There was very little oil-related news yesterday, but that didn't stop oil prices from rising all day. WTI crude futures for next month's delivery have again exceeded 100 bucks and are approaching the highs that were reached during the initial events in the Middle East.Oil prices rose after Trump left a meeting with his Chinese counterpart without seriously discussing the issue of increasing energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which again raised concerns about a deepening disruption in global supplies. As for the worried traders, they do not believe that the United States and Iran will somehow come to an agreement before May 31.
In recent days, there has been a noticeable increase in the number of supertankers transporting unauthorized oil (mainly Iraqi) through the Strait of Hormuz. Since May 10, 4 supertankers, each with ~2 million barrels, have left the strait.
This only partially eases the situation in the oil market after the largest supply disruption in history. Before the war, about 20 tankers passed through the strait every day, now the traffic is much lower. In general, the Strait of Hormuz has remained largely blocked since the end of February due to the war and the American blockade of Iranian ports. This has led to a reduction in global supplies by about a billion barrels.
Overall, despite the growth in traffic, volumes remain low. Analysts note that even with the departure of all tankers, new ones will not enter in the near future.