Could Bitcoin Surprise Us Again?

[Stormisover]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

The sometimes why bitcoin is chill and some days it is not chilled in your words it is nervous all this has already been documented and named, what is happening is called volatility.
Bitcoin is volatile and even if there is no chaos like the Iran, US and isreal war bitcoin can still be very volatile
I think you are overthinking it because with bitcoin I just hold and I don’t overthink anything.

Exactly the point, there is nothing about the market that is to be surprised about, I just wonder how people could consider the ups and downs which is volatility to be a surprise kind of thing when the market centered to function on such phenomenon, you are right with or without the said chaos Bitcoin with still move in the ups and downs directions, an experience person with Bitcoin will always realize that there is nothing to be surprised about newbies can overthink and get surprised while in reality there is nothing to be surprised, fact.

[JoyMarsha]

You want a surprise? Bitcoin will surely surprise each of everyone of us. It has done it in the past, it will do it again. All we needed is to be patient and trust the process, to keep hodling and accumulating the best can because whatever price we have in mind, Bitcoin will get there with time.

However, this time of the market shouldn't call for nervousness, it should be the time for accumulation and long term investment planning.

[Zackz5000]

Bitcoin is an asset full of volatility we can't say that it's because of war between Iran and USA that is making the price of Bitcoin to get low we should expect any surprise in the market, it can drop to $50k or even skyrocket to an unexpected price that is why Bitcoin is volatile but despite what is happening around the world those who still have some money with them can still be accumulating Bitcoin and hodl because come rain or sun shine the price of Bitcoin will increase more in the future.

[Webutxo]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

All these correlations doesn't matter when Bitcoin want to move. Uncertainty is normal in the crypto market during the bear market. When the bull market returns, the sentiment is always not the same, it's the opposite of the things you are writing now that are going to be here judging from what I have seen from other threads. So, whether the US bond is doing well or it's lagging, make sure to have all your Bitcoin purchase before that time.

By the time bull run will return, I'm sure the war will stop, the government will be in their right sense because that's when this same government will be leaving the office. They are going to be focus on making history than ruining things like they are roding right now with the war.

[Pablo-wood]

Bitcoin trend is a cycle of surprise. At this point the surprise is now a norm. It no longer bother those who have experienced it repeatedly. Correlation triggers two move it either starts a fake breakout then boom a massive dip or a slight dip and then moves back towards the correlated price. As for US bond it's impact on the market will be determined by how the whales respond to the speculation else we might stay longer in the correlation we are stucked in at the moment.

[Japinat]

I have accepted the fact that since bitcoin is highly volatile, it can always surprise us even on its least expected price. This is more of an asset to bitcoin than being a disadvantage, because it feels good to see challenges with bitcoin price, at least it helps us not to get boring with bitcoin.

Bitcoin may be below $100k today, but maybe tomorrow its already pass beyond because no one knows what's the next price after today or tomorrow. I guess let's keep it this way, the weak may get even more challenged and turn into diamond hands after.

[red4slash]

Volatility will always happen and we can't predict exactly what will happen for the future although we have some possible speculations such as bitcoin will fall to a certain price or will rise back to a certain price.

We only need to do what we believe with the analysis we have as speculation material to determine what steps we take.
Being at $50k it can still happen for now but we also cannot be sure that it can be done because the possibility will always be there and for those of us who just want to invest comfortably then we just need to buy and wait for a longer period of time during the decline because even though the price volatility still occurs but the confidence that the long term will always be better and can give us profit will always be there when we are in bitcoin.m
Although this also ends up being speculative, it cannot be denied that with the increase in price that continues to occur every year, the long-term hope will be much better than just thinking about the short term as a goal.

[Obim34]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

Anybody constantly checking the price of Bitcoin will certainly be overthinking at this point. We've been on the axis of $60K-$70K and majority are thinking this could be the last chance to buy the dip, while a few of us are still hoping that the price could touch down to $50K, whichever way it moves is a surprise, but i wish for the price to drop down to $50K.

[Nathrixxx]

Should we need any kind of surprise for now the way we expected from how the market has been performing and the current season we are into, because this beer season cannot be denied to be eminence as of now and we may only wait to see when another new season will unfold with friends performance in order for us to see such reacting on the market price, so for now there's nothing to expect much than a continueed bear.

[Y3shot]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

One thing about Bitcoin is that it is full of surprises, and Bitcoin can't be predicted. Sometimes we just speculate about what will happen with Bitcoin, but the market has to go its own way. For a very long time, the dip in Bitcoin has always been $70.

It goes up and returns back to $70 again. If eventually the price of Bitcoin dips even to $50, I won't be surprised because when it comes to Bitcoin, anything can happen. I don't think Bitcoin has changed from what it used to be in terms of volatility. Bitcoin can still surprise us again, just like in the old days.

[Hamza2424]

The bitcoin market is always full of surprises, especially if you are just a user with holdings below BTC0.01. You obviously won't find information that most influences volatility. Compare with BTC50> holders, they have a lot of access to actual paid news portals and political insider connections, so they have the privilege of executing their plans even while asleep, while you...
In essence, your level of ownership determines the quality of the information you receive.

Don't know how it relates to the OP but bro you are right about the ownership but in the end, it depends on us, if we own anything or not, we can join such paid news portals, or have an insider connection but for insider connections, we have to pay a lot. I don't know how much but it is obvious.

Anyway, bro, bitcoin can surprise us easily and we should not worry about the bond yields, because investors loved bitcoin not only for its profits but they loved the technology, the decentralized nature, they are the owners.

They will still own btc, if the yield will surpass 5%. Bitcoin is hard to leave, it is like addiction plus the benefit at the end of the day is still bigger than the bond yield, but there is risk difference.

[Rruchi man]

~

It's best to always expect surprises in the market. To not expect them is to be naive, and that is setting yourself up for psychological damage when the surprise finally comes because it will, even sooner sometimes.

It could come with the next Trump speech,  

Expect surprises so that you are not emotionally disturbed into fear, uncertainty, and doubt when surprises come.

[Ziskinberg]

Bitcoin has never stopped surprising us even in its lowest point. And maybe if we will start seeing bitcoin price surging high the next days or months, it would be a great surprise that we all have been waiting for.

Bitcoin is like a waiting game, the more you are patient and is always hopeful for a positive price of bitcoin, the more it will be surprising when that day starts to happen. The key here is just being patient and open minded, because bitcoin can surprise us in a negative or positive way. That's how uncontrollable bitcoin is.

[Yaunfitda]

Bitcoin has never stopped surprising us even in its lowest point. And maybe if we will start seeing bitcoin price surging high the next days or months, it would be a great surprise that we all have been waiting for.

It's because of it's volatility and then market is open all the time. So there are a lot of traders and institutional investors pushing and pulling the price. And when we think that we are done with the bull run, suddenly the price pushes upward and then we got some momentum.

Bitcoin is like a waiting game, the more you are patient and is always hopeful for a positive price of bitcoin, the more it will be surprising when that day starts to happen. The key here is just being patient and open minded, because bitcoin can surprise us in a negative or positive way. That's how uncontrollable bitcoin is.

It's the cycle itself, it has never been broken and every 4 years we've seen the price going on a massive increased pushing a new all time high. No one can really know how big or how far the market will run. Patience is the key but we still have to work on our accumulation to make big profits.

[UchihaSarada]

It's the cycle itself, it has never been broken and every 4 years we've seen the price going on a massive increased pushing a new all time high. No one can really know how big or how far the market will run. Patience is the key but we still have to work on our accumulation to make big profits.

The Bitcoin four-year cycle has never been broken but it's about history and so far, while it might be changed and broken in the future. By the basic unpredictability of the future as well as Bitcoin market cycles in the future, it opens a lot of space for theories that in future cycles, Bitcoin will no longer follow its four-year cycle from 2009 to 2026 but with me, before Bitcoin breaks its cycle pattern and makes new history, I will continue strongly believe in its historic market cycle.

The cycle so far
https://charts.bitbo.io/yearly-candles/
Bull market comparison.
Bitcoin's market cycle.
Bitcoin and the Predictability of crypto market cycles.

[Free Market Capitalist]

Curious what everyone else thinks.

When I saw the title, I thought the thread was going to be about a possible price increase, but I see that’s not the case. Well, yes, it’s possible that it could drop even further. I think the most likely scenario is that we’ll see lower lows throughout 2026, possibly even reaching $36K.

[MarjorieZimmermanGinger]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Surprise and rapid events are inherent in Bitcoin's journey, as its trajectory has been characterized by uncertainty. I personally don't believe Bitcoin will fall below $50,000 in the current turmoil, especially with yields exceeding 5% in the current period. Given the global economic turmoil and ongoing wars, Bitcoin hasn't dropped by the percentage you mentioned, it's probably safe to assume it won't drop to that price in the future.

This is the beginning of a four-year cycle with significant gains above the previous ATH, so the decline is also likely related to that issue. Bitcoin will slowly return to its highest price and may need support first, as is often the case and that's why I don't really care when Bitcoin experiences a sharp decline.