Iran USA peace talks Bitcoin price $125,000?

[zasad@]

I see from the news that Iran is now allowing one-sixth of the number of ships through the strait that were allowed to pass before the closure. These ships belong to friendly countries that did not participate in the war against Iran.
I don't understand how the US blockade will block passage for ships from China, India, and Russia, especially before Trump's trip to China

They will find a way to screw this up, it's a never-ending cycle of "I do that to you, and for that, I will do THAT to you back "

This is a very interesting standoff. The US will bomb Iran, and Iran will bomb all the nearby oil companies in countries that allow the US to establish bases there.
I think Europe and Australia will be the worst offenders.
And the US doesn't have the strength for a full-scale military operation, especially when Russia, China, and India are all nearby.

[As-Soon-As]

Due to the current war being suspended, the price of Bitcoin is likely to touch $80k often, but the possibility of Bitcoin reaching $125k, the all-time high, is very low. However, I think the price of Bitcoin is most likely to be around $100. This is because Iran is allowing very few ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, while countries that have fought with or against Iran are not allowing ships to pass through. For a while, the price of Bitcoin has risen slightly due to the temporary suspension of the war.

[Asiska02]

The war ending will have an impact in the market but that won’t be the major cause and reason as to why bitcoin will reach some certain level highs in the market. Naturally even without the war, the Bitcoin market is most certainly going to grow and we are going to record another all time high. Trump-Iran talks about the war won’t have long term significant impact in the market as the market will do naturally if the bull returns. We have recorded a bullish move of most recent in the market, this is actually a positive move for the market to reach and break the current all time high and to also create a new one.

[HelliumZ]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/17/bitcoin-bulls-target-usd125-000-as-u-s-iran-peace-talks-trigger-risk-on-mood

So, the peace talks are pushing the price of Bitcoin towards this target price. Although I think the price may increase slightly,
if the peace talks fail, the price of Bitcoin will not change much.

Analyze the news and give your opinion!

Yes, I definitely believe that if Iran and America reach an agreement on a peace deal, then the Bitcoin market will definitely go above $100,000, but of course it must be an agreement and a long-term ceasefire. Sometimes when a peace deal is proposed and a ceasefire is proposed, the market increases, but it is temporary, that is, if there is no long-term agreement, the Bitcoin market will not increase in the long-term price. However, the Iran-Israel-America war has had a long-term impact on the market, but of course the Bitcoin market has not crashed, that is, it has not fallen below $60,000, but investors like us believe that if the Bitcoin market is to go to a good position in the long term, the war between these two countries must be stopped permanently.

[Johnlomape]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/17/bitcoin-bulls-target-usd125-000-as-u-s-iran-peace-talks-trigger-risk-on-mood

So, the peace talks are pushing the price of Bitcoin towards this target price. Although I think the price may increase slightly,
if the peace talks fail, the price of Bitcoin will not change much.

Analyze the news and give your opinion!

I hope this will really happen and investors will be ready to pump money into the market so that the price of Bitcoin can shoot up just like what had been predicted. I don't know what will be the possiblity of this happening but we'll want to see the price of Bitcoin rising so that everyone can make money from the crypto space and early Investors can see the price their assets increasing in value.
If their will be another peace deal between Iran and the United States, maybe we could see another pump in the price of Bitcoin if it ended positively.

[LogitechMouse]

I think the peace negotiations will not reach an agreement because I doubt the US will accept all of Iran's conditions to stop the war. I also doubt that the end of the war will instantly drive the Bitcoin bull movement to reach that price target. In fact, I think there is a tendency for the price not to change much even if the war stops, at least in the short term after all parties declare a ceasefire.

We know the US, and we know Trump. They want to take advantage of this situation because for them, they believe that they have the upper hand against Iran. They want to have an agreement that favors them. I mean just look at the points that they shared, and you will see that it all favors to them. Can't blame them though if that's what they want, but for me, the fact that both parties don't even have things that both agree is the one that prolongs this war. Let's forget about Israel because they're acting on their own.

As for the prediction, here we are again with some insane prediction as if like they're an expert. Overexaggerated predictions and unrealistic ideas here and there. They really think that what's happening right now would push the price of Bitcoin to $125,000. We've been in the crypto for a long time I believe, and we know that even though this war will end, it will not reach that high. $80,000 and $85,000 are the more realistic ones for me, and not $125,000.

TBH, I don't know if they're just dumb enough to make some bad predictions or they're just doing this kind of predictions because... they want to.

[MarjorieZimmermanGinger]

Its true that reaching a peace agreement is not simple, but it is not impossible. According to the latest news, Iran has agreed to hand over uranium to the United States, and both sides are seeking to resume peace talk. Or Israel and Lebanon have reached a 10 day ceasefire agreement...If the news is true, things are looking quite positive.

Regarding the market, I also think that if the war ends, it will have a positive impact on Bitcoin. However, expecting it to return to $100k or reach an ath is unrealistic. War is not the only factor that determines the market.

We hope the agreement will go smoothly, so that the tensions can ease, allowing positive impacts to occur. But a complete agreement may not be reached because both parties have their own demands in the negotiations. Political tensions, war and a worsening economy play a significant role in the process and this can have an indirect impact on other sectors.

Amidst this tension, price consolidation has occurred, with the introduction of Bitcoin toll payments pushing the price higher, a positive development for all of us. While war isn't a primary factor, its impact has been significant on Bitcoin's current growth, although surprising price increases have also occurred following some support for Bitcoin, such as the introduction of Bitcoin toll payments by Iran.

[fuguebtc]

Yes, I definitely believe that if Iran and America reach an agreement on a peace deal, then the Bitcoin market will definitely go above $100,000, but of course it must be an agreement and a long-term ceasefire. Sometimes when a peace deal is proposed and a ceasefire is proposed, the market increases, but it is temporary, that is, if there is no long-term agreement, the Bitcoin market will not increase in the long-term price. However, the Iran-Israel-America war has had a long-term impact on the market, but of course the Bitcoin market has not crashed, that is, it has not fallen below $60,000, but investors like us believe that if the Bitcoin market is to go to a good position in the long term, the war between these two countries must be stopped permanently.

You are quite biased towards that market
If you believe that ending the war with a lasting peace agreement could push Bitcoin to $100k. The opposite will also happen. If the conflict escalates and drags on, Bitcoin could very well fall below $60k.


But I think the opposite. I do not believe that if the war ends, Bitcoin will rise to $100k. War is not the only factor that influences and determines market trend
It seems you have forgotten one thing: Bitcoin dropped from $126k to $60k before the war broke out. And we are still in a bear market, the flow of money will not suddenly change and pour into the market massively just because the war end.

[BitBrainers]

The ceasefire did not cause the rally. It removed the risk premium that was suppressing it. BlackRock bought $1.34 billion in BTC during this exact period. Spot ETFs saw their largest single-day inflow since January. That demand was building underneath regardless of the war headlines. Bitcoin went from $66K to $78K in ten days. Whether the ceasefire holds or not, the infrastructure built this week is permanent.

[The Cryptovator]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

So, the peace talks are pushing the price of Bitcoin towards this target price. Although I think the price may increase slightly,
if the peace talks fail, the price of Bitcoin will not change much.

Analyze the news and give your opinion!

I have seen a couple of news items since yesterday; I don't feel comfortable yet with the peace talk. Because both parties seem stuck with their own demands and no one is ready to compromise. Last day Bitcoin showed positive movement due to Hormuz news, but today seems to be dumping again also due to negative Hormuz news. Since the US hasn't lifted the sanction against Iranian ships, Iran is also likely to stop the Hormuz again.

Nowadays it's hard to believe politicians; they have been lying every time. When end of the day, it's proved that was a lie, and then we can see a sudden dump again. If the peace talk becomes successful, then Bitcoin would start pumping, but I'm not sure if it could pump till it breaks the ATH. Because the dump wasn't due to the only war. It was dumped naturally and would take times to pump again.

[OcTradism]

I have seen a couple of news items since yesterday; I don't feel comfortable yet with the peace talk. Because both parties seem stuck with their own demands and no one is ready to compromise. Last day Bitcoin showed positive movement due to Hormuz news, but today seems to be dumping again also due to negative Hormuz news. Since the US hasn't lifted the sanction against Iranian ships, Iran is also likely to stop the Hormuz again.

Only if Iranian leader surrender and satisfy demand from the USA, the war will be restarted soon after this short term ceasefire. With Trump, the USA will not stop the war if they don't get what they want from Iran while so far I don't know about any news that Iranian leaders are ready to give enriched uranium to about weapon level to the USA.

I read a post from Trump that Iran likely agrees to do that but with a style of flipping their words from Iran, only after the USA get it from Iran, anything is just news, rumors and can be changed very quickly from Iran side.

I hope the peace will return soon but realistically I don't think this war will stop soon enough.

[retreat]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

What does that have to do with Bitcoin’s price skyrocketing like that? I understand that these peace talks are positive news, but that doesn’t mean Bitcoin’s price will suddenly shoot up to $125k USD just because of them, that still doesn’t make sense to me no matter how I look at it. The outcome of these talks might affect Bitcoin’s price, but not to that extent. We’re actually still in a bearish trend, so I think we need to be more realistic when analyzing prices.

[Pandorak]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

What does that have to do with Bitcoin’s price skyrocketing like that? I understand that these peace talks are positive news, but that doesn’t mean Bitcoin’s price will suddenly shoot up to $125k USD just because of them, that still doesn’t make sense to me no matter how I look at it. The outcome of these talks might affect Bitcoin’s price, but not to that extent. We’re actually still in a bearish trend, so I think we need to be more realistic when analyzing prices.

Exactly. Even before the AS attacked Iran, killing its supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, Bitcoin had already begun to slowly decline. So that wasn’t the sole reason for Bitcoin’s price drop, it merely exacerbated the situation, making the decline steeper and faster. In other words, even if a genuine agreement were reached between the AS and Iran to end this conflict, it wouldn’t simply bring Bitcoin’s price back to its all-time high of $126k, it would take a long time to reach that price again. However, it will certainly be reached and even surpass that level, thanks to its increasingly widespread adoption.

[dezoel]

Nope, 125k is too much and it is not going there not yet at least. I am sure that it looks like a great situation and we should be considering the possibility because we all want bitcoin to go there.

But we are still in the bear year, after the bull year we have a bear year and we are there. While this war made it possible that we end up with this situation, it should not be something that would be all that easy for us to recover from and not really do something that would make sense that much.

[NotFuzzyWarm]

And the straight is closed again... https://apnews.com/article/us-iran-war-israel-hormuz-18-april-2026-ab475cb979825b956a10d60103026b37

[Jessie2121]

According to market analysis published in today's news, the US-Iran peace talks and risk-taking have created a target price of $125,000 for Bitcoin!

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/17/bitcoin-bulls-target-usd125-000-as-u-s-iran-peace-talks-trigger-risk-on-mood

So, the peace talks are pushing the price of Bitcoin towards this target price. Although I think the price may increase slightly,
if the peace talks fail, the price of Bitcoin will not change much.

Analyze the news and give your opinion!

Then it is clear that this war is the cause of Bitcoin price dropping everyday, how can this be? I can't remember the last time I saw Bitcoin price at $125k, with the war we cannot also tell how many times the last ATH appeared before the market price started dropping. If this peace talk could make Bitcoin price to move back to $100k then the war should end for things to go back to normal because ever since this war started so many things started falling apart, oil, fuel name them, is like the war we talk about today have greater effect on everything we make use of in this life.

[boyptc]

That's too much. But before we think of the price of Bitcoin, we have to see first Iran, USA and Israel to have a pact and deal that they'll maintain peace in the area.

Because until there is no proof of that, the price of Bitcoin remains the same.

Although it's not wholly reliant to the situation there in the Middle East, we've seen lately how it has so proportionate and gets affected with the news that comes from the area.

[BitBrainers]

The bearish trend argument doesn't hold when you look at the actual data. BTC went from $66K to $78K in ten days while everyone was calling it a bear market. That's not a bear market move. That's suppressed demand releasing. The $125K target isn't based on peace talks sentiment. It's based on ETF inflows, institutional accumulation, and the halving cycle. Those three things don't care about Iran. The ceasefire just removed the one thing that was keeping price capped.
Whether the Hormuz stays open or closes again today, BlackRock is still buying. That's the only number that matters.