What is your confidence score?

[KiaKia]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

For me, one of the biggest problems in sports betting is not only picking the wrong side, but judging a bet like it is stronger than it really is. Sometimes it is emotion, sometimes loyalty to a team, sometimes chasing a loss, sometimes the odds just look too tempting so you ignore the bad signs.

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

If a bettor is overconfident about his picks, it can be because he has had exceptionally good luck in the past (subject to a correction/regression to the mean) or because he hasn't bet enough to know that expectations are generally not met.

In my case, tired of "sure bets" that pay little and make you lose everything if sh** happens, I've decided to abandon all reasonable hope and go for almost impossible bets, so hard that I take for granted I will lose, but allow me daydream with a dear life for just a few bucks.

Maybe it's just me but all the overconfident gamblers I know always lose the bet, when the win is when they failed to place the bet, maybe the forget or don't have enough confidence.

People who keep gamblers as friends should know what I am talking about, gambling isn't something to have any type of confidence in, many people have lost fortune because they thought their bets are sure bets.

It's always when you play the no string attached that luck will come finding you, it has happened to me few times before, and now I just prefer to enjoy gambling than chasing results.

[Kelward]

No matter how confidence that you are, you confidence score should not be more than 50%. The score should be about how you make profit. But in reality, the score should be less than 50%.

You can see the odds for good teams to be very low in a way that the gambling sites are just using us all to make money in long term. So the confidence score should even be lower than 50% but I set mine at slightly less than 50%.

That means you can’t really bet a significant amount if your confidence is only around 50% or even less.

If that’s the case, then you’re basically just gambling on pure luck, right?

If we're being realistic we will agree that confidence level in sports bet shouldn't be more than 50% at most, it should be lower than that because you don't control the outcome of your bets, the most you can do is take stats from former events which can change with your current bet. Ask yourself that despite how confident you are about your analysis that what is the comparison between your wins and losses, if you're sincere to yourself you will know that overconfidence doesn't guarantee wins. Anyway no matter the level of your confidence you should bet responsibly with amount that you can afford to loose because you don't control the outcome of a game. What you can control is your money and time so minimize them to reduce your risks.

[iv4n]

No matter how confidence that you are, you confidence score should not be more than 50%. The score should be about how you make profit. But in reality, the score should be less than 50%.

You can see the odds for good teams to be very low in a way that the gambling sites are just using us all to make money in long term. So the confidence score should even be lower than 50% but I set mine at slightly less than 50%.

That means you can’t really bet a significant amount if your confidence is only around 50% or even less.

If that’s the case, then you’re basically just gambling on pure luck, right?

If we're being realistic we will agree that confidence level in sports bet shouldn't be more than 50% at most, it should be lower than that because you don't control the outcome of your bets, the most you can do is take stats from former events which can change with your current bet. Ask yourself that despite how confident you are about your analysis that what is the comparison between your wins and losses, if you're sincere to yourself you will know that overconfidence doesn't guarantee wins. Anyway no matter the level of your confidence you should bet responsibly with amount that you can afford to loose because you don't control the outcome of a game. What you can control is your money and time so minimize them to reduce your risks.

I will go with _act_ & Kelward... It's 50-50 in the best case. Kelward even explained it very nicely, and I agree with his words. Confidence doesn't guarantee anything, and can just lead someone to stake more...

After placing a bet, we can hope for the best, but at the same time, we need to be ready for surprises... The ball is round, and in reality, anything can happen, no matter how confident we are.

[Russlenat]

It's always when you play the no string attached that luck will come finding you, it has happened to me few times before, and now I just prefer to enjoy gambling than chasing results.

What do you mean by "no strings attached"? Does that mean you’re free to just move on no matter what the outcome is?

My mindset is different. It’s not just about placing a bet, I also have some pride in it because I do research before I place anything. So if I lose, I check what I did wrong and try to improve from it.

That’s why I don’t really see it that way. For me, "no strings attached" sounds more like someone is just betting based on gut feel and repeating the same pattern every time without really learning anything.

[rbynxx]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

I think confidence score could make a difference but I think I only have those confidence score when I'm sure about something and if they are a valuable bet or low odds. I think weakness is something always on the way, it wouldn't be discarded on sports betting, everytime you bet on something that weakness is always on th odds because sportsbook eliminates that the time you step in. The house always wins as they say.

[AmaGold70]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

For me, one of the biggest problems in sports betting is not only picking the wrong side, but judging a bet like it is stronger than it really is. Sometimes it is emotion, sometimes loyalty to a team, sometimes chasing a loss, sometimes the odds just look too tempting so you ignore the bad signs.

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

Honestly, rating your bets very high, and having strong confidence does not determine they outcome of your bet.
Those of us who gamble knows what gambling is all about. As for me, I mostly gamble on sports betting. Most times, I have had very high confidence, and high rating on my bets, but the match ended up in the opposite side. You win sports betting basically on luck. Though you might be thinking you have made the best prediction, but finally the bet will fail. Sometimes, the bet you doubted would be the bet to become successful. Generally, I have recorded more losses in my gambling streak than I have won. Therefore, I would say for the time being, that I no longer place strong confidence in my bets because of experience.

[Bitcoin.com97]

Having self confidence is good but it can’t determine your winning , what majorly prompt such confidence in people are team , when they believe their favorite team so such , it boost their confidence level , but in all betting is just a game of luck , sometimes you can even predict with their past performance and still lose because it may not come out as expected , I could remember when I played a bet with just 3 games , I was so sure to win but still lost one after betting with big amount so that at least so I can win big , so confidence often times don’t come out as expected.

[Sanitough]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

I think confidence score could make a difference but I think I only have those confidence score when I'm sure about something and if they are a valuable bet or low odds. I think weakness is something always on the way, it wouldn't be discarded on sports betting, everytime you bet on something that weakness is always on th odds because sportsbook eliminates that the time you step in.

Don’t bet if you’re not confident in it, plain and simple.

Why do we gamble in the first place? To win, right? Entertainment is only secondary, because let’s be honest, most of the time we only really feel entertained when we’re winning. Those two things should not be separated.

So if you place a bet even when you’re not confident, then what you’re really doing is just wasting money.

The house always wins as they say.

At least not in sports betting.

[Somegory]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

For me, one of the biggest problems in sports betting is not only picking the wrong side, but judging a bet like it is stronger than it really is. Sometimes it is emotion, sometimes loyalty to a team, sometimes chasing a loss, sometimes the odds just look too tempting so you ignore the bad signs.

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

You are right about that 100% sure, and after they place the bets something is broken, they lost all their money, a smart gambler won't say they are 100% sure even though if it looks like it.

This is a game, where the outcome will always look differently, it's all predictions and the possibility of losing seem high enough, my confidence in gambling is always mid, 50%

On games like slots I don't even care about hitting it right, I just sit, press the roller and see what happens like I am having some good time playing the game, once the money got sucked up I take my leave.

[leea-1334]

I think 'confidence' is different once the game is live,,, I have watched some football and even some other sports now where they add AI like Copilot (from Microsoft) and the confidence prediction keeps changing.

I use simple gut feeling,,, but I guess this is why I keep losing money on teams I am confident about  

[Wapfika]

It should be higher or even close to 100%. How can you put a bet and not expect to win? For sure most of us here are very much confident of our bet. It's because as gamblers even if the odds are stuck against us, we would put a bet on it. Just like in NBA games, we go and bet on the underdog no matter what as that's what our analysis says. So we should have faith on it and even expecting that there will be a huge upset and we are going to win in the end. If you says 50-50, not sure about that kind of mentality. Gamblers are one of the most superstitious individuals and they put everything on their bet on matter what others or what the odds are.

It’s a common practice on gambling to have some sense of acceptance for the possibility of losing hence gambling which always includes risk.

Gambler bets despite the risk because they consider more the potential return over the risk involved.

It’s very hard to be 100% confident on each bet knowing that there’s a lot of unknown on match while we all know that there’s a limit on how accurate our analysis when it comes to actual match.

I understand the point of we shouldn’t bet if we are not 100% confident but some people already accept the risk of losing so that it’s not painful if they actually lose the bet.

[michellee]

I don't have 100% confidence in sports gambling as I don't have much knowledge as others. I just research the match and finds which team that have much chance to wins. Although I can get the possibility of the team to wins, that can change easily in the field as the opponent team will not stops to beat the team.

If you judging your bets and gives a high score, I am afraid that you may difficult to accept your losses. Gambling is luck no matter if you do sports betting so you can't rely on your analysis expecting to wins. You can just place your bet after analyze.

But gambling for me will be 50/50 but after I place my bet, the chances will be reduce a lot.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

I think 'confidence' is different once the game is live,,, I have watched some football and even some other sports now where they add AI like Copilot (from Microsoft) and the confidence prediction keeps changing.

I use simple gut feeling,,, but I guess this is why I keep losing money on teams I am confident about  

Most of us might go with gut feeling as the only way to bet, that is if we exhausted all means but then we still undecided.

So for sports betting 50/50 as it's very hard to see what will be the result of the game. Maybe we are confident in the beginning, but when we saw how the games is unfolding, we might change our perception that we could be losing.

Maybe confidence is important, but it's not the only measuring stick in winning.

[POPOLUV]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

For me, one of the biggest problems in sports betting is not only picking the wrong side, but judging a bet like it is stronger than it really is. Sometimes it is emotion, sometimes loyalty to a team, sometimes chasing a loss, sometimes the odds just look too tempting so you ignore the bad signs.

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

As for me, if I'm to rate or decide my confidence on a particular match, it will be 75% yet my mind will not be at rest, on till that particular match give me the actual results i predicted them because i have observed that most times, those matches that we are too sure of playing to give us winning end up losing their match and those matches that we are not too sure of can end up giving us wining, so even with my confidence of rating  matches to win, i still believe that there is no sure odds until the final results of those matches comes out, so if you have been gambling on sports betting you will understand this point that I'm trying to make, that football games of this nowadays is not trust worthy until you see the final results.

[Mpamaegbu]

For me, it's a 50/50 thing. So, I go with 50%. Yeah, I know it's like almost giving up before betting at all but that helps to keep me in check. I don't over trust something that I know it's luck based. That's how I see gambling. Even the ones you think can be easily won due to how they're paired have in most cases failed. Again, this is why I'm an advocate of people not staking more than what they can afford to lose; no matter how sure they think and believe they're.

[Cryptomultiplier]

I think 'confidence' is different once the game is live,,, I have watched some football and even some other sports now where they add AI like Copilot (from Microsoft) and the confidence prediction keeps changing.

I use simple gut feeling,,, but I guess this is why I keep losing money on teams I am confident about  

Most of us might go with gut feeling as the only way to bet, that is if we exhausted all means but then we still undecided.

So for sports betting 50/50 as it's very hard to see what will be the result of the game. Maybe we are confident in the beginning, but when we saw how the games is unfolding, we might change our perception that we could be losing.

Maybe confidence is important, but it's not the only measuring stick in winning.

Confidence is mostly evident when making the picks of games before staking any amount and at that am sure at times I don't rate myself up to 100 or even up to 70% in many of the cases, because the games picked could depend on how many they are, the leagues I am making my bet from and the odds selection.

There's also the house edge which helps to reduce ones confidence ones the games are locked in and in play.
So, no matter how sure I am, I always work with a contingency plan or strategy to better my chances of either winning one from all the games I booked or even a few or even a cashout option is just as great.

[Strongkored]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

Honestly, I'm often unsure of my bets, so I take a long time to choose a bet. And when I finally place a bet, it's often because I'm bored checking the available bets. So, if I win, it's really just luck. Even if I'm very confident in my bet, the outcome often turns out to be the opposite, so I don't think confidence in my betting choices influences our results.

[dimonstration]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

Honestly, I'm often unsure of my bets, so I take a long time to choose a bet. And when I finally place a bet, it's often because I'm bored checking the available bets. So, if I win, it's really just luck. Even if I'm very confident in my bet, the outcome often turns out to be the opposite, so I don't think confidence in my betting choices influences our results.

We have same feeling regarding our bet since I only place sports betting whenever I’m bored on my main game which is live games. Although I have a good analysis when it comes to sports but I don’t appreciate much betting on it since I preferred to just watch it instead of betting because it might ruined my interest to watch the sports in case it’s a losing bet.

I’m not fully relying my bet on luck but I don’t consider it as a big deal since I only place small amount whenever I’m placing a sports bet.

[348Judah]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I do rate myself on 70 to 30% score for winning against losing, but on a reality, when I look at what eventually happened and the result I get at the end of every bet taken, then I learned to discover that I'm only having a smaller chances of 40% winning and 60% to lose it, each time I attempted playing, I don't want to hear about those that we say they have 100% certainty on playing because most will eventually end up at getting nothing despite making mouth on how they rate themselves.

[Pandu Geddon]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Every bettor definitely has a different level of confidence in the bets they place. We can combine several matches into a single parlay bet slip, of course, by choosing matches that we think have a high chance of winning. But with low odds. 
Meanwhile, for matches with a lower chance of winning but involving strong teams, the odds will be good, and we can place a single bet. Because there is a possibility that the situation will not go as we predicted. Confidence may not be very high, possibly 50:50. 

My weakness might be the same as those who like parlay bets, selecting too many matches in one bet slip. High confidence, but the risk also increases.