Soccer betting strategies to win

[MArsland]

This is indeed a good strategy if the goal is to increase your win rate, however as some members and you have explained, this strategy is not profitable, if we calculate it mathematically, 31 matches with 21 wins at average odds of around 1.3 still isn't enough to cover the total losses. My idea is to combine these favorite teams into one bet to achieve average odds of around 1.6. Of course, this increases the risk by reducing the probability of winning, but I believe it's still quite reliable.

[Bright0515]

 such as Arsenal managed to win 21 matches which will be a victory for bettors while draws and losses are a form of losing our bets because we bet for the team's victory.

All gamblers have different ways of making their bets. If I'm to bet arsenal team to win other gamblers might bet them to lose and if they lose the other gamblers have win and I'm the loser in the game. Why I said this is because I want you to know that it's not all gamblers that bet on each team to win. Some bet them to lose and some bet them to win. Another risky option to bet there is the draw option, it gambler A & B bet the arsenal to win or to lose and they draw, the both bettors have actually lose their bet. The truth is that no option or strategy is safe.

[Creeper0]

It may be realized for us to continue betting on potential teams like Arsenal and Manchester City, the case if we bet only to get a win on soccer betting then we can use this option to bet, in the history of the match both teams have more wins than losses which can make our win ratio better throughout the season, such as Arsenal managed to win 21 matches which will be a victory for bettors while draws and losses are a form of losing our bets because we bet for the team's victory.
 
It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

I am somewhat confident in Arsenal's victory, but I still can't believe Manchester City. City's consistency is still questionable until the end of the season, they have drawn badly in their last two matches, which is equivalent to defeat considering the circumstances. On the other hand, Arsenal, although not as consistent as they were at the beginning of the season, their consistency is slightly better than City. Both teams will be impressive until the end of the season, but Arsenal's number of defeats may be very low.

In terms of betting, you may not be able to profit by betting consistently on these teams, because your 5-match winning streak can be destroyed in just 1 match. Bookmakers do not give very high odds on these teams' victories, so you will only be able to increase the number of wins, not make much profit.

[r_victory]

We can say it's a logical "strategy." The potential for financial gain is minimal, but the chances of consistent winnings are greater. It's not foolproof, but it can yield better results on most bets you make. In the end, it's always about betting on the favorites. Do underdogs win too? Yes, but it doesn't always happen!

It's definitely a "strategy" for those who aren't looking for high returns and are content to earn little by little.

[khiholangkang]

We can say it's a logical "strategy." The potential for financial gain is minimal, but the chances of consistent winnings are greater. It's not foolproof, but it can yield better results on most bets you make. In the end, it's always about betting on the favorites. Do underdogs win too? Yes, but it doesn't always happen!

It's definitely a "strategy" for those who aren't looking for high returns and are content to earn little by little.

Winning is simple and it is very difficult to multiply money by betting like that, which obviously will not appeal to most people in betting on the favorite team, however, most people will choose a large profit so that they can celebrate grandly after betting.
Isn't it for small profits betting that it will just be a waste of time, and I think the adrenaline feeling of betting is less deep so it does make our hearts and minds plate about losing and winning if doing that way, after all not every season the top team will repeat the same achievement in every match.

[Mindyspace]

Yes, that makes sense.

Arsenal and Manchester City offer more security, so it helps to get more correct predictions.

However, the odds are low, so the profit is small, and an upset could break the streak.

Good for consistency, not so much for high profits, from what I understand.

[Mhizlove]

Using simple terms, gamblers should know that no team or game is certain or always confirmed to win. A team can have a very little odd but still at the end of the day lose to the other team that has bigger odds. It is not something that it new so if you want to place your bets, you shouldn't judge or pick your options using normal assumptions because a team has a good performance ratio.
If there is one undeniable fact about football, it is very very unpredictable as anything can happen at anytime. So I'm not in support of the whole aspect of betting on potential teams to win matches as a way of securing winnings.

[odunybiz]

Using simple terms, gamblers should know that no team or game is certain or always confirmed to win. A team can have a very little odd but still at the end of the day lose to the other team that has bigger odds. It is not something that it new so if you want to place your bets, you shouldn't judge or pick your options using normal assumptions because a team has a good performance ratio.
If there is one undeniable fact about football, it is very very unpredictable as anything can happen at anytime. So I'm not in support of the whole aspect of betting on potential teams to win matches as a way of securing winnings.

Small odd never assure winnings. This is where luck set in for gambling. Most times our predictions may be right but they may not be favoured by luck. A team with a very small odd may play is opponent back to back with many shot on target but non of the shot may be favoured to score and anyone that bet on straight win for such team with small odd lose their game for that day. Although  on betting on a potential teams win matches may work sometimes but they often come with small odds that a single lose after many win may take all accumulated profits and even make you secure loses.

[DubemIfedigbo001]

Arsenal and City are sitting on the top spots of the table doesn't mean that they will continue winning the rest of their matches till the end of the season. They can still lose and any gambler that's lucky to bet on the underdogs will make huge profits because what you said is what the bookmakers look into when making the odds.

I will prefer to bet on only Arsenal than betting on City because their performance isn't consistent in recent times. However, Arsenal failed in the finals yesterday.

At least for the next 3 premier league matches, especially those of 19th & 25th april, it is not advisable the give them a direct winning since they would be playing Manchester City(which just kicked their ass) and Newcastle(which is strong enough to kick their ass too) respectively. Arsenal would want to be very serious in those matches and attempt securing draws at least. I love point spread more than direct winning. I have had some considerable disappointments from these supposedly strong teams that I don't always trust them to win matches outrightly.

[$crypto$]

All season long betting on potential teams --- like in the Premier league Arsenal and Man City --- LaLiga Barcelona and Real Madrid is indeed a good strategy if you do it, but is there anyone who focuses on doing it?

Usually the team that performs consistently will get small odds on average @1.3 - @1.5 especially against the underdog team at the bottom of the table then the odds can be smaller than mentioned, say @1.10x then the odds are not comparable, obviously I don't know the exact ratio throughout the season is profitable or not.

Maybe my idea strategy is.
Against small teams the stakes are increased, against equal teams then the amount of bets becomes small, this will be better but still the results no one knows.

[Italian Panic]

using the accumulator betting technique, which involves selecting a series of matches with almost certain outcomes, such as top teams playing against bottom table teams that are performing poorly, and adding up the win odds. Another option is to pick teams that win frequently, such as Bayern Munich, Arsenal, Barcelona, etc., and always bet on them. However, even in very small leagues there are teams that win almost every time, and the odds are often overpriced.

[TopT3ns]

All season long betting on potential teams --- like in the Premier league Arsenal and Man City --- LaLiga Barcelona and Real Madrid is indeed a good strategy if you do it, but is there anyone who focuses on doing it?

Usually the team that performs consistently will get small odds on average @1.3 - @1.5 especially against the underdog team at the bottom of the table then the odds can be smaller than mentioned, say @1.10x then the odds are not comparable, obviously I don't know the exact ratio throughout the season is profitable or not.

Maybe my idea strategy is.
Against small teams the stakes are increased, against equal teams then the amount of bets becomes small, this will be better but still the results no one knows.

The policy of selling the majority against less powerful teams is a rational measure toward having a steady influx of small gains on weekly basis. A threat of serious loss of capital is also looming in case the big team suddenly becomes worse than the market expects. We should also test our success rate frequently lest it goes at a loss in the long term. Betting on big matches and limiting our bets is also a healthy way of ensuring balance of money.

[red4slash]

It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

Betting on favorite clubs does increase our potential to win but not all favorite clubs can be used as a reference because regardless of whether they are favorites or not there is always a probability that victory is determined by our luck as gamblers.
We should still have a further analysis of the situation where statistics, h2h and of course when they play the line-up can be important to consider before betting.

Big clubs will always be favorites and can get a greater probability of winning but when the situation of big clubs does not match expectations or even when there are clubs that play more layers (due to player rotation) this can interfere with the probability of winning even if it is a favorite club.

[EluguHcman]

It may be realized for us to continue betting on potential teams like Arsenal and Manchester City, the case if we bet only to get a win on soccer betting then we can use this option to bet, in the history of the match both teams have more wins than losses which can make our win ratio better throughout the season, such as Arsenal managed to win 21 matches which will be a victory for bettors while draws and losses are a form of losing our bets because we bet for the team's victory.
 
It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

Betting on the big team against underdogs is at most favourable strategy to bring wins for players but the odds could be discouraging for gamblers who are targeting high profits.
Applying the parlay strategy in order to increase the odds for higher potential winning profits had also made lot of bettors lost their bets out of greeds.

Teams like Arsenal and the Manchester clubs are both famous clubs which is more difficult to determine which teams would win if they both are contenders.
This will also cause players higher risk to win over greeds of chasing high profits.

[programmer3666]

It may be realized for us to continue betting on potential teams like Arsenal and Manchester City, the case if we bet only to get a win on soccer betting then we can use this option to bet, in the history of the match both teams have more wins than losses which can make our win ratio better throughout the season, such as Arsenal managed to win 21 matches which will be a victory for bettors while draws and losses are a form of losing our bets because we bet for the team's victory.
 
It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

Sticking to strong teams like Arsenal or Man City can improve your chances of winning more on some regular basis. It’s a safer approach compared to betting on unpredictable teams that can just wake up and play trash. But like you already pointed out, the downside is the low odds. Even if you win frequently, the profits might be small and one unexpected loss can wipe out several wins. Football is still unpredictable, even top teams slip sometimes. I think it’s a decent strategy for consistency, but it shouldn’t be the only approach.

[Charles-Tim]

It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

21 wins, 7 drawsand 3 losses for Arsenal.
18 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses for Manchester City.

For Arsenal, that is 10 losses because the win and draw are both losses
For Manchester City it is 12 losses
Both are high in my opinion.

If you check their odds as the season continues, you will see how small they are in a way that either only very little profit would be made or even it might be losses instead because of how the bettor might have selected the bets.

[Ziskinberg]

It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

The odds are really the killer. You won’t be profitable if you just keep following low odds because the return is too small. It’s normal that when a team has a high chance of winning, they become heavy favorites, but if we keep backing them, we don’t realize that there’s no value left.

It’s fine to bet on them if you just want to enjoy as a fan, but if you’re aiming to be profitable, that’s not a good strategy. If I would suggest, it’s better to focus on the spread instead.

[Anayochukwu]

It is very easy as you said but can afford to win this remaining matches without defeat? Although without any doubt Arsenal and Manchester city are in a very big competition in the premier league which they need nothing but winning all their games but since premier league can be unpredictable sometime there is guarantee for them to win all the remaining games without losing few of them, and even tough this strategy require a huge amount because the bookies are aware that this teams are in a very big competition in the premier league so they wouldn't want bettors to benefit from them.

[TedMosby]

It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

21 wins, 7 drawsand 3 losses for Arsenal.
18 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses for Manchester City.

For Arsenal, that is 10 losses because the win and draw are both losses
For Manchester City it is 12 losses
Both are high in my opinion.

If you check their odds as the season continues, you will see how small they are in a way that either only very little profit would be made or even it might be losses instead because of how the bettor might have selected the bets.

There's a similar thread by @knuckey here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5577233.0.

I chose Arsenal and simulated the outcomes manually using the odds history from this website https://www.oddsportal.com/football/england/premier-league/results. The result is not profitable, but very small. ROI: 2.8%. I will just quote my reply from that thread here...

I find this topic interesting. So, I decided to do some research and simulate what happens when I consistently bet on one top team in the EPL every week.

In this case, what if I spent $5 on every Arsenal match in the EPL. 
I used the data on https://www.oddsportal.com/football/england/premier-league/results to check the history of the odds for every Arsenal match.

Bet on everh Arsenal match (1x2) in the EPL,  x 0 means the bet was lost (draw or loss).

Match	Stake x Odds	PnL ($)
vs Man United (A)	$5 x 1.44	+2.20
vs Leeds (H)	$5 x 1.37	+1.85
vs Liverpool (A)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Nottingham (H)	$5 x 1.46	+2.30
vs Man City (H)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Newcastle (A)	$5 x 2.28	+6.40
vs West Ham (H)	$5 x 1.21	+1.05
vs Fulham (A)	$5 x 1.55	+2.75
vs Crystal Palace (H)	$5 x 1.45	+2.25
vs Burnley (A)	$5 x 1.32	+1.60
vs Sunderland (A)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Tottenham (H)	$5 x 1.53	+2.65
vs Chelsea (A)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Brentford (H)	$5 x 1.50	+2.50
vs Aston Villa (A)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Wolves (H)	$5 x 1.15	+0.75
vs Everton (A)	$5 x 1.60	+3.00
vs Brighton (H)	$5 x 1.48	+2.40
vs Aston Villa (H)	$5 x 1.45	+2.25
vs Bournemouth (A)	$5 x 1.58	+2.90
vs Liverpool (H)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Nottingham (A)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Man United (H)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Leeds (A)	$5 x 1.61	+3.05
vs Sunderland (H)	$5 x 1.30	+1.50
vs Brentford (A)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Wolves (A)	$5 x 0	-5.00
vs Tottenham (A)	$5 x 1.59	+2.95
vs Chelsea (H)	$5 x 1.60	+3.00
vs Brighton (A)	$5 x 1.72	+3.60

Summary:
Total Matches: 30
Record: 20W - 10L
Total Stake: $150
Profit: +$4.25
ROI: 2.8%

The only question is... who can predict if a team will perform well and consistently from the beginning?

[ZeroVinsonN]

It may be realized for us to continue betting on potential teams like Arsenal and Manchester City, the case if we bet only to get a win on soccer betting then we can use this option to bet, in the history of the match both teams have more wins than losses which can make our win ratio better throughout the season, such as Arsenal managed to win 21 matches which will be a victory for bettors while draws and losses are a form of losing our bets because we bet for the team's victory.
 
It's just that the odds are relatively small if you pursue the profits that are the risk of this strategy, this is just a strategy to increase the winning ratio on bets , what do you think?

And what about when the teams are playing against eachother, if I use your stats then I'm definitely going to be betting for Arsenal to win but everyone knows that Man City won their last head to head which was just 2 days ago, the thing about football is that while we think we might be able to perfectly predict outcomes based on available stats there is always the possibility that things will end up playing out far from how we predicted them, anything can happen.