NBA live betting vs pre-game betting, which is more profitable long term?

[Questat]

I always look for a way to stay profitable in the long run because that’s the only way I can really call myself successful in sports betting and prove to the doubters that sports betting is not just gambling or pure luck, but more of a game of skill.

So for the regular bettors here, based on your actual experience betting on the NBA, which one has really been the most profitable for you? And do you have real data to back it up, maybe performance over at least 3 months, or even better, over 1 year or more?

Feel free to share. This thread is open to everyone. Newbies can ask too, no problem, but please don’t share something you just read in a book or somewhere else if you haven’t really experienced it yourself.

And please, don’t mess up this thread.

[adultcrypto]

Not only in NBA but in every other sports, I prefer pre-game betting because it generally give better odds for the team that fits into my prediction. Live betting seems like impulsive betting for me and I consider this bad because it is prone to mistakes, poor bankroll management and most of the things one should avoid in gambling. Live betting can be favorable sometimes but most of the time, it turns out to be harmful to the player. This is my personal experience, others might have something different to say about it.

[mirakal]

I mostly bet on basketball, particularly NBA, probably around 80% NBA and 20% PBA. That’s where most of my bets go.
Based on my experience, I can’t really say which one is more profitable since I’m not actually profitable in either. But if I base it on my losses, I tend to lose more in live betting.

That’s because it makes me chase my losses. For example, I might take +2.5 at first, then when the line moves to +10.5, I still take it because I trust the team, but it usually ends up with bigger losses. So for me, it’s not really helping. It’s better to just pre-bet based on data, then stay away from the phone and just watch the game.

[Fill_IPO]

Reacting to live odds changes during the game is far better for me long-term. Always, start with a very small bet before the game starts. If your team (on average) usually is high-scoring & they get behind early, now you have a perfect chance to make bigger bets with much better odds (and point spreads!) than when you started. This will do really well most of the time, you need to avoid over-betting if your team is playing terrible and never going to make the score much closer and/or make a complete comeback.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

I always look for a way to stay profitable in the long run because that’s the only way I can really call myself successful in sports betting and prove to the doubters that sports betting is not just gambling or pure luck, but more of a game of skill.

So for the regular bettors here, based on your actual experience betting on the NBA, which one has really been the most profitable for you? And do you have real data to back it up, maybe performance over at least 3 months, or even better, over 1 year or more?

Feel free to share. This thread is open to everyone. Newbies can ask too, no problem, but please don’t share something you just read in a book or somewhere else if you haven’t really experienced it yourself.

And please, don’t mess up this thread.

It's very hard to say though, but base on my past experience on betting on live, I would say that it could be profitable. I have those games wherein in the play-offs, the underdog team after the first half was done by double digits.

So I will go and bet on the, like from 3.x-4x odds as obviously they will have to score more to win the games. So I will bet on them, at ML and I will say that I have a good success. One example for me is that during the Heat's incredible run to the finals in the bubble wherein they will always be the underdog and yet was able to beat good teams that time. So it's playoff time again, so I might have to go with this strategy on live betting again.

[Vaculin]

I tend to win more on live betting, and I think I understand the logic behind it because we’re actually watching the game. The lines offered by bookies don’t always adjust instantly to what’s happening in real time.

For example, if a key player gets injured, that’s a big factor, but sometimes the line doesn’t react right away. Since we’re watching, we can spot those situations and take advantage, so in a way the edge can be on us.

The downside is you really need to stay focused and serious. You have to spend time watching the game closely, because that’s the only way to catch those opportunities.

[lodocus]

In the NBA, as in other sports, live betting can have both advantages and disadvantages. Before the game starts, our knowledge of a team is limited to their past performances, but once the game begins, it becomes clearer who is setting the pace and who is likely to control the game. Of course, we pay for this advantage with lower odds.

I don’t think it’s accurate to say one is “more profitable” than the other, but I’m used to pre-game betting.

[OgNasty]

I feel like love betting provides gamblers with more unique opportunities to hedge bets and take advantage of swings in the game to improve their odds. However, nobody has the time to sit and watch every game they want to bet on, so pre-game betting is less time demanding and easier to engage in.

[hyudien]

..

I don't have any experience betting on the NBA, but from my experience betting on soccer games, live betting does offer better odds. I just don't bet live much because I don't have enough time to watch, and sometimes the games I want to watch are played in the middle of the night. This isn't always a sure thing, however, to be honest, even though live betting gives a better idea of ​​which option to bet on, it still doesn't always work. If you have a lot of time, just try live betting and see the results.

[iv4n]

I always look for a way to stay profitable in the long run because that’s the only way I can really call myself successful in sports betting and prove to the doubters that sports betting is not just gambling or pure luck, but more of a game of skill.

So for the regular bettors here, based on your actual experience betting on the NBA, which one has really been the most profitable for you? And do you have real data to back it up, maybe performance over at least 3 months, or even better, over 1 year or more?

Feel free to share. This thread is open to everyone. Newbies can ask too, no problem, but please don’t share something you just read in a book or somewhere else if you haven’t really experienced it yourself.

And please, don’t mess up this thread.

How to not mess it up when you didn't share your "actual experience", and without any data to back it up... Your performance over the last 3 months, or even better, over 1 year?

You asked the same question that has been asked a zillion times, in one form or another... and all of those threads are a real mess.

But I will try to sum up all previous threads in one short answer: As always, many of us lack discipline and consistency... It's not just the NBA, it's the same with other sports. Most of us will turn to some in-house games at some point, and break the run... some don't have the patience to wait for the right games because it's "foolish to bet every day/week and expect to be profitable all the time. So it's not about the game, it's about the approach, and how many people can say they have "the right approach"?

[Filicius]

Not only in NBA but in every other sports, I prefer pre-game betting because it generally give better odds for the team that fits into my prediction. Live betting seems like impulsive betting for me and I consider this bad because it is prone to mistakes, poor bankroll management and most of the things one should avoid in gambling. Live betting can be favorable sometimes but most of the time, it turns out to be harmful to the player. This is my personal experience, others might have something different to say about it.

Yes, I share your opinion, and I also prefer pre-game betting. Live betting is impulsive as you said, but that's not the worst about it, but the sense of knowing what you are doing because you are watching it. When I bet before the game started, I would say that I am more aware that betting is all about probability and randomness, but when I'm watching the game I feel more in tune, and that can lead to bad decisions because of a higher self-confidence that is unreal.

[Findingnemo]

Live gambling gives you little more time window with better acuracy of what is happening at the moment but it also give you little time to make your bets while pre-betting is convenient, especially for those who wants to do deep analysis.

But which one is profitable in the long term, I put both of them under the same one, neither of them is profitable in long run.

[xLays]

From my personal experience, live betting has been more profitable compared to pre-match betting. Most of my winning bets actually come from live bets rather than pre-match ones.
I’ve also noticed that low odds in pre-match betting tend to win more often, but there are times when the line suddenly changes in ways you don’t expect. This usually happens because the odds are adjusted based on available players or last-minute changes.
If the question is which I prefer when betting on high odds whether pre-match or live, I would still choose live betting for the same reason.

[Joy_learns_crypto]

I always look for a way to stay profitable in the long run because that’s the only way I can really call myself successful in sports betting and prove to the doubters that sports betting is not just gambling or pure luck, but more of a game of skill.

So for the regular bettors here, based on your actual experience betting on the NBA, which one has really been the most profitable for you? And do you have real data to back it up, maybe performance over at least 3 months, or even better, over 1 year or more?

Feel free to share. This thread is open to everyone. Newbies can ask too, no problem, but please don’t share something you just read in a book or somewhere else if you haven’t really experienced it yourself.

And please, don’t mess up this thread.

But sport betting is gambling, you can’t prove to anyone otherwise, and even if you win in the long run you still can make sport BETTING not to be gambling.
I will share about my experience with sport betting and that’s pre game betting with option that can bring my outcome to an end even before the match end, 1up or 2up pre game betting is my best.

[Agbamoni]

Pre-game betting is always better than live betting. The options for betting in live betting are limited to what is available. On a regular day, you know what bet option you would choose before the game starts, but those options may not be there when betting on a live game based on the current outcome of the game. Live betting is better when you are about to take a bet that will give you a high return.  Aside that, it is not sustainable for long.

[bisdak40]

I always look for a way to stay profitable in the long run because that’s the only way I can really call myself successful in sports betting and prove to the doubters that sports betting is not just gambling or pure luck, but more of a game of skill.

So for the regular bettors here, based on your actual experience betting on the NBA, which one has really been the most profitable for you? And do you have real data to back it up, maybe performance over at least 3 months, or even better, over 1 year or more?

Feel free to share. This thread is open to everyone. Newbies can ask too, no problem, but please don’t share something you just read in a book or somewhere else if you haven’t really experienced it yourself.

And please, don’t mess up this thread.

As a regular NBA sports bettor, i prefer pre-game betting as that for me is stress free. I analyzed games before happening and check for injury reports then place my bets and also i seldom watch games that i bet on as that brings a bit of stress on me. I could say that i'm profitable with this set-up, not much of a profit by i could say that my win-rate is above 50 percent. Long time ago, i'm betting live but the emotion side of me dictate on who's to bet which often resulted in a loss.

[Cointxz]

Pre-game betting is always being jinx for me since most of my prediction usually lose or resulted in complete opposite dominance that’s why I switched to live game betting long time ago due to a more accurate prediction due live analysis.

Each bettor has different style that suits with their skills. I’m looking forward to see what’s the preference by others by adding poll to the topic.

[SmartGold01]

As I know pre-betting is usually fine and is the best at least it allows you to have the best odds while making your bet, and whenever you made your predictions earlier it would allow you to accumulate the best odds but as the match or game approaches they often reduces based on the game selection techniques, and most time if there are more people going for team A, you would always see that Team B odds keeps increasing while the A reduces (this is either a day to go live) and it changes in respect to how they much bet on the teams.

[fullfitlarry]

Right, watching the game live, you might have some advantage as you can see how things are going to be. So it's better to do live betting, you must be very quick though, as odds change so quick that you need to place a bet and anticipate everything base on what you see.

And it might be better if you consider to bet on the underdog because obviously it's a big return. Just think of a team that might be down by let's say 3-5 points. And then you bet on the other team as they are underdog and then suddenly in the end they won. So that is a big return to you.

[Beparanf]

I experienced a lot of prematch bet that I’m betting without aware that their star player is not playing on their match. I thought the odds is just an error or a steal against a bookie for placing higher odds until finding out live that they have incomplete roster and lose the bet.

I decided to bet only on live games on most of my bet to avoid this mistakes. Also to make sure that the team is performing the way it was supposed to be based on stats before I start betting.