Altseason is dead, expect shorter cycles and ‘violent’ rotations: Crypto exec

[Oshosondy]

I think this should not be news to people on this forum, in the last bull market we have experienced this already. Most of the altcoins did not really increased almost at once within a year but it extended to 3 years from 2023 to 2025. The old coins later increased, followed last by the privacy coins like monero, zec and dash. Another thing is that bitcoin marketcap did not fall like people expected.

But this is what Crypto exec said recently about upcoming altseason, that it can not be like how it was in the past also which I totally believe.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/altseaon-dead-short-cycles-violent-rotation


Know that many coins will still increase 5, 10, 25x more but it will be few at a time and many will disappoint.

[Junii]

Honestly i agree with this perspective it was in my mind from the last year when peoples were saying that  Altseason is coming . If we look at the past cycles the idea of a sudden market wide altseason doesnot really hold up. The move was gradual and extended over a couple of years with capital rotating from Bitcoin into major altcoins and only later into older and more niche coins like Monero Zcash and Dash. Even Bitcoin dominance didnot collapse the way many expected which already hinted at a structural shift.

Another important difference now is the sheer number of altcoins in the market. In previous cycles there were far fewer projects competing for attention and capital. Today we have millions of tokens including many low quality or speculative ones which significantly dilutes overall liquidity. When that liquidity is spread across such a large number of assets  it becomes much harder for the entire altcoin market to move together in a strong and sustained way.

Given the current market environment with stronger institutional influence and more selective liquidity it makes sense that the next altseason won’t mirror the past. Instead of a broad rally  we are more likely to see sector based moves where only fundamentally strong or narrative driven projects outperform at different phases.

[MAAManda]

That's what happens if 1 cake is shared with more than 100 children, I can agree with the opinion that the experts said. The current crypto market atmosphere is no longer exactly the same as it was in the past, with too many tokens, small MCs spread across new projects & greater concentration on Bitcoin (BTC).

Honestly, this is good news for the crypto community in general, as people are starting to become aware of how & in which projects they should invest, no longer think of the crypto market as Las Vegas.

[d5000]

I think there is probably a couple of other reasons for the poor performance of altcoins than the sheer number of tokens.

First, the "next Bitcoin" story which propelled altcoins like Solana in the past is dead now. Most investors know that while some altcoins have some technical "advantages" with respect to Bitcoin like "increased transaction speed" they come with tradeoffs like centralization. It is thus more difficult that people believe it if some "coin founder" tries to convince them to invest in a coin which will be "better than Bitcoin". Terra/Luna is a notorious case, the fanbois of that coin were raging about their superiority and were bitterly disappointed.

In addition, every year there are less new tokens or coins that make it into the top 20 or top 10. The first ranks are almost unchanged, and "boring" stablecoins perform "better" in them (with higher market cap) than sophisticated smart contract platforms. And even worse: Only very few coins reached a new ATH in this cycle. Not even ETH was able to do that.

And then obviously there's the scams, and the crappy tokenomics of most tokens and coins, with a big part of the initial supply premined to the founders.

[Ruttoshi]

Most investors have come to understand that altcoins are just hypes and nothing more. Bitcoin has shown that it's a good store of value overtime and that has attracted a lot of investors making them to ignore these altcoins. The problem is that we have too many altcoins/shitcoins with limited shitcoin lovers because altcoins have shown their real colors that they will become valueless in the long run.

So, I agree with the OP that only a few altcoins will be able to pump with bitcoin in the future because people don't want to gamble with their money since majority of altcoins are empty promises.

[Shinpako09]

That seems to be the case, after a few days of green, the market is red again. We keep getting the same situation, short term rallies, then it falls back again. I was expecting it last year, but it didn’t happen, so I thought maybe in 2026, but it doesn’t seem likely as well. It seems we might need to wait for the next halving to have another altcoin season. Right now, I don’t see any reason that could drive much hype. Even if there is, I don’t think it would be enough to reach a new ATH for the top altcoins or even half.

[PrivacyG]

I have been reading about this 'clean up' of the Altcoins Market for a REALLY long time here.  It has been a long time coming thing and completely expected.  Look at how many Altcoins there are out there and over 99 percent of them are pretty much clones of each other with zero extra utility.  Not to mention that most of them are even Scams waiting for the perfect moment.

I do not think the Altcoin season is now 'dead', they may be going through a really long winter but I doubt stupidity is all gone now.  They will come back when it is time for another stupid trend to launch and then they will die out again.  We have had such 'winters' before, people have just way too many expectations now.  If you look at Altcoins such as Doge Coin before it became the toy of Elon Musk, it did pretty interesting rounds of pumps and dumps but it was never like what we saw since Musk took the control handle of Doge Coin.

Just wait for another trend, it will happen again as long as people fall for it one more time.  And they will, they always fell for any trend no matter how stupid it was.

[MArsland]

I think this should not be news to people on this forum, in the last bull market we have experienced this already. Most of the altcoins did not really increased almost at once within a year but it extended to 3 years from 2023 to 2025. The old coins later increased, followed last by the privacy coins like monero, zec and dash. Another thing is that bitcoin marketcap did not fall like people expected.

But this is what Crypto exec said recently about upcoming altseason, that it can not be like how it was in the past also which I totally believe.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/altseaon-dead-short-cycles-violent-rotation


Know that many coins will still increase 5, 10, 25x more but it will be few at a time and many will disappoint.

Altseason is no longer the same as before. We might expect to see large movements, as expected, in altcoins but because liquidity distribution is now quite random, it's quite difficult to detect. This includes movements in altcoins, making them appear insignificant and harder to detect as a clear altseason wave.

[hugeblack]

It is true that there are many altcoins, but with the increase in number, the disadvantages have increased. Apart from Bitcoin, all altcoins suffer from many problems such as centralization, blockchain shutdown, the possibility of coin burning, infinite supply, low usage, or lack of onchain activity. there is no real alternative that can replace Bitcoin, and it is natural for investment to be distributed among many altcoins, which leads to a gradual decrease in their price (and here I am not talking about a pump dump scam).

[TastyChillySauce00]

Most altcoins don't even need to exist. If bearish market is really coming all these altcoins will go to zero, getting delisted, and go to zero.
I am currently holding several altcoins that was locked due to vesting for about 6 month and all of them lost 90% of its value. How crazy that is. Altcoin is truly dead except few.

[el kaka22]

Okay, so the "expert" is "Andrei Grachev, managing partner of DWF labs". Have you guys ever heard of the guy or even the company? Of course not, they are a nobody and he is a nobody in a nobody place. This is why I hate these type of news, because it's making it sound like some big name in the business made this claim.

It's not CZ coming up and saying something, even in that case we have seen him be wrong multiple times but at least he is a big name in the industry and could be considered expert at least. These are the news that we are getting from people who are literally nobody that we should not care about. This "expert" title has been given to so many people who are not even remotely experts in this space at all.

[Accardo]

Okay, so the "expert" is "Andrei Grachev, managing partner of DWF labs". Have you guys ever heard of the guy or even the company? Of course not, they are a nobody and he is a nobody in a nobody place. This is why I hate these type of news, because it's making it sound like some big name in the business made this claim.

It's not CZ coming up and saying something, even in that case we have seen him be wrong multiple times but at least he is a big name in the industry and could be considered expert at least. These are the news that we are getting from people who are literally nobody that we should not care about. This "expert" title has been given to so many people who are not even remotely experts in this space at all.

I don't see where he's tagged an expert, what's there in this thread is executive, which he is, I do get your point of view, but most of the people crypto users listen to are nowhere close to understanding how the ecosystem works, that is why most crypto users are expected to learn about the economics behind the technology, so as to be well grounded on which decision to take, rather than digesting whatever information uploaded by any influencer or shiller.