Iran USA peace talks Bitcoin price $125,000?

[arzuo]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/17/bitcoin-bulls-target-usd125-000-as-u-s-iran-peace-talks-trigger-risk-on-mood

So, the peace talks are pushing the price of Bitcoin towards this target price. Although I think the price may increase slightly,
if the peace talks fail, the price of Bitcoin will not change much.

Analyze the news and give your opinion!

[Oshosondy]

Bitcoin is going to $125000 again and bitcoin price will later surpass all time high but not Iran war that caused the price of bitcoin to fall significantly. Bitcoin got to $60000 on the 6th of February, but the war began on the 28th of February when bitcoin was $65800 but increased to $67800 and later fall to $63000 the day the war began.

I also heard that Trump is saying it is possible they may end the war soon, but this has been what we have been hearing which do not let me believe but let us just wait and see what will happen.

But if the war end, just know that bitcoin is not yet going to $125000 yetnor because the war is ending, but the bull run will later come, bitcoin will get to all time high but not because the war ended.

[Awaklara]

I think the peace negotiations will not reach an agreement because I doubt the US will accept all of Iran's conditions to stop the war. I also doubt that the end of the war will instantly drive the Bitcoin bull movement to reach that price target. In fact, I think there is a tendency for the price not to change much even if the war stops, at least in the short term after all parties declare a ceasefire.

[Alpen]

The US-Iran peace negotiations are already priced into Bitcoin. The US has essentially lost the ability to sustain this conflict, while Iran secured a victory through its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. As it turns out, the blockade was more devastating to the global economy than any nuclear bomb could have been. These losses have cost Trump his allies and left NATO crumbling.

So, where does that leave Bitcoin’s price? The answer won't come from the battlefield anymore—it will come from the US inflation data.

[Luzin]

I think the peace negotiations will not reach an agreement because I doubt the US will accept all of Iran's conditions to stop the war. I also doubt that the end of the war will instantly drive the Bitcoin bull movement to reach that price target.

I read on the BBC that the negotiations did not reach an agreement. The US said that this failure was due to Iran not accepting the US's terms. The impact on Bitcoin prices did not change much; in fact, over the past few days, the BTC price has been quite good and contrary to the security and US-Iran war conditions. This means the war still seems likely to continue, and I do not know who the winner will be. But Iran still uses BTC for foreign transactions, and this also has a positive effect on BTC's development.

Source: https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/articles/c747vmz0w4wo

[MinoRaiola]

What Trump says, or what the USA does, affects global security. This also affects market volatility, not just Bitcoin, many other markets also. With rising uncertainty, peoples demand drops. At the start of the war in Iran, a lot of Bitcoin was sold. Currently, there has been an internet outage for over 40 days, so people cannot react the way they might want to. Iran wants to acquire Bitcoin right now and through fees charged to oil tankers in the str. of Hormus. The Bitcoin price is currently around 70.000$, which I think is really good. It will rise above 100.000$ again, but when... when global security improves.

[Outhue]

The 500days downtrend is strong,  if Bitcoin breaks out then we will skyrocket but if it respect that trend and break down which is probably going to be the case, Bitcoin will lose 60k and go below, this is not a financial advice, it's only my own opinion and my chart is the thing doing the talking, going down is highly likely that going up, take this like a grain of salt. If you are using DCA strategy you should be fine, the lesson I've learnt in the past is to never be completely out of Bitcoin, always have some in reserve.

[snowpega]

....
Analyze the news and give your opinion!

I don't want to say or pass any comment so confidently here because Iran and America are going to have another negotiation at the same table in Islamabad, Pakistan. And, according to my best knowledge, the chances are higher that Trump himself will visit Pakistan for this negotiation, and whether JD will come or not, I am not sure. As in some interviews, Trump officially said that he will go to Pakistan this time for this negotiation. So, the chances are higher this time that we can get some positive outcome of this debate in the coming days.

If the outcome of this debate comes postive than there is no doubt that we can see another rally in the bitcoin market. And these outcomes will not only impact the bitcoin market, but it will also bring a rally in the altcoins market and the US stock market as well. But for this, we need really good outcomes to happen this. Markets have already started pumping, so maybe this is a sign that there is something positive have been decided that currently does not come out publicly. DYOR!

[sunsilk]

It should be a two-way announcement and not only on Trump's side that we'll see updates of what actually is happening.

Because if it's only Trump saying that this war is already settled and they've made an agreement but on the other side, we're not hearing anything from Iran. Then, it has to be verified by both ends.

As for the price of $125k, that's just another speculation. We'll see how huge it will be one an actual peace agreement has been signed.

[free-bit.co.in]

It is undeniable that war has a significant impact on the market, but it is not the only factor influencing and determining market trend.

As Oshosondy pointed out, bitcoin had dropped to $60k before the war broke out. Therefore, the end of the war is good news and will have a positive impact on the market. However, do not expect too much and think that as soon as peace is restored, Bitcoin will immediately enter a strong bull run.
Furthermore, in my opinion, the bear market is not yet over, so do not expect price to surge strongly at this stage.

[Free Market Capitalist]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

I hope that’s the case, and that the price doesn’t just go up to $125K, but skyrockets. With the temporary ceasefire, Bitcoin has risen, the stock market has risen, and oil prices have fallen. If a permanent end to the conflict is announced, these trends are likely to continue.

Although, realistically speaking, $125,000 might be too much for this year, given where we are in the cycle, but I hope it turns out that way—and even more.

[MarjorieZimmermanGinger]

So, the peace talks are pushing the price of Bitcoin towards this target price. Although I think the price may increase slightly,
if the peace talks fail, the price of Bitcoin will not change much.

It seems likely that reaching an agreement will be difficult for both parties, as both parties have demands that may not be met. I hope such an agreement can be reached, allowing the current situation to ease and improve. In relation to Bitcoin's trajectory, such an agreement might not necessarily boost its price in the short term. To surpass its all-time high, Bitcoin must first reach $100,000, a level that remains quite difficult to achieve. Let's hope for much better conditions in the future, particularly regarding resolving the conflict between the two countries.

[Danica22]

It seems likely that reaching an agreement will be difficult for both parties, as both parties have demands that may not be met. I hope such an agreement can be reached, allowing the current situation to ease and improve. In relation to Bitcoin's trajectory, such an agreement might not necessarily boost its price in the short term. To surpass its all-time high, Bitcoin must first reach $100,000, a level that remains quite difficult to achieve. Let's hope for much better conditions in the future, particularly regarding resolving the conflict between the two countries.

Its true that reaching a peace agreement is not simple, but it is not impossible. According to the latest news, Iran has agreed to hand over uranium to the United States, and both sides are seeking to resume peace talk. Or Israel and Lebanon have reached a 10 day ceasefire agreement...If the news is true, things are looking quite positive.

Regarding the market, I also think that if the war ends, it will have a positive impact on Bitcoin. However, expecting it to return to $100k or reach an ath is unrealistic. War is not the only factor that determines the market.

[NotATether]

That's bullshit.

Bitcoin is absolutely not going to rise to $125k from peace talks alone.

That would require entering another supercycle.

[michellee]

That could be right but Bitcoin will going to $125,000 someday. No need to worry and just focus to your accumulation so when that day comes, you are ready and could sell to your target price.

I doubt Trump will stop the war as he insist to keep his plan. We just need to wait for the time breaking for Bitcoin and fortunately, this moment Bitcoin back to $75k level. There is a push for the price to reach higher level in this weekend but hopefully that will not be another trap.

[melinoe]

That's bullshit.

Bitcoin is absolutely not going to rise to $125k from peace talks alone.

That would require entering another supercycle.

Agreed. It's not that big of a deal and I am sure that these "peace" offers will be broken eventually.

[Popkon6]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/17/bitcoin-bulls-target-usd125-000-as-u-s-iran-peace-talks-trigger-risk-on-mood

So, the peace talks are pushing the price of Bitcoin towards this target price. Although I think the price may increase slightly,
if the peace talks fail, the price of Bitcoin will not change much.

Analyze the news and give your opinion!

The price of Bitcoin did not fall much due to the start of the war between Iran and the US, because we have been seeing that the price of Bitcoin has been falling since the beginning of 2026 for a long time. And in January, the price of Bitcoin was around $100k, but the war started much later and the price of Bitcoin was dumped the most in February. At this time, we were able to identify that a bear market had formed, but at the end of February.
at the beginning of March, the war with Iran started. And the price of Bitcoin at that time was at a normal level of $60k and $70k, so the possibility of Bitcoin reaching $125k due to peace talks between Iran and the US is very low. However, naturally, the price of Bitcoin can touch above $80k, which is normal, but according to the current position, I cannot expect $125k for sure.

[Alpha Marine]

Why is every price movement of Bitcoin since the war started tied to the war? Why is everybody acting like Bitcoin's price was stable at a point and had no volatility before the war? I mean, I understand the impact of a war like that and the blocking of a strategic route like that can cause financial market issues and the economy, but every little change in the price of Bitcoin cannot be tied to these events. People are even claiming the price of Bitcoin is down because of the war, meaning Bitcoin price dipped even before the start of the year.
Now that Bitcoin's price is going up, people have already attributed it to the peace talks and ceasefire, meaning that at the peak of the war, Bitcoin's price increased.

We are in a bear market, and whatever is happening to Bitcoin's price now is now, even though it is a little bit deeper than other times.

Reis-Faria expects bitcoin could reach $125,000 in the next 30 to 60 days if the short base gets squeezed out.

I would be worried if the Bitcoin price increased by about 69% in 60 days. To me, this means there will be a correction, and that might hit harder than it already has. I don't think Bitcoin can increase so fast within a short period and not have a correction because that increase won't be an organic increase, so the same way the money enters immediately, it would be the same way the money would leave immediately, causing the price to plummet again.
I would be very surprised to see Bitcoin get to $125k this year, let alone in 60 days. I am very bullish about Bitcoin, and my prediction is $100k in the last quarter of the year, even though I know how difficult it is for that to happen.

[zasad@]

I see from the news that Iran is now allowing one-sixth of the number of ships through the strait that were allowed to pass before the closure. These ships belong to friendly countries that did not participate in the war against Iran.
I don't understand how the US blockade will block passage for ships from China, India, and Russia, especially before Trump's trip to China

[hero_the_bossman]

I see from the news that Iran is now allowing one-sixth of the number of ships through the strait that were allowed to pass before the closure. These ships belong to friendly countries that did not participate in the war against Iran.
I don't understand how the US blockade will block passage for ships from China, India, and Russia, especially before Trump's trip to China

They will find a way to screw this up, it's a never-ending cycle of "I do that to you, and for that, I will do THAT to you back "