Oil will be high for a while

[passwordnow]

Destroying the facilities only took seconds while building them will take for years. And that's why this recovery for all of the countries involved will take time. They need to sign a peace treaty so that it will be a complete ceasefire but knowing when, we don't know. We're all hopeful that the peace will come on that region and to the global community where most are affected even if some are indirectly affected. Egos of the leaders should be the ones to be controlled and if they want to wage on a war, they should have a boxing ring and not put their people on the field risking their lives.

The masses always suffer when world leaders and their egos go to war. The oil price in my country has risen over the weeks since the start of this war and it would keep doing so even if the peace treaty is signed.
To build is way harder than to destroy and U.S is the smart party because they don't have their own facilities destroyed but bases and structures they erected in another's country but they would surely be affected by de-dollarization.

Just like the news today, Trump said that they're going to attack Iran if within 48 hours they won't open the Strait. They all want bomb each other why the casualty is not going to be theirs personally. It's all the government facilities that are going to lose. Both have their egos settling this won't probably seen any time soon. I'm hoping that this is going to end asap and have their settlement agreement come out. And as Iran answer to Trump's call, this is what they've said: Iran Threatens to Close Strait of Hormuz 'Completely' if Trump Attacks Power Plants

[Alpen]

Indeed, the 1973 crisis gave rise to small-displacement engines. As for the USSR, it collapsed not only because oil became cheaper. It's much more complicated than that. In general, the closest description to reality of why and how this happened I read in the book by Professor Alexey Yurchak "Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More: The Last Soviet Generation".

The last Soviet generation hasn't vanished—it has simply lost its mind, unable to come to terms with the collapse of the USSR.

Now, a war with Iran, soaring oil prices, and the resulting energy deficit will bring down another empire. The US will disappear, starting with a bipartisan crisis, followed by the collapse of its judicial and financial systems. It’s terrifying to imagine what will emerge from the ruins of such a giant, but at least that state is geographically isolated by the oceans

[Alpen]

No one knows for how long this war can go on. It can be weeks or months. But a lot of people seem to think that once the war ends, everything will go back to normal. That is not the case. Oil prices are going up now and for every day that companies struggle to operate, the closer they are to bankruptcy. Maybe the big companies would be fine but even them are struggling. To expect that once the war ends, everything will go back to how it was before would be foolish. It will take a while for everything to go down low, if things were to bounce back to what we used to consider normal.

Instead of worrying, we should be looking for opportunities. Oil hitting $200 seems almost certain now, especially with Israeli media reporting Trump’s decision to launch a ground operation. Buying oil tokens is a solid play to profit while bringing liquidity to the blockchain.

Right now, the easiest move is buying perpetual futures on a DEX or Hyperliquid. Personally, I’m waiting for Paxos to drop their oil token. I already buy Pax Gold from them via Cryptomus, as they guarantee their tokens are backed by real-world assets.

This ground operation will be like opening the gates of hell for the US. With three amphibious assault ships heading to the Strait of Hormuz, D-Day will look pale in comparison to the casualties this landing will see, especially given how far drone tech has come

[dunfida]

Destroying the facilities only took seconds while building them will take for years. And that's why this recovery for all of the countries involved will take time. They need to sign a peace treaty so that it will be a complete ceasefire but knowing when, we don't know. We're all hopeful that the peace will come on that region and to the global community where most are affected even if some are indirectly affected. Egos of the leaders should be the ones to be controlled and if they want to wage on a war, they should have a boxing ring and not put their people on the field risking their lives.

The masses always suffer when world leaders and their egos go to war. The oil price in my country has risen over the weeks since the start of this war and it would keep doing so even if the peace treaty is signed.
To build is way harder than to destroy and U.S is the smart party because they don't have their own facilities destroyed but bases and structures they erected in another's country but they would surely be affected by de-dollarization.

Just like the news today, Trump said that they're going to attack Iran if within 48 hours they won't open the Strait. They all want bomb each other why the casualty is not going to be theirs personally. It's all the government facilities that are going to lose. Both have their egos settling this won't probably seen any time soon. I'm hoping that this is going to end asap and have their settlement agreement come out. And as Iran answer to Trump's call, this is what they've said: Iran Threatens to Close Strait of Hormuz 'Completely' if Trump Attacks Power Plants

If there's no one would surrender or would be downing their ego then it would surely hurt and we've been able to feel out on the result of this such closure. Some countries are still able to pass through this channel, i dont know if its true but its been said that China could freely pass through Hormuz except US and its allies. Now these warnings about attacking this and that, then that would worsen up the situation. We are hoping that this war would end and not just that because of economic inflation rises but also into those people who are killed by this war but majority are really that being concerned through the effects when oil supply being cut. Come to think that it would really be having that domino effect on which  this wont be talking about oil prices but also in other industries as well and t hats would be a devastation. There are tons of people now are bracing for much more impact if this war would be that going for long. We are hoping that this war would be over specially into those people who are really that still earning the modest on which survival would be the challenge on here.

[Royal Cap]

In the context of our country currently our country's oil reserves are not enough. And if you go to the petrol pump, no one is giving you more than two dollars of oil. This has been happening for the last 15 days. But in the new news, I have seen that after the next two to three weeks, our country's oil reserves will be completely exhausted.  And then oil will not be available at the petrol pump either. Although this situation is not only in our country but in all countries. The main reason for this is the Strait of Hormuz and currently due to Trump, the influence of the Strait of Hormuz has increased even more, It is hoped that through some alternative way, we can get some supply of oil and use it at a slightly lower price.

[Olatundespo]

In the context of our country currently our country's oil reserves are not enough. And if you go to the petrol pump, no one is giving you more than two dollars of oil. This has been happening for the last 15 days. But in the new news, I have seen that after the next two to three weeks, our country's oil reserves will be completely exhausted.  And then oil will not be available at the petrol pump either. Although this situation is not only in our country but in all countries. The main reason for this is the Strait of Hormuz and currently due to Trump, the influence of the Strait of Hormuz has increased even more, It is hoped that through some alternative way, we can get some supply of oil and use it at a slightly lower price.

The oil crisis is creating an extreme chaos in the transportation sector. The price of each product is increasing due to the increase in transportation costs. The days ahead will be very challenging because with the increase in transportation costs, the production costs of various products will increase. If normal transportation cannot be ensured in the Strait of Hormuz, there will be a food crisis in almost every country in the world because many countries have to depend on oil for irrigation of crops.

In this context, there is a discussion about taking measures to move ships through this strait with the help of some NATO countries, although there are risks, if normal transportation is ensured, it will be helpful in dealing with the bad situation financially.

[Iranus]

Instead of worrying, we should be looking for opportunities. Oil hitting $200 seems almost certain now, especially with Israeli media reporting Trump’s decision to launch a ground operation. Buying oil tokens is a solid play to profit while bringing liquidity to the blockchain.

Right now, the easiest move is buying perpetual futures on a DEX or Hyperliquid. Personally, I’m waiting for Paxos to drop their oil token. I already buy Pax Gold from them via Cryptomus, as they guarantee their tokens are backed by real-world assets.

This ground operation will be like opening the gates of hell for the US. With three amphibious assault ships heading to the Strait of Hormuz, D-Day will look pale in comparison to the casualties this landing will see, especially given how far drone tech has come

I have seen a lot of prediction that oil prices will reach $180-200 or even higher. If that were to happen, it would be an extremely extreme scenario for the economy. Honestly, I did not expect that to happen.

As for investing in oil at this point, is extremely risky because prices have risen significantly, and the war situation is very difficult to predict. I do not understand why people prefer investing in assets that have already increased significantly while ignoring those that have not.

[Agbe]

The world capitalist uses any small opportunity to exploit the poor masses and the surviving citizens in the world. According to Professor John Pepper Clark (J.P. Clark) in his Poem title: "The Casualties". He said, it is not only those who died in the war are casualties but those who at home. Because the effects of the war reaches everywhere and everybody suffer it. Now my question is, what about those countries that have refinery and has crude oil they are not buying oil from outside, yet their Oil is cost, why? They are not importing crude oil and they use their own crude produce in the country to produce fuel in the country yet their prices are very high. They use the opportunity of the war to increase their products against the consumers. That is highest exploitation level from the capitalist without mercy.

[passwordnow]

Just like the news today, Trump said that they're going to attack Iran if within 48 hours they won't open the Strait. They all want bomb each other why the casualty is not going to be theirs personally. It's all the government facilities that are going to lose. Both have their egos settling this won't probably seen any time soon. I'm hoping that this is going to end asap and have their settlement agreement come out. And as Iran answer to Trump's call, this is what they've said: Iran Threatens to Close Strait of Hormuz 'Completely' if Trump Attacks Power Plants

If there's no one would surrender or would be downing their ego then it would surely hurt and we've been able to feel out on the result of this such closure. Some countries are still able to pass through this channel, i dont know if its true but its been said that China could freely pass through Hormuz except US and its allies. Now these warnings about attacking this and that, then that would worsen up the situation. We are hoping that this war would end and not just that because of economic inflation rises but also into those people who are killed by this war but majority are really that being concerned through the effects when oil supply being cut. Come to think that it would really be having that domino effect on which  this wont be talking about oil prices but also in other industries as well and t hats would be a devastation. There are tons of people now are bracing for much more impact if this war would be that going for long. We are hoping that this war would be over specially into those people who are really that still earning the modest on which survival would be the challenge on here.

Yeah, that's what they've said on the news. China has been allowed for most of its times that it was closed due to their allegiance with Iran. And soon, it will be Japan as they've pledged to pay with chinese yuan. So, it gives the benefits on the side of Iran while the allies of US have no choice but to follow what's being demanded by Iran. Because it's their economies that they have to deal with and they'll do what it takes so that they won't be affected that much by this war and the ships that are containing their oils will be sent to their countries.

[Shinpako09]

That is indeed the hard truth. The war isn’t over yet, and gas prices in our country are already close to $2 per liter. It might go even higher as long as the war continues. With how fast gas prices are rising, I doubt they will drop at the same speed. That’s the combination of war and corruption here. It will become even harder once the prices of goods follow. For now, they are still stable. Meanwhile, in our neighboring country, gas prices are around $1 if I’m not mistaken.

[Lida93]

We're used to this. Even when the global price of oil per barrel was falling, prices were still being increased in our country. There has always been a very heavy tax on fuel. Now they're trying to prevent prices from skyrocketing by offsetting these taxes, but there's no room left to offset anymore. So price hikes are inevitably continuing.

Rising fuel prices also drive up inflation, because as transportation costs increase, everything becomes more expensive. I don't think this will stop anytime soon.

There are countries that this issue of oil price rise is actually worsened in this few weeks of this unnecessary war. My country to be specific we're suffering a artificial hikes with prices that are not uniform as regulations are weak, and even with what the government fuel subsidy removal isn't helping the situation as oil marketers now manipulate the pump price of fuel using the war situation in the middle East as an excuse. As I write, the prices of good and services has spike beyond normal and this has invariably increase the already existing hardship.

[puloweh555]

No one knows for how long this war can go on. It can be weeks or months. But a lot of people seem to think that once the war ends, everything will go back to normal. That is not the case. Oil prices are going up now and for every day that companies struggle to operate, the closer they are to bankruptcy. Maybe the big companies would be fine but even them are struggling. To expect that once the war ends, everything will go back to how it was before would be foolish. It will take a while for everything to go down low, if things were to bounce back to what we used to consider normal.

Iran has long been difficult for Israel and the US to fight because it holds the trump card the Strait of Hormuz which would have a far-reaching impact on oil and the economy. However, who would have thought that this war would finally break out after the US attacked Iran and assassinated its leader? Many political observers say this war will be protracted and Iran is prepared for a long-term conflict, even a US land invasion.

Iran holds significant bargaining power in this war, namely the Strait of Hormuz, as it is a major route frequently used for global oil distribution. When Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, the result will be a surge in world oil prices and a collapse in the global economy. Several weeks into this war the impacts are already being felt by every country.

In fact, Iran has now boldly issued an ultimatum to Israel and the US if Israel bombs Iranian power plants, Iran will retaliate in kind. Even now, the Strait of Hormuz has become the most expensive toll road because every ship that wants to pass through has to pay 2 million dollars per ship. Of course, the high cost will have an impact on expensive oil which will ultimately lead to an increase in all sectors including basic necessities.

[Cheema02]

That is indeed the hard truth. The war isn’t over yet, and gas prices in our country are already close to $2 per liter. It might go even higher as long as the war continues. With how fast gas prices are rising, I doubt they will drop at the same speed. That’s the combination of war and corruption here. It will become even harder once the prices of goods follow. For now, they are still stable. Meanwhile, in our neighboring country, gas prices are around $1 if I’m not mistaken.

Currently the fuel prices rising continuously but they don't recover with same way even after war stopped. And after the war all the pressure of expanses of insurance and supply route will be put on consumers. And even when the global inflation stabilize the middle men in trade have a huge margin and its unfortunate for us. So the most important is the second phase because due to transport all type of daily stuff also have high prices and apparently the first market looks stable and normal but the effect of inflation can be feels and if we see other countries they manage it much more wisely than us. The actual thing for learning is that in panic situations people should cut to unnecessary travel so the consumption can be managed during crises. for long term sustainability we should avoid personal transport and we should use public transport so we prevent some sort of oil in the world.

[FanEagle]

This is going to pass, maybe not right away, but we are seeing solutions being talked about. There is no solution currently, but there will be, from different alternative paths for oil to take, to Iran letting it pass for non-USA companies, to paying a fee to Iran to pass, they are all getting to a point where we talk about possibilities at least.

Eventually one or more of them will happen and we are going to see it change for the better, it is going to be very great. When that day comes and we see finally the ships passing, from any of the possible ways that we are seeing right now, the oil price will plummet again, this time it could go down a lot harder, and be lower than what it should be , and then will go back up again to a breezy 70 to 80 dollars eventually.

[Alpen]

I have seen a lot of prediction that oil prices will reach $180-200 or even higher. If that were to happen, it would be an extremely extreme scenario for the economy. Honestly, I did not expect that to happen.

As for investing in oil at this point, is extremely risky because prices have risen significantly, and the war situation is very difficult to predict. I do not understand why people prefer investing in assets that have already increased significantly while ignoring those that have not.

In the market, there’s really no such thing as an 'objectively high' or 'low' price. Oil could easily pull another 100% gain from current levels, so why not invest?

Geopolitically, the US has taken the bait from Israel, and for Iran, this is now a fight to the death. They are backed into a corner. Taking a truce now would be like letting your opponent up from a 'ground and pound' (parterre) position—it would just give the US time to regroup and deliver a much more devastating blow later.

Iran's strategy is to drag this out; the longer they fight, the more anti-war sentiment grows in the US, draining Trump’s ratings and his budget for the war

[Suleiman the Magnificent]

Every major occurrence in the world triggers economic or social shifts. People tend to think that once things settle down, the situation will revert to its former state. But the reality is different. It is incredibly difficult to restore what has changed. Generally, there is no going back; therefore, one must adapt to the new reality.

[bakasabo]

Is government of your country doing something to hold fuel price growth? Maybe your country has fuel reserves that can hold price growth for some period. I have read that some countries have decreased (for several months only) excise tax and VAT. However that does not help much (or help at all), because they havent completely cancel excise tax. It only allows to reduce cost for 10-15% in general, when daily fuel price at gas stations increases for 5-10%.

[DrBeer]

Here’s an interesting historical observation: after sharp spikes in oil prices, there follows a prolonged period of decline in both prices and demand. The reason is simple: high oil prices lead to the scaling back or contraction of certain economic sectors around the world. Afterward, these sectors take a VERY long time to recover, meaning they increase oil consumption very slowly.
But in our time, high oil prices over a long period can lead to yet another development—a decline in demand for internal combustion engine (ICE) solutions, such as the abandonment of commercial vehicles with ICEs and the transition to electric propulsion...
 Freight trucking is currently the largest sector of petroleum product consumption. And large companies with extensive fleets will not be able to compete on transportation costs with electric transport. What is the solution? Either shut down the business or... switch to electric transport!

[Oluwa-btc]

That is indeed the hard truth. The war isn’t over yet, and gas prices in our country are already close to $2 per liter. It might go even higher as long as the war continues. With how fast gas prices are rising, I doubt they will drop at the same speed. That’s the combination of war and corruption here. It will become even harder once the prices of goods follow. For now, they are still stable. Meanwhile, in our neighboring country, gas prices are around $1 if I’m not mistaken.

Not only gas prices will be affected.

It will get to our pharmacy and drugs
There'll be shortage of fertilizer.
There'll be shortage of food production and the world could find themselves getting starved
Transportation will increase and the prices of goods and food will go high for this reason. As a food monger, I fear this food shortage more than any other because, I had such plans eating three square meal again.

[GFOXOG]

With the Federal Reserve held rates at 3.50–3.75%. They issued a statement. Jerome Powell held a press conference Everyone nodded. Markets moved. And almost nobody read the actual document they published the Summary of Economic Projections which is one of the most damning self-indictments any institution has ever quietly released on a Wednesday afternoon.

I read it. All 17 pages. And I want to walk you through exactly why what happened today is not cautious central banking. It is institutional paralysis dressed up in academic formatting.

They Told You Inflation Is Getting Worse. Then Did Nothing.

Three months ago, in December 2025, the Fed projected PCE inflation at 2.4% for 2026. Core PCE at 2.5%.

Today they revised both to 2.7%.

The top of their inflation range the high end of what their own participants think could happen moved from 2.7% to 3.3%.

That is not a rounding error. That is a 60 basis point upward revision to the worst case in a single quarter. And it happened while Brent crude was trading at $100 a barrel with the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed. It happened the same morning that February PPI printed +0.7% month on month double expectations, the largest monthly jump since August 2023, with core up 0.5% for the tenth consecutive month.

The pipeline is full. Anyone who has traded commodities or run a manufacturing business knows that PPI leads CPI by three to six months. The inflation that hit consumers in 2022 was visible in producer prices in 2021. The same movie is playing right now in slow motion and the Fed is sitting in the front row pretending the screen is blank.

Their response to all of this? Hold. No change. See you in May.

They are currently at 3.625% the midpoint of the 3.50 to 3.75 range. Which means they are projecting exactly one 25 basis point cut this year. One cut. While simultaneously acknowledging that inflation is going to run at 2.7%, oil is disrupted, and geopolitical uncertainty is their words affecting the economic outlook.
Think about what they are actually saying. We know inflation is higher than we thought. We know energy is disrupted. We know the Middle East conflict is creating economic uncertainty. And our plan is to cut rates once before Christmas and hope for the best.
That is not a policy framework.

That is a calendar entry.