise of the real goal. One way or another, the price of bitcoin is affected by multidirectional factors. But the general depression in the economy is likely to prevent the price from rising this year.

Previously, when Iran blockaded the strait, their oil tankers were still able to operate and export as usual. But with the US blockading the strait, that means Iranian oil tanker will also be blocked and unable to export. This would have a serious impact on Iran, as the majority of its revenue comes from oil. I think this is the intention of the US when they completely blockade the Strait of Hormuz.

In addition, driving up oil price is probably also one of their intention. Because a few day earlier, Trump had announced that many empty oil tanker were arriving in the US and as we all know, they are also one of the world largest oil producer. They are also among the countries that have benefited from high oil prices.



https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5826953-donald-trump-us-oil-tankers-iran-war/

[Mate2237]

Even though predicting Bitcoin is one thing that is hard to predict in terms of price, I believe that Bitcoin is likely reach hundred thousand dollars this year.If you check the price of Bitcoin has started to retrace back after the US vs Iran tensions which slightly impacted on the price negatively. There is a forward movement and it's likely to continue until the price gets to a hundred thousand dollars.


I think that this war is even helping Bitcoin in disguise because, currently there are talk about Iran willing to accept Bitcoin instead of the dollar for their oil. If this types of moves comes to pass it will greatly make the price of Bitcoin to appreciate on the long run.

[STT]

I think 90k is more probable then 100k to start with and it'll be harder second time around.   The main problem with tensions around the world is usually it spikes the dollar index which is harder currency value to appreciate against for speculative assets such as Bitcoin.
   The reason the higher prices are harder and require more in future is we already trampled the ground plenty, there is alot of volume above and sellers waiting for that higher price.   It wont be a new higher price and existing volume slows progress, so any expectations should be trimmed slightly by that.

[jazzbr1223]

The Bitcoin network underwent its halving in Apirl 2024. Historically, the most explosive price action tends to happen 12 to 18 months post halving, as the reduced supply of newly minted coins finally catches up with market demad. We are currently right in that prime historical windo

[Fortify]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

Each year has its new bad unique set of challenges, this year Trump decided to start an entirely pointless war that has wrought havoc on the world economy - which was entirely predictable. As tends to happen, a political move to cause a distraction has backfired spectacularly and will end up ruining his reputation much worse than what he was trying to hide from (the Epstein files). The stupid thing is it made America much weaker both in military expenditure and soft power when the world is changing. China will be finding leverage from this situation and it has allowed Russia opportunities again because their biggest export is oil - so America is making Russia richer again.

[HajiBagi]

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

This is just the beginning of the year so why the rush? We are just in April and people have already started panic about the price of bitcoin and want to use the war between two countries to make an argument excuse, anywho who is panic because the price drop and he thinks the war is the cause if it did not know anything about bitcoin, I don’t think war have anything to do with bitcoin price because bitcoin is not something that no any country can control that will make the price drop.

Bitcoin price can rise and go down at any time because that is the nature of bitcoin and also unpredicted investment, no one knows what will happen tomorrow, the price can rise and go down any time, maybe we will be surprised with at the end of the year as the same way people don’t know expect the price to rise in 2025 and I believe if we trust what we invest on we will never panic because war can not affect anything concerning bitcoin.

[MinMan]

Previously, when Iran blockaded the strait, their oil tankers were still able to operate and export as usual. But with the US blockading the strait, that means Iranian oil tanker will also be blocked and unable to export. This would have a serious impact on Iran, as the majority of its revenue comes from oil. I think this is the intention of the US when they completely blockade the Strait of Hormuz.

In addition, driving up oil price is probably also one of their intention. Because a few day earlier, Trump had announced that many empty oil tanker were arriving in the US and as we all know, they are also one of the world largest oil producer. They are also among the countries that have benefited from high oil prices.

Considering they are already getting bombarded, I am sure that becoming poorer is not an issue for them, they do not care about any of that.

Plus, they still have land to use, if they have to, trains and whatever else, and they can sell to the places near them, like turkey or any other place, for cheap, either under the counter, or they could just do legit deals. This is why they are not really forced as much as USA at the moment. USA has to finally accept defeat, but somehow make it sound like a victory, otherwise this is not going to end.