What is your confidence score?

[$crypto$]

When I place a bet, I keep 100% confidence in that.

If you dont have that, dont place the bet at all. You might be losing that bet, but your confidence should always be 100% and not anything less.

Having confidence and getting the correct outcome is a different thing. You might be confident but you might still lose. Nothing wrong in that, not every bet is predictable. However dont boast about it, keep it inside your head.

People are free about their confidence score even if it is 100% but keep in mind the chances of winning in sports betting are 50/50, for example, if you choose smaller odds, you tend to win more if you are consistent with small odds, you can win more even though there are always favorite teams that lose.
I still have my own confidence even though the score expectation is higher, for example 70% and that's even after making an analysis of the match before the bet is made, about the results that lose maybe it's unlucky, so I won't be selfish about this.

[Floxynice]

When you are skilled in a particular game and also very knowledgeable in it, it is only natural for your confidence level to be very high, like 100% and I think it is good to be very confident in yourself to avoid having doubts in your choices which may lead to wrong picks. It is important also to remember always that having confidence does not mean that you should have very high expectations of your bet. Gambling is unpredictable, so you should do what you know how to do and be prepared for whatever the outcome may be be.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

I can keep my confidence so high only if I bet on the team that I know so well that they are supposed to perform according to how they have done previously and the team they are facing is also a small team, how ever, I still don't rule out that little voice in my head saying that the game can still go against you. I can't be 100% certain about the outcome of my game being successful because I already had past experience that thought me not to be so sure, else I will be hurting my feelings.

[Gentle_Soul]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

For me, one of the biggest problems in sports betting is not only picking the wrong side, but judging a bet like it is stronger than it really is. Sometimes it is emotion, sometimes loyalty to a team, sometimes chasing a loss, sometimes the odds just look too tempting so you ignore the bad signs.

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

When you talk about rating how sure you are over a game you should note that even the surest of your games can still be the one to cut the game so for me I think the confidence level is in how much your games have been able to play out in the long run. If your predictions have always been coming as the way you predict them in the long run then you can simply get some level of confidence in your games probably based on your skill in prediction or your experience or familiarity with the teams and the gambling techniques or strategies.

[stadus]

When you talk about rating how sure you are over a game you should note that even the surest of your games can still be the one to cut the game so for me I think the confidence level is in how much your games have been able to play out in the long run.

Good point, because if we’re talking about the long term and someone is actually profitable, then it becomes easier to judge how real his confidence level is.

In every game we bet on, our confidence can be different. That’s normal, especially since not all matches give the same kind of value. But if someone is just betting on whatever is available without being choosy, that usually shows they are still not that mature yet when it comes to betting.

That’s why people always say we need to find value. It can be there in any game, but that does not mean every game is worth betting on.

If your predictions have always been coming as the way you predict them in the long run then you can simply get some level of confidence in your games probably based on your skill in prediction or your experience or familiarity with the teams and the gambling techniques or strategies.

yeah man that is correct.

[bitterguy28]

it depends on the basis of the bet. if all the analysis point to that bet, a gambler might feel confident enough to bet on it. each situation is different which means a gambler might feel confident in today’s bet but not tomorrow’s.

those who say they are 100% confident may also just be convincing themselves otherwise why bet on that if you have some doubts?

[Cityhunter34]

It seems like most gamblers are still not aware of the game because there's nothing else can change the outcome. Although I think it's just a normal feeling but let's not forget about the house edge even though we want to win the game let it be with amount that wouldn't affect you negatively after the outcome doesn't work out for you.

It's very wrong to conclude about the game because it can easily turn against you when you don't expect it so it's better to gamble responsibly without getting caught up in the game since nothing else can change it except luck on your side.

[Samlucky O]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Of course those kind of bet is over hyped in our head, and it makes us have a low self-esteem after the results. That's why we need not to be fully confident about our prediction knowing that gambling or betting is all about luck. Which means that it can go side ways after much confident.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

Actually and honestly when I say 70 to %90 confident, it does not match my results. This is to show that gambling is all about luck, and if people are to get their results base on their prediction vs real life experience, maybe the casino will have probably closed down. Generally betting or gambling prediction makes you think you are that smart to know better than the casino, only for results to come out and tell you how unfamiliar you are with the things you think you know better.

[Achalugo BTC]

No matter how confidence that you are, you confidence score should not be more than 50%. The score should be about how you make profit. But in reality, the score should be less than 50%.

You can see the odds for good teams to be very low in a way that the gambling sites are just using us all to make money in long term. So the confidence score should even be lower than 50% but I set mine at slightly less than 50%.

That means you can’t really bet a significant amount if your confidence is only around 50% or even less.

If that’s the case, then you’re basically just gambling on pure luck, right?

Gambling on luck should be the goal, because you can't predict what will happen next in gambling and can't tell how the games will end. Being confident can easily lead one astray by making them to bet with the amount they can't afford to lose and this can likely make them to fall into temptation of gambling recklessly, which they can lose their control on the process. Nevertheless, it depends on gamblers ability and the rules they set for themselves. But as for me, I will stick to what I know its the right thing to do, to avoid regrets and disappointment.

[alastantiger]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

My confidence level is very high especially when I am betting on games from the premier League but if those games are in la Liga or other leagues then I might not have high confidence since I don't watch those League regularly, if I'm also betting on games in the champions League I might have some kind of confidence depending on the teams playing as I will look through their head to head and then from my understanding of what my result out of the game then I can give a good prediction but still I can never tell myself that my predictions are 100% correct because I know in the game of sport anything can happen. I have seen games that small teams beat big teams and I've seen the games that big teams deliver as they were expected to deliver hence I can always have a maybe 90% or 70% rate that I might win this game which means I'm not going to stake too much that I won't be able to lose.

[Kelward]

It seems like most gamblers are still not aware of the game because there's nothing else can change the outcome. Although I think it's just a normal feeling but let's not forget about the house edge even though we want to win the game let it be with amount that wouldn't affect you negatively after the outcome doesn't work out for you.

It's very wrong to conclude about the game because it can easily turn against you when you don't expect it so it's better to gamble responsibly without getting caught up in the game since nothing else can change it except luck on your side.

This is true if you have the realization about the casino house edge you wouldn't be too confident to score yourself high knowing that you don't control anything in gambling, what you can do is play and hope to win. Even skill based games doesn't guarantee wins for you, after all your analysis the table can still turn against you making all your efforts to seem wasteful. What you can do is gamble responsibly and try to enjoy yourself as much as possible while at it, remember to always use small amounts that you wouldn't mind to loose because the probability of losing it is higher than that of winning.

[ralle14]

The highest confidence score I can push with my bets is probably around 70% - 80% because you can never count out teams until the game's over and even with solid reasoning, it only takes one rough day from the players to shit on your bet.

These confidence scores are more about my unit sizes than my results because, like i've said no matter how high you rate certain teams it only takes one misplay like a red card or a mid-game injury to swing the situation the other way.

One of my weaknesses is falling for parlays or SGPs, i'd usually think it's the easiest bet to land until it doesn't.

[lionheart78]

My confidence is always 50-50.

Even with enough knowledge on the competing team, there are always variables that can change the outcome of the game, which makes our bet uncertain.  We can study data and statistics, but that is not enough to predict the future outcome of the match because data and statistics are not the key to knowing the future result.  They are just factors to measure the possibility of a certain thing happening, and it is not 100% accurate.

[Pandorak]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

For me, one of the biggest problems in sports betting is not only picking the wrong side, but judging a bet like it is stronger than it really is. Sometimes it is emotion, sometimes loyalty to a team, sometimes chasing a loss, sometimes the odds just look too tempting so you ignore the bad signs.

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

Personally, i don’t have an exact percentage for the win rate i can expect, but if my favorite team in sports betting is playing, my confidence level is definitely over 70%, even though this is more a matter of gut feeling. In any case, no one can accurately predict the outcome of a game, luck plays a much bigger role here, as we often see, even a small team at the bottom of the standings can beat a top ranked team. So it’s better to bet on what you like and focus more on the gambling budget you’re willing to spend.

[Inwestour]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?

I always see people saying 100% sure, max confidence, free win and all that, then later the pick gets destroyed. So I keep wondering if that confidence really means anything, or if we just hype our own bets too much in our head.

Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run? Or do you later realize your confidence was way higher than the real edge?

For me, one of the biggest problems in sports betting is not only picking the wrong side, but judging a bet like it is stronger than it really is. Sometimes it is emotion, sometimes loyalty to a team, sometimes chasing a loss, sometimes the odds just look too tempting so you ignore the bad signs.

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

I think there are no 100% guaranteed bets in gambling. Every time you place a bet, you should understand that it carries risks. I believe the level of risk can vary depending on the matches you bet on, if it’s a match between evenly matched favorites, then it’s much harder to pick a winner, and the confidence in such a bet might be around 50%. If you’re betting on a favorite against an underdog, the chances can increase to 70% or even 80%. Personally, this is how I assess risk levels, and I prefer to place bets where the level of risk is as low as possible.