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Author Topic: Do you bet according to the market trend?  (Read 517 times)
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March 28, 2026, 12:36:54 PM
 #81

I consider gamblers who use the market trend to determine their sports betting decision as blind gamblers, while i consider the gamblers that look into other possibilities of each team winning as sharp bettors, or value bettors.
Nevertheless, i believe gamblers who mostly bet on games based on market trends are mostly gamblers that dont have much time to do the analysis of the possible results of the game.
Going through the team one want to bet on is a smart idea because we can see the team history so far and their performances how well they have been playing or how woefully they have been performing and such little information will give us the confidence about a team and if truly they are worth giving the risk and they are worth staking on.
 Checking the team performances and seeing through their recent progress is one thing that gives one edge before staking. Gamblers who do look into possibilities and make analysis are actually doing a great job and such act will reduce higher risk and increases chances of making successful bets. 

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March 28, 2026, 12:56:08 PM
 #82

Nowadays we see people betting on the market trends, what I meant by market trend is when people see superior team as people to win without them considering some factors, and circumstances that may occurred while the game is running; such as corner, penalty, free kick or even offside. All these could make you lose towards the superior team, so I want know if truly you consider all these before placing your bet or you just bet towards the trend and hope to win. Similar cases could be Arsenal 0 : 2 Man City, where many people believed on the market trends and give winning to Arsenal without knowing that Man City could outperform them. At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?
On most cases, we would really be considering on taking up some bets on the powerhouse team than on the underdogs on which its understandable on which considering about  the statistics or records then it would be pretty obvious on which one is that the better team and its common sense on where you would be placing up your bet into without minding other factors or other relevant informations or updates on which it would be that affecting the overall chance or odds on winning up the game but of course there's likely that it would win up but as we do know that there's no such thing about 100% precision or prediction because there would be that factors that would be affecting overall winning. We do know that comebacks and upsets could really happen and if you are someone who do just simply make out some bets towards the favorites and made out some bet and making up some all in because you are confident then upset happens then that would give out that huge disappointment.  Cheesy

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March 28, 2026, 01:22:10 PM
 #83

 Its a normal thing for gamblers, the first thing you out into consideration is the favourites but it's also wise to put other things into consideration not placing your hope on the favourites, there are other options like giving a particular team goals ahead or betting on Manchester City to score despite that they were the underdogs, even playing overs like 1.5 overs.
 Well some people got carried away by the odds given to Arsenal, I think it was 2+ while City's was about 3 or so if I'm not mistaken so that's supposed to let them know that City is a tough underdog for Arsenal. I would've only given Arsenal a straight win if the odds were 1.30 to win while City's own was 3.48 or more.

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March 28, 2026, 01:28:34 PM
 #84


At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?

Personally, I take the market trend into account, but honestly speaking, it doesn't really affect my choice of the team I bet on.
I tend to bet on intuition and not really in a reasonable way, I'm not a great odds calculator or even a good one at forecasting, my style I consider "casual".
Of course I look at the odds (I think it's the basis), I also look at the previous matches, but then I play with intuition and I have to say that they also guess absurd matches that not even the bookmakers would put 1 cent.
Obviously it's just luck.
Gambling is just a definition of luck, as people out there could be gambling without at least securing any single winning irrespective of how they had already forecast the match even going through their head-to-head you could find out there are still poor loophole that would affect them while gambling. For, I tends to bet on trend and as well following their past records if is that possible for me secure winning while gambling, there is people who are that good with their predictions but still they don't have winning records for long time.
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March 28, 2026, 01:37:14 PM
 #85

Nowadays we see people betting on the market trends, what I meant by market trend is when people see superior team as people to win without them considering some factors, and circumstances that may occurred while the game is running; such as corner, penalty, free kick or even offside. All these could make you lose towards the superior team, so I want know if truly you consider all these before placing your bet or you just bet towards the trend and hope to win. Similar cases could be Arsenal 0 : 2 Man City, where many people believed on the market trends and give winning to Arsenal without knowing that Man City could outperform them. At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?
It is certain that we will bet on the team that is favored because the underdog team that we predict will lose because of seeing the previous bad game, regarding the EFL final, the scenario is different and often Arsenal lose in any final match this team is always not favored even though the bookies think Arsenal will win, even I consider this team equal there is no favorite/underdog imbalance.
It is better to bet on total goals --- over/under, then I always look at the h2h it can give an idea where this team is how many goals are produced when meeting several times, usually this works quite well.

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March 28, 2026, 01:40:14 PM
 #86

you might think otherwise, but betting with the trend -thinking what everyone else is thinking- isn’t a bad thing. most of the time, you’ll be right. betting against the trend just to constantly think differently from everyone else is actually the illogical thing to do. if you do this all the time, you’ll be taking on much more risk and will generally end up losing money.

i generally don’t bet on very “unlikely” outcomes. i might place a bet like “home team over 1.5” or “home team first half over 0.5” on a match where everyone says “the home team will win.” so, even if my main strategy doesn’t change, i might not take the most obvious bet.

 
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March 28, 2026, 02:01:24 PM
 #87

Gambling is just a definition of luck, as people out there could be gambling without at least securing any single winning irrespective of how they had already forecast the match even going through their head-to-head you could find out there are still poor loophole that would affect them while gambling. For, I tends to bet on trend and as well following their past records if is that possible for me secure winning while gambling, there is people who are that good with their predictions but still they don't have winning records for long time.
Luck play a crucial role in gambling which you are very correct about it, that is why people who are into gambling should be careful and mindful when gambling, so that they won't fall into pitfalls that will lead them into what they will later regret in life. Though, there are some persons that do predict and the games just played out the way they predicted, which still falls in luck. That is why no matter anything they should embrace gambling with the intention to get fun through it.

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March 28, 2026, 02:38:29 PM
 #88

... At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?

It's hard to go against the market trend because of the stats and momentum of the superior team. As a bettor, I want to go for the obvious, but I can look at the underdog depending on their stats and the probability that they can beat the favorite.
It's safe to bet on a superior team, but if you want to take the risks for greater rewards, betting on the underdog is an option, but be ready to accept the results.

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March 28, 2026, 02:38:34 PM
 #89

Nowadays we see people betting on the market trends, what I meant by market trend is when people see superior team as people to win without them considering some factors, and circumstances that may occurred while the game is running; such as corner, penalty, free kick or even offside. All these could make you lose towards the superior team, so I want know if truly you consider all these before placing your bet or you just bet towards the trend and hope to win. Similar cases could be Arsenal 0 : 2 Man City, where many people believed on the market trends and give winning to Arsenal without knowing that Man City could outperform them. At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?
I don't think gambling according to trend is enough. When gambling, there are so many things that need to be considered. You don't just place a bet just because the team you are considering as the winning team is good to win due to their consistency in games.

Before you consider a bet, you should take into account whether it is a home or away game and evaluate the teams' performance at home or away. The players also need to be considered too. Looking at only trends and consistency of a team's results is not enough to draw conclusions in betting. In gambling, anything can happen.

 
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March 28, 2026, 05:56:26 PM
 #90

Luck play a crucial role in gambling which you are very correct about it, that is why people who are into gambling should be careful and mindful when gambling, so that they won't fall into pitfalls that will lead them into what they will later regret in life. Though, there are some persons that do predict and the games just played out the way they predicted, which still falls in luck. That is why no matter anything they should embrace gambling with the intention to get fun through it.
I believe that luck is the primary factor in gambling, so whatever the result, players should not feel regret because this is just luck that may come according to their expectations or it may be the opposite.

No matter how good a gambler is at predictions, uses strategies he thinks are effective, conducts a lot of research, and reviews records, the result depends on luck, and the outcome of each match depends on its own circumstances. Matches cannot proceed according to records because circumstances change.


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March 28, 2026, 07:05:09 PM
 #91

In my case, I don't bet based on the bookmakers' favorite. First, I analyze the game, then I decide which of the two teams is the favorite or underdog, and only after that do I place my bet. For example, in the case you mentioned, Arsenal was the bookmakers' favorite, but in my analysis, Manchester City was the favorite. This is because these two teams have faced each other in the final several times, and Manchester City won. I don't ignore the head-to-head record between the teams; I consider it a very important piece of information.

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March 28, 2026, 07:30:59 PM
 #92

... At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?

It's hard to go against the market trend because of the stats and momentum of the superior team. As a bettor, I want to go for the obvious, but I can look at the underdog depending on their stats and the probability that they can beat the favorite.
It's safe to bet on a superior team, but if you want to take the risks for greater rewards, betting on the underdog is an option, but be ready to accept the results.
The truth is that we don't really know when exactly the favourite team would flop or when the underdogs would have that extra juice, cos there's always that time of the year. That's why they say gambling is always about luck, cos inasmuch as betting in favour of the big teams seem like the best pick, it could still end up ruining your weekend. So whatever pick you wanna make, just make it and hope that you'll be lucky at the end of the day, that's just it.

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Ever-young
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March 28, 2026, 07:43:36 PM
 #93

Gamblers are interested in taking bets by following the market trend because they expect that the comparatively strong team will win because the situation indicates that. In many cases, gamblers are right, but there is no guarantee that it will always be the same result. Because anything can happen in sports, any team can outperform that team from the comparatively strong team.

Therefore, gamblers should research the match day situation before placing a bet, rather than just following the market trend, so that even if they get an unexpected result, they can at least console themselves that they took the bet after researching it.
Depending on market trends doesn't mean that one will win from gambling, instead it might even lead them into problems that will cause them damage in their plan. Which is better they should make research about any game they want bet, which they are sure and might likely be lucky to win and this will also make them to be able to make informed choices, which will help them to prevent disasters from taking place due to ignorance.

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March 28, 2026, 07:50:36 PM
 #94

I don't know why you are calling it market trends, because i guess you mean betting on the team that the bookies feel have a greater chance of winning, that's the team with the smaller odd. To answer your question, not all the time, my bets vary. Sometimes i am looking for decent odds with just a few games, so i could favor a few underdogs and all. Every betslip is different for me, i don't have one way of gambling, and since football is unpredictable, i believe that is a good way to gamble.

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March 28, 2026, 08:14:15 PM
 #95

Gamblers are interested in taking bets by following the market trend because they expect that the comparatively strong team will win because the situation indicates that. In many cases, gamblers are right, but there is no guarantee that it will always be the same result. Because anything can happen in sports, any team can outperform that team from the comparatively strong team.

Therefore, gamblers should research the match day situation before placing a bet, rather than just following the market trend, so that even if they get an unexpected result, they can at least console themselves that they took the bet after researching it.
Depending on market trends doesn't mean that one will win from gambling, instead it might even lead them into problems that will cause them damage in their plan. Which is better they should make research about any game they want bet, which they are sure and might likely be lucky to win and this will also make them to be able to make informed choices, which will help them to prevent disasters from taking place due to ignorance.

It is true that depending on the market trend, the guarantee of making money by gambling does not increase. To win by gambling, one needs one's own research and luck, if one's luck is not good, then it is not possible to win by gambling. When a gambler gambles in a disciplined manner and with awareness, he will be able to control his greed properly, save himself from big losses and protect himself from gambling addiction. When we control our greed and gamble for entertainment purposes, no matter what the outcome of gambling is, we will be able to control our limits and thus protect ourselves from big dangers.

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March 28, 2026, 08:43:33 PM
 #96

Gamblers are interested in taking bets by following the market trend because they expect that the comparatively strong team will win because the situation indicates that. In many cases, gamblers are right, but there is no guarantee that it will always be the same result. Because anything can happen in sports, any team can outperform that team from the comparatively strong team.

Therefore, gamblers should research the match day situation before placing a bet, rather than just following the market trend, so that even if they get an unexpected result, they can at least console themselves that they took the bet after researching it.
Depending on market trends doesn't mean that one will win from gambling, instead it might even lead them into problems that will cause them damage in their plan. Which is better they should make research about any game they want bet, which they are sure and might likely be lucky to win and this will also make them to be able to make informed choices, which will help them to prevent disasters from taking place due to ignorance.
A gambler should always research their bets so that they can use their skills to make at least one correct bet. But luck also plays a big role in gambling. I have seen many experienced gamblers lose a lot of money by being overconfident and following the market trend. There is no such thing as a sure win in gambling, there is always uncertainty. And that is why it is important for a gambler to focus more on his skills to do well in sports betting.

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March 28, 2026, 08:44:33 PM
 #97

At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?
A lot of bettors are victims of market trends because of how they belittle teams.
I have discovered in a long while, that there's no superior team when it comes to sport, and the market doesn't have a direct plan regardless of previous performers.

Other than the performers of the team, there are other unfortunate errors that can change the game from your expectation, like penalties and so on. Regardless, I wasn't expecting Everton vs Chelsea to come out 3:0, but it is what it is. There are other factors to consider before staking games in sports. One thing gamblers fail to understand is this team we see as a small team knows the team they are coming to face, and they have to prepare better because it's either a win or a win to them.

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Today at 01:33:51 PM
 #98

I think Arsenal vs City doesn't really fit with the problem you explained above. The fact that Arsenal vs City is a superior team vs superior team. So people are prefer to bet in the money line caused by the odds is very tempting, and there would be only one team to win Arsenal or City.

In that case, people are not betting based on the market trend, but they bet based on the performance of club. Arsenal is clearly above City in EPL, but their power is almost similar to City. Even if there will be a gap, it would be a small gap.

Beside that when people prefer to bet on moneyline. They obviously go for the favorite team to win instead of underdog. However, this thing will be totally negated when it comes to the a strong club vs strong club such as Arsenal vs City. There was no underdog caused by both of team are in the same level.

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Today at 01:49:56 PM
 #99

Nowadays we see people betting on the market trends, what I meant by market trend is when people see superior team as people to win without them considering some factors, and circumstances that may occurred while the game is running; such as corner, penalty, free kick or even offside. All these could make you lose towards the superior team, so I want know if truly you consider all these before placing your bet or you just bet towards the trend and hope to win. Similar cases could be Arsenal 0 : 2 Man City, where many people believed on the market trends and give winning to Arsenal without knowing that Man City could outperform them. At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?

Betting on market trend is not actually wrong, but while doing that also consider going into research to ensure your betting decision is well informed. There are times where big clubs can perform very poor, this could be for some reasons, like injuries, benching major players because of crutial match ahead. When you are able to make decisions based on these stats, you will not only bet based on trend, but also based on the type of players present and those on injuries. Sometimes past records also plays an important role. There are small clubs that are always challenging big clubs each time they meet and if you don't make your research up to this point and you place bet on such game without knowing, you will likely loose your bet.

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Today at 02:04:23 PM
 #100

Nowadays we see people betting on the market trends, what I meant by market trend is when people see superior team as people to win without them considering some factors, and circumstances that may occurred while the game is running; such as corner, penalty, free kick or even offside. All these could make you lose towards the superior team, so I want know if truly you consider all these before placing your bet or you just bet towards the trend and hope to win. Similar cases could be Arsenal 0 : 2 Man City, where many people believed on the market trends and give winning to Arsenal without knowing that Man City could outperform them. At this point, do you draw your conclusions to place your bet on superior team or underdog?

It's normal to bet on the favorite team because statistically they're more capable to win the match but then physical strength and skills is not the only factor that determines what happens at the end of the game. The coach can make a wrong change that can affect the entire game, or the referee can make a wrong call that would put the underdogs in a nice position to win the game. And let's not forget that these are humans like us playing so they have emotions and feelings, if a valuable player misses a game because of injury or other excuses the team might experience low spirit especially when they let such thoughts go through their head over and over again.

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