Analysis based on stats might be useless

[Franctoshi]

With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

There was a time I did a thread regarding this match rigging of a thing, but wether they believe or not there are unseen hands and thing that happens around a match that you're not allow to see or talk about it. To me, I think you can't take this situation away, many things happen behind the scene.

All these data of a, I don't totally on data to make my bet, even the odds given longer deceive my eyes, once I check few other things personally I use to apply, I stake my game.

[Cantsay]

There was a time I did a thread regarding this match rigging of a thing, but wether they believe or not there are unseen hands and thing that happens around a match that you're not allow to see or talk about it. To me, I think you can't take this situation away, many things happen behind the scene.

All these data of a, I don't totally rely on data to make my bet, even the odds given longer deceive my eyes, once I check a few other things personally I use to apply, I stake my game.

In the past, I used to think that there were some leagues that were free from this rigging or tampering of things, but the more you look closely at them, the more you start to see some things that are suspicious.

If you are just relying on stats or past data, thinking it would help you make the right choice, the outcome of your bet is going to make you realise that those data are not going to do you any good, especially when behind-the-scenes work has been done that would affect the entire game. If you're making any prediction, just do it and don't think it is solid that nothing can make it not go as predicted.

[ejikeme24]

Skills in sport betting can only increase your potential of winning but not a guaranteed for winning because gambler's have the habits of thinking that because they are active in football game's watching and analysing the game make them to believe and trust in they own analysis but in most cases you have to depend only on luck and your risk management to actually make something sensible out of your bets.

Yeah, skill can only increase our chance of wining but doesn't give a guarantee that we will win, the thing is that some gamblers don't know when luck is working, they mistake luck to skill infact I would say that those winnings we have been making from gambling is just the work of luck and not by our strategy although strategy could help in bringing us closer to luck but  is not the actual reason why we win because sometimes a gambler might be going with that strategy and luck will not get to them but when luck comes around he will start wining from that strategy but still some gamblers don't believe on luck.

[danadc]

So do you think your colleagues make more successful predictions and bets because they stay actively immersed in the context and know the nuances related to matches and players? I think there is some truth to that. I have a similar feeling about Fantasy Premier League, which I take part in, but I understand football very poorly. I know at least something about national teams, but I definitely lack knowledge about English clubs. And it seems to me that all the other participants know much more, which is why they are higher in the standings and generally have excellent results. I am sure this cannot be explained иcключитeльнo by luck alone, although I do not deny the role of luck either

If you only listened to them, you'd agree with me. They're on top of everything and talk like sports commentators. I find that incredible, and some of them agree with what you say. It's like they think alike, but there are things they disagree on. I've learned a lot. They give details that aren't even offered in the news. Some follow the social media of clubs and players, some are subscribed to teams and are like members, bringing firsthand information.

[red4slash]

Skills in sport betting can only increase your potential of winning but not a guaranteed for winning because gambler's have the habits of thinking that because they are active in football game's watching and analysing the game make them to believe and trust in they own analysis but in most cases you have to depend only on luck and your risk management to actually make something sensible out of your bets.

It should be remembered that in the bets we make, of course there are matches that we have to watch and sometimes it has unexpected results so it will be quite natural when we believe that the increase in the probability of winning is getting bigger but in terms of results we only need to see the final result in a match that may not be in accordance with expectations.

In this case luck becomes one of the efforts that we must expect because after all, no matter how big the probability is, in the end luck is the final benchmark in a bet. We can be sure but that does not mean that belief can be a victory because of course in a bet in sportsbetting analysis and probability are 50 percent to win and 50 percent is luck.