You are in the best place to figure out both the amounts that you are able to put into bitcoin and also how long you expect that the amount that you put in is going to add up to significantly large amounts, depending on what the bitcoin price ends up doing in the next 4-10 years or longer.
Thanks for the explanation. The process is very clear and easy for us to understand, but I'm curious about what will happen to local fiat currencies if BTC is widely adopted in the future. Although we know this is still in its early stages, some people still find this model complicated, as they are required to learn independently, from saving to sending, to avoiding mistakes from hacking, and without protection. I apologize for deviating slightly from the context of this discussion.
In order to invest reasonably into bitcoin or anything else, you do not need to know the future with any level of certainty, even though you may well end up making allocations that will bias yourself to benefit more with certain kinds of futures as compared with other kinds of futures.
Here we are largely talking about bitcoin and cash, so you should be able to figure out some reasonable amount of your time, energy and value that you might want to put into bitcoin as compared with other places, whether that is 5% to 25% or some point in the middle.
Many normal people struggle to be able to ongoingly save and/or invest 10% of their income on a regular basis, and so if you are able to invest in bitcoin at rates that are 10% or more then you are likely to be advantaged by your choice, especially if you may well be buying bitcoin for 4-10 years or longer and maybe you are making adjustments to your bitcoin buying approach based on your ongoingly learning about bitcoin, your building up of your bitcoin stash and perhaps your simultaneous strengthening of your cashflow management systems/practices that incudes the building of back up funds.
Many of us likely are able to reasonably recognize that the dollar (and other forms of fiat) are ongoingly debasing themselves due to irresponsible policies that ongoingly print dollars/fiat and deploy debt, and so in that regard, even if there are ongoing attacks against bitcoin, bitcoin remains a stronger and more sound monetary asset, which is part of the reason that we should ongoingly be buying bitcoin, even if we might still not be able to afford to put a lot of time, energy and value into it. We do what we can within our own judgement, and we likely still continue to use fiat currencies so that we can pay our bills to the extent that we might not be able to transact in bitcoin. As we are building our bitcoin stash, we may well not be incentivized to transact in bitcoin to the extent that we are building our bitcoin stash, we may well engage in spend and replace in the times that we might be able to find someone or some business that might be willing to transact with us in bitcoin.
There is no need to be experienced in the first place to invest in Bitcoin, for this you need to build the ability to buy Bitcoin, take risks, and aim to increase your discretionary income. If a person invests correctly and follows the strategy, that person will definitely be successful, only through long-term Bitcoin investment can you eliminate financial shortages in the future. Right now, you choose a strong wallet, and collect the wallet key well and keep it safe.
You will invest in Bitcoin using your discretionary income in the first place, and also build an emergency fund so that you can protect your Bitcoin investment from any danger.
I think that your point becomes weak when you say that if a person just stick to the right plan then they'll be certain to be successful. Although a sound strategy enhances the chances of the investor, but it does not eliminate uncertainty. There is no guarantee in Investing and I don't think Bitcoin should be labeled that way either.
Secondly, I believe that it's not accurate for you to say that only long term Bitcoin investment to stop or eliminate money shortages. There is no doubt that Bitcoin may be a valuable addition to a long term investment strategy, but there are other aspects of financial planning that can help improve your financial situation, such as cashflow management, boosting discretionary income, maintaining backup funds and living within your means. Bitcoin becomes very effective when it is built on a sound financial structure and not just a solution for financial issues.
It seems that many times, the bitcoin investors will be building up their bitcoin holdings and strengthening their cashflow management practices by attempting to control and put into reasonable practices with the things that they can control, such as figuring out how much income/basic expenses that they have and then figuring out how much to ongoingly allocate towards their bitcoin investment as compared with their savings as compared with their discretionary consumption...and surely with the longer their striving to follow strong and reasonable practices, then the more likely that they have success in building both their bitcoin stash and strengthening their cashflow management...
While at the same time, everyone should realize that there are going to be various unknowns along the way, so we will try to adjust and adapt our practices once the unknowns become known... so we will never completely know, even though there will continue to be knowns and knowables that are mixed up with the unknowns and the unknowables, so we strive to do our best in those kinds of ongoing conditions to try to take advantage of the knowns and to make sure that we are also protected from a wide variety of unknowns.