Could Bitcoin Surprise Us Again?

[Paul Bennett]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

[rat03gopoh]

The bitcoin market is always full of surprises, especially if you are just a user with holdings below BTC0.01. You obviously won't find information that most influences volatility. Compare with BTC50> holders, they have a lot of access to actual paid news portals and political insider connections, so they have the privilege of executing their plans even while asleep, while you...
In essence, your level of ownership determines the quality of the information you receive.

[YOSHIE]

Could Bitcoin Surprise Us Again? 

Bitcoin has surprised humanity around the world five times, the first phenomenon occurred on January 9, 2009, the second occurred on November 28, 2012, the third occurred on July 9, 2016, the fourth occurred on May 11, 2020 and the fifth occurred on March 02, 2024, Bitcoin has done this as time goes by.

And I am 100% sure that Bitcoin will do the same thing again, maybe this time the shock will be more devastating than what has happened before, and that shock is predicted to occur in 2028.

[Joy_learns_crypto]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

The sometimes why bitcoin is chill and some days it is not chilled in your words it is nervous all this has already been documented and named, what is happening is called volatility.
Bitcoin is volatile and even if there is no chaos like the Iran, US and isreal war bitcoin can still be very volatile
I think you are overthinking it because with bitcoin I just hold and I don’t overthink anything.

[ZAINmalik75]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

Bond yield might not pass 5% this year, the chances are not low too but I still doubt it will pass 5% because there are ways to cool the inflation off a bit but even if it passes 5% how many of us are going to leave btc just for an extra 0.6% because demand could decrease but bitcoin will survive it, people might leave it but they would be leaving a gap, a dump, an opportunity for us to buy again.

I think it is not a problem for long term holders but it can be troublesome for short term traders so they must stay careful while trading but such volatility can provide them with some opportunities.
Although other factors like tariffs and war which are going to think the liquidity and investors will stay away from risky assets. But that's not a problem until all combine and a chain of events starts.

[MinoRaiola]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

I think it is simple. When more people believe in Bitcoin and buy it, the the price go higher and the supply are lower. In the future, the supply is getting less. Now there are fewer than 1.000.000 coins to mine, and thats it. Time will tell, but more and more people just need to believe in it. In a digital world, fiat money will become irrelevant, but we must still use it. The chaos is created by people, and people need to understand that Bitcoin has nothing to do with it. It can be hosted by people without any manipulation of the code.

[bitmover]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

Bitcoin will always be surprising everyone. Just like most assets.

Life is always a surprise because we can't predict the future. Bitcoin may recover to 80k and a new pandemic or a new war or whatever shows up. black swan events happen,  and we cant predict them.

[terrific]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not.

Right now, every price that's close to $70k is possible. Although we don't want to see that $50k if we don't have money left to buy at that time.
And what remains to us is our holdings that's set and awaits for the pump of its price.

Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Geopolitics has shown a lot of affection for different markets.
Not only to Bitcoin but also to the others like the stocks and we have no control with that.

[Lembo69]

As far as I can see Bitcoin is regaining its value, maybe it can cross 100k in the next 2-3 months. And yes Bitcoin can surprise us again anytime, because Bitcoin is a digital currency, we don't know when the value will increase or decrease, so hopefully Bitcoin can surprise us. We should take advantage of this bearish market and buy more.

If we can buy every day by adopting DCA strategy, then maybe we can see surprises if we survive in the market. But before that, we have to enter the market and manage regular investments, even if in small amounts. Otherwise, we will only face losses. And there may be no surprises for us later. Invest regularly in Bitcoin and survive in the market for a long time, maybe Bitcoin can show its surprises.

[Findingnemo]

I have been telling this already on many threads, stop overreacting to the price swings that ranges like 3-5% that happen every day on bitcoin and it's not a big surprise if you checked the price history for a while atleast. I would not consider anything below 15% swings as extraordinary.

[Zoomic]

Could Bitcoin Surprise Us Again? 

And I am 100% sure that Bitcoin will do the same thing again, maybe this time the shock will be more devastating than what has happened before, and that shock is predicted to occur in 2028.

I want to understand tis your projection very well please.

You used the word "more devastating", which means it will be more catastrophic or severe than we have seen.

But then you made your projections to be 2028, meanwhile 2028 is supposed to be the beginning of bull run.

How do we reconcile this?

[Text]

Personally I think we might be overthinking short term moves, itcoin tends to shake people out during uncertainty then suddenly rallies when most don’t expect it, the bigger picture still looks strong to me especially if adoption & institutional interest keep building so yeah short term = volatile & unpredictable but long term? feels like we might still be early in something bigger, just need patience & strong hands 😅

[Jegileman]

Your assertion about bitcoin makes one want to assume that you’re new into this bitcoin phase and you’re seeing a lot of things that ends up being a surprise to you. This is how the market moves, we don’t feel the surprise anymore. Long term investors are already used to the market and are not feeling tempted to sell or even make some moves that will affect their holdings. Bitcoin will surprise us again and we shouldn’t be moved by their  movement anytime we see it coming again.

[Ahli38]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not. Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

Bitcoin has always been volatile. And increases or even decreases in Bitcoin’s price can be influenced by many factors. A rise in Bitcoin’s price is typically accompanied by positive news, where it indicates that Bitcoin is experiencing growing market demand and even the investors’ tendency to buy Bitcoin is strengthening. As for a drop in Bitcoin’s price, where it indicates that selling pressure on Bitcoin is stronger causing the price to decline further. We cannot predict with certainty where Bitcoin’s price will be in the short term. However we can predict Bitcoin’s price increase in the long term based on the 4-year cycle or even the halving cycle which can drive Bitcoin’s price higher and even lead to a new all-time high. On the other hand, Bitcoin’s price could also surge rapidly if certain conditions emerge that lead many investors to prefer buying Bitcoin. Large investors or smart money also play a significant role in influencing Bitcoin’s price (Smart Money). I personally believe that savvy investors are beginning to accumulate Bitcoin by buying when prices are low like the current price. They will capitalize on this situation before Bitcoin surprises the market again with another price surge. And I think you should also know about the history of Bitcoin prices (Source).

[silpersurfer]

Bonds are increasing in yield because they need a lot of money so they are willing to offer high yields, which allows them to get large funding because investors will want large returns from bonds backed by the government and for the government, you should understand why the yield is increasing.
I think it is better to keep owning BTC and continue to accumulate it, the evidence today we can see that bitcoin has survived despite a lot of chaos in the world, and it could as mentioned surprise in this very crowded market with speculation in many asset classes, bitcoin has shown a relatively significant annual profit growth, if the profit offer is below the average annual profit of one of the assets then they will not be interested in keeping it where the revenue is small.

[retreat]

We don't know for sure what surprises Bitcoin will bring because we can't predict the future. So the best we can do is prepare as best we can and avoid panicking when the price drops. Some people, when the price drops, they immediately panic and sell at very low prices, causing real losses, though it's only a short-term situation. If they stay focused on the long term, whatever happens won't affect them.

[Frankolala]

I feel that you are overthinking it, because I see the price of bitcoin in a sideways movement for quit a few weeks now and it hasn't dip below $59k after the last time it dipped to that price. We are in the bear market and this is a good price for bitcoin at its stands because I'm still expecting the price to dip below $60k. We can only think of a long-term pump if the price has touched the bottom line.

[suzanne5223]

Been watching BTC around $70k while US bond yields creep up. Kinda wild - if yields pass 5%, could Bitcoin dip under $50k? Maybe, maybe not.

Bitcoin can surprise us again, and it may not surprise us that's when it comes to dip under $50K you, requested, because we're dealing very volatile market where anything is possible but the chance of BTC downtrending to the $50K price range is slim so if i were you i wont be expecting the $50K price but if it happen fine.

Feels like BTC is just following the chaos. Some days it’s chill, some days it’s nervous. I don’t know, makes me wonder - are we overthinking it, or is this really just the start of something bigger?

Curious what everyone else thinks.

BTC is not the only market that's following the chaos, and the chaos is not the only thing that's currently influencing the price of BTC now because we're also in the market correction season, but th BTC market price seems to be maintaining the $67K - $72 price range.
Let's wait and see the decision of the Iranian government about the peace statement by the US president.

[serjent05]

The Bitcoin market movement has always been unpredictable.  It often surprises investors and bystanders, so it should not be a question whether Bitcoin can surprise us again but when.  Yes, the question should be when Bitcoin will surprise us again.

Like many of the replies here, I always believe that Bitcoin still has the ability to surprise people.  We just need to wait and watch how these surprises unfold.

[Blaq_e12]

There's always a surprise to expect especially with bitcoin, we are working with high level of probability. Long term investors worry less when it comes to trying to figure out the next big surprise. For us the uncertainty is high, It's either we are worried about holding or waiting to go in at lower prices. Hence it's important to always expect something. So yes Bitcoin could surprise.
Personally I think bitcoin is going to go lower say $50k /$45k