Strait of Hormuz now open?

[NeuroticFish]

America is facing major losses due to getting involved in this war.

I have a feeling that USA is not even amongst the biggest losers of this war, since USA has its production, reserves and also Venezuela's reserves to play with.
Heck, the US as country may actually gain (finances), since increased price for oil means bigger revenue for the state. Of course, this depends also on how many missiles they waste.

The people going to work every day with the car, getting their food delivered by trucks (and so on), paying their taxes... are the ones losing.
Let's hope that this will at least end for a better future for the people of Iran (although right now there's nothing certain in that direction).

I'll also add Ukraine to the losing side of the Iranian war, even if not involved, because now "the world" focus shifts from the war that should have been stopped oh so long ago, giving time to Putin to gather some more forces. I find it incredibly stupid to (partly, heh) stop the embargo on Russian oil because you started a war and (badly) miscalculated its effects.

[LogitechMouse]

The point to think about here is who are America's allies?
If you look closely, you will see that Iran is attacking various countries in the Middle East, meaning that Iran considers most of the countries in the Middle East as America's allies. And most of the trade from the Middle East is conducted through the Strait of Hormuz. If America's allies are excluded, then the Strait of Hormuz being open to Russia, China and North Korea means free oil exports from Russia, and I have also heard that they are opening the Strait of Hormuz on the condition that trade transactions be made in Chinese currency instead of dollars.

This is also the biggest asterisk because right now, US and Israel has many allies.
Some gulf countries around Iran like Saudi, Bahrain, Qatar, and many more. Some Western countries like the UK and Germany. Will they ban them as well aside from US and Israel?

As for the currency that's being used, yes it's being traded through Yuan instead of the Dollar because we know that they're doing the "de-dollarization" thing where they want to be separated from the US Dollar, and this might take decades, but soon it will happen. There's no announcement, but based on one website, countries like France, Italy, Pakistan, China and India are allowed to pass through the strait. There might be more in the future, but I do hope that this will at least help increase the amount of oil that's being exported so that the price of oil will decline a little bit.

It looks like US and Trump is becoming more and more delusional right now as they're claiming that they're winning, but their actions don't show it at all. They think that killing the Supreme Leader would mean the end of Iran, but that doesn't the case. Trump is now acting like a baby calling for help towards other countries. I'm not a hater of Trump, but I'm a big hater of this stupid wars that will only benefit them.

[Bluedrem]

This is also the biggest asterisk because right now, US and Israel has many allies.
Some gulf countries around Iran like Saudi, Bahrain, Qatar, and many more. Some Western countries like the UK and Germany. Will they ban them as well aside from US and Israel?

That is why Iran is attacking Middle Eastern countries where American bases are located. However, it is not only American bases that are being damaged in Middle Eastern countries, but also Middle Eastern countries are losing their resources and trade is losing its normal course.

As for the currency that's being used, yes it's being traded through Yuan instead of the Dollar because we know that they're doing the "de-dollarization" thing where they want to be separated from the US Dollar, and this might take decades, but soon it will happen. There's no announcement, but based on one website, countries like France, Italy, Pakistan, China and India are allowed to pass through the strait. There might be more in the future, but I do hope that this will at least help increase the amount of oil that's being exported so that the price of oil will decline a little bit.

It looks like US and Trump is becoming more and more delusional right now as they're claiming that they're winning, but their actions don't show it at all. They think that killing the Supreme Leader would mean the end of Iran, but that doesn't the case. Trump is now acting like a baby calling for help towards other countries. I'm not a hater of Trump, but I'm a big hater of this stupid wars that will only benefit them.

The situation in the Middle East due to the Iran-Israel war is getting worse day by day. I think that if this situation continues for a while, the Middle East, Europe, Asia and the whole world will start to feel the negative effects of this war, which will be much more serious than the current effects.
Yes, Trump's involvement in this war at this time is not right at all, now he is unable to continue the war or stop the war. But we hope that this war will end soon and peace and order will return to the world.

[Btcdeybodi]

I'll also add Ukraine to the losing side of the Iranian war, even if not involved, because now "the world" focus shifts from the war that should have been stopped oh so long ago, giving time to Putin to gather some more forces.

The focus shifted from Ukraine long time ago. Since the war between Israel and Hamas, that was when attention moved out from the Russian-Ukraine war. The US is a strong ally and a provider of military aid to Israel since they are their major partner in the Middle East even though they are Non-NATO ally so it is understandable why the US always show quick response to help Israel in times of war. Ukraine was long left to their own fate in the war between them and Russia.

[Smack That Ace]

The focus shifted from Ukraine long time ago. Since the war between Israel and Hamas, that was when attention moved out from the Russian-Ukraine war. The US is a strong ally and a provider of military aid to Israel since they are their major partner in the Middle East even though they are Non-NATO ally so it is understandable why the US always show quick response to help Israel in times of war. Ukraine was long left to their own fate in the war between them and Russia.

In my opinion, Ukraine is merely a pawn in a game aimed at containing and weakening Russia. Meanwhile, Israel represent the American presence in the Middle East region. If Israel collapse, it would mean the US would lose its position and influence in the region, and the consequences would be very serious. Petrodollar system would be shaken, and America's dominant position would weaken. Therefore, it is not surprising US always prioritizes and fulfills all requests from Israel, and is ready to defend them at all costs.

[knowngunman]

How long do you think this will last? Iran should look for other strategy to fight this war and allow the free flow oil vessels. I don't like their strategy of keeping the entire world hostage because of this war. But one thing am sure is that the US and other countries that are affected will not fold their arms for long and watch Iran continue to restrain movements within the Strait of Hormuz. They are suffering people unnecessarily. Both people that support the war and those that doesn't support are suffering. Closing the Strait of Hormuz is not helping them win the war either. Nobody is saying don't fight your war, but trying to hold the entire world to hostage is what I don't like.

What do you mean you don't like their strategy? This is war and there is no appropriate way to fight a war other than what work for you to win the war. As long as you're not killing the minor, every other strategies you employ is welcome as long as it will bring the enemies to their knees. The America and Israel reportedly bombed school and children, this is not part of war but act of terror. Closing the Strait of Hormuz by Iran is a strategic decision to cripple the economy of the enemies country and other countries being affected is a collateral damage.

Moreover, the Strait of Hormuz is not completely shut down for everyone. Only America, Israel and their allies are forbidden from passing until resolution is reached. Indian ships are passing as reported. Of course, America can not fold their arms watching for long and that's why they are running helter-skelter trying to convince other countries to send their ships and also want dialogue with Iran.

[bubilas]

So far, I see this scenario: the United States and Israel are curtailing the operation, loudly declaring victory. Trump announces that the "threat has been neutralized," shows the destroyed facilities on satellite images. For Trump, this is the right move - to jump out of an expensive and unpromising mess, calling himself the winner. It's a good thing that his ego and desire to "go to heaven" prevent him from thinking pragmatically.
The second option is that Iran will involve the United States and Israel in a long-term, exhausting conflict, as is currently happening in Ukraine. Iran alone is three times the size of Ukraine, and its population is 90 million people. As a bonus, Iran has the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world's oil passes. Its partial blockade will last for another month, and you will see oil prices rise to $120-130 per barrel, causing a recession in Europe and Asia. Then the political pressure on Trump from allies, the population and the opposition will become very painful.

[slapper]

Iran is a well-sanctioned country. Somehow in 2026, it is they with leverage on 20% of the global oil supply. How? How does that happen?

The answer is geography and asymmetry. Nobody, including the US, really wanted to reckon with what it meant that Iran sat on the northern coastline of a 21-mile-wide passage for forty years. It was always there. The mines are apparently already in the water. The drones are already being launched and circling. The small fast boats that the IRGC navy uses to swarm. Those aren't new either. We just kept not looking at it right on.

"Open to everyone, except..."

It sounds like generosity. It sounds like Iran is being reasonable and it is the US that is the problematic party. And globally (not Western audiences but globally) a significant portion of the world is going to read it exactly that way. That matters.

Oil keeps rising. But the oil price is almost an after-effect. The primary effect is what's going on to the underlying architecture to the oil trade. Who settles in what currency. Who gets passage and on what terms. Who has leverage and why. The barrels are only the visible portion.

[YOSHIE]

Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said on Telegram that the strait “is open to everyone, except American ships and those of its allies.”

Even though I haven't seen the news officially and directly, I have a friend who works on a mobil oil ship, the ship specifically takes oil from the Middle East and always passes through the Strait of Hormuz, he said that in the past few days oil tankers will be able to enter and pass through the Strait of Hormuz, I talked to my friend via WhatsApp.

So, I don't know about the issue of a ban on US or Israeli ships and I didn't ask about it, it's none of my business, so for some time now the Strait of Hormuz has indeed been open, whether it's just for oil ships, what is clear is that our country in the last few days has seen oil being brought in. from the Middle East.

[suhadi88]

Even with this statement, it still feels that we are stuck doomed and keep expecting oil prices to keep rising.

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/03/15/world/iran-war-trump-oil-israel

2026 will be a challenging year, especially for most lower- and middle-class citizens. While war hasn't yet spread to every corner of the country, the impact of just one item is already enough to cause headaches for many heads of state, as this sector significantly impacts all important items.

Previously, the US president stated that the war against Iran was almost over, but that's not the case. Let's see what the IEA will do to determine whether it will release its strategic oil reserves as a precautionary measure to prevent inflation.

[Cryptomultiplier]

Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said on Telegram that the strait “is open to everyone, except American ships and those of its allies.”

Even though I haven't seen the news officially and directly, I have a friend who works on a mobil oil ship, the ship specifically takes oil from the Middle East and always passes through the Strait of Hormuz, he said that in the past few days oil tankers will be able to enter and pass through the Strait of Hormuz, I talked to my friend via WhatsApp.

So, I don't know about the issue of a ban on US or Israeli ships and I didn't ask about it, it's none of my business, so for some time now the Strait of Hormuz has indeed been open, whether it's just for oil ships, what is clear is that our country in the last few days has seen oil being brought in. from the Middle East.

It's a good thing for the strait of Hormuz to be opened to non waring countries who have so far been affected by the ongoing Iran-Israel war, because the impact of scarcity of oil can't be over emphasized seeing that prices of other commodities are affected.
My country dances to such news of scarcity as we already are experiencing price hike and businesses take advantage of such world news of war or disaster, to create internal scarcity and get richer. I wonder if prices would go down now that the passage has been opened because for one, this is an oil producing country with working refineries that has been affected automatically by a world problem.

[tygeade]

Let's remember that just two weeks ago the whole region was operating normally until Israel and America attacked Iran out of the blue. Any nation on earth would rightly use whatever tools they have available to defend themselves from unwarranted aggression and that is exactly what Iran is doing. America hasn't even defined what they are seeking or what outcome will get them to stop attacking, Trump is a walking disaster for the world right now who is simply trying to distract from the Epstein files. The whole situation is a gigantic clusterfuck and the longer America/Israel keep attacking the longer fuel prices will go up along with inflation. There seems to be no stated goal or aim for hostilities to subside right now, both these senile older leaders are just trying to cling on to their political careers.

This was all unnecessary. Trump said in one of his statements that Iran was about to create nuclear weapon, and they feel that Iran is not going to use them for peaceful purposes, which is why they had to change the terrorist regime so that the world can be safe from this. He speaks as if he speaks on behalf of the whole world and all countries, as if he is responsible to take care of everyone because others can't do that for themselves. His ego is touching the sky, he wants to control the whole world, make all countries his allies and puppets so that he can make them do whatever he wants, and if a country doesn't do that, he starts a war against it.

I also agree that Iran has all the rights to do whatever it can to protect itself from uninvited war, they didn't initiate anything, but they surely responded when they were hit and was being bullied. So if they are saying that they won't let the ships of US and Israel or their allies pass through the Strait, they are not wrong for saying that or imposing such a rule, because they are in war with these countries, and they can't just let them do their businesses and everything and on the other hand, keep attacking them.

[Z-tight]

Trump is now calling on the allies of the US to help protect vessels that will pass through the Strait of Hormuz. His intention is to reduce the advantage Iran has since the country can hold the world to ransom by blocking that important area. But he fails to understand that Iran are masters of that area.

Trump needs to understand that no country would be drawn into this war unprovoked. He tried to persuade NATO allies to join forces with the United States Navy to provide protection for vessels passing through the Strait, but the answer is loud and clear: 'This is not NATO's war', and indeed it isn't. Germany and the U.K. have also rejected that alliance request.

Trump doesn't consult with anyone, not even congress, before taking action, so he should not expect any help from anywhere right now. The U.S. Navy on their own would have to police the Strait, if they can. This isn't 1914 or 1939, were you can just draw other countries into a wider war, everyone is more cautious right now and they pick their battles carefully.

[icebar]

It's a good thing for the strait of Hormuz to be opened to non waring countries who have so far been affected by the ongoing Iran-Israel war, because the impact of scarcity of oil can't be over emphasized seeing that prices of other commodities are affected.

Even if Iran gives permission to all ships in the Strait of Hormuz to control this unstable situation in the world, Israel's allies will not be able to take their ships out. As a result, everyone will not get the same benefits. Moreover, another big problem is that Israel has attacked Iran's oil refineries, while Iran is also firing missiles in response to the same action. Missiles have hit some oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Qatar, so it is clear that at present there is no chance to say that we will find a quick solution to the oil crisis. Even if big countries can overcome this problem to some extent, it will certainly be very difficult for small countries to bear it.

[Mate2237]

I think that Iran is using this very important passage route for ships to hold the united states and their key allies to ransom. Because Iran is aware that if they can hold the strait of Hormuz and control which ship will pass there, they can control a great percentage of the world trade route which is very essential to other countries, especially the global oil supply because, already the world is feeling the effects of this war as the strait of Hormuz was closed.


But from the  decision of Iran not allowing U.S ships and their allies, this war may linger longer than expected, because both Israel and the United States will continue to bomb Iran until they weaken Iran to the point were they will not be able to sustain themselves.

[fillippone]

The strait doesn't look like it's open to me:



Yes, there could be an underestimate for ships turning off their transponder during the passage and switching it on after they successfully navigated the perils. Yet, looks like a very dangerous move risking something like that!

[Cookdata]

2026 will be a challenging year, especially for most lower- and middle-class citizens. While war hasn't yet spread to every corner of the country, the impact of just one item is already enough to cause headaches for many heads of state, as this sector significantly impacts all important items.

Previously, the US president stated that the war against Iran was almost over, but that's not the case. Let's see what the IEA will do to determine whether it will release its strategic oil reserves as a precautionary measure to prevent inflation.

This isn't longer about the rich and the poor, it's a global financial pandemic that is affecting everyone. Imagine that every car owner price of filling a tank gas increase by 40%, that means you every car owner has to increase their budget for fuel or reduce their consumption rate. If you are driving 7 times a week to the same place everyday, you will have to remove 2 days and manage the rest of the 5 days or reduce the miles cover everyday, isn't all this math's insane? 

This is fir car consumption, we haven't consider gas for cooking, the price of cooking gas increased, that means another budget increase or cut down expenses. You are likely going to be paying for more electricity if you come from region where gas are used to generate electricity. Most of these basic energy affect every business and there by Increasing their cost of production. Now tell me, is this about the rich, the poor and the average or it's a global problem.

[Akbarkoe]

Trump was angry at this decision, he called on Nato countries to help Trump secure the Strait of Hormuz which was explicitly rejected by the British Prime Minister and also the most vocal was Spain, even going to leave Nato, clearly Iran's enemy here is not Arab countries or European countries but Israel and America, the sentence was issued to maintain diplomatic relations with nearby countries, it is a good strategy.
 
And the important announcement from Iran they stated that the countries that are tied to the US are advised not to cooperate with Israel and the US anymore, Iran hates countries that play two feet.P

The Persians are a bold and decisive nation, they show their true fangs.

[IjawMan]

The only problem is they keep doing the opposite of what they are announcing on their press statement like they will not attack ship that doesn’t passed the strait yet they start bombing trap oil ship.

It’s still too risky to follow this announcement considering there’s potential mines planted on the sea especially on the narrow part of the Strait of Hormuz.

Here is a video from watcherguru showing ships traffic movement in the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours  from when Iran announces that it has been opened to every country apart from the US, Israel and their allies.

There has been no news of ships attacks and if there was any of that then it cannot be a neutral country's ship according to the condition of opening the Strait.

[abhiseshakana]

The strait doesn't look like it's open to me:

Yes, there could be an underestimate for ships turning off their transponder during the passage and switching it on after they successfully navigated the perils. Yet, looks like a very dangerous move risking something like that!

As an exporter, what I am experiencing and feeling now when sending goods to Dubai and Saudi Arabia, shipping line applied additional emergency freight surcharge from USD 800 for 20' dry container and USD the highest is USD 3,800/ 40'reefer container. Some of my colleague also informed that import from middle east also delayed until further notice due to rerouting, container shortage due to empty container stuck in Jebel Ali port. From these circumstance, i think container vessel is the most sensitive to conflict and can be first indicator of global logistic disruption. For businessman especially exporter, shipping delay mean payment delay and cashflow problem before my eyes.

Many people only discuss and put concern on energy sector but they forget other sector which can be a signal of the real economy is starting to falter. From your data, even Iran does not close Hormuz strait permanetly but they create uncertainity and increase risk which cause container cargo vessel traffic colapse and supply chain disruption. Usually every week i send 4x40'HQ cheap capiz shell to Jebel Ali but due to freight increase it is temporarily stopped. For frozen seafood, my buyer confirm to bear all shipping surcharge.